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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27075354 times)
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ChartBuddy
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November 01, 2026, 08:01:07 PM


Explanation
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November 01, 2026, 08:08:43 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (17), fillippone (6)

A time for buying.
Certainly not for selling.
The bull's balls are green!

WO Anthology.
A trip down memory lane.
Grazie, signore!

One coin down the drain.
Phil is diversifying.
He's going half-in!

His SpaceX is down.
He's clearly not thinking straight.
It happens with age.

Rest in peace, Patrick.
You've commanded the ship well.
Warp 10 speed. Engage!

Asset Transfer Heist.
It's easy when you're CZ.
ATH for short!

How long will it take?
I'm not guessing, I'm certain.
Exactly three years!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus


old saying modded for now.

"half a fucking loaf is better than none"
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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November 01, 2026, 08:28:41 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (2)

I would be glad to give some of my hard-earned RAM to Sam Altman's (or anyone else's) data centers. Let's talk about the price, as a fraction of the data center's income.

rent them the ram. and still get a cut of the income

double win
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November 01, 2026, 08:32:05 PM


I am still looking for good hiking shoes. If someone can recommend good hiking shoes?


I'd recommend finding a place where you can try some on. I went in intending to buy some fancy ones but was most comfortable in a cheaper (but still decent) pair.

 Wait... aren't we all wearing these now?  I have a pair for indoors and out.

 
The last time i saw something similar to this was in subway surfers game, and it bounces so high in the game, it actually makes sense why one will name it moon boot.

I guess bitcoin will need some of those
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Explanation
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November 01, 2026, 09:02:29 PM
Last edit: November 01, 2026, 09:29:34 PM by fillippone
Merited by El duderino_ (9), LFC_Bitcoin (3), JayJuanGee (2), vapourminer (1), xhomerx10 (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

Wall Observer BTC/USD Report: October 2026




₿ Bitcoin Trend - October 2026

Fig. 1. Market Trend



📈 Historical Post Trend (5 Years)

Fig. 2. Monthly Post Volume in Wall Observer Thread




📈 Historical Merit Trend (5 Years)

Fig. 3. Monthly Merit Volume in Wall Observer Thread




📊 Monthly Comparison
Fig. 4. Monthly Statistics Comparison




💎 Top Merited Content
1. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by Paashaas (+71)
2. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by hisslyness (+56)
3. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by Searing (+49)
4. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by heslo (+39)
5. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by cAPSLOCK (+39)
6. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by fillippone (+24)
7. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by JimboToronto (+24)
8. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by xhomerx10 (+24)
9. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by Krubster (+23)
10. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by AlcoHoDL (+23)
  


📊 Correlation BTC Price ↔ Post Volume
Fig. 5. Monthly Correlation Between BTC Price Change and Post Volume





🔄 Merit Flow (Chord Diagram)

Fig. 6. Merit transfers between users




🏆 Top Merit Receivers

Pos  Δ Pos  User  October 2026  September 2026  Δ Merit  BPIP  BitList  
----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  
🥇  =  xhomerx10  130  185  ▼(-55)      
🥈  ▲(1)  d_eddie  107  102  ▲(5)      
🥉  ▲(2)  Hueristic  105  97  ▲(8 )      
4  ▲(7)  OutOfMemory  103  61  ▲(42)      
5  ▲(9)  fillippone  89  53  ▲(36)      
6  =  AlcoHoDL  85  92  ▼(-7)      
7  ▲(15)  Paashaas  84  37  ▲(47)      
8  ▲(8 )  Biodom  81  51  ▲(30)      
9  ▼(-2)  JayJuanGee  80  81  ▼(-1)      
10  ▼(-2)  Richy_T  79  79  =      



📤 Top 10 Merit Senders

Pos  Δ Pos  User  October 2026  September 2026  Δ Merit Sent  BPIP  BitList  
----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  
🥇  =  El duderino_  817  655  ▲(162)      
🥈  ▲(2)  JayJuanGee  190  154  ▲(36)      
🥉  ▼(-1)  vapourminer  121  184  ▼(-63)      
4  ▼(-1)  Hueristic  115  158  ▼(-43)      
5  ▲(1)  xhomerx10  73  85  ▼(-12)      
6  ▲(3)  d_eddie  57  43  ▲(14)      
7  🆕  OutOfMemory  48  🆕      
8  🆕  heslo  47  🆕      
9  ▼(-1)  AlcoHoDL  46  53  ▼(-7)      
10  ▼(-3)  philipma1957  43  65  ▼(-22)      



🏆 Top Posters

Pos  Δ Pos  User  October 2026  September 2026  Δ Posts  BPIP  BitList  
----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  ----  
🥇  =  ChartBuddy  674  720  ▼(-46)      
🥈  ▲(2)  philipma1957  67  76  ▼(-9)      
🥉  =  Danish Ali  62  80  ▼(-18 )      
4  ▲(2)  BobClawblaw  60  51  ▲(9)      
5  ▼(-3)  Hueristic  59  90  ▼(-31)      
6  ▲(3)  d_eddie  56  46  ▲(10)      
7  ▲(1)  xhomerx10  50  49  ▲(1)      
8  ▲(6)  JayJuanGee  47  33  ▲(14)      
9  ▲(2)  OutOfMemory  46  43  ▲(3)      
10  =  Richy_T  42  45  ▼(-3)      
11  ▼(-4)  OgNasty  37  49  ▼(-12)      
12  ▼(-7)  vapourminer  34  56  ▼(-22)      
13  ▼(-1)  Biodom  31  35  ▼(-4)      
14  ▲(3)  Lucius  25  24  ▲(1)      
15  ▲(8 )  ESG  20  11  ▲(9)      
15  =  cAPSLOCK  20  26  ▼(-6)      
17  ▲(1)  Floczy  17  17  =      
18  ▼(-5)  AlcoHoDL  15  34  ▼(-19)      
19  ▲(10)  El duderino_  13  6  ▲(7)      
20  ▲(25)  shahzadafzal  12  3  ▲(9)      
21  ▲(6)  fillippone  9  9  =      
21  ▲(14)  LoyceV  9  5  ▲(4)      
21  ▼(-5)  BobLawblaw  9  26  ▼(-17)      
24  ▼(-2)  goldkingcoiner  8  11  ▼(-3)      
25  ▲(5)  BTC  7  6  ▲(1)      



🏆 All-Time Top 25 Posters
#  User  Posts  %  
----  ----  ----  ----  
🥇  ChartBuddy  67,871  9.2%  
🥈  JayJuanGee  24,904  3.4%  
🥉  El duderino_  16,396  2.2%  
4  adamstgBit  10,886  1.5%  
5  LFC_Bitcoin  8,379  1.1%  
6  Last of the V8s  8,283  1.1%  
7  philipma1957  7,897  1.1%  
8  HairyMaclairy  7,798  1.1%  
9  jojo69  7,576  1.0%  
10  JimboToronto  6,937  0.9%  
11  Biodom  6,866  0.9%  
12  xhomerx10  6,364  0.9%  
13  Torque  6,244  0.8%  
14  Hueristic  6,173  0.8%  
15  d_eddie  5,804  0.8%  
16  Richy_T  5,499  0.7%  
17  bitserve  5,289  0.7%  
18  BobLawblaw  5,112  0.7%  
19  Fatman3001  5,053  0.7%  
20  cAPSLOCK  5,049  0.7%  
21  JorgeStolfi  4,712  0.6%  
22  BlindMayorBitcorn  4,671  0.6%  
23  OutOfMemory  4,645  0.6%  
24  Toxic2040  4,463  0.6%  
25  realr0ach  4,228  0.6%  

🏅 All-Time Top 25 Merit Receivers
#  User  Merits  
----  ----  ----  
🥇  El duderino_  14,019  
🥈  xhomerx10  10,427  
🥉  LFC_Bitcoin  9,417  
4  JayJuanGee  9,318  
5  AlcoHoDL  7,518  
6  cAPSLOCK  6,778  
7  Hueristic  6,141  
8  d_eddie  5,720  
9  Biodom  5,538  
10  OutOfMemory  5,404  
11  Paashaas  5,286  
12  JimboToronto  5,186  
13  philipma1957  5,067  
14  BobLawblaw  5,063  
15  vapourminer  4,670  
16  fillippone  4,586  
17  Torque  4,497  
18  jojo69  4,209  
19  Toxic2040  4,186  
20  ivomm  3,382  
21  Last of the V8s  3,213  
22  Gachapin  3,116  
23  BitcoinBunny  2,866  
24  sirazimuth  2,798  
25  bitcoinPsycho  2,788  
Cumulative WO statistics for posts published through 2026-10-31 (inclusive, UTC): 735,929 posts from 7,402 accounts | 242,739 all-time observed merits on those posts, including awards sent in later years. Post coverage: 2013-04-16 to 2026-10-11; ChartBuddy included. Merit totals reflect the acquired snapshot, not the balance at year-end.
OutOfMemory
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November 01, 2026, 09:02:48 PM
Last edit: Today at 04:32:08 PM by OutOfMemory
Merited by El duderino_ (21), philipma1957 (3), vapourminer (1), xhomerx10 (1), Hueristic (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

Binance hacked again
Not your laptop, not your keys
North Korea's coins

In other worlds realms
I am pulling my hair out
Damn Silk-PLA!

like in philip's quote
is a half fucking haiku
better than nothing?

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November 01, 2026, 09:12:32 PM

CZ says Binance has 90% of the funds covered from the hack and says they will buy the remaining 10% OTC. That should put an end to the bleeding and allow a bounce to happen.

Until the next hack…
Likely coinbase
It would be a blow to institutions like Strategy that makes use of them as custodian
Well is not like their funds are on an hot wallet but coinbase may likely be next
But there would sadly be another hack before the year end.
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November 01, 2026, 09:33:51 PM

CZ says Binance has 90% of the funds covered from the hack and says they will buy the remaining 10% OTC. That should put an end to the bleeding and allow a bounce to happen.

Until the next hack…
Likely coinbase
It would be a blow to institutions like Strategy that makes use of them as custodian
Well is not like their funds are on an hot wallet but coinbase may likely be next
But there would sadly be another hack before the year end.

That would be terrible...  Not just Strategy, but I believe most of the ETFs are still using Coinbase.  Last I checked (a while ago) Fidelity was the only company not using Coinbase for custody.  

Coinbase is also publicly traded, meaning they have done an IPO and raised a ton of cash.  The ETFs are also probably insured against this sort of loss.  Strategy, who knows...  I'd rather this AI hacking wave was finished though.  Hopefully it is not just getting started.
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November 01, 2026, 09:37:26 PM


Damn Silk-PLA!

IIRC silk will cause heat creep.
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November 01, 2026, 09:37:47 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), OutOfMemory (1)

[...]

like in philip's quote
is a half fucking haiku
better than nothing?


This begs the question:
If you have a whole haiku,
Why settle for half?

#replyku
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November 01, 2026, 09:38:16 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

CZ says Binance has 90% of the funds covered from the hack and says they will buy the remaining 10% OTC. That should put an end to the bleeding and allow a bounce to happen.

Until the next hack…
Likely coinbase
It would be a blow to institutions like Strategy that makes use of them as custodian
Well is not like their funds are on an hot wallet but coinbase may likely be next
But there would sadly be another hack before the year end.

Well kraken is perfect in terms of a coin hack
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Explanation
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Explanation
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November 01, 2026, 11:13:14 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1)

CZ says Binance has 90% of the funds covered from the hack and says they will buy the remaining 10% OTC. That should put an end to the bleeding and allow a bounce to happen.

Until the next hack…
Likely coinbase
It would be a blow to institutions like Strategy that makes use of them as custodian
Well is not like their funds are on an hot wallet but coinbase may likely be next
But there would sadly be another hack before the year end.

Well kraken is perfect in terms of a coin hack

Kraken knows how to use airgapped cold wallets, don't bet on it.
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Today at 01:05:22 AM

A time for buying.
Certainly not for selling.
The bull's balls are green!

WO Anthology.
A trip down memory lane.
Grazie, signore!

One coin down the drain.
Phil is diversifying.
He's going half-in!

His SpaceX is down.
He's clearly not thinking straight.
It happens with age.

Rest in peace, Patrick.
You've commanded the ship well.
Warp 10 speed. Engage!

Asset Transfer Heist.
It's easy when you're CZ.
ATH for short!

How long will it take?
I'm not guessing, I'm certain.
Exactly three years!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus

Seven haikus read
Weekly digest, well composed
Hacktober, goodbye

#replyku
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BobClawblaw's Bitcoin News Digest - 2026-11-01 (Evening Edition)

Published: 2026-11-01 08:03 PM CT

Bitcoin is grinding higher into a Sunday session with thin weekend liquidity, up 1.05% over 24 hours even as Fear & Greed holds at 37 for a fourth straight day. The dominant story is Threshold Network's unexplained halt of tBTC minting and redemptions on Oct. 31, which has frozen roughly $136.6 million of tBTC supply in a lending market and left the bridge's 4,320 BTC backing 4,185 tBTC with no reopening date. Price remains below the 30-day average of $81,737, so this is a bounce inside a downtrend, not a recovery.

Outlook: Watch whether Threshold discloses the specific security issue and sets a reopening date, since tBTC remains transferable on layer-2 networks but pending mints and redemptions are stuck. Watch the yen carry trade as the Bank of Japan accelerates ETF sales from January 2027, because a stronger yen or higher borrowing costs can force sales of dollar-denominated holdings including bitcoin. Weekend liquidity is thin, so Monday's open will be the first real test of whether the bid holds.

MARKET ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is at $78,412.00, up 1.05% over 24 hours and down 2.0% over seven days. The derived Institutional Lag Composite reads -4 on a -50 to +50 scale, which runs against the week's move: the composite blends price change, sentiment and spot premium, so it can tilt one way while realised price runs the other, and it does not override what the price did. Sellers still hold the initiative, though the bid is firming: the 30-day slide of 7.5% and a Fear & Greed reading of 37 describe a market where rallies get sold rather than chased. The tension between a -4 composite and a -2.0% week resolves the same way, because a momentum and sentiment composite that leans negative while price falls modestly is confirmation, not contradiction. Watch $76,500 as the line that separates a base from a breakdown; a daily close beneath it opens $74,500, while a push through $80,500 would be the first evidence that control has changed hands and would put $82,000 in play. Sentiment alone will not flip this, and a Fear & Greed print recovering toward neutral would matter less than a clean reclaim of resistance on volume.

SCENARIOS

- Consolidation Above $76,500 (44%): triggers: the market holds $76,500 on a daily close through Friday while Fear & Greed stays in the 30s, which would mark the current slide as pause rather than a reversal. Invalidation: a daily close below $76,500 within five trading days.
- Reclaim of $80,500 Toward $82,000 (29%): a decisive daily close above $80,500 within five trading days would signal buyers absorbing supply, and the $82,000 target comes into view if that close is followed by a higher low. Invalidation: price fails to register any daily close above $80,500 within five trading days.
- Breakdown Through $76,500 to $74,500 (27%): should a daily close land below $76,500 within five trading days, the path to $74,500 opens as the next computed downside target. Invalidation: price closes back above $76,500 within five trading days.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

- Threshold tBTC Freeze: The tBTC halt is not just a minting pause, because a guardian multisig froze new tBTC deposits and borrowing in a V3 Core market holding about 1,760 tBTC worth $136.6 million, roughly 42% of circulating supply, and Gauntlet pulled a Morpho vault market backed by tBTC collateral onto its emergency exclusion list.
- Yen Carry Trade: The Bank of Japan's plan to raise annual ETF sales to about 860 billion from January 2027 shortens its disposal horizon to roughly 43 years, and the policy matters for bitcoin because yen-funded carry trades unwind when the yen strengthens or borrowing costs rise.
- ETF Custody Concentration: OneKey founder Yishi Wang's warning that BlackRock's IBIT could be a North Korean target lands on a structural fact, since Coinbase custodied more than 80% of US Bitcoin ETF assets in an April snapshot and the custody agreement limits Coinbase's liability to $100 million per cold storage address.

TOP STORIES

1. Threshold Halts tBTC Redemptions, Some Shitcoin Freezes $136M Market
URL: https://cryptoslate.com/bitcoin-redemption-freeze-puts-136-million-aave-market-under-scrutiny
Published: 2026-11-01 11:40 AM CT
Summary: Threshold Network suspended tBTC minting and redemptions on Oct. 31 for undisclosed security maintenance. Threshold said the token remains fully backed, with roughly 4,320 BTC in bridge wallets against 4,185 tBTC in circulation, and no funds were lost. The guardian multisig of some shitcoin froze new tBTC deposits and borrowing on its yet another different shitcoin V3 Core market at 10:01 UTC, where about 1,760 tBTC worth $136.6 million was supplied, roughly 42% of circulating supply. Gauntlet placed a Morpho vault market backed by tBTC collateral on its emergency exclusion list and withdrew about 65,000 in some different shitcoin, leaving around 640,000 in it supplied. Threshold has not disclosed the specific security issue or a reopening date, and existing tBTC remains transferable on it and layer-2 networks while pending transactions wait.

2. Bank of Japan to Sell ETFs 2.6 Times Faster, Exit Still 43 Years Out
URL: https://cryptoslate.com/japans-central-bank-will-sell-etfs-2-6-times-faster-and-could-still-take-43-years-to-exit
Published: 2026-11-01 09:30 AM CT
Summary: The Bank of Japan will raise its annual ETF sales to about 860 billion at book value from January 2027, up from 330 billion, a roughly 161% increase. The bank's own arithmetic, dividing end-September holdings by that pace, puts the disposal horizon at about 43 years instead of 112. The revised sales equal roughly one-thousandth of Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market trading value, based on January through September activity. The BOJ held its overnight rate near 1.25% on Oct. 30 and ended new ETF purchases in March 2024, leaving the existing portfolio on its balance sheet. Bitcoin enters the picture through the yen carry trade, where traders borrow yen to buy dollar-denominated assets and a stronger yen or higher borrowing costs can force sales of holdings including bitcoin.

3. OneKey founder warns BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF could be a North Korean target
URL: https://cryptoslate.com/onekey-founder-warns-blackrocks-bitcoin-etf-could-be-a-north-korean-target
Published: 2026-11-01 10:30 AM CT
Summary: OneKey founder Yishi Wang said BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust may already be on North Korea's shortlist, after US authorities attributed a $6 billion Binance hack to the TraderTraitor operation. IBIT held roughly 815,000 BTC in its Oct. 29 holdings file, about 3.9% of Bitcoin's maximum supply, and the fund reported approximately $62 billion in net assets as of Oct. 30. Coinbase serves as IBIT's primary Bitcoin custodian, and funds naming Coinbase in a custody role accounted for more than 80% of US Bitcoin ETF assets in a CryptoSlate April 8 snapshot. Coinbase Chief Security Officer Jeff Lunglhofer said the exchange blocked transfers to compromised Binance wallets and adjusted its cold storage systems out of an abundance of caution, while the company maintained its infrastructure remained secure. Wang's concern traces to the February 2025 Bybit hack, where roughly $1.5 billion was lost after attackers compromised a Safe{Wallet} developer's computer and manipulated the transaction interface so signers approved a malicious transfer without private keys being extracted. BlackRock's annual filing shows Coinbase maintains commercial crime insurance shared among customers rather than coverage reserved for IBIT, and the custody agreement generally limits Coinbase's liability to $100 million per cold storage address; no evidence has emerged that IBIT or Coinbase's custody systems were compromised.

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