Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[JayJuanGee]

[...]
like in philip's quote
is a half fucking haiku
better than nothing?

This begs the question:
If you have a whole haiku,
Why settle for half?
#replyku

We can likely look back at Phil's bitcoin accumulation history, and each year his stack has been cut in half (or more than half).

A few hours ago, I just posted something related to this topic in another thread.

The gist of my post is that guys have to get fucking smarter when it comes to investing, since if you are not doing somewhat smart allocations and perhaps earning on the CAGR overall in the ballpark of 10% per year, then there is almost no way that you can keep up with the debasement of the dollar.

Even if a guy finds some regular investment rate and in my post example, I start out at $50 per week, and then he is able to raise his investment rate by 10% each year and invest into an asset that is appreciating 10% per year, and if the debasement rate is ONLY 4% per year, then after 30 years, the guy is largely just staying at the same real rate regarding his investment, the amount that he put in and the value of his holdings. 

I was wowed by the outcome in terms of getting AI to produce the chart, and here is the summary table of the outcome. 

I think that it might be more realistic to suggest that a guy who starts out investing into bitcoin at $50 per week might purposefully consider that it is to his advantage to increase his weekly contribution each year by 10% in order to account for the debasement of the dollar (or other fiat), and he might even presume that bitcoin's investment strength will allow it to appreciate by 10% each year on average.

I got AI (Gemini) to make me a investment projection table for the guy who starts out investing $50 per week and then he increases his investment by 10% each year.  There is also an assumption that the investment goes up in value by 10% each year, and the yearly investment amounts and totals look like this:

Sure there are a lot of assumptions in the table.  Assume that the guy is increasing his investment amount 10% each year, and assume that the end investment goes up by 10% each year.

Yet if we account for a 4% ongoing annual debasement of the dollar, then our investment into bitcoin might still only net 6% per year, so then the table might look like the below table and chart that AI (Gemini) helped me to create... at various points along the way in real dollars (rather than nominal dollars).  


By the way, if you notice from the two tables, if a guy were to increase his investment amount by 10% per year and he was also able to invest in an asset that goes up 10% per year (such as bitcoin), and also if the debasement of the dollar (or whatever fiat) happens to ONLY be 4% per year, then real value of what the guy put into bitcoin ends up putting him at about the same place as the amount that he put in.

You can see that the nominal value that the guy put in was similar to the real value at the end of 30 years investing.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ESG]

They're trying to kill the price, because Bitcoin never dies.
"
Cripto R Us>

⚠️ SECURITY: BTCPay Server says attackers are draining hot wallets on BTCPay instances.
The cause is still under investigation, and no patch is out yet.
If you run a BTCPay Server, shut it down now with ./btcpay-down.sh and watch BTCPay's official channels for updates.
"


BTCPay Server
@BtcpayServer 6h
📢 Our incident response investigation identified an attack vector targeting instances running versions 2.4.1 (Jul 23, 2026) or older.

We have no credible reports of hot wallet drains for users running the latest 2.4.7 release. We again urge everyone to keep their BTCPay Server updated.

If you were impacted, please send all details and logs to security@btcpayserver.org


BTCPay, X, https://x.com/BtcpayServer> BTCPay Server
@BtcpayServer
12h
🚨 We are receiving reports of hot wallets on BTCPay Servers being swept by unauthorized attackers.

If you're running an instance, please shut it down (./btcpay-down.sh) until we complete the investigation.


@BtcpayServer
BTCPay Server
@BtcpayServer
Oct 29
🚨 We're releasing BTPay Server 2.4.7 an emergency update fixing one critical and several medium-severity security vulnerabilities brought to our attention through @Anthropic's frontier OSS scanner.

We recommend that you update your BTCPay Server as soon as possible.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

good Morning  WO I thought the sky would have fallen by now.  Well there is always Tues.

[vapourminer]

good Morning  WO I thought the sky would have fallen by now.  Well there is always Tues.

the sky isnt falling

the ground is rising

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

good Morning  WO I thought the sky would have fallen by now.  Well there is always Tues.

the sky isnt falling

the ground is rising

Earth is quaking under the steps of maga-trump

[vapourminer]

good Morning  WO I thought the sky would have fallen by now.  Well there is always Tues.

the sky isnt falling

the ground is rising

Earth is quaking under the steps of maga-trump

are you sure thats not just your digestion acting up?

[asUHWEceyc]

We simply have not reached the moon with btc.

And now with binance hack and tomorrow's black Monday crash below 60k is on the table.

Thanks binance

Philipma1957 in my imagination:

That an IRS uniform?

[Fantazy999]

Looking at the cycles, there should still be a period of consolidation at the bottom!! A year of decline, followed by 3–6 months of sideways movement over the winter!!! It makes sense—I’m opening a short position!

[Hueristic]

Looking at the cycles, there should still be a period of consolidation at the bottom!! A year of decline, followed by 3–6 months of sideways movement over the winter!!! It makes sense—I’m opening a short position!

HFSP

[philipma1957]

Looking at the cycles, there should still be a period of consolidation at the bottom!! A year of decline, followed by 3–6 months of sideways movement over the winter!!! It makes sense—I’m opening a short position!

HFSP

? Meaning ?

Human Frontier science program is all I got.

[Lucius]

good Morning  WO I thought the sky would have fallen by now.  Well there is always Tues.

the sky isnt falling

the ground is rising

Earth is quaking under the steps of maga-trump

The ground might be quaking, but not from their footsteps, rather it is preparing to open up and start swallowing them one by one. The T-dynasty is made up of thieves, swindlers, failed journalists and religious fanatics who are also great hypocrites, homophobes, bullies and at the same time suffer from a higher value complex.

The Secretary of War could soon find himself facing calls for impeachment because he has cut off so many heads in the past 2 years that a good portion of the Pentagon has turned against him. They secretly collected a bunch of documents, made multiple copies and are waiting for the right moment to launch an attack.

Disgruntled Pentagon insiders have quietly built a hidden cache they believe could finally end Pete Hegseth's tenure as defense secretary. Several Defense Department officials have spent close to two years collecting emails, memos and meeting notes about Hegseth and stashing copies in separate hiding spots, the Daily Mail reported Saturday. One set sits in a gun safe in Northern Virginia, another in a safe-deposit box at a Washington bank and a third somewhere on the West Coast, according to the outlet.

The insiders said the records document times Hegseth and his inner circle allegedly brushed aside strategic and legal guidance, lashed out at the advisers who offered it, kept information from Congress and the public and threatened the careers of subordinates who challenged him or whom he saw as disloyal.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com