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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 46 (41.1%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 24 (21.4%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 26 (23.2%)
No - other (explain below) - 16 (14.3%)
Total Voters: 112

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27075579 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Bit-Mj1014
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November 02, 2026, 02:06:14 AM


 He wants you dependent, unequipped, and renting from him on a subscription basis.  This is happening in real time, we're being reduced to permanent tenants in every aspect of our lives and it's not a conspiracy theory any more.


The fact that this statement about being permanent tenants is true, makes my stomach hurt, like how did we get here??
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November 02, 2026, 03:01:08 AM


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November 02, 2026, 04:01:08 AM


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WatChe
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November 02, 2026, 04:48:51 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

CZ says Binance has 90% of the funds covered from the hack and says they will buy the remaining 10% OTC. That should put an end to the bleeding and allow a bounce to happen.

Until the next hack…

But he said in his tweet that he no more manages Binance.com but as share holder he expect user funds will be fully covered.

https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2115915423174853077?a=XMuoS8WMYW3ICn7Zm1I&s=20
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November 02, 2026, 05:01:12 AM


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Self-Custody is a right. Say no to "non-custodial"


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November 02, 2026, 05:05:47 AM

[edited out]
We simply have not reached the moon with btc.
And now with binance hack and tomorrow's black Monday crash below 60k is on the table.
Thanks binance

Ongoingly you seem inclined to find almost any reason to either bet on down or fail/refuse to bet on up.

Philipma1957 in my imagination:


Sure. I am thinking more like this.



One coin down the drain.
Phil is diversifying.
He's going half-in!

Exactly.  A lesson in what "not to do."  Phil is good at that.
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November 02, 2026, 06:01:07 AM


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November 02, 2026, 06:07:54 AM

[...]
like in philip's quote
is a half fucking haiku
better than nothing?

This begs the question:
If you have a whole haiku,
Why settle for half?
#replyku

We can likely look back at Phil's bitcoin accumulation history, and each year his stack has been cut in half (or more than half).

A few hours ago, I just posted something related to this topic in another thread.

The gist of my post is that guys have to get fucking smarter when it comes to investing, since if you are not doing somewhat smart allocations and perhaps earning on the CAGR overall in the ballpark of 10% per year, then there is almost no way that you can keep up with the debasement of the dollar.

Even if a guy finds some regular investment rate and in my post example, I start out at $50 per week, and then he is able to raise his investment rate by 10% each year and invest into an asset that is appreciating 10% per year, and if the debasement rate is ONLY 4% per year, then after 30 years, the guy is largely just staying at the same real rate regarding his investment, the amount that he put in and the value of his holdings. 

I was wowed by the outcome in terms of getting AI to produce the chart, and here is the summary table of the outcome. 

I think that it might be more realistic to suggest that a guy who starts out investing into bitcoin at $50 per week might purposefully consider that it is to his advantage to increase his weekly contribution each year by 10% in order to account for the debasement of the dollar (or other fiat), and he might even presume that bitcoin's investment strength will allow it to appreciate by 10% each year on average.

I got AI (Gemini) to make me a investment projection table for the guy who starts out investing $50 per week and then he increases his investment by 10% each year.  There is also an assumption that the investment goes up in value by 10% each year, and the yearly investment amounts and totals look like this:


Sure there are a lot of assumptions in the table.  Assume that the guy is increasing his investment amount 10% each year, and assume that the end investment goes up by 10% each year.

Yet if we account for a 4% ongoing annual debasement of the dollar, then our investment into bitcoin might still only net 6% per year, so then the table might look like the below table and chart that AI (Gemini) helped me to create... at various points along the way in real dollars (rather than nominal dollars).  



By the way, if you notice from the two tables, if a guy were to increase his investment amount by 10% per year and he was also able to invest in an asset that goes up 10% per year (such as bitcoin), and also if the debasement of the dollar (or whatever fiat) happens to ONLY be 4% per year, then real value of what the guy put into bitcoin ends up putting him at about the same place as the amount that he put in.

You can see that the nominal value that the guy put in was similar to the real value at the end of 30 years investing.
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November 02, 2026, 07:01:08 AM


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November 02, 2026, 08:01:07 AM


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November 02, 2026, 10:01:08 AM


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store secretK on Secret place is almost impossible


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November 02, 2026, 10:51:50 AM
Last edit: November 02, 2026, 11:19:31 AM by ESG
Merited by El duderino_ (12), xhomerx10 (1), JayJuanGee (1)

They're trying to kill the price, because Bitcoin never dies.
"
Cripto R Us>

⚠️ SECURITY: BTCPay Server says attackers are draining hot wallets on BTCPay instances.
The cause is still under investigation, and no patch is out yet.
If you run a BTCPay Server, shut it down now with ./btcpay-down.sh and watch BTCPay's official channels for updates.
"


BTCPay Server
@BtcpayServer 6h
📢 Our incident response investigation identified an attack vector targeting instances running versions 2.4.1 (Jul 23, 2026) or older.

We have no credible reports of hot wallet drains for users running the latest 2.4.7 release. We again urge everyone to keep their BTCPay Server updated.

If you were impacted, please send all details and logs to security@btcpayserver.org


BTCPay, X, https://x.com/BtcpayServer> BTCPay Server
@BtcpayServer
12h
🚨 We are receiving reports of hot wallets on BTCPay Servers being swept by unauthorized attackers.

If you're running an instance, please shut it down (./btcpay-down.sh) until we complete the investigation.


@BtcpayServer
BTCPay Server
@BtcpayServer
Oct 29
🚨 We're releasing BTPay Server 2.4.7 an emergency update fixing one critical and several medium-severity security vulnerabilities brought to our attention through @Anthropic's frontier OSS scanner.

We recommend that you update your BTCPay Server as soon as possible.
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November 02, 2026, 01:01:08 PM


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November 02, 2026, 01:18:46 PM

good Morning  WO I thought the sky would have fallen by now.  Well there is always Tues.
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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November 02, 2026, 01:24:48 PM

good Morning  WO I thought the sky would have fallen by now.  Well there is always Tues.

the sky isnt falling

the ground is rising
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November 02, 2026, 02:01:08 PM


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philipma1957
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November 02, 2026, 02:04:45 PM

good Morning  WO I thought the sky would have fallen by now.  Well there is always Tues.

the sky isnt falling

the ground is rising

Earth is quaking under the steps of maga-trump
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