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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26382663 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
seleme
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June 12, 2014, 03:53:42 AM

i.e. If someone has 100 BTC on Stamp and 100 BTC on Bitfinex, and a pile of USD on both, why not take advantage of times like these to take advantage of the cheap BTC on Stamp by switching to 150 BTC on Stamp, and 50 BTC on Bitfinex. Doing so would give the trader the same amount of BTC, but more Fiat. There must be people in Bitcoin who are set up in this way. Anyone with a considerable stake in Bitcoin must infact be set up this way.

That's only valid in flat market which Bitcoin rarely is.

If you are in bull market than you don't give a shit about arbitrage and fiat, and if you're in bear market than you don't give a shit about arbitrage and bitcoins.

My night to be disagreeable I guess.  I contend that it is not only valid in a flat market.  An arbitrage strategy can be robust against trends.  You can do the arb continuously in that case, even while you participate in the trend by taking a view.  In fact, it is wise to do so, because it creates a portfolio effect.
 

Whatever makes you happy. I personally think it's pretty stupid to be in fiat at any time during big pumps unless you sell in front of resistance to be on safe side and rebuy when it's broken. Otherwise you're just losing big gains while hunting small arbitrage opportunity.

Similar with btc in bear markets.
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According to NIST and ECRYPT II, the cryptographic algorithms used in Bitcoin are expected to be strong until at least 2030. (After that, it will not be too difficult to transition to different algorithms.)
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June 12, 2014, 04:01:03 AM


Explanation
TERA
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June 12, 2014, 04:01:45 AM

sobbing implies that I am sad. I'm not. I'm just being an ass.
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June 12, 2014, 04:02:03 AM

Still on that topic, an exchange owner can profit at his clients' expense, even without arbitrage...

One of MANY ways.  In an unregulated environment, it's a printing press for bitcoin.  I've seen orders taken away from the top of the book, for example.  Hey, it was a tender.  They can't really complain if someone fills their tender, can they?  Great way to monetize liquidity.  Also teaches a lesson to the wall fakers.  Would be totally illegal in U.S. exchanges, however.
 
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June 12, 2014, 04:04:02 AM

[...woefully incomplete enumeration of factors which can contribute to a rising price omitted...]

All of these need to add up to whatever the current markep cap in BTC is (13,000,000 etc)[sic]

Absolutely not.  The amount of fiat burned is not equal to the market cap, ever.
Please add to my list then. I thought it was a good list of things that actually occur on a physical level to move prices. I'd group these together into the 'physical layer'. Now there are other things you could say moves the price like "news", but that would belong to the 'cognitive layer'. Anything that exists in the cognitive layer must still be manifested in the physical layer somehow.
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June 12, 2014, 04:13:14 AM

do we all agree that we are going down? too many sell orders at $630 - $645 - $680, we are heading to $610 - $600 -$5xx
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June 12, 2014, 04:17:06 AM

I sent over some extra fiat to Bitstamp, yesterday.
Hope it gets there on time to buy up some cheap coins ...
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June 12, 2014, 04:32:59 AM

[...woefully incomplete enumeration of factors which can contribute to a rising price omitted...]

All of these need to add up to whatever the current markep cap in BTC is (13,000,000 etc)[sic]

Absolutely not.  The amount of fiat burned is not equal to the market cap, ever.

The market cap is just about meaningless. Especially for Bitcoin.

And there doesn't need to be any volume for the price to shift. Though it is doubtless more healthy if there is.
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June 12, 2014, 04:33:21 AM

I sent over some extra fiat to Bitstamp, yesterday.
Hope it gets there on time to buy up some cheap coins ...

I'm hoping right along with ya.

Actually I'm thinking I'm just gonna wire 500 bucks every paycheck until we go above 800 (CAD on virtex)
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June 12, 2014, 04:34:03 AM

Told you we were going down Tongue
I have no fiat on exchanges...
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June 12, 2014, 04:37:20 AM

[...woefully incomplete enumeration of factors which can contribute to a rising price omitted...]

All of these need to add up to whatever the current markep cap in BTC is (13,000,000 etc)[sic]

Absolutely not.  The amount of fiat burned is not equal to the market cap, ever.
Please add to my list then. I thought it was a good list of things that actually occur on a physical level to move prices. I'd group these together into the 'physical layer'. Now there are other things you could say moves the price like "news", but that would belong to the 'cognitive layer'. Anything that exists in the cognitive layer must still be manifested in the physical layer somehow.

The only thing that moves the price is that the lowest seller and the highest buyer agree on a different price than the previous lowest seller and highest buyer.
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June 12, 2014, 04:37:52 AM

Told you we were going down Tongue
I have no fiat on exchanges...

Mo fiat, mo problems.

No fiat, no problem.
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June 12, 2014, 04:43:44 AM

Told you we were going down Tongue
I have no fiat on exchanges...

Mo fiat, mo problems.

No fiat, no problem.

It's a problem, I can't buy more BTC.
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June 12, 2014, 04:54:51 AM

I think after this drop to $560 and rebound to $610, we will have a good 2 months or so to chill out and consolidate before the next trend is revealed, based on a potential fractal I noticed.
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June 12, 2014, 04:56:48 AM

I think after this drop to $560 and rebound to $610, we will have a good 2 months or so to chill out and consolidate before the next trend is revealed, based on a potential fractal I noticed.

did we drop to $560 in these days?
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June 12, 2014, 04:59:06 AM

I think after this drop to $560 and rebound to $610, we will have a good 2 months or so to chill out and consolidate before the next trend is revealed, based on a potential fractal I noticed.

did we drop to $560 in these days?
not yet
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June 12, 2014, 05:01:02 AM


Explanation
TERA
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June 12, 2014, 05:02:10 AM

I don't plan on subtracting from or adding to my position until I see which way it breaks from ~$600 in July/August.
hyphymikey
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June 12, 2014, 05:03:49 AM

I don't plan on subtracting from or adding to my position until I see which way it breaks from ~$600 in July/August.

Haha, you are funny!
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June 12, 2014, 05:10:35 AM

You can't deny the price is dropping though.
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