[Super-Raffle] 8x Kialara Labyrinth w/ Silver Balls! 50/50 to win - #457649!

[isoneguy]

2 for me please. 

[Hhampuz]

Damn, nathansenn has already won 3 labs, and we are still awaiting the last 3 blocks!

[nathansenn]

Damn, nathansenn has already won 3 labs, and we are still awaiting the last 3 blocks!

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

[TMAN]

Damn, nathansenn has already won 3 labs, and we are still awaiting the last 3 blocks!

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

well done lad.

[actmyname]

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one? I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

[nathansenn]

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one? I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

Wow 2% what would it be to get 4?

[isoneguy]

Might as well just give em all to him the lucky dog...

[nathansenn]

ezeminer ended up with 2 now

[Hhampuz]

All winners are drawn!

A big congratz to nathansenn who got Three (3)!!! labs from one ticket - "2". (4 labs in total with his other ticket getting drawn too)

Will contact all winners during the day, thanks for participating!

[FFrankie]

bad luck to bitcoin penny with 4 spots and not even getting one!

Amazing outcome of this to say the least

[TMAN]

well done all winners...

sorry for the losers. that was a fun raffle.

[actmyname]

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one? I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

Wow 2% what would it be to get 4?

So after calculating, I think I have the answer:

It's a 0.146484375% chance to hit 3 with one ticket, and it's a 50% chance to hit 1 with one ticket. Since you have these two, they should be multiplied giving you the final chance of

0.0732421875%!

(note that this is just for this specific permutation, the actual chance includes all possibilities added together: 1-3, 2-2, 3-1, 4-0, 0-4)

The real chance, if I calculated correctly, is 0.162%



This is a one in 1365.33 chance! What a way to get into raffles, man.

[BitcoinPenny]

bad luck to bitcoin penny with 4 spots and not even getting one!

Yeah, thanks for pointing that out, buddy.


Congratulations to all the winners!

Regards,
Chris

[nathansenn]

I won 4  

[isoneguy]

I honestly thought penny would get most of them...congrats man.

Beginners luck? 

[nathansenn]

Chance at 7:
0.00000037252902984619140625%

Chance at 6:
0.0000059604644775390625%

Chance at 5:
0.000095367431640625%

Chance at 4:
0.00152587890625%

Chance at 3:
0.0244140625%

Chance at 2:
0.390625%


So yeah, there's a chance.

Also posting my TxID for this raffle:
81cd7e7490df582c7a576a9003266abec26eec6f17999aa0dbba2b3f8e182b8f

Hey, how did you do your calculations? You simply multiplied by 16 starting from 8, right? It doesn't necessarily work like that - seen when you apply the same to the 0.390625% chance, where you have a 6.25% of landing a prize [overall]. ^{Obviously, it's a 1/16 for winning a prize per round.} I would think that two, for example, would not be a 0.39% chance, but rather a 1/16 * 7/16 chance - which has a likelihood of 2.734375% - about every 1 in 37.

And for reaching n prizes, it would simply be 1/16^(n-1) * (9-n)/16, no?

Odds of winning 4 = Chance at 4: 0.00152587890625% ?   

[nathansenn]

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one? I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

Wow 2% what would it be to get 4?

So after calculating, I think I have the answer:

It's a 0.146484375% chance to hit 3 with one ticket, and it's a 50% chance to hit 1 with one ticket. Since you have these two, they should be multiplied giving you the final chance of

0.0732421875%!

(note that this is just for this specific permutation, the actual chance includes all possibilities added together: 1-3, 2-2, 3-1, 4-0, 0-4)

The real chance, if I calculated correctly, is 0.162%



This is a one in 1365.33 chance! What a way to get into raffles, man.

Ok sounds right. Just my lucky day!

[isoneguy]

allright nathan, what do you want for one??? 

[nathansenn]

allright nathan, what do you want for one??? 

.18 BTC

[isoneguy]

ah, I see.