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Author Topic: [Super-Raffle] 8x Kialara Labyrinth w/ Silver Balls! 50/50 to win - #457649!  (Read 2836 times)
isoneguy
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March 17, 2017, 10:11:59 AM
 #61

2 for me please.  Cheesy
Hhampuz (OP)
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March 17, 2017, 11:43:22 AM
 #62

Damn, nathansenn has already won 3 labs, and we are still awaiting the last 3 blocks!

nathansenn
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March 17, 2017, 11:46:07 AM
 #63

Damn, nathansenn has already won 3 labs, and we are still awaiting the last 3 blocks!

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

Bitrated user: nathansenn.
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March 17, 2017, 11:49:37 AM
 #64

Damn, nathansenn has already won 3 labs, and we are still awaiting the last 3 blocks!

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!


well done lad.

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actmyname
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March 17, 2017, 11:51:00 AM
 #65

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one?
I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

nathansenn
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March 17, 2017, 11:54:36 AM
 #66

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one?
I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

Wow 2% what would it be to get 4?

Bitrated user: nathansenn.
isoneguy
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March 17, 2017, 11:56:55 AM
 #67

Might as well just give em all to him the lucky dog... Shocked
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March 17, 2017, 12:03:58 PM
 #68

ezeminer ended up with 2 now

Bitrated user: nathansenn.
Hhampuz (OP)
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March 17, 2017, 12:05:57 PM
 #69

All winners are drawn!

A big congratz to nathansenn who got Three (3)!!! labs from one ticket - "2". (4 labs in total with his other ticket getting drawn too)

Will contact all winners during the day, thanks for participating!

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March 17, 2017, 12:06:11 PM
 #70

bad luck to bitcoin penny with 4 spots and not even getting one!

Amazing outcome of this to say the least
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March 17, 2017, 12:09:12 PM
 #71

well done all winners...

sorry for the losers. that was a fun raffle.

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actmyname
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March 17, 2017, 12:09:33 PM
 #72

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one?
I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

Wow 2% what would it be to get 4?

So after calculating, I think I have the answer:

It's a 0.146484375% chance to hit 3 with one ticket, and it's a 50% chance to hit 1 with one ticket. Since you have these two, they should be multiplied giving you the final chance of

0.0732421875%!

(note that this is just for this specific permutation, the actual chance includes all possibilities added together: 1-3, 2-2, 3-1, 4-0, 0-4)

The real chance, if I calculated correctly, is 0.162%




This is a one in 1365.33 chance! What a way to get into raffles, man.

BitcoinPenny
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March 17, 2017, 12:12:02 PM
 #73

bad luck to bitcoin penny with 4 spots and not even getting one!

Yeah, thanks for pointing that out, buddy.


Congratulations to all the winners! Grin

Regards,
Chris

BitcoinPenny.com | "When it comes to bitcoin swag, we make perfect CENTS!"
nathansenn
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March 17, 2017, 12:15:11 PM
 #74

I won 4  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Grin Grin Grin

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isoneguy
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March 17, 2017, 12:16:35 PM
 #75

I honestly thought penny would get most of them...congrats man.

Beginners luck?  Grin Grin
nathansenn
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March 17, 2017, 12:22:38 PM
 #76

Chance at 7:
0.00000037252902984619140625%

Chance at 6:
0.0000059604644775390625%

Chance at 5:
0.000095367431640625%

Chance at 4:
0.00152587890625%

Chance at 3:
0.0244140625%

Chance at 2:
0.390625%


So yeah, there's a chance.

Also posting my TxID for this raffle:
81cd7e7490df582c7a576a9003266abec26eec6f17999aa0dbba2b3f8e182b8f


Hey, how did you do your calculations? You simply multiplied by 16 starting from 8, right? It doesn't necessarily work like that - seen when you apply the same to the 0.390625% chance, where you have a 6.25% of landing a prize [overall]. Obviously, it's a 1/16 for winning a prize per round. I would think that two, for example, would not be a 0.39% chance, but rather a 1/16 * 7/16 chance - which has a likelihood of 2.734375% - about every 1 in 37.

And for reaching n prizes, it would simply be 1/16^(n-1) * (9-n)/16, no?

Odds of winning 4 = Chance at 4: 0.00152587890625% ?  Shocked  Grin Cheesy

Bitrated user: nathansenn.
nathansenn
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March 17, 2017, 12:24:02 PM
 #77

WOW awesome this my first raffle!!!!!!!!

You lucky, lucky dog. Hitting that sweet 2% chance right off the bat. Beginner's luck! (You'd better tell us which numbers to pick next time)
Maybe you'll even get a fourth one?
I'm just happy I was able to win one to call my own, haha.

Wow 2% what would it be to get 4?

So after calculating, I think I have the answer:

It's a 0.146484375% chance to hit 3 with one ticket, and it's a 50% chance to hit 1 with one ticket. Since you have these two, they should be multiplied giving you the final chance of

0.0732421875%!

(note that this is just for this specific permutation, the actual chance includes all possibilities added together: 1-3, 2-2, 3-1, 4-0, 0-4)

The real chance, if I calculated correctly, is 0.162%




This is a one in 1365.33 chance! What a way to get into raffles, man.

Ok sounds right. Just my lucky day!

Bitrated user: nathansenn.
isoneguy
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March 17, 2017, 12:32:45 PM
 #78

allright nathan, what do you want for one???  Grin
nathansenn
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March 17, 2017, 01:59:33 PM
 #79

allright nathan, what do you want for one???  Grin

.18 BTC

Bitrated user: nathansenn.
isoneguy
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March 17, 2017, 02:05:49 PM
 #80

ah, I see.
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