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Author Topic: Bitcoin vs. World Money Supply: What happens when max. cap at max. supply?  (Read 1259 times)
whalingoutbox (OP)
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June 05, 2017, 07:34:08 PM
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website: http://money.visualcapitalist.com/all-of-the-worlds-money-and-markets-in-one-visualization/

What do you think will happen when Bitcoin market cap. hits $5 trillion USD?
What about (broad money) ~$80.9 trillion?
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June 05, 2017, 08:44:12 PM
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If Bitcoin hits 80.9 trillion dollar this means 1 bitcoin = $38,523,809.52  Shocked This means every owner of bitcoin will be a multi-millionaire and well the transaction fee would be $30819.05 @ 0.0008 BTC transaction fee great for coin that is introduced as small to nothing transaction fee Grin.  Well why would I care for $30k fee if I have multimillion dollar in my stash. Definitely I will change this to fiat currency since moving it to fiat currency, I can save a lot in terms of transaction fee every time I move my money.
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June 05, 2017, 08:53:45 PM
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If Bitcoin hits 80.9 trillion dollar this means 1 bitcoin = $38,523,809.52  Shocked This means every owner of bitcoin will be a multi-millionaire and well the transaction fee would be $30819.05 @ 0.0008 BTC transaction fee great for coin that is introduced as small to nothing transaction fee Grin.  Well why would I care for $30k fee if I have multimillion dollar in my stash. Definitely I will change this to fiat currency since moving it to fiat currency, I can save a lot in terms of transaction fee every time I move my money.
Agreed that paying a fees worth 30k wouldn't really mind anyone at all , but younare surely making a mistake here , if bitcoin reaches it's max cap and price that means there is no way people can mine more coins and nor the price would increase anymore so just imagine why would someone 30k for a coin which is at it's max and the price will surely not increase. Bitcoin will just become like most of the alts who have value but no demand at all
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June 05, 2017, 09:03:28 PM
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If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.
whalingoutbox (OP)
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June 05, 2017, 09:09:59 PM
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If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.

Ok. I like your response. I'm not sure it would take 10 years to get to $80.9 trillion USD. I think it will take less. I find it interesting that you say that "...does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt..."

Part of me thinks that what will happen is that the general public will use Bitcoin for everyday transactions when the Bitcoin market cap. reaches $80.9 trillion United States Dollars. Large government institutions will still, however, refer to various values (such as national debt) in their original form of currency. For instance, that is like saying that the typical U.S. citizen (8 years from now) would be using Bitcoin to pay for groceries. However, when it comes to the issue of the United States national debt, the national debt would be listed in United States dollars rather than Bitcoin.

I think people will start to use Bitcoin as soon as possible, because it's an extremely efficient way to reduce national and world debt due to how the money is tracked. There may be social complications (such as only shopping for groceries once every three weeks rather than each week), but I think people would be willing to deal with those social complications in order to decrease the larger financial complications (such as national debt and world debt).

If Bitcoin hits 80.9 trillion dollar this means 1 bitcoin = $38,523,809.52  Shocked This means every owner of bitcoin will be a multi-millionaire and well the transaction fee would be $30819.05 @ 0.0008 BTC transaction fee great for coin that is introduced as small to nothing transaction fee Grin.  Well why would I care for $30k fee if I have multimillion dollar in my stash. Definitely I will change this to fiat currency since moving it to fiat currency, I can save a lot in terms of transaction fee every time I move my money.
Agreed that paying a fees worth 30k wouldn't really mind anyone at all , but younare surely making a mistake here , if bitcoin reaches it's max cap and price that means there is no way people can mine more coins and nor the price would increase anymore so just imagine why would someone 30k for a coin which is at it's max and the price will surely not increase. Bitcoin will just become like most of the alts who have value but no demand at all

I think you make an interesting argument. However, I believe there can be a maximum Bitcoin to US Dollar cap but still more value for Bitcoin to obtain. I think that may mean there is an alien planet out there in the universe with a larger if but more valuable money supply than the United States. If such were to exist, I think it would be discovered near the time all of the United States dollar supply is distributed amongst Bitcoin market cap.. Otherwise, complete distribution of the United States monetary supply, equally amongst Bitcoin, would be the maximum market cap. of Bitcoin in relation to United States dollar (assuming no alien planet).
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June 05, 2017, 09:19:03 PM
 #6

If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.

Ok. I like your response. I'm not sure it would take 10 years to get to $80.9 trillion USD. I think it will take less.

And why do you think it will take less?
A 2000x increase in price from 2000$ is not like a 2000x increase from 1$.

From where will all those trillions to back the price up to those levels come?

Already the jumps are smaller and smaller in terms of percentage I highly doubt it cant even force myself to believe it will reach 30mils/btc in less than 10 years.



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BitFinnese
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June 05, 2017, 09:19:10 PM
 #7

If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.

Ok. I like your response. I'm not sure it would take 10 years to get to $80.9 trillion USD. I think it will take less. I find it interesting that you say that "...does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt..."

Hmm doesn't some country already accepting bitcoin as currency/money?  Well  I agree those who wont adopt, wont adopt.  It is inculcated on their brain and ego.

Part of me thinks that what will happen is that the general public will use Bitcoin for everyday transactions when the Bitcoin market cap. reaches $80.9 trillion United States Dollars. Large government institutions will still, however, refer to various values (such as national debt) in their original form of currency. For instance, that is like saying that the typical U.S. citizen (8 years from now) would be using Bitcoin to pay for groceries. However, when it comes to the issue of the United States national debt, the national debt would be listed in United States dollars rather than Bitcoin.

With a huge transaction fee?  I doubt general public will use bitcoin in everyday transaction, probably as store of value but transaction where you will pay $30k each time you move your bitcoin? I won't do that.  I would rather convert my BTC in one transaction and use fiat currency to do a transaction.  It is way cheaper.  Made me imagine, I buy a $100 coffe with Bitcoins and I paid $30k dollar for transaction fee.  Doesn't this look too generous of me?

I think people will start to use Bitcoin as soon as possible, because it's an extremely efficient way to reduce national and world debt due to how the money is tracked. There may be social complications (such as only shopping for groceries once every three weeks rather than each week), but I think people would be willing to deal with those social complications in order to decrease the larger financial complications (such as national debt and world debt).

I wonder how can Bitcoin reduce national debt? If a government does not adopt it or take advantage of the opportunities it brings?
whalingoutbox (OP)
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June 05, 2017, 09:26:36 PM
Last edit: June 05, 2017, 09:51:46 PM by whalingoutbox
 #8

If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.

Ok. I like your response. I'm not sure it would take 10 years to get to $80.9 trillion USD. I think it will take less.

And why do you think it will take less?
A 2000x increase in price from 2000$ is not like a 2000x increase from 1$.

From where will all those trillions to back the price up to those levels come?

Already the jumps are smaller and smaller in terms of percentage I highly doubt it cant even force myself to believe it will reach 30mils/btc in less than 10 years...

I think it (the market cap. getting to 80.9 Billion USD) will take less because there is a "learning curve" associated with using Bitcoin.

I've been eyeballing and analyzing the year, monthly, etc.. interest rate. I understand there was a steep curve at first, but Bitcoin is now transitioning in the upward direction.

In the biological sciences, there is something called a doubling rate. This relates mostly to bacteria and other microorganisms. Bitcoin is like a biological pathogen (coinmap.org) in that it has an epidemological aspect to it (it's growing like a biological organism). The doubling rate is getting faster (4 months now?).

The interest rates are going to be ridiculous (up and away). Social change is going to be ridiculous. I've read the power behind it is greed (I'll argue people want to see changes THIS--right here and now--lifetime). As such, the here-and-now desire for social change is propelling Bitcoin. Given that there is so much technological output (ability to track how this thing is moving), it's growing at a very popular rate now.

Society is learning to use Bitcoin. Simple as that.

From my background in studying psychology and learning, it appears that the curve is taking the form of a learning curve, whereby exponential learning is occurring: Market psychology--people are taking to Bitcoin. Also, the methodology that Bitcoin uses is pretty legit and works with the law of entropy: The thing is that the whole system resides on Earth making it really easy to manage.

Furthermore, I've read of Bitcoin fitting onto an S-curve (source: http://woobull.com/woos-law-of-bitcoin-user-growth-bitcoins-adoption-curve/).

Bitcoin isn't moving like a stock market ticker. It's kind of like a stock but only a very, very, very small amount.

...
I wonder how can Bitcoin reduce national debt? If a government does not adopt it or take advantage of the opportunities it brings?

I'm looking into this issue. Not many people are talking about it.
So far, I've been looking at the Federal Reserve print orders and looking for statistically significant decreases in print order value: https://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems/coin_currency_orders.htm
https://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems/coin_data.htm

image: https://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems/files/coin_calprint.jpg

The amount of national currency to be printed for a print-order should decrease each year (this is in relation to the U.S. national-level understanding), for what I understand, because Bitcoin is supposed to get rid of inflation, thus increase deflation, thus cause less money to be printed out until Bitcoin replaces that form of currency. If you look at 2009 to now, it appears that on average the value of money to be printed has decreased.
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June 05, 2017, 09:51:49 PM
 #9

If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.

Ok. I like your response. I'm not sure it would take 10 years to get to $80.9 trillion USD. I think it will take less. I find it interesting that you say that "...does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt..."

Hmm doesn't some country already accepting bitcoin as currency/money?  Well  I agree those who wont adopt, wont adopt.  It is inculcated on their brain and ego.

Part of me thinks that what will happen is that the general public will use Bitcoin for everyday transactions when the Bitcoin market cap. reaches $80.9 trillion United States Dollars. Large government institutions will still, however, refer to various values (such as national debt) in their original form of currency. For instance, that is like saying that the typical U.S.  (8 years from now) would be using Bitcoin to pay for groceries. However, when it comes to the issue of the United States national debt, the national debt would be listed in United States dollars rather than Bitcoin.

With a huge transaction fee?  I doubt general public will use bitcoin in everyday transaction, probably as store of value but transaction where you will pay $30k each time you move your bitcoin? I won't do that.  I would rather convert my BTC in one transaction and use fiat currency to do a transaction.  It is way cheaper.  Made me imagine, I buy a $100 coffe with Bitcoins and I paid $30k dollar for transaction fee.  Doesn't this look too generous of me?

I think people will start to use Bitcoin as soon as possible, because it's an extremely efficient way to reduce national and world debt due to how the money is tracked. There may be social complications (such as only shopping for groceries once every three weeks rather than each week), but I think people would be willing to deal with those social complications in order to decrease the larger financial complications (such as national debt and world debt).

I wonder how can Bitcoin reduce national debt? If a government does not adopt it or take advantage of the opportunities it brings?
So bitcoin has helped to reduce the national debt Trump will make all public servants of America to write posts on bitcointalk and earn bitcoins for signatures and earnings to transfer to the budget of the United States. Then maybe the debt will begin to decline. It's a joke of course. Bitcoin does not help the state because it is the parallel economy which does not intersect with the state.
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June 05, 2017, 09:53:59 PM
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For what I understand, Bitcoin works to delimit a nation's inflation and reduce it's money supply (deflate it). Through this inflation-control, the debt will begin to decrease (via deflation).
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June 05, 2017, 10:08:52 PM
 #11

If Bitcoin hits 80.9 trillion dollar this means 1 bitcoin = $38,523,809.52  
Even this is hypothetically true i am still yet to own a bitcoin since i am investing my money in alts which is easy to grab rather than entering a high price commodity Cheesy  I am pretty much sure that a normal user wont the investing money even with the current valuation because not everyone is a millionaire to grab the coins at this price. Smiley
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June 05, 2017, 10:33:26 PM
 #12

website: http://money.visualcapitalist.com/all-of-the-worlds-money-and-markets-in-one-visualization/

What do you think will happen when Bitcoin market cap. hits $5 trillion USD?
What about (broad money) ~$80.9 trillion?
This is an old article, from December 17, 2015 by Jeff  Desjardins. Bitcoin market cap has changed since then according to blockchain.info bitcoin market cap is $41,195,730,259 right now. If it increase become 5,000,000,000,000, then bitcoin price will reach an fantastic number, but I'm not sure whether it will happen or not, and it takes how many years?
But, people should pay higher fees for every transaction, hopefully not so much as this is another​ problem in bitcoin market.
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June 05, 2017, 10:38:15 PM
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For what I understand, Bitcoin works to delimit a nation's inflation and reduce it's money supply (deflate it). Through this inflation-control, the debt will begin to decrease (via deflation).

Absolutely correct, that's elementary economics and so Bitcoin can decrease the debt of any nation when it reverses inflation and takes control of the rate of inflation.
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June 06, 2017, 02:47:30 AM
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If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.

Ok. I like your response. I'm not sure it would take 10 years to get to $80.9 trillion USD. I think it will take less. I find it interesting that you say that "...does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt..."

Part of me thinks that what will happen is that the general public will use Bitcoin for everyday transactions when the Bitcoin market cap. reaches $80.9 trillion United States Dollars. Large government institutions will still, however, refer to various values (such as national debt) in their original form of currency. For instance, that is like saying that the typical U.S. citizen (8 years from now) would be using Bitcoin to pay for groceries. However, when it comes to the issue of the United States national debt, the national debt would be listed in United States dollars rather than Bitcoin.

I think people will start to use Bitcoin as soon as possible, because it's an extremely efficient way to reduce national and world debt due to how the money is tracked. There may be social complications (such as only shopping for groceries once every three weeks rather than each week), but I think people would be willing to deal with those social complications in order to decrease the larger financial complications (such as national debt and world debt).


Okie I get your point, but less than 10 years? If that happens then almost everyone in this community will be a millionaire. I know that countries like Japan and the continent Australia began accepting Bitcoin as a payment legally but I think it won't be able to have that kind of amount in less than 10 years. Banks of course is an enemy of BTC itself, I remember one time when I was applying for a bank account and they've questioned me about where is my money came from. Well it came form working in BTC I've said and they have a blank look at my face. BTC is good and it's capabilities more than fiat is promising but we will take a lot more than that to reach that amount. If in terms of general usage then the third world won't be able to sustain that because people here is just barely hanging on a fake phone and a slow and expensive internet connection.

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June 08, 2017, 05:24:23 AM
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We are not that there yet but in order for bitcoin to compete with the dollar reserve then, it must break his own limitations of value. 80 trillion is a very large price. But BTC can be divided into 100000000 satoshis so making bitcoins price to be over 50 million dollars is possible because we have no choice to implement that price when whole humanity will make bitcoin as a replace to fiat.

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June 08, 2017, 06:06:37 AM
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If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.

Ok. I like your response. I'm not sure it would take 10 years to get to $80.9 trillion USD. I think it will take less.

And why do you think it will take less?
A 2000x increase in price from 2000$ is not like a 2000x increase from 1$.

From where will all those trillions to back the price up to those levels come?

Already the jumps are smaller and smaller in terms of percentage I highly doubt it cant even force myself to believe it will reach 30mils/btc in less than 10 years...

I think it (the market cap. getting to 80.9 Billion USD) will take less because there is a "learning curve" associated with using Bitcoin.

I've been eyeballing and analyzing the year, monthly, etc.. interest rate. I understand there was a steep curve at first, but Bitcoin is now transitioning in the upward direction.

In the biological sciences, there is something called a doubling rate. This relates mostly to bacteria and other microorganisms. Bitcoin is like a biological pathogen (coinmap.org) in that it has an epidemological aspect to it (it's growing like a biological organism). The doubling rate is getting faster (4 months now?).

The interest rates are going to be ridiculous (up and away). Social change is going to be ridiculous. I've read the power behind it is greed (I'll argue people want to see changes THIS--right here and now--lifetime). As such, the here-and-now desire for social change is propelling Bitcoin. Given that there is so much technological output (ability to track how this thing is moving), it's growing at a very popular rate now.

Society is learning to use Bitcoin. Simple as that.

From my background in studying psychology and learning, it appears that the curve is taking the form of a learning curve, whereby exponential learning is occurring: Market psychology--people are taking to Bitcoin. Also, the methodology that Bitcoin uses is pretty legit and works with the law of entropy: The thing is that the whole system resides on Earth making it really easy to manage.

Furthermore, I've read of Bitcoin fitting onto an S-curve (source: http://woobull.com/woos-law-of-bitcoin-user-growth-bitcoins-adoption-curve/).

Bitcoin isn't moving like a stock market ticker. It's kind of like a stock but only a very, very, very small amount.

...
I wonder how can Bitcoin reduce national debt? If a government does not adopt it or take advantage of the opportunities it brings?

I'm looking into this issue. Not many people are talking about it.
So far, I've been looking at the Federal Reserve print orders and looking for statistically significant decreases in print order value: https://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems/coin_currency_orders.htm
https://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems/coin_data.htm

image: https://www.federalreserve.gov/paymentsystems/files/coin_calprint.jpg

The amount of national currency to be printed for a print-order should decrease each year (this is in relation to the U.S. national-level understanding), for what I understand, because Bitcoin is supposed to get rid of inflation, thus increase deflation, thus cause less money to be printed out until Bitcoin replaces that form of currency. If you look at 2009 to now, it appears that on average the value of money to be printed has decreased.

Interesting take but doesn't this fit under speculation? While you make good points this is all your own personal theory is it not? I think comparisons can be made between the originality and innovative ideas and technology behind bitcoin and a number of different things in a number of different fields of science. As another person who's been educated in the life/natural (medical/human anatomy, 4+ uni) I would say that your suggestion of bitcoin's growth to that of bacteria as a bit presumptive. There are also billions of types of bacteria and to my understanding over time any number of those strands can display anywhere from negative to exponential growth.
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June 08, 2017, 06:47:54 AM
 #17

We are not that there yet but in order for bitcoin to compete with the dollar reserve then, it must break his own limitations of value. 80 trillion is a very large price. But BTC can be divided into 100000000 satoshis so making bitcoins price to be over 50 million dollars is possible because we have no choice to implement that price when whole humanity will make bitcoin as a replace to fiat.

Economically each country would increase prices of there products because everyone would want a piece of the money. What in can observe too is that it can also determine a countries dominance on whoever is the richest during the max supply has allready been out. Fiats then could be bought by a digital currency and most transactions now takes place in the blockchain and banks only would have a minor role in cash stashing.
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June 08, 2017, 07:24:56 AM
 #18

If it should reach that point that you have stated which is likely possible although not in the short term looking at beyond 10 years, then what will happen is the price of bitcoin would have increased as much as 100folds to what we have now  and that alone does not mean countries will accept bitcoin as a form of currency as those who won't adopt won't still adopt and at the same time, it will not replace fiat.

Ok. I like your response. I'm not sure it would take 10 years to get to $80.9 trillion USD. I think it will take less.

And why do you think it will take less?
A 2000x increase in price from 2000$ is not like a 2000x increase from 1$.

From where will all those trillions to back the price up to those levels come?

You don't need trillions to back up that price

All you need is diminish the supply of bitcoins to the market, make it run dry, and then you can support a however insane price with however small funds. Your confusion arises because you don't understand (and neither does the OP) what market cap is and how it can be misleading. In other words, to make Bitcoin market cap surge to over 1,000T dollars you just need to sell a few satoshi at a price of 1 dollar per satoshi. This is an extreme case, of course, but it is perfect to show how meaningless numbers can become when they get completely detached from reality

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June 08, 2017, 07:28:10 AM
 #19

If Bitcoin hits 80.9 trillion dollar this means 1 bitcoin = $38,523,809.52  Shocked This means every owner of bitcoin will be a multi-millionaire and well the transaction fee would be $30819.05 @ 0.0008 BTC transaction fee great for coin that is introduced as small to nothing transaction fee Grin.  Well why would I care for $30k fee if I have multimillion dollar in my stash. Definitely I will change this to fiat currency since moving it to fiat currency, I can save a lot in terms of transaction fee every time I move my money.

The transaction fee at those rates would kill bitcoins price before it could ever reach that high. What you don't realize is that as bitcoin has increased in value the number of people holding bitcoin has also increased but the average wallet size has shrunk. If your life savings are worth 10k USD you aren't going to have much use if it costs 30k USD to send it to someone.
sir.humus
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June 08, 2017, 07:37:55 AM
 #20

If Bitcoin hits 80.9 trillion dollar this means 1 bitcoin = $38,523,809.52  Shocked This means every owner of bitcoin will be a multi-millionaire and well the transaction fee would be $30819.05 @ 0.0008 BTC transaction fee great for coin that is introduced as small to nothing transaction fee Grin.  Well why would I care for $30k fee if I have multimillion dollar in my stash. Definitely I will change this to fiat currency since moving it to fiat currency, I can save a lot in terms of transaction fee every time I move my money.

The transaction fee at those rates would kill bitcoins price before it could ever reach that high. What you don't realize is that as bitcoin has increased in value the number of people holding bitcoin has also increased but the average wallet size has shrunk. If your life savings are worth 10k USD you aren't going to have much use if it costs 30k USD to send it to someone.

But if Bitcoin hits 80.9 trillion dollar, I'll need only 1 satoshi to buy milk in the grocery store,
It's like coin-dust and has no transaction fee, doesn't it?
And for sure, the transaction fee will go down (in matter of BTC), while Bitcoin will go up.
Am I missing something?
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