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Author Topic: Total Marketcap All Coins Logarithmic Regression  (Read 7299 times)
Trolololo
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July 03, 2017, 07:52:23 PM
Last edit: December 27, 2017, 06:49:14 PM by Trolololo
Merited by Marc De Mesel (4), gongo (1)
 #1



To know where do this comes from: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=831547.0

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Please, consider donating to bitcoin:19sEscR9bfH2ttXb5WbcabYbRGjq2znwPi

PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel

-----

Updated chart 27-12-2017
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Genesis1337
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July 03, 2017, 07:59:31 PM
 #2

dayum I wish i could understand this more, but awesome!! 

( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
mmortal03
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July 04, 2017, 12:19:20 PM
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Great work, thanks!
ImHash
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July 04, 2017, 05:38:44 PM
 #4

dayum I wish i could understand this more, but awesome!! 
Not only you are ignorant not understanding this but you are an especial ignorant posting and admitting about your own ignorance Cheesy
@OP, you are trying to contribute to this community but then you just ruined it by begging in form of donation Cheesy
zby
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July 04, 2017, 06:27:55 PM
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If it is a logarithm chart on a log scale - than there should exist another log scale where it would be linear.
TERA
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July 04, 2017, 07:22:00 PM
 #6

please solve log(x)n = crypto
Marc De Mesel
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July 04, 2017, 07:34:11 PM
Last edit: July 04, 2017, 08:31:22 PM by Marc De Mesel
 #7

Thank you so much Trolololo   Cool

This chart is GOLDEN!!!


Just posted a video on it with my analyses:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AaICCZVkIJk

Early Bitcoin, Byteball & Bitcoin Cash Investor. Loving Voluntarysm, Lambos & Girls Wink
Check out my: https://youtube.com/user/Marcdemesel - https://twitter.com/marcdemesel & https://instagram.com/marc_de_mesel
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July 04, 2017, 08:55:18 PM
 #8

Thank you Guys. Amazing charts. And great video.
It's hard learning, been into Cryptos for 6 months only. It is an other world and that kind of tool help to see a bigger picture of it all.

So I guess we can carry on investing into crypto Currencies.  Cool

I did not post this message, The Russians did it !
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July 04, 2017, 09:29:54 PM
 #9

Nice take @OP. I just did a quick search and found your little nugget from 2015, looks like your chart's been pretty accurate even after two years, yeah? In trajectory anyway, if not the $10k prediction for Nov 2017!

Curious if this will hold up over the next two if alt marketshare continues at current rate, or if something drastic happens to the USD.

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July 04, 2017, 10:24:00 PM
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I am not sure, what do or must I see in the chart?  


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Vishnu.Reang
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July 05, 2017, 02:38:02 AM
 #11

Worryingly, this reminds me of the dot com bubble of the late 1990s. If you check the market capitalization of some of the stocks (such as Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, and Dell) during that period, you can see a similar pattern.

botany
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July 05, 2017, 02:44:52 AM
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Worryingly, this reminds me of the dot com bubble of the late 1990s. If you check the market capitalization of some of the stocks (such as Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, and Dell) during that period, you can see a similar pattern.

A lot of tech companies went bust after the dot com bubble and I am sure a number of alts will disappear too.
Like the tech leaders, only a few cryptocurrencies will survive once this bubble bursts.
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July 05, 2017, 03:19:34 AM
 #13

when you use bitcoin price for analysis it is meaningful like that link
when you use bitcoin market cap then it is still meaningful but a little less
when you use altcoins' market cap you are decreasing the meaningfulness of your chart. and at some point it becomes useless.

market cap on its own should not even be used for analysis. and when you add coins like ether with 72+ million coins premined, ripple with billions coins locked away and all the smaller coins with billions and billions of coins that are contributing to the total market cap you are adding false data to your analysis.

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July 05, 2017, 07:16:11 PM
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Worryingly, this reminds me of the dot com bubble of the late 1990s. If you check the market capitalization of some of the stocks (such as Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, and Dell) during that period, you can see a similar pattern.

Do you have any further details on this? It would be good to see a like for like comparison.

Thanks in advance.

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July 05, 2017, 10:38:54 PM
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when you use bitcoin price for analysis it is meaningful like that link
when you use bitcoin market cap then it is still meaningful but a little less
when you use altcoins' market cap you are decreasing the meaningfulness of your chart. and at some point it becomes useless.

market cap on its own should not even be used for analysis. and when you add coins like ether with 72+ million coins premined, ripple with billions coins locked away and all the smaller coins with billions and billions of coins that are contributing to the total market cap you are adding false data to your analysis.

The chart appears to be using cap by circulating supply rather than total supply. The billions in XRP therefore don't make any difference. As for pre-mining, the ability of this practice to inflate cap is limited to withholding supply from the free market at the expense of potential gains. This is easier when the sale is more secretive and restrictive, so that a single entity controls most coins, or several entities can collude.
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July 06, 2017, 07:31:03 AM
 #16

Looks at logarithmic regression, looks at 2011 sees 1337 I smiled.
Got to be E 133t
But if the log shows something we have years where we are under and over the log line and that the regression pattern really spreads out on a deviance from the pattern so far with the trend only intersected not including the years 2010 and 2011, in 2012 at 125 mill, 2014 almost into 2015 at 7-8 billion and now in 2017 around 80-85 billion so we could be in for some serious upside given the historical log in terms of all cryptocurrencies and their market cap before the next intersect.
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July 11, 2017, 10:05:31 AM
 #17

Great graph!
Anyone know how to import total marketcap historic data into excel. I know how to import per coin, but not total marketcap data.
Who knows, and who wants to share?
btvGainer
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July 12, 2017, 01:09:05 PM
 #18

dayum I wish i could understand this more, but awesome!! 
Not only you are ignorant not understanding this but you are an especial ignorant posting and admitting about your own ignorance Cheesy
@OP, you are trying to contribute to this community but then you just ruined it by begging in form of donation Cheesy
Admitting ones ignorance is called humility not stupidity Wink
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July 12, 2017, 02:13:25 PM
 #19

Then we still have more correction to go, according to your graph?

Who will bleed more?
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August 23, 2017, 06:26:32 AM
 #20



To know where do this comes from: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=831547.0

Calculate today's trendline value HERE

Please, consider donating to bitcoin:19sEscR9bfH2ttXb5WbcabYbRGjq2znwPi

PS: Special thanks to Marc De Mesel

Any update on this chart?

The beginning of a new era.
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