[UPDATED]: The OFFICIAL SegWit2x Lock-in Thread

[Minecache]

The probability of a lock in is now very high. It seems highly unlikely that unlucky variance will prevent it from locking in during this period. And if it would, next period is even more likely with F2pool and slush pool signaling by then.

Also looks like the market has priced this in. Happy I bought at 1900

If no one (eg. Jihan) pulls the chair last minute to manipulate the market no more panic until November

We are not over the line yet so I don't think everything has been priced in yet.

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[surix]

The probability of a lock in is now very high. It seems highly unlikely that unlucky variance will prevent it from locking in during this period. And if it would, next period is even more likely with F2pool and slush pool signaling by then.

Also looks like the market has priced this in. Happy I bought at 1900

If no one (eg. Jihan) pulls the chair last minute to manipulate the market no more panic until November

Happy that I bought BTC at all 

[Minecache]

Massive buy walls returning to BTC.

[Minecache]

81%

[krishnapramod]

Finally Slush Pool has started signaling BIP 91, https://blockchain.info/block-height/476713

50 from 66 at 81%, 16 block difference, might get locked in.

[Sithara007]

80 % miners vote for Segwit but 20 % Big- blockers oppose to them. They may build their own coin BCC bitcoin cash. They will run their own pools, mining, nodes and nework.
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/segwit-reaches-80-of-the-hashrate-likely-to-soon-activate/
But everything can be changed, let's wait for the Aug 1. Hope the price of bitcoin will not dump because of this issue.

I don't think that they will build a separate chain. It will be suicidal. If they have only 20% support, then creating a separate coin can be extremely risky. And look at what happened to Ethereum Classic.

[unamis76]

Any reason for BIP91 getting these all these "fans" all of a sudden? It's been having a stratospheric rise no other BIP or proposal ever had...

[Dr Bloggood]

The probability of a lock in is now very high. It seems highly unlikely that unlucky variance will prevent it from locking in during this period. And if it would, next period is even more likely with F2pool and slush pool signaling by then.

Also looks like the market has priced this in. Happy I bought at 1900

If no one (eg. Jihan) pulls the chair last minute to manipulate the market no more panic until November

We are not over the line yet so I don't think everything has been priced in yet.

I think everything will only be priced in after August 1st, maybe even after mid-August, when Segwit actually activates.

There must be a lot more people who don't follow the details that closely and only have "August 1st" in their head. They will be a little late to the party, but they will raise the price again. And who knows what will happen between now and August 1st.

[iamTom123]

80 % miners vote for Segwit but 20 % Big- blockers oppose to them. They may build their own coin BCC bitcoin cash. They will run their own pools, mining, nodes and nework.
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/segwit-reaches-80-of-the-hashrate-likely-to-soon-activate/
But everything can be changed, let's wait for the Aug 1. Hope the price of bitcoin will not dump because of this issue.

Well, those who will not eventually join the more than 80% of miners who are signalling for Segwit are all free to build their own network...let's see which group can be left behind with the dust from the scaling debate. However, come August 1, I think there will be a unanimous decision and implementation of Segwit as those other groups don't want to be left behind in the coming surge of Bitcoin growth. That would be tantamount to shooting their own foot if they would be leaving the Bitcoin ship at this stage of its history. Ironically, it would be their own business interest that would prevail this time around...I am talking about their own interest of being in the forefront for the Bitcoin revolution.

[papajamba]

84.7%!
BTC at $2660, back to a bull market perhaps?

[krishnapramod]

Finally Slush Pool has started signaling BIP 91, https://blockchain.info/block-height/476713

50 from 66 at 81%, 16 block difference, might get locked in.

F2Pool joined the party. https://blockchain.info/block-height/476718
Now it is somewhat certain that BIP 91 would get locked in within this window.

[Sithara007]

Any reason for BIP91 getting these all these "fans" all of a sudden? It's been having a stratospheric rise no other BIP or proposal ever had...

No one thought that BIP 91 could be locked in so soon, without much effort. A week back, I thought that there was hardly any chance of the proposal getting locked in. But this is like a lottery jackpot for all the users who hold Bitcoins in their wallet. Look at the exchange rates, they are on their way to $3,000 per coin. Check this:

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/bitstamp/btcusd

[timvim]

The probability of a lock in is now very high. It seems highly unlikely that unlucky variance will prevent it from locking in during this period. And if it would, next period is even more likely with F2pool and slush pool signaling by then.

Also looks like the market has priced this in. Happy I bought at 1900

If no one (eg. Jihan) pulls the chair last minute to manipulate the market no more panic until November

We are not over the line yet so I don't think everything has been priced in yet.

Exactly, more buy pressure will likely come when the lock in is done. But what I meant was priced in was the high probability for such a lock in. There is more upside if no pool is being an asshole near the finish line.

[timvim]

The probability of a lock in is now very high. It seems highly unlikely that unlucky variance will prevent it from locking in during this period. And if it would, next period is even more likely with F2pool and slush pool signaling by then.

Also looks like the market has priced this in. Happy I bought at 1900

If no one (eg. Jihan) pulls the chair last minute to manipulate the market no more panic until November

We are not over the line yet so I don't think everything has been priced in yet.

I think everything will only be priced in after August 1st, maybe even after mid-August, when Segwit actually activates.

There must be a lot more people who don't follow the details that closely and only have "August 1st" in their head. They will be a little late to the party, but they will raise the price again. And who knows what will happen between now and August 1st.

I doubt it. Whales control the market, and whales are well informed. That being said, I think that BTC price will continue to rise through and past 1 aug as people se the recent gains and FOMO kicks in. ~3500 by 5 aug then a correction is my guesstimate

[leemar]

35 from 50 blocks now.  Gonna be locked in by tonight and the newtork with get an increase in capacity of 80% in the next couple of days.

[Minecache]

35 from 50 blocks now.  Gonna be locked in by tonight and the newtork with get an increase in capacity of 80% in the next couple of days.

Nice. Can we say for definite that it's happening tonight?

[timvim]

35 from 50 blocks now.  Gonna be locked in by tonight and the newtork with get an increase in capacity of 80% in the next couple of days.

Nice. Can we say for definite that it's happening tonight?

Well, for it to not happen now some 20-25 percent of hashing power that is signaling now would have to stop signaling last minute. (Haven't done any statistical calculations, so milage may vary).

[jonald_fyookball]

80 % miners vote for Segwit but 20 % Big- blockers oppose to them. They may build their own coin BCC bitcoin cash. They will run their own pools, mining, nodes and nework.
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/segwit-reaches-80-of-the-hashrate-likely-to-soon-activate/
But everything can be changed, let's wait for the Aug 1. Hope the price of bitcoin will not dump because of this issue.

Wow... what an "everyone wins" scenario as we'll all have coins on both chains, and everyone can use and continue to support and invest the version of Bitcoin they want.

[Qartersa]

80 % miners vote for Segwit but 20 % Big- blockers oppose to them. They may build their own coin BCC bitcoin cash. They will run their own pools, mining, nodes and nework.
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/segwit-reaches-80-of-the-hashrate-likely-to-soon-activate/
But everything can be changed, let's wait for the Aug 1. Hope the price of bitcoin will not dump because of this issue.

Wow... what an "everyone wins" scenario as we'll all have coins on both chains, and everyone can use and continue to support and invest the version of Bitcoin they want.

Really confused now. :/

In case there would be a hard fork, we can have two coins? Is that what it means? I can spend bitcoin1 and bitcoin2 independently without spending each other? Or is it if I spend bitcoin1, I lose the chance to spend bitcoin2?

[Minecache]

82.6%

36 blocks to go.