Difficulty contest Sept.18 Prize a sealed Trezor wallet. Picks are closed.

[abeandund]

+4.5=abeandund

[philipma1957]

Philopolymath = Down -0.05%

Numbers are in .1

So


@ Philopolymath

Your pick

Would be

-0.1 or

0.0

can not be -0.05

current picks below are good

-1.3 =VRobb

-1.2 =philipma1957

-1.0 =vapourminer



+4.5=abeandund



New contest picks  to end at block 516.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

[buwaytress]

Hey philip, thanks for getting this degenerate train back on track! Looks like the graph is getting over that huge blip, wonder if we'll get another surprise at the November mark?

Let me be the first to show ye of little faith how the miners are returning to the comforting fold of Bitcoin with my positive adjustment guess
Edit: eh, abeandund appears to be stronger of faith

1.7 = buwaytress

[Philopolymath]

Ooppss Corrected to..

Philopolymath = Down -0.5

[philipma1957]

Philopolymath = Down -0.05%

Numbers are in .1

So


@ Philopolymath

Your pick

Would be

-0.1 or

0.0

can not be -0.05

current picks below are good

-1.3 =VRobb

-1.2 =philipma1957

-1.0 =vapourminer

-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done



1.7 = buwaytress


4.5=abeandund



New contest picks  to end at block 516.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty:   1,088,389,700,117 (-1.36%)
Adjust time:   After 962 Blocks, About 7.2 days
Hashrate(?):   7,291,915,721 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.8 minutes
3 blocks: 32.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   8:15 (1.6 minutes ago)

[AtraxPool]

Looks like the hashrate is switching again over at Via btc. 

Code:

BTC
Pool

Pool HashRate
387.659P

Network HashRate
7.091E

Active
28768
-------------
BCC
Pool

Pool HashRate
486.967P

Network HashRate
1.404E

Active
44993

[philipma1957]

Looks like the hashrate is switching again over at Via btc. 

Code:

BTC
Pool

Pool HashRate
387.659P

Network HashRate
7.091E

Active
28768
-------------
BCC
Pool

Pool HashRate
486.967P

Network HashRate
1.404E

Active
44993

my gut feeling is  this is great or terrible  just not sure which  it will be.

[abeandund]

Hey philip, thanks for getting this degenerate train back on track! Looks like the graph is getting over that huge blip, wonder if we'll get another surprise at the November mark?

Let me be the first to show ye of little faith how the miners are returning to the comforting fold of Bitcoin with my positive adjustment guess
Edit: eh, abeandund appears to be stronger of faith

1.7 = buwaytress

I believe it will be like last jump, all the hash will come back to insure bitcoin difficulty continues upward while gaming the cash eda.  I assume hobby miners such as myself will be turning on more hash power with air conditioning season ending and non-summer rates enabled.  Some may even be considering turning off gpus and firing S7's back up. 

[philipma1957]

Hey philip, thanks for getting this degenerate train back on track! Looks like the graph is getting over that huge blip, wonder if we'll get another surprise at the November mark?

Let me be the first to show ye of little faith how the miners are returning to the comforting fold of Bitcoin with my positive adjustment guess
Edit: eh, abeandund appears to be stronger of faith

1.7 = buwaytress

I believe it will be like last jump, all the hash will come back to insure bitcoin difficulty continues upward while gaming the cash eda.  I assume hobby miners such as myself will be turning on more hash power with air conditioning season ending and non-summer rates enabled.  Some may even be considering turning off gpus and firing S7's back up. 

It is why you picked +4.5

but the s-7  is at 47%   for power and 53% for profit at hash nest.

BTC is up to 3936 

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty:   1,077,532,568,923 (-2.34%)
Adjust time:   After 895 Blocks, About 6.8 days
Hashrate(?):   7,042,418,925 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.9 minutes
3 blocks: 32.7 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   21:10 (1.5 minutes ago)

-2.34 % with  only 895 blocks left

gray line keeps dropping  so time is running out for this jump  we may do okay.

next jump will be a bigger gain or not.

[generalt]

Thanks for doing this again Phil.  The old ones were fun.
 

+1.2 = generalt

[philipma1957]

Philopolymath = Down -0.05%

Numbers are in .1

So


@ Philopolymath

Your pick

Would be

-0.1 or

0.0

can not be -0.05

current picks below are good

-1.3 =VRobb

-1.2 =philipma1957

-1.0 =vapourminer

-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done


1.2 = generalt
1.7 = buwaytress


4.5=abeandund



New contest picks  to end at block 516.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty:   1,088,389,700,117 (-1.36%)
Adjust time:   After 962 Blocks, About 7.2 days
Hashrate(?):   7,291,915,721 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.8 minutes
3 blocks: 32.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   8:15 (1.6 minutes ago)

[Psi]

+3.2 = Psi

[buyandhold]

-2.1 = buyandhold

Great to see this still going

[leowonderful]

+2 leowonderful

Difficulty will probably continue to be turbulent but I don't think it'll be negative this time. Great to see that the game is still up and running though!

[HerbPean]

-2.4 = HerbPean

Good old time!

woot

[alh]

+2 leowonderful

Difficulty will probably continue to be turbulent but I don't think it'll be negative this time. Great to see that the game is still up and running though!

While there is plenty of time for you to be proven right, right now the chart is still solidly in negative territory.

Does anybody know how long the EDA phase lasts for BCC? Is that an indefinite "feature"? It seems like it can really shift SHA-256 hashing back and forth pretty hard against BTC.

[philipma1957]

current picks below are good

-2.4 = HerbPean

-2.1 = buyandhold

-1.3 =VRobb
-1.2 =philipma1957

-1.0 =vapourminer

-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done


1.2 = generalt

1.7 = buwaytress

2.0 = leowonderful

3.2 = Psi

4.5=abeandund

New contest picks  to end at block 516.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty:   1,061,430,834,013 (-3.80%)
Adjust time:   After 781 Blocks, About 6.0 days
Hashrate(?):   7,085,293,741 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 11.0 minutes
3 blocks: 33.0 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   



gray line on chart is deep in negative territory





https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1506461403

[vapourminer]

6.9 spread so far. -2.4 to +4.5

is this one of the biggest spreads the contest has had?

[philipma1957]

6.9 spread so far. -2.4 to +4.5

is this one of the biggest spreads the contest has had?

no  we have had  spreads over 10.0

we used to get 50 to 75 pickers..  so people would pick  over a wide area

we could still switch   to positive  but time is running out for that

Bitcoin Difficulty:   1,103,400,932,964

Estimated Next Difficulty:   1,061,930,245,452 (-3.76%)

Adjust time:   After 751 Blocks, About 5.7 days
Hashrate(?):   7,076,954,695 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.9 minutes
3 blocks: 32.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   21:35 (2.2 minutes ago)

if you look below  we dropped more on that grey line

[Landy1264]

-2.6 = Landy1264