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Author Topic: 🤖 Future of Trading - AI vs Humans the Prediction Challenge WIN 0.05 BTC 🤖  (Read 5986 times)
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December 06, 2017, 08:46:08 PM
 #1



Team Peculium presents the first predictive analytics AI for crypto markets AIΞVE:

An autonomous AI with the ability to predict the future market price based on Big Data Analysis and Automatic Machine Learning.
At the moment AIΞVE is in alpha stage and version 0.1 but you can already see the accuracy of the predictions made:



To prove AIΞVE's ability Team Peculium decided to publish AIΞVE's predictions for the next 14 days.
Every day AIΞVE will make a prediction at 02:00:00 GMT+0 for the Bitcoin price 22 hours later at 23:59:59 GMT+0, which we will publish in this thread.


AIΞVE predictions:

The green bar predicts the price Low and High of the respective day.

Public Google Spreadsheet for an easy overview of participant stats: Spreadsheet

Tuesday 19.12.2017:Wednesday 20.12.2017:
BTC 19.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 19206,96 $BTC 20.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 18135,85 $
Sunday 17.12.2017:Monday 18.12.2017:
BTC 17.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 20116,44 $BTC 18.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 18647.25 $
Link to predictionLink to prediction
Friday 15.12.2017:Saturday 16.12.2017:
BTC 15.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16674,61 $BTC 16.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16870,50 $
Link to predictionLink to prediction
Wednesday  13.12.2017:Thursday 14.12.2017:
BTC 13.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 17283,72 $BTC 14.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 16185,75 $
Link to predictionLink to prediction
Monday 10.12.2017:Tuesday 11.12.2017:
BTC 11.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 15706,09 $BTC 12.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 17180,96  $
Link to predictionLink to prediction
Saturday 09.12.2017:Sunday 10.12.2017:
BTC 09.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 15829,05 $BTC 10.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 15169,49 $
Link to predictionLink to prediction
Thursday 07.12.2017:Friday 08.12.2017:
BTC 07.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 14620,31 $BTC 08.12.2017 23:59:59 Price: 18242,33 $
Link to predictionLink to prediction


Do you think you can beat AIΞVE? Post your prediction and win one these awesome prizes:

Place 1: 0.03 BTC+ 60 days AIΞVE free advisement
Place 2: 0.01 BTC + 30 days AIΞVE free advisement
Place 3: 0.01 BTC




Here is the Altcoin prediction thread with a prize of 250.000 PCL tokens.

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December 06, 2017, 09:57:51 PM
 #2



Hello Bitcoin Community,

the long-standing members might remember the prediction thread created in 2014 which was based on an artificial neural network and was created as a hobby project.

Fast forwarding nearly four years the world of bitcoin, blockchain, data science and artificial intelligence nearly completely changed.

Cloud services and cloud computing are common and cost efficient, advances in hardware and software development made machine learning and especially deep learning becoming affordable and it is starting to be widely used among businesses, the revolution of the immutable blockchain is clearly beginning to unfold while Bitcoin is at an all time high of 13.400 $. Wink

Therefore our group of leading scientist and bitcoin enthusiast decided to found project Peculium - combining the power of AI with the revolution of the blockchain to create AIΞVE.

The ultimate goal of our project is to stabilize the volatility of the market through new saving mechanisms.
AIΞVE should not be solely though of as a classical trading tool (Wall Street like trading algorithms) but as a solution for the people to secure and bring confidence into the crypto and bitcoin ecosystem.

Even though our AI which is based on automatic machine learning is quite young - version 0.1, includes only a part of her planned abilities regarding predictive analytics and that we still need funding - we believe she can already manage to forecast the market price of Bitcoin and some other cryptocurrencies within an acceptable error margin of 3.4% especially under the fact that she is autonomously learning from her mistakes.



For this reason we would like to publish the first prediction results of our creation AIΞVE and at the same time propose the Bitcoin Community a little challenge!
Are you dear members of the bitcoin community capable of beating AIΞVE in a ~24-hour prediction challenge over 14 days?
We are confident in our work and thus will put forward a Bitcoin prize in the case someone is able to beat AIΞVESmiley

We will try to keep the rules as easy as possible:




RULES

The challenge will run 14 days!
Start: 07.12.2017
End: 21.12.2017

The prediction result will be the closing price of Bitcoin on www.coinmarketcap.com in the “historical data” tab.
Link: BTC

Every day at 02:00 GMT+0 AIΞVE will make a price prediction of the BTC price for the next day at 00:00 GMT+0.

Human participants have time until 02:00 (+00:30 h extra time as a prediction advantage) GMT+0 to post their price predictions for the next day at 00:00 GMT+0 in this thread.
If you edit your prediction post it will become invalid and will not be counted!

Example: If you wish to make a prediction for the price on friday 08.12.2017 23:59:59 GMT+0 then you would need to post you prediction until the latest on friday 08.12.2017 at 02:30 GMT+0.

The winner of the challenge is the participant - human or AI - who has the least prediction error averaged from her/his 10 best predictions.
If you miss a prediction date(s) then your missing prediction(s) will be calculated as the average error of all human predictions for that day.

Prize:

Place 1: 0.03 BTC + 60 days AIΞVE free advisement
Place 2: 0.01 BTC + 30 days AIΞVE free advisement
Place 3: 0.01 BTC



We are hoping for a big community participation and wish everyone good luck in predicting the future price of our beloved Bitcoins. Wink

Our AI team is lead by one of the UK’s most renowned data scientist expert Abed Ajraou who will also try to answer questions about project Peculium and talk about machine learning here in his free time!

If this caught you interest and you wish to know more about our project or talk directly with us, feel free to visit our website https://peculium.io/ and/or join our Telegram.

Two articles we released regarding our project Peculium and AI that might be of your interest:

https://steemit.com/blockchain/@peculium/peculium-an-ico-but-above-all-a-project

https://medium.com/@Peculium/aieve-a-lesson-to-predict-the-future-feccea9ec506



Criptix
Team Peculium



Ps: Consider this thread the begining of a new era! Resistance is futile!


Here is the Altcoin prediction thread with a prize of 250.000 PCL tokens.

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December 07, 2017, 03:04:24 AM
 #3

I added AIEVE's first prediction and she forecasts 14620 $ per BTC on the 12.08.2017 at 00:00 GMT!   Cool


Personally im pretty happy about it Smiley

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December 07, 2017, 06:50:49 AM
 #4

Dear OP, We will get chance to predict the price daily and may earn a reward if we can preditct it correctly ?? If it is, we will be more than happy. Will do our own research and will try to win a reward.
By the way For December 07, 2017, I think BTC price will be upto $15300. There will be a minor correction.

How do you announce the winner ?

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December 07, 2017, 07:00:41 AM
 #5

Reserved for AIEVE BTC price predictions.

AIEVE's first prediction:

Thursday 12.07.2017:




AIEVE's first prediction: is ??

I think BTC price will colse at 14230 $ .

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December 07, 2017, 07:12:45 AM
 #6


AIEVE's first prediction: is ??


14620.31$ on the top of the graph Smiley

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December 07, 2017, 07:14:14 AM
 #7

I'm less confident about going up. $ 13100 at 00:00

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December 07, 2017, 09:11:15 AM
 #8

Sorry but I don't get the rule concerning the time we have to make prediction for the next day.
Do we have still time to make prediction against the first AIEVE one or is it already too late now?

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December 07, 2017, 09:28:33 AM
 #9

Sorry but I don't get the rule concerning the time we have to make prediction for the next day.
Do we have still time to make prediction against the first AIEVE one or is it already too late now?

I think now you have until 8 December 02:00 GMT to make a prediction for the closing price of 8 December 23:59 GMT.
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December 07, 2017, 10:32:31 AM
 #10

Sorry but I don't get the rule concerning the time we have to make prediction for the next day.
Do we have still time to make prediction against the first AIEVE one or is it already too late now?

I think now you have until 8 December 02:00 GMT to make a prediction for the closing price of 8 December 23:59 GMT.

Thanks but OP said:

I added AIEVE's first prediction and she forecasts 14620 $ per BTC on the 12.08.2017 at 00:00 GMT!   Cool

So I'm a bit confused.

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December 07, 2017, 10:46:05 AM
 #11

You had until at 02:30 GMT today, which is 8 hours and 15 minutes ago, to enter your prediction for the price of Bitcoin at the end of today, which is one minute after 7 December 23:59 GMT which is 8 December 00:00 GMT.

Now you can submit until 8 December 02:30 GMT the prediction for the price of Bitcoin at the end of 8 December 23:59 GMT, which is 9 December 00:00 GMT.
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December 07, 2017, 10:51:33 AM
 #12

Ok that's clearer now, thanks @Rigorous!

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December 07, 2017, 03:58:05 PM
 #13

Dear OP, We will get chance to predict the price daily and may earn a reward if we can preditct it correctly ?? If it is, we will be more than happy. Will do our own research and will try to win a reward.
By the way For December 07, 2017, I think BTC price will be upto $15300. There will be a minor correction.

How do you announce the winner ?

There are daily predictions, but the winners will be choosen from the people with the 10 best predictions (least error averaged over the 10 best predictions)!
So joining earlier gives you more chances to have a good prediction Wink

I think BTC will go down for sure in the midterm - people will want to take profit.

We will announce the winner in this thread after the challenge is done Smiley



@rigoruous

Thanks for explaining! Wink



@jeremyB

Thanks for asking, i added an example to the rules and will try to rephrase so it is easier to understand Smiley

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December 07, 2017, 08:37:10 PM
 #14

Dear OP, We will get chance to predict the price daily and may earn a reward if we can preditct it correctly ?? If it is, we will be more than happy. Will do our own research and will try to win a reward.
By the way For December 07, 2017, I think BTC price will be upto $15300. There will be a minor correction.

How do you announce the winner ?

There are daily predictions, but the winners will be choosen from the people with the 10 best predictions (least error averaged over the 10 best predictions)!
So joining earlier gives you more chances to have a good prediction Wink

I think BTC will go down for sure in the midterm - people will want to take profit.

We will announce the winner in this thread after the challenge is done Smiley



@rigoruous

Thanks for explaining! Wink



@jeremyB

Thanks for asking, i added an example to the rules and will try to rephrase so it is easier to understand Smiley

interesting contest, are we supposed to post daily predictions here, or is there a spreadsheet or via direct message ?..

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December 07, 2017, 09:06:05 PM
 #15

Dear OP, We will get chance to predict the price daily and may earn a reward if we can preditct it correctly ?? If it is, we will be more than happy. Will do our own research and will try to win a reward.
By the way For December 07, 2017, I think BTC price will be upto $15300. There will be a minor correction.

How do you announce the winner ?

There are daily predictions, but the winners will be choosen from the people with the 10 best predictions (least error averaged over the 10 best predictions)!
So joining earlier gives you more chances to have a good prediction Wink

I think BTC will go down for sure in the midterm - people will want to take profit.

We will announce the winner in this thread after the challenge is done Smiley



@rigoruous

Thanks for explaining! Wink



@jeremyB

Thanks for asking, i added an example to the rules and will try to rephrase so it is easier to understand Smiley

interesting contest, are we supposed to post daily predictions here, or is there a spreadsheet or via direct message ?..

Please post your predictions here and do not edit the prediction post - else it wont be counted!

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December 07, 2017, 09:09:28 PM
 #16

ok fair enough. For end of day Dec 08, 2017, I predict 14,800 USD for BTC.

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December 07, 2017, 10:01:09 PM
 #17

My BTC price prediction for Friday 08 Dec. 2017 end of day is 16128.32$

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allahabadi
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December 07, 2017, 10:37:13 PM
 #18

My price prediction 17300$ .

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December 07, 2017, 10:51:44 PM
 #19

The ultimate goal of our project is to stabilize the volatility of the market through new saving mechanisms.
Could you elaborate on this?
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December 07, 2017, 10:54:29 PM
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The ultimate goal of our project is to stabilize the volatility of the market through new saving mechanisms.
AIEVE should not be solely though of as a classical trading tool (Wall Street like trading algorithms) but as a solution for the people to secure and bring confidence into the crypto and bitcoin ecosystem.
If everybody would be using an advanced AI to very exactly predict the market, what would the point of trading be? IMHO, obiously you would need LOW adoption for your tool to make it valuable.

Everybody knowing exactly what the market looks like tomorrow makes for no market at all: the definition of a market is to exchange something of different value for the participants. Not something of equal value.

I mean, the ideea is very cool, but you should keep it secret if you actually plan to use the bot/ai for something.
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