Calling top at $16500 (New speculation: Guess the price 19 Feb 2021!)

[nutildah]

You are on the worst kind of hopium.

Only the best for sgbett.



I'm told it tastes like Zima, sun tan lotion, and the sweet victory of a 7 million tps throughput.

[JayJuanGee]

I cut in half what remaining exposure I had (XBT Provider ETF) at around $35k. As it's been delisted due to UK FCA regs I can't buy back, so I'm closer to all in BSV than ever before

You must be quite the gambler, sgbett.

I would have a difficult time sleeping having any significant value in BSV... anything beyond a few percentages of my total investment portfolio.. not that I even hold any BSV at all, but still I could see how some peeps might want to gamble with a portion of their investments.... but gambling should NOT be comprised of very large proportions, beyond a few percentage points at most.

[Wind_FURY]

I cut in half what remaining exposure I had (XBT Provider ETF) at around $35k. As it's been delisted due to UK FCA regs I can't buy back, so I'm closer to all in BSV than ever before

You must be quite the gambler, sgbett.

I would have a difficult time sleeping having any significant value in BSV... anything beyond a few percentages of my total investment portfolio.. not that I even hold any BSV at all, but still I could see how some peeps might want to gamble with a portion of their investments.... but gambling should NOT be comprised of very large proportions, beyond a few percentage points at most.

But you are a BSV HODLer. Your old UTXOs before 2017 can be split, and you can actually “spawn” Bitcoin Cash and from it, can you spawn the fork of the fork, Bitcoin Cash SV?

[Febo]

I cut in half what remaining exposure I had (XBT Provider ETF) at around $35k. As it's been delisted due to UK FCA regs I can't buy back, so I'm closer to all in BSV than ever before

You must be quite the gambler, sgbett.

I would have a difficult time sleeping having any significant value in BSV... anything beyond a few percentages of my total investment portfolio.. not that I even hold any BSV at all, but still I could see how some peeps might want to gamble with a portion of their investments.... but gambling should NOT be comprised of very large proportions, beyond a few percentage points at most.

Until the moment Bitcoin holders will go and get BSV and dump it he is totally safe. Most are so rich that they dont even care about BSV. So price will never really go down. Blockchains are very resilient and they will exist decades after almost no one will use them. So he will be fine. BSV is fairly launched coin so will have no regulatory pressure from SEC as a lot coins that are today in top100 on cmc. Faketoshi will promote it until his death, so will get to media or his circus acts. 

[JayJuanGee]

I cut in half what remaining exposure I had (XBT Provider ETF) at around $35k. As it's been delisted due to UK FCA regs I can't buy back, so I'm closer to all in BSV than ever before

You must be quite the gambler, sgbett.

I would have a difficult time sleeping having any significant value in BSV... anything beyond a few percentages of my total investment portfolio.. not that I even hold any BSV at all, but still I could see how some peeps might want to gamble with a portion of their investments.... but gambling should NOT be comprised of very large proportions, beyond a few percentage points at most.

But you are a BSV HODLer. Your old UTXOs before 2017 can be split, and you can actually “spawn” Bitcoin Cash and from it, can you spawn the fork of the fork, Bitcoin Cash SV?

For all intents and purposes, I split off and sold all of my Bcash ABC .. and I did that long before the November 2018 Bcash SV split.

The only reason that I am hedging in any kind of way, is that I have a claim to some coins on WEX that would include Bcash and Bcash SV... but there is less that a .01% recovery of those coins.. and I am forced into holding anyhow... so my punchline continues to be that I do not hold Bcash regular or bcash sv through such holdings of bcash.. they are both crap even though sgbett seems to be leaning his faith towards the latter piece of crap - which seems to be the worser of the two even though there seems to be little to no redeeming value in any piece of those two shit coins.

I cut in half what remaining exposure I had (XBT Provider ETF) at around $35k. As it's been delisted due to UK FCA regs I can't buy back, so I'm closer to all in BSV than ever before

You must be quite the gambler, sgbett.

I would have a difficult time sleeping having any significant value in BSV... anything beyond a few percentages of my total investment portfolio.. not that I even hold any BSV at all, but still I could see how some peeps might want to gamble with a portion of their investments.... but gambling should NOT be comprised of very large proportions, beyond a few percentage points at most.

Until the moment Bitcoin holders will go and get BSV and dump it he is totally safe. Most are so rich that they dont even care about BSV. So price will never really go down. Blockchains are very resilient and they will exist decades after almost no one will use them. So he will be fine. BSV is fairly launched coin so will have no regulatory pressure from SEC as a lot coins that are today in top100 on cmc. Faketoshi will promote it until his death, so will get to media or his circus acts. 

I don't have that much faith in such piece of crap.. but hey people can do what they like in terms of holding shitcoins and believing that they have some kind of meaningful floor.

[sgbett]

$2483	sgbett
$24830	philipma1957
$33553	JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

[fr4nkthetank]

im guessing drop to 40% of high, so lets say drop to
26k
Then slow rise this spring/summer, acceleration in autumn and moon in november/december as usual to
86.5k
Then multi-year crash and rinse repeat until 6 months after next halving

[JayJuanGee]

im guessing drop to 40% of high, so lets say drop to
26k
Then slow rise this spring/summer, acceleration in autumn and moon in november/december as usual to
86.5k
Then multi-year crash and rinse repeat until 6 months after next halving

We are supposed to be attempting to narrowing in upon what the BTC price is going to be on February 19, 2021... and not necessarily talking about a whole range of dates... I tried to guess the weighted price for that particular day... and you might be allowed an extension of time to provide your actual guess for February 19, 2021.. since you at least attempted to broach the price prediction topic.

[philipma1957]

$2483	sgbett
$24830	philipma1957
$33553	JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell.

[JayJuanGee]

$2483	sgbett
$24830	philipma1957
$33553	JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell.

Fuck doge

and fuck BSV, too.

 

What other shitcoins you want to talk about?  ETH?

Fuck ETH.

 

[philipma1957]

$2483	sgbett
$24830	philipma1957
$33553	JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell.

Fuck doge

and fuck BSV, too.

 

What other shitcoins you want to talk about?  ETH?

Fuck ETH.

 

Well two of three is pretty good.

BSV and ETH are not much.

Doge has value for mining ⛏.

 I scored 0.4 btc merge mining it with Ltc
I still have 440,000 doge and I see 10 cents before the years end.

I will convert 1/2 to btc when it happens.
1/2 to cash 💰.

[Wind_FURY]

$2483	sgbett
$24830	philipma1957
$33553	JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell.

Fuck doge

and fuck BSV, too.

 

What other shitcoins you want to talk about?  ETH?

Fuck ETH.

 

Fuck Doge? No! It’s one of the friendlier coins, and it doesn’t claim to be better than Bitcoin. I wish to see Doge surge to its own ATH and reach either No. 2 or 3 in total market value.

[philipma1957]

$2483	sgbett
$24830	philipma1957
$33553	JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell.

Fuck doge

and fuck BSV, too.

 

What other shitcoins you want to talk about?  ETH?

Fuck ETH.

 

Fuck Doge? No! It’s one of the friendlier coins, and it doesn’t claim to be better than Bitcoin. I wish to see Doge surge to its own ATH and reach either No. 2 or 3 in total market value.

At the rate doge is going It will end up earning more for me than btc will.

[fr4nkthetank]

well i said 26k,
so 26000 dogerinos

[Wind_FURY]

$2483	sgbett
$24830	philipma1957
$33553	JayJuanGee

Can’t believe nobody else in a thread on *speculation* subforum dared to predict price when all you had to do was beat my 2483 guess to be able to give me some crap.

This place has changed.

3 horse race then! I look favourite still *ducks*

I forgot about this.  Is feb 19th the day we decide? What time?

Bitstamp closing price?

As posted on this thread?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=138109.1580


pretty simple  way to get a  price.

While we are at it.

Doge to hit 10 cents by Feb 28 2021.  I  Still have more to sell.

Fuck doge

and fuck BSV, too.

 

What other shitcoins you want to talk about?  ETH?

Fuck ETH.

 

Fuck Doge? No! It’s one of the friendlier coins, and it doesn’t claim to be better than Bitcoin. I wish to see Doge surge to its own ATH and reach either No. 2 or 3 in total market value.

At the rate doge is going It will end up earning more for me than btc will.

What kind of hardware do we need to mine Dogecoin? The probability of surging to $0.10 is becoming more true every minute. Plus if there was a shitcoin that could dethrone Bitcoin is the “king” in market value, I would’t be sad if it is Dogecoin.

Elon Musk.

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1357244295091208193

No highs, no lows, only Doge

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1357241340313141249

Dogecoin is the people’s crypto

No need to be a gigachad to own

[sgbett]

/popcorn

[Wind_FURY]

/popcorn

Having seen your “predictions”, and they have been wrong, I believe you’re getting the popcorn as a celebration for another surge going to $50,000 in two weeks?

Because Stock-to-flow says so.



I never always believed in the model, but I was also wrong when I debated that it was “priced in” last year, approaching the halving.

[philipma1957]

/popcorn

Having seen your “predictions”, and they have been wrong, I believe you’re getting the popcorn as a celebration for another surge going to $50,000 in two weeks?

Because Stock-to-flow says so.



I never always believed in the model, but I was also wrong when I debated that it was “priced in” last year, approaching the halving.

Ath sunday night

[STT]

Stock to flow is very long term afaik, so six figures in the next five years any time at all would be reasonable and bullish beyond the belief of 99% of populations anyhow.  I think people are jumping the gun to say this year but increasingly we're exceeding normal expectations.

I missed deadline but I'll say 20k just to be most bearish, I said 50 day average previously but that's too high now so prior high as a bottom price is some kind of reasoning though in this time frame highly unlikely if it occurs at all.   The extension of that might be to call summer 2019 as a future bottom price area, again hard to justify and certainly not showing on the cards at present but just relying on greater volatility all things are possible on a pin candle.
   Anyhow you have been far too precise, this is not a criticism of your crypto judgement but the dollar pricing is not stable because dollar is not stable so does it make sense as if its rock solid to make finely drawn extended extrapolated predictions upon its value.      Its a wobbly table carrying far too much weight with decades of wood worm to its structure in play, who knows what it does next which makes all predictions equally wobbly.   The best ideas, conclusions are drawn and explainable with crayons   ie. we dont live in this precise world.    Thread should have been closed March, if the analogue was Mt. Gox it wasnt the end.

I still have 440,000 doge

Did you get that much from merge mining, if theres alot of people similar I doubt theres the demand to pick that up every day so you want to be early not late.   It was down to 1 sat at one point if I remember right and its produced alot more since then.   I think there was a doge coin tip bot on reddit but it fell apart because it had operated on fractional reserve and people withdrew funds when price rose.    Thats a meme phenomena see GME, if they can offer genuine utility and efficiency then fair enough.  Of the alt coins I thought POS would be the most likely contender and ETH is apparently going that way but I dont know its progress so far.    
  I dont have any DOGE now because I didn't see any USP to it, if its just a symptom of easy dollar then its a short term boom play.   It looks to be top of a fairly regular range, still impressive.   ETH I thought had broken a downtrend of more then one year which probably makes it a better bet.

all in

Bad idea like leverage is a bad idea.   All in isnt required when such grand moves are possible and exact predictions are a mistake which means its a marathon not a sprint so lasting long enough to see your end scenario play out is fairly important.    In 2008 people thought the fall out from extraordinary moves would be a couple years or so, clearly its been a while so obviously its a long game whatever horse/doge you riding this out with.

[Wind_FURY]

/popcorn

Having seen your “predictions”, and they have been wrong, I believe you’re getting the popcorn as a celebration for another surge going to $50,000 in two weeks?

Because Stock-to-flow says so.



I never always believed in the model, but I was also wrong when I debated that it was “priced in” last year, approaching the halving.

Ath sunday night

You were wrong only by one day. How did you know?

Back to your Dogecoin mining, you said that Dogecoin could make you earn more than Bitcoin, does it earn you more than Litecoin? They’re merge-mined, would Dogecoin become the “first coin” for that mining algorithm? Would ASIC companies/builders start to build ASICs with Dogecoin first in their plans, not Litecoin?