Predictious.com | The Premier Bitcoin Prediction Market | Trade & Win Bitcoins!

[Predictious]

New feature on Predictious: You can now set your account timezone in your Predictious settings.

New Markets:

• Men's US Open 2013 winner
• Gold Price in September 2013
• Silver Price in September 2013
• Gold Price at 2013 end

[mjangler]

Can we have Denver to beat Baltimore by 8 or more points?   That would be Denver (-7.5).

[Predictious]

New feature on Predictious: Possibility to change the odd format (Decimal, Share Price, MoneyLine, and soon Fractional)

New Markets:

• Price of Bitcoin on October 15th 2013 10pm UTC
• Mercury Prize 2013 Winner
• Captain Phillips Weekend Gross
• The Wolf of Wall Street Weekend Gross
• The Hunger Games: Catching Fire Weekend Gross
• Thor: The Dark World Weekend Gross
• Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 Weekend Gross
• Carrie Weekend Gross
• Gravity Weekend Gross
• Bitcoin Maximum Sept 30th 2013
• Bitcoin network difficulty Sept 30

[Hfleer]

New feature on Predictious: Possibility to change the odd format (Decimal, Share Price, MoneyLine, and soon Fractional)

New Markets:

• Price of Bitcoin on October 15th 2013 10pm UTC
• Mercury Prize 2013 Winner
• Captain Phillips Weekend Gross
• The Wolf of Wall Street Weekend Gross
• The Hunger Games: Catching Fire Weekend Gross
• Thor: The Dark World Weekend Gross
• Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 Weekend Gross
• Carrie Weekend Gross
• Gravity Weekend Gross
• Bitcoin Maximum Sept 30th 2013
• Bitcoin network difficulty Sept 30

Nice I will have to take a look at these soon.  With some of the events I noticed trading ends long before the event, sometimes 1 month.  e.g. top grossing movie q3 2013, but this locks users money in when they should be able to trade out.    Since this isn't parimutuel betting we don't really need to do that.

[Predictious]

With some of the events I noticed trading ends long before the event, sometimes 1 month.  e.g. top grossing movie q3 2013, but this locks users money in when they should be able to trade out.    Since this isn't parimutuel betting we don't really need to do that.

Good feedback, we'll do this for future events!

[Predictious]

New Markets:

• 2013 Starcraft II WCS Grand Finals winner
• NHL 2013
• Stanley Cup 2013-14

[weinerk]

where can I see market depth (other than API)?

[weinerk]

i found it under contract details.

[weinerk]

is there any info on volume? most traded recently? most total market depth? etc
thanks

[Predictious]

is there any info on volume? most traded recently? most total market depth? etc

Not yet, but we'll consider adding this in the future.

New Market:

• MLB World Series 2013

[weinerk]

Suggested market:
fed gov shutdown
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/09/24/us/politics/what-congress-must-do-to-avoid-a-shutdown.html

[weinerk]

Suggested market:
United States would be forced to default on its debt in October
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_debt-ceiling_crisis_of_2013

[Predictious]

Thanks for the suggestions, we've now added this contract:

• US debt ceiling to be raised in October 2013

[monbux]

I'm just looking at this site now, it's great!  will be depositing a few mBTC to try it out

[Predictious]

I'm just looking at this site now, it's great!  will be depositing a few mBTC to try it out Smiley

Thanks!

New Markets:

• Bitcoin Maximum October 2013
• Bitcoin Minimum October 2013
• Gold Maximum October 2013
• Silver Maximum October 2013
• Top Grossing Movie Q4 2013

[Predictious]

We've now added all NFL Games on Predictious.

[elgreco]

This looks awesome

Why do the NFL game contracts end when the game starts? Why not allow trading all the way through until the game ends?

[Predictious]

Why do the NFL game contracts end when the game starts? Why not allow trading all the way through until the game ends?

We received this feedback and changed the time of most games so that the contracts close 2h after the beginning of the game.

New contracts added today:

• New Jersey gubernatorial election
• Virginia gubernatorial election

[elgreco]

Thanks! But that's a little weird, they should close after the game ends. You are going to have to declare a winner yourself anyway, I don't see anything wrong with the contract being live until then.

[elgreco]

You have a fantastic idea here, I just don't think you are executing the sports side of it the right way. Why do you have two contracts for each side of the same game? You are effectively cutting the liquidity pool in half for no good reason that I can think of.

Do you remember tradesports? They had the right idea. You need two contracts per game. One with a straight up winner, and one with a spread. For example:

GiantsVsBears.Bears 
GiantsVsBears.Bears -9.5

That's it. If people want the Bears, they go long... If they want the Giants, they go short. It's simple and it basically doubles the market depth per contract compared to the system you are using now.

I would love to see your site take off and become the next betfair, but tradesports style.