I figured it's time to review how we all did lol
Estimates anyone?
60 days would've been 12-Oct. The last jump put us at 267,731,249 on 16-Oct, previous to that 189,281,249 on 6-Oct, a difference of 78,450,000 (source:
http://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty). For simplicity's sake the linear daily difference is 7,845,000.
6 days @ 7,845,000 = 47,070,000. Add that to 6-Oct difficulty and we arrive at the 60 day rough difficulty projection of....
236,351,249With that, here's the top 3 predictions:
vesperwillow - 241M (98% accuracey)
rolling - 222,716,830 (96.2% accuracy)
goxed - 200M. (84% accuracey)
I think these 3 did really well.
It's almost as if I knew something lol.
Sources:
If some of the bigger rigs come online as projected, I believe it's likely you'll see number similar to this for a worse case scenario:
78 End of August
212 End of September
613 Last week of October
Less than worse case scenario:
78 End of August
162 End of September
241 Last week of October
Network speed has risen dramatically over the past few months, but we're just beginning to enter the "actual" rise. Growth will be exponential for a short time period, I'd wager you'll see the Network speed line shooting "almost straight up" for a short while sometime in the near future.
Some math whizz's have said they expect network speed to double or quadruple in the next 120 days. Not sure if I can bite into that, but it's certainly plausible.
My estimate is somewhere around 200M. My observation is around ~2% daily growth.
222,716,830 on October 13th.