TooDumbForBitcoin
Legendary
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Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
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November 12, 2013, 02:04:39 AM
Last edit: November 12, 2013, 10:14:13 AM by TooDumbForBitcoin |
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plenty of diff reducing blocks for the first couple days. rising since then to +33%. about 7 or 8 days to go. So, the subconcious says .......
21% rise next diff, resulting in 618,224,682
Except just now when I checked the present diff for the math, it was showing 11+ minute blocks, so I'm changing the next difficulty to .....
597,490,873
Two guesses for the price of one.
EDIT: Got fooled by a page cache. I"m disavowing my second guess.
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"The nature of Bitcoin is such that once version 0.1 was released, the
core design was set in stone for the rest of its lifetime." -- Satoshi
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rampalija
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November 12, 2013, 08:04:17 AM |
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800 mil i am expecting
i am expecting right around this number too. it is getting very, very difficult for newcomers of bitcoin to get into the mining action. i think mining is where you learn the majority of what you need tdo know about btc and if people aren't offered this... i worry about the future of btc. i dont worry about future BTC, only thing what ASIC developer must do is to lower the prices od their ASICS or invent some new ASICS with more GHs at the same price |
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Nemo1024
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Activity: 1680
Merit: 1014
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November 17, 2013, 06:51:45 PM |
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Seems like HashFast is nowhere near delivery (and are not even communicating), shile KnC finished their first batch and sill sait out a couple of weeks before sending out the next one. This round may be quiet, so let's say an optimistic 590M.  My estimate was not that far off and better than OP's: 609.482.679 Next, well, with KnC's upgrade modules in the wild, it'll be steeper this round. Maybe 750M? |
“Dark times lie ahead of us and there will be a time when we must choose between what is easy and what is right.”
“We are only as strong as we are united, as weak as we are divided.”
“It is important to fight and fight again, and keep fighting, for only then can evil be kept at bay, though never quite eradicated.”
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TooDumbForBitcoin
Legendary
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Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
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November 17, 2013, 06:59:05 PM |
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My estimate was not that far off and better than OP's: 609.482.679 Smiley Props to aggrophobia: 612M guess on 11/5. |
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rampalija
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November 17, 2013, 07:01:46 PM |
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Seems like HashFast is nowhere near delivery (and are not even communicating), shile KnC finished their first batch and sill sait out a couple of weeks before sending out the next one. This round may be quiet, so let's say an optimistic 590M. My estimate was not that far off and better than OP's: 609.482.679 Next, well, with KnC's upgrade modules in the wild, it'll be steeper this round. Maybe 750M? MAybe but dont be so optimistic |
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danhu
Newbie
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Activity: 56
Merit: 0
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November 18, 2013, 12:55:44 AM |
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mvidetto
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November 18, 2013, 01:49:13 AM |
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I'm thinkin 715m or about 17% increase.
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Aggrophobia
Legendary
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Activity: 1064
Merit: 1000
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November 18, 2013, 05:21:27 AM |
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766M
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Nagle
Legendary
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Activity: 1204
Merit: 1000
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November 18, 2013, 06:44:39 AM |
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it is getting very, very difficult for newcomers of bitcoin to get into the mining action.
i think mining is where you learn the majority of what you need tdo know about btc and if people aren't offered this... i worry about the future of btc.
Remember, mining is more than half over. More than half of the potential Bitcoins have already been mined. It's all uphill from here. Mining is not how you get into Bitcoin unless you have access to a wafer fab. |
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Blazey
Newbie
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Activity: 28
Merit: 0
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November 19, 2013, 02:02:46 PM |
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it is getting very, very difficult for newcomers of bitcoin to get into the mining action.
i think mining is where you learn the majority of what you need tdo know about btc and if people aren't offered this... i worry about the future of btc.
Remember, mining is more than half over. More than half of the potential Bitcoins have already been mined. It's all uphill from here. Mining is not how you get into Bitcoin unless you have access to a wafer fab. for someone who has time and not big expectations, if it stays by 1,000,000,000 difficulty someone with 300ghs can still earn 0.15 BTC per day and if the price goes up, that's a little wealth after some time. |
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Emmie
Newbie
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Activity: 47
Merit: 0
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November 22, 2013, 01:55:58 AM |
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I feel like making a guess. As with many others it's based on no research, but simply a feeling.
670M
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xzempt
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November 22, 2013, 02:03:18 AM |
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741M
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TooDumbForBitcoin
Legendary
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Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
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November 22, 2013, 02:08:31 AM |
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Gamma ray burst has brought me next difficulty: 14.4% jump = 697,476,961.
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rampalija
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November 27, 2013, 08:08:46 AM |
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next difficulty jump will be on Saturday?!
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rograz
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November 28, 2013, 10:19:57 AM |
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next one after this next jump will surely be 900+ if KNC manages to deliver their whole november batch in time to get set up during the next diff, will also be the first diff when BFL are no longer mass shipping their backlogs I guess, let's see how much (if any) effect that has on the jumps  |
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ScaryHash
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November 29, 2013, 07:35:36 PM |
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707,408,283.05 is the new difficulty. Who gets a milliSatoshi as a prize? Come to think of it, a milliSatoshi now is worth a chunk of change...  |
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TooDumbForBitcoin
Legendary
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Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
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November 29, 2013, 07:51:35 PM |
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Thomas H Rev89 wins with 699M
a milliSatoshi is 10/trillionths of a BTC, not enough to buy Josh Zerlan's reputation.
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thomashrev89
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November 30, 2013, 02:01:20 AM |
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next gonna be 777
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