Strongkored
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Merit: 1114
DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook
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October 06, 2022, 01:57:39 AM |
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Exactly, I have been with Freebitco.in since this Lottery was launched and I have never won the lottery... not even once. I have way more than 2000 to 5000 tickets, so if that statement was correct.... I would have won it several times before. I have a lot of active referrals that are generating a lot of Satoshi's via the referral system and I use some of my own coins to buy Lotto tickets and to wager on the site... but I never win. Surely you're not the only one experiencing this, you can imagine with tens of millions of users and easily getting lottery tickets without buying, without a premium membership, just by routinely doing freerolls you will be able to get lottery tickets making the chances of becoming a winner very small, that's why I prefer to disable lottery tickets only have tickets from WoF
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Don Pedro Dinero
Legendary
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Activity: 1484
Merit: 1745
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October 06, 2022, 02:22:52 AM |
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Exactly, I have been with Freebitco.in since this Lottery was launched and I have never won the lottery... not even once. I have way more than 2000 to 5000 tickets, so if that statement was correct.... I would have won it several times before. I have a lot of active referrals that are generating a lot of Satoshi's via the referral system and I use some of my own coins to buy Lotto tickets and to wager on the site... but I never win. Surely you're not the only one experiencing this, you can imagine with tens of millions of users and easily getting lottery tickets without buying, without a premium membership, just by routinely doing freerolls you will be able to get lottery tickets making the chances of becoming a winner very small, that's why I prefer to disable lottery tickets only have tickets from WoF Are people really surprised because they don't win the lottery on the site? If you bought 5% of the tickets for a year, there might be some logic to the argument, but even if you kept buying 5% every week you could go many years without winning because of pure variance. Those of you who are surprised or complain that you don't win the lottery, what percentage of tickets do you have? 0.01% at most, I imagine.
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| Duelbits | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ | | TRY OUR UNIQUE GAMES! ◥ DICE ◥ MINES ◥ PLINKO ◥ DUEL POKER ◥ DICE DUELS | | | | █▀▀ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █▄▄ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | | ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ KENONEW ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ | ▀▀█ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ ▄▄█ | | 10,000x MULTIPLIER | | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ | | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ |
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Flexystar
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October 06, 2022, 03:59:57 AM |
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Are people really surprised because they don't win the lottery on the site? If you bought 5% of the tickets for a year, there might be some logic to the argument, but even if you kept buying 5% every week you could go many years without winning because of pure variance. Those of you who are surprised or complain that you don't win the lottery, what percentage of tickets do you have? 0.01% at most, I imagine. I think you have not seen the winner in previous rounds. I mean not exactly previous, I am talking about many many rounds in which we have seen users winning the lottery even with 40-100 tickets. Some of them might have won let’s say in the range of 100-1000 tickets but they had odds really really low. The variance is that they are either luckiest one or the users who don’t win had bad stars in the first place. Lolz. Anyways, Never take anything negative from this. Lottery is anyway free stuff if you don’t buy them with real money. Even if you do you are anyways increasing the base % of free roll, account gets added with more chance of winning. That’s why it’s free bitcoin site. Let’s assume we never win, but we will keep winning free stuff all the time.
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slaman29
Legendary
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Activity: 2842
Merit: 1290
Livecasino, 20% cashback, no fuss payouts.
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October 06, 2022, 05:58:30 AM |
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Won the lottery only once, something like 6th place max, so it wasn't very much, but it's still more than I've ever won in a normal lottery back home, which you actually have to pay for, so not for nothing. It wasn't even with much, and I've easily had 6digit amount of lotteries plenty of times and in the last round I had over 25k at least, forgot to check nearer to the draw. It is what it is @swogerino 48 GTs now, so I've more than doubled my chance lol.
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swogerino
Legendary
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Activity: 3332
Merit: 1248
Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
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October 06, 2022, 06:06:05 AM |
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Won the lottery only once, something like 6th place max, so it wasn't very much, but it's still more than I've ever won in a normal lottery back home, which you actually have to pay for, so not for nothing. It wasn't even with much, and I've easily had 6digit amount of lotteries plenty of times and in the last round I had over 25k at least, forgot to check nearer to the draw. It is what it is @swogerino 48 GTs now, so I've more than doubled my chance lol. Well done mate,it looks like you have gambled and wagered a lot or maybe you had a lot of WoF spins saved for this date,I am still at 82 because I have not wagered anymore since I won the 50 GT prize ticket which I think is the only time someone has won it here from the moment that WoF were introduced. Great to hear also that you have won once the lottery although it was not much,it really makes you feel special to have a place in the top 10 out of 50 million users.
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Don Pedro Dinero
Legendary
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Activity: 1484
Merit: 1745
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October 06, 2022, 06:11:39 AM |
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The variance is that they are either luckiest one or the users who don’t win had bad stars in the first place. Lolz.
You simply show that you do not understand the concept of variance. When the sample tends to infinity, those who have more lottery tickets will win in proportion to the tickets they have. If they have 1% of the tickets in each drawing, they will win 1% of the time. But in the short term, and short term is not just a couple of draws but several years as well, the results vary from that statistical average.
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| Duelbits | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ | | TRY OUR UNIQUE GAMES! ◥ DICE ◥ MINES ◥ PLINKO ◥ DUEL POKER ◥ DICE DUELS | | | | █▀▀ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █▄▄ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | | ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ KENONEW ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ | ▀▀█ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ ▄▄█ | | 10,000x MULTIPLIER | | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ | | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ |
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PawGo
Legendary
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1385
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October 06, 2022, 07:56:09 AM |
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When the sample tends to infinity, those who have more lottery tickets will win in proportion to the tickets they have. If they have 1% of the tickets in each drawing, they will win 1% of the time. But in the short term, and short term is not just a couple of draws but several years as well, the results vary from that statistical average.
And we cannot forget that each draw is "independent". You will not be excluded because you won in the past, you will not gain any extra chances because you never won. Each week story starts from the beginning, there is no "memory". Each time the person who has more tickets, has more chances to win, that's all.
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swogerino
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Activity: 3332
Merit: 1248
Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
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October 06, 2022, 09:54:18 AM |
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When the sample tends to infinity, those who have more lottery tickets will win in proportion to the tickets they have. If they have 1% of the tickets in each drawing, they will win 1% of the time. But in the short term, and short term is not just a couple of draws but several years as well, the results vary from that statistical average.
And we cannot forget that each draw is "independent". You will not be excluded because you won in the past, you will not gain any extra chances because you never won. Each week story starts from the beginning, there is no "memory". Each time the person who has more tickets, has more chances to win, that's all. While I believe it to be independent the fact that they do a certain Bitcoin block number and add 12 or don't know how many blocks to that number shows that they cannot be independent because they depend on this number and the people who have an ID near such number together with a big number of tickets tend to be winners more than others,therefore variance plays not that of an important role. I am no math expert but to me it does not look like rounds are fully independent because of the block numbers they use for determining the winners.What I think is that someone expert at math should explain to us in detail how the lottery works as I find it difficult to understand with seeds and block numbers.
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hosseinimr93
Legendary
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Activity: 2576
Merit: 5677
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October 06, 2022, 10:19:21 AM |
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While I believe it to be independent the fact that they do a certain Bitcoin block number and add 12 or don't know how many blocks to that number shows that they cannot be independent because they depend on this number and the people who have an ID near such number together with a big number of tickets tend to be winners more than others,therefore variance plays not that of an important role.
Different rounds are completely independent from each other and the result of a lottery round has nothing to do with what happened in the previous rounds. Take note that the block hash which is used for determining the winner is a 256 bit hexadecimal number and there is no way to know that until the block is mined.
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swogerino
Legendary
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Activity: 3332
Merit: 1248
Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
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October 06, 2022, 10:37:28 AM |
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While I believe it to be independent the fact that they do a certain Bitcoin block number and add 12 or don't know how many blocks to that number shows that they cannot be independent because they depend on this number and the people who have an ID near such number together with a big number of tickets tend to be winners more than others,therefore variance plays not that of an important role.
Different rounds are completely independent from each other and the result of a lottery round has nothing to do with what happened in the previous rounds. Take note that the block hash which is used for determining the winner is a 256 bit hexadecimal number and there is no way to know that until the block is mined. Yes but isn't the number of blocks consecutive meaning that the same people can be more favored than others,for example I don't understand it but I am assuming the last round to had block 709500 as a number while a week later to have the block number of 750.000,aren't the persons with ID near these numbers and a huge number of tickets in this range more favored than the others?I am having difficulties at understanding this of course unless the block numbers between two weeks can be numbers much apart than the ones I described here.
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hosseinimr93
Legendary
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Activity: 2576
Merit: 5677
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October 06, 2022, 10:54:54 AM |
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Yes but isn't the number of blocks consecutive meaning that the same people can be more favored than others
No. for example I don't understand it but I am assuming the last round to had block 709500 as a number while a week later to have the block number of 750.000,aren't the persons with ID near these numbers and a huge number of tickets in this range more favored than the others? No. Your ID number has nothing to do with your chance of winning. I am having difficulties at understanding this of course unless the block numbers between two weeks can be numbers much apart than the ones I described here.
The block number isn't used in the calculations at all. That's the block hash which is used. As mentioned in my previous post, the block hash is a 256 bit hexadecimal number and no one knows that until the block is mined. When the list of user IDs and their tickets numbers is published, the block hash is still unknown and it can't be in favor or against any user.
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swogerino
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Activity: 3332
Merit: 1248
Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
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October 06, 2022, 11:21:33 AM Last edit: October 06, 2022, 11:34:18 AM by swogerino |
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Ok now it is clear,thanks for your explanation,this 256 hexadecimal number I suppose is a big one thus not favoring anyone.I was not saying that they were doing it intentionally but that because they used blocks I misunderstood blocks number with blocks hash and that is why it was not making sense to me.Well I have refrained myself from buying lottery tickets as I thought why lose time but I am going now to buy about 2000 tickets as I have 2000 satoshis unused and want to be part of these unknown numbers .
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Betwrong
Legendary
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Activity: 3458
Merit: 2234
I stand with Ukraine.
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October 06, 2022, 11:53:52 AM |
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Won the bet again This one was quite expected though. I mean the chances of ETH staying in the range of $1000 - $1500 was really high. For my overall bet price I gained some decent 891 sats profit. Although its not much but its fun to win a bet than lose one. Congrats, @pawanjain! That's a decent profit indeed, because winning is always a decent thing, no matter what was the stake. I myself have abandoned betting with significant amounts long time ago, because if you lose those bets it's painful. And it doesn't matter whether you feel you are expert in the field or not. Several years ago I was betting on Oscars on 3 different sites, including freebitco.in, becaue I considered myself an expert in that department. I bet over $60 in total, and I won back less than $10, and now I don't want to repeat that mistake. Any profit is still a profit. Congrats, mate!
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pawanjain
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October 06, 2022, 02:22:38 PM Last edit: May 15, 2023, 05:12:29 PM by pawanjain |
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Won the bet again This one was quite expected though. I mean the chances of ETH staying in the range of $1000 - $1500 was really high. For my overall bet price I gained some decent 891 sats profit. Although its not much but its fun to win a bet than lose one. Congrats, @pawanjain! That's a decent profit indeed, because winning is always a decent thing, no matter what was the stake. I myself have abandoned betting with significant amounts long time ago, because if you lose those bets it's painful. And it doesn't matter whether you feel you are expert in the field or not. Several years ago I was betting on Oscars on 3 different sites, including freebitco.in, becaue I considered myself an expert in that department. I bet over $60 in total, and I won back less than $10, and now I don't want to repeat that mistake. Any profit is still a profit. Congrats, mate! Thanks mate. But I hope when you say you have abandoned betting with significant amounts I assume you are still betting but with lower amounts. You didn't completely stop betting did you ? Winning or losing is part of the game. We can enjoy the bet/game as long as we are not worried of the outcome. There should be only the excitement to see whether you win or not.
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| Duelbits | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ | | TRY OUR UNIQUE GAMES! ◥ DICE ◥ MINES ◥ PLINKO ◥ DUEL POKER ◥ DICE DUELS | | | | █▀▀ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █▄▄ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ ███ ▀▀▀ | | ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ KENONEW ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄ | ▀▀█ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ ▄▄█ | | 10,000x MULTIPLIER | | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ | | ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ ██ |
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Flexystar
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October 06, 2022, 04:51:46 PM |
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Won the lottery only once, something like 6th place max, so it wasn't very much, but it's still more than I've ever won in a normal lottery back home, which you actually have to pay for, so not for nothing. It wasn't even with much, and I've easily had 6digit amount of lotteries plenty of times and in the last round I had over 25k at least, forgot to check nearer to the draw. It is what it is @swogerino 48 GTs now, so I've more than doubled my chance lol. Well done mate,it looks like you have gambled and wagered a lot or maybe you had a lot of WoF spins saved for this date,I am still at 82 because I have not wagered anymore since I won the 50 GT prize ticket which I think is the only time someone has won it here from the moment that WoF were introduced. Great to hear also that you have won once the lottery although it was not much,it really makes you feel special to have a place in the top 10 out of 50 million users. Then you are probably the second person who won GT's from the WoF. I have already had 50 tickets in the last cycle and I was more than happy to see them because in reality it would cost me 50 x 0.00025 btc to buy them all. It's big amount of money at the time and then bitcoin was almost 20-30% than the current rates. Though it was pretty costly affair, I did not win the GT contest and frankly those are really really low odds to win this contest. However, on freebitcoin only one stuff to remember all the time, never give up, you will have your chance somewhere. May be we will win GT, may be lottery, may big load of satoshi and RP's from WoF. This way or that, freebitcoin keeps giving me. <3
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PawGo
Legendary
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Activity: 952
Merit: 1385
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October 06, 2022, 06:47:30 PM |
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While I believe it to be independent the fact that they do a certain Bitcoin block number and add 12 or don't know how many blocks to that number shows that they cannot be independent because they depend on this number and the people who have an ID near such number together with a big number of tickets tend to be winners more than others,therefore variance plays not that of an important role.
Different rounds are completely independent from each other and the result of a lottery round has nothing to do with what happened in the previous rounds. Take note that the block hash which is used for determining the winner is a 256 bit hexadecimal number and there is no way to know that until the block is mined. That's exactly what I wanted to say, the current result doesn't depend on previous results (otherwise it would be something like Markov Chain). Hash taken from sha256 result as a condition to determine who is the winner? I have no opinion, maybe someone already proofed that hash is "random" enough, I mean, that if you take a look at given positions, the occurrence of all possible values is (almost) equal - I assume that it could be your doubt, you may think that for example number "2" appears often that number "3". As I said- I do not know, I think it is random enough.
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babygun
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October 06, 2022, 08:18:00 PM |
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I have doubts, is it good to play the WOF directly? there are many things that I like about freebitcoin, and in fact I see that the things that are discussed here I like more because they have helped me a lot, in fact I am thinking of acquiring more tickets, the people who use their WOF more I see that they can have more benefits, and I have bought a part in FUN tokens, for me these tokens represent an investment but in the long term, I believe that the largest investors of fun tokens do it for the love of freebitcoin, I do not lose hope that here they say that they can do more things to freebitcoin hodlers, or make a special scheme for those we buy.
It is the amount of FUN tokens that determine your premium membership not the amount of WOF spins that you have. Why wouldn't it make sense to play than directly? Everybody got his own strategy and I used to save them up and play 300 at once, but now I always play them directly. The chance of winning stays the same.
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dwyane36
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 3038
Merit: 2287
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October 06, 2022, 09:23:08 PM |
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However, on freebitcoin only one stuff to remember all the time, never give up, you will have your chance somewhere. May be we will win GT, may be lottery, may big load of satoshi and RP's from WoF. This way or that, freebitcoin keeps giving me. <3
Prizes in the wheel of fortune, Lambo lottery, exchanging RP for sats, FUN token integration, and many other things will constantly attract the attention of both old and new users. To be honest, it's impressive that the Freebitcoin team has been finding various new ways to develop its platform and attract an audience over the years.
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[/tabl
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Saint-loup
Legendary
Offline
Activity: 2786
Merit: 2428
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October 06, 2022, 09:23:24 PM |
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Congrats, @pawanjain! That's a decent profit indeed, because winning is always a decent thing, no matter what was the stake.
I myself have abandoned betting with significant amounts long time ago, because if you lose those bets it's painful. And it doesn't matter whether you feel you are expert in the field or not. Several years ago I was betting on Oscars on 3 different sites, including freebitco.in, becaue I considered myself an expert in that department. I bet over $60 in total, and I won back less than $10, and now I don't want to repeat that mistake.
Any profit is still a profit. Congrats, mate!
You're gambling since how many years now? I guess it was before you opened this account in 2014. If after nearly ten years you consider losing $50 a big loss, you're a great bettor and you should continue instead of giving up, because very few people are able to gamble during several years without losing hundreds of $ regularly. Even on slots or dice games. Regarding your so called "mistake" as you say, you can't know if one single bet was a mistake or no, maybe your bet was a good one but an upset has just happened. You must look at your results on a larger amount of bets, to make conclusions IMO.
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freebitco.in PR
Copper Member
Member
Offline
Activity: 1485
Merit: 23
freebitco.in Official PR Account
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October 06, 2022, 09:29:38 PM |
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3X Reward Points (RP) promotion is ONGOING and ends in less than 36 hours. Redeem your RP on the Rewards page for iPhones, Hardware Wallets, Gift Cards, Free BTC, and much more...
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