aardvark15 (OP)
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September 27, 2018, 12:39:26 AM Merited by tigershark (1) |
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If you look at the chart of the Bitcoin price, it has formed a clear descending triangle with support at about $6000. Resistance is keeping the peak of each bullish run lower than the previous one for the past few months. If I can find a good chart to post, I'll add it in later.
I believe that this is a bearish signal that the price could likely break below $6000 soon.
Do you agree and if so, when do you think it will drop below that key support level?
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tigershark
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September 27, 2018, 12:49:57 AM |
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Probably next month it will drop under 6000 but hard to say. I hope it never gets that low again.
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franky1
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September 27, 2018, 01:00:32 AM Last edit: September 27, 2018, 01:58:45 AM by franky1 |
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we have not dropped below $5800 since november 2017
there have been multiple attempts and massive amount of time for opportunity but no one has dared. looking at the UTXO set of fund movements. over 65% of coins in circulation have passed hands in that time. meaning 65% of coins have now settled at a rate of value above $5800.(they wont sell for less than they acquired them)
mining costs have also risen.. 43exa network hash was the cost equivalent for mining a coin at $5800, this too has risen. so there is alot of support above $5800.
personally id say its too early to shout out this weeks average support as any mile stone. and this months support is still too early. and the 3-10 month support is still the same at $5,800 so im still holding onto the 3-10 month mark as it has alot of coin and mining support that will keep it up..
that said. october will see some new ASICs that offer cheaper hashing. and so by the delivery date of november. if the hashrate isnt at 90exa then there are some miners with new rigs that can profit even if they sold below $5800. due to the efficiencies of these new rigs.. so i can see we might get another retest in late october/november (if network hashrate doesnt climb to higher numbers of 90exa to counteract the efficiency). but with that said. the number of pools who would actually have that equipment and the amount of coin they manage to produce in a short nough time to be profitable to actually then sell off to cause an impact would be small too. so its not a warning that the price will drop. but a possibility if the markets were already near the bottomline that just a few extra pokes would make a small dip
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I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER. Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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maulana rifai
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September 27, 2018, 01:30:06 AM |
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If you look at the chart of the Bitcoin price, it has formed a clear descending triangle with support at about $6000. Resistance is keeping the peak of each bullish run lower than the previous one for the past few months. If I can find a good chart to post, I'll add it in later.
I believe that this is a bearish signal that the price could likely break below $6000 soon.
Do you agree and if so, when do you think it will drop below that key support level?
maybe it will happen in early 2019, studying price movements in the table every year prices tend to stabilize nearing the end of the year, and start falling in March, April, as happened this year. now I also retain the coins that I have.
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PETES
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September 27, 2018, 01:36:26 AM |
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that said. october will see some new ASICs that offer cheaper hashing. and so by the delivery date of november. if the hashrate isnt at 90exa then there are some miners with new rigs that can profit even if they sold below $5800. due to the efficiencies of these new rigs.. so i can see we might get another retest in late october/november (if network hashrate doesnt climb to higher numbers to counteract the efficiency)
And with that, can we say that we can have another major correction since this miners will dump in $5800? Honestly, I thought that this year will be better than 2017 and the first quarter of the year was just a trap and as we go along by the end of the year, it seems to be worsen. Yet it's too early to conclude but we should always expect less.
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franky1
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September 27, 2018, 02:07:18 AM |
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that said. october will see some new ASICs that offer cheaper hashing. and so by the delivery date of november. if the hashrate isnt at 90exa then there are some miners with new rigs that can profit even if they sold below $5800. due to the efficiencies of these new rigs.. so i can see we might get another retest in late october/november (if network hashrate doesnt climb to higher numbers to counteract the efficiency)
And with that, can we say that we can have another major correction since this miners will dump in $5800? Honestly, I thought that this year will be better than 2017 and the first quarter of the year was just a trap and as we go along by the end of the year, it seems to be worsen. Yet it's too early to conclude but we should always expect less. no calm down. think about it only 1800 coins are made a day. so IF (apocalypse hat on) all pools all combined all had the next gen rigs running in november(that in itself seems too OverTheTop of a scenario).. the total coin that is cheaper than $5800 is just 1800coins per day while network hashrate is below 90exa. now if you imagine the price in november was todays $6500. selling all mined coins all at once on bitfinex(looking at volume) would only push the price down to 6200 so all pools would need to sell all coins of about 3 days in one go to dip to 5800(that in itself seems too OverTheTop of a scenario). chances are not all pools will swap out rigs instantly so their costs would remain higher and not wanna sell so low chances are pools wont want to sell all their coins anyway even if there is a bit of short term profit changes are hashrates would be higher. so the costs vs profit would too be less appealing to want to tank the price chances are if a sell off did occur. many buyers would celebrate a discount and a buying frenzy would occur fighting off the sell off to keep prices up. so relax its not a guaranteed dump in november. but do expect some movement in hashpower and prices is all im saying
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I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER. Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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wizardcrypto
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September 27, 2018, 02:41:32 AM |
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Base on technical analysis l made recently bitcoin will NEVER break below the $6000. price action movement in most cases reoccur from historically data .you will remember at 2017 at this time of the month bitcoin was trading between 6k to 8k .the only thing that might want to break 6k below is when whales are ready to buy the Dip ,they will bring FOMO to the market and this will only occur in the month of October but i doubt .
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dedetwitter
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September 27, 2018, 03:18:13 AM |
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i think this year if SEC rejected again.
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drmilind2004
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September 27, 2018, 04:00:24 AM |
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It's not going to tank below 6000, but I don't see it going much higher either. Then there'll be inflation over time, and the value of that future 6000 may not be as much as today's 6000. If, at that future time, BTC still stays range bound at 6000, then in real terms it's real value would've dipped below 6000 in that future scenario.
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pooya87
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September 27, 2018, 04:02:34 AM |
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If you look at the chart of the Bitcoin price, it has formed a clear descending triangle with support at about $6000.
no i don't see such triangle anymore. there were one a couple of months ago that people were excited about thinking it will drop below but it has been a flat line more or less ever since. not to mention that so far in this 9+ years TA never worked on bitcoin like you think it works! Resistance is keeping the peak of each bullish run lower than the previous one for the past few months.
there was no bullish run ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) the thing is the fluctuations created by day trading whales which makes price go above $7k then come back to $6kish and rise and repeat is not real trend and it certainly is not "bullish runs". If I can find a good chart to post, I'll add it in later.
there you go: https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/bitstamp/btcusd
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pltgksl
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September 27, 2018, 04:24:15 AM |
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No one can know that he can only guess. Because everything can change in the world at any time and BTC can gain value depending on all these values and may also lose value
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Mpamaegbu
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September 27, 2018, 04:49:22 AM |
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If you look at the chart of the Bitcoin price, it has formed a clear descending triangle with support at about $6000. Resistance is keeping the peak of each bullish run lower than the previous one for the past few months. If I can find a good chart to post, I'll add it in later.
I believe that this is a bearish signal that the price could likely break below $6000 soon.
Do you agree and if so, when do you think it will drop below that key support level?
How soon is soon?The truth remains that predictions around the price of bitcoin have always beaten everyone hallow till date. It hasn't ever been predicted right and I am not perturbed with what anyone says. Yes, price may be trading low now but a break up trend could still occur especially as everyone awaits the outcome of the ETF this September.
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Before you boast of your material acquisition, take a stroll to a morgue and there you will find those who were once better than you're. Only fools think they've it all. Stay humble 🤔
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MMS2017
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September 27, 2018, 05:13:45 AM |
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For now the bitcoin is good and it is really amazing that we should make a good strategy for investment in crypto and holding now is providing you a better alternative for losing money while people are scared of it when the bad news related to market comes and different rumors created but for now bitcoin price will never breakdown $6000.
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reflector
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September 27, 2018, 06:47:48 AM |
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If you look at the chart of the Bitcoin price, it has formed a clear descending triangle with support at about $6000. Resistance is keeping the peak of each bullish run lower than the previous one for the past few months. If I can find a good chart to post, I'll add it in later.
I believe that this is a bearish signal that the price could likely break below $6000 soon.
Do you agree and if so, when do you think it will drop below that key support level?
Bitcoin is a highly promising platform so it will reach 6k again it will going to moon. So I don't think it will be possible in future because most of the investors are investing this platform and slowly Bitcoin adoption is increasing in the market. If you think it will be going to below 6k USD you should said one valid reason. I hope Bitcoin is a most recommended cryptocurrency in the market so this reach 10k USD soon.
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engesi
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September 27, 2018, 07:35:57 AM |
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I am not a skilled trader, I will not analyze too much data, but I hope that the price of Bitcoin will not be less than $6,000, this is my hope!
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Wind_FURY
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September 27, 2018, 08:02:06 AM |
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If you look at the chart of the Bitcoin price, it has formed a clear descending triangle with support at about $6000. Resistance is keeping the peak of each bullish run lower than the previous one for the past few months. If I can find a good chart to post, I'll add it in later.
I believe that this is a bearish signal that the price could likely break below $6000 soon.
Do you agree and if so, when do you think it will drop below that key support level?
How soon is soon?The truth remains that predictions around the price of bitcoin have always beaten everyone hallow till date. It hasn't ever been predicted right and I am not perturbed with what anyone says. Yes, price may be trading low now but a break up trend could still occur especially as everyone awaits the outcome of the ETF this September. Bitcoin doesn't need an ETF. If more rejections by the SEC come, then who cares. Bitcoin will always recover, and every weak hand who let go of their coins will regret it. But what can we do. Weak hands buy high and sell low as a default. Hahaha. OP, no one knows. But if it does, buy the dip! ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif)
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ralle14
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September 27, 2018, 11:01:47 AM Last edit: September 27, 2018, 11:30:01 AM by ralle14 |
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Do you agree and if so, when do you think it will drop below that key support level?
Voted for never on the poll. I don't expect Bitcoin to go below $6,000 again and if it happens Bitcoin would go back up anyway because it's always short-mid term losses. Few months back Bitcoin hit below $6k and it didn't last that long. There are many pleasant news coming on board, so the hope is high. Some of my useless tokens are getting good values and rising fast. I think the break out from the $6k zone will come next month. I expect a massive inflow of good funds from next month.
You might've misread the title.
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September 27, 2018, 11:18:36 AM |
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the correct answer is even if by some chance bitcoin price did go below $6000 you wouldn't be able to know it now because based on things that you can see and know and analyze right now the conclusion you can make is that it is not going to happen. even the charts show the accumulation phase going on instead of anything else. and bitcoin's unique unpredictability makes it so.
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1Referee
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September 27, 2018, 11:41:20 AM |
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I don't expect Bitcoin to go below $6,000 again and if it happens Bitcoin would go back up anyway because it's always short-mid term losses. Few months back Bitcoin hit below $6k and it didn't last that long.
The thing with markets is that in case they test the same lower support levels over and over again, they eventually break. It doesn't autmatically mean it will happen to Bitcoin, but with how there is very little support to keep the price above the $7000 level, we shouldn't discard it. The bias definitely hints towards more bearish price action rather than bullish price action, but there might be some bullish action coming up very soon. Realistic possibility right now is to have seasonality kick in somewhere next month to lift the price. Past Q4 seasonality increases that started in October; 2014 $300 > $450 = 50% increase. 2015 $230 > $500 = 115% increase. 2016 $600 > $1100 = 80% increase. 2017 $4500 > $19,500 = 330% increase.
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franky1
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September 27, 2018, 12:09:46 PM |
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Resistance is keeping the peak of each bullish run lower than the previous one for the past few months.
there was no bullish run ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) the thing is the fluctuations created by day trading whales which makes price go above $7k then come back to $6kish and rise and repeat is not real trend and it certainly is not "bullish runs". 2016: >$300 2017: >$900 2018: >$5800 thats a bull run the movements in between are just cubs and calves playing (small bears and small bulls)
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I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER. Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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