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Author Topic: Tricks and tips for esports betting  (Read 25255 times)
Oasisman
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February 10, 2020, 09:57:48 PM
 #201


In these cases you can definitely turn a profit if you know the game and the teams inside out.

Exactly! , That's the main and simplest trick in making profit out of betting either ESports or Sportsbetting.
I guess analyzing the game in ESports is a lot more complicated (example Dota2) than sports like basketball, football, and etc. Because you need to look at the team chemistry, the hero picks, possible scenario and outcome.
I don't know what else to consider in analyzing a match in Dota2 since I haven't played the game for 5 years now, but what I really think, is its more challenging to place a bet specially if both teams are very good.

rexxarofmoknathal
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February 10, 2020, 10:04:12 PM
 #202


In these cases you can definitely turn a profit if you know the game and the teams inside out.

Exactly! , That's the main and simplest trick in making profit out of betting either ESports or Sportsbetting.
I guess analyzing the game in ESports is a lot more complicated (example Dota2) than sports like basketball, football, and etc. Because you need to look at the team chemistry, the hero picks, possible scenario and outcome.
I don't know what else to consider in analyzing a match in Dota2 since I haven't played the game for 5 years now, but what I really think, is its more challenging to place a bet specially if both teams are very good.

That's why I prefer to stick with more basic E-sports titles where it's possible to work exactly what's going to happen.

CS:GO is definitely one of the easier ones to get into since the game is so basic. But DOTA and StarCraft have more going on, so there's more markets to bet on.





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piwpafer
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February 11, 2020, 11:20:18 AM
 #203


In these cases you can definitely turn a profit if you know the game and the teams inside out.

Exactly! , That's the main and simplest trick in making profit out of betting either ESports or Sportsbetting.
I guess analyzing the game in ESports is a lot more complicated (example Dota2) than sports like basketball, football, and etc. Because you need to look at the team chemistry, the hero picks, possible scenario and outcome.
I don't know what else to consider in analyzing a match in Dota2 since I haven't played the game for 5 years now, but what I really think, is its more challenging to place a bet specially if both teams are very good.

Okay, but there's the random factor you're talking about again. If it's a lot to choose the hero himself, you don't know how the draft will go. You don't know what composition the team will play or if it will be good. You're only gonna choose good picks or not. Later on you can play live but it's not the same because the odds are much lower. So what if there are many factors if we can't use them anyway because they are just random and depend on many things.
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February 19, 2020, 10:54:53 PM
 #204

Depends alot on the game, but teamwork counts alot for integrity of results and likelihood the team is practising together, etc.   I got alot more faith in an underdog bet when I believe that team has underlying potential to keep improving and surprising in their results, alot of that revolves around the team spirit being healthy.   The biggest mistake people make is counting results evenly when some games wont have the effort spent on them over others, some enemy teams or the map choice allows an easier result.
And what does it really come down to? Up to the amount of the prize pool, that is, the money ? Because if not, what ?

And if the only factor is the amount of the prize pool and the prestige, then there is a risk of fraudulent play, a match seller. After all, there were such cases many years ago. So, what is it now Huh?
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February 19, 2020, 11:10:06 PM
 #205

Well, for me esports betting is really easy and you have a higher percentage of winning. Being an avid fan of a certain game that you'll be betting in, for example, Dota 2 or League Of Legends you basically have the edge in winning because you know who is the players involved in each team.
The only tip that I'll be giving to you is just to know what game and the team you are betting in and surely you will earn tons of money.

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tumis (OP)
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February 29, 2020, 08:30:38 PM
 #206

Well, for me esports betting is really easy and you have a higher percentage of winning. Being an avid fan of a certain game that you'll be betting in, for example, Dota 2 or League Of Legends you basically have the edge in winning because you know who is the players involved in each team.
The only tip that I'll be giving to you is just to know what game and the team you are betting in and surely you will earn tons of money.

I'm sorry, but I disagree. Do I know the gamers & pro player better? But what exactly? I only have statistics - and reallty poor stats only. In football, I also have statistics? - but much much more stats.. And that much more accurate? so plus for a traditional sport.

What do I have in esports ? The results. The actual form. But I have nothing else. I don't know how a player will play in the next game. Even as in the previous one, he was in great shape. It comes out so daytime that nothing comes out. And even though Astralis was great in previous matches now that they play with NaVi they just don't go. They get such a beating like little kids. It's like they forgot how to play. Or is it the pressure? Or maybe it's the lack of supporters ? Or maybe it's just - the disposition of the day and that's it.

But now the question is. How do you know the day's disposition? Even if you're close, you don't know it, let alone when you're browsing the Internet and considering yourself a connoisseur...

Sad truth.
Mahanton
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February 29, 2020, 10:17:14 PM
 #207

Well, for me esports betting is really easy and you have a higher percentage of winning. Being an avid fan of a certain game that you'll be betting in, for example, Dota 2 or League Of Legends you basically have the edge in winning because you know who is the players involved in each team.
The only tip that I'll be giving to you is just to know what game and the team you are betting in and surely you will earn tons of money.
Not at all and just like on typical sports we've known even how favorite on a certain team it isnt a guaranteed thing for you to win yet there are still upsets
that do happen along the way the only thing differs here is that the no. of participants are just few which means you do only have to select a few of them
not like on sports ex. NBA where there are lots to choose from which would really give out confusion from time to time but overall the key on winning is to analyze
things when it comes to stats and also be wary of news that do happens along the way.

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fortebettor
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March 06, 2020, 09:38:26 AM
 #208

The problem is that you don't know if these "news" are true and how true they are. And even if it is true, the bookmaker knows it anyway.

I think that in time there will be more tools and statistics to take a closer look at each game from the player's side and not just by comparing the results and form of the players.

Research are inspired by other experienced CSGO players from https://pro.eslgaming.com/  and  LOL ex-players and esports bettors from esporttalk.org , esportal and reddit.com and discord

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5228376.0 - Astralis to win , fuck yeah
Oasisman
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March 06, 2020, 10:39:24 AM
 #209

Well, for me esports betting is really easy and you have a higher percentage of winning. Being an avid fan of a certain game that you'll be betting in, for example, Dota 2 or League Of Legends you basically have the edge in winning because you know who is the players involved in each team.
The only tip that I'll be giving to you is just to know what game and the team you are betting in and surely you will earn tons of money.

Knowing well the game and the players ain't enough to make an easy bet. You have to realize, you're not the only person who knows the game and player very well plus the odds are making it more difficult to choose a betting option. Same goes to sports betting, me myself is a fan of NBA and I regularly have updates to the players status every game, yet it's still hard to choose a bet and win it.

If you don't mind sharing your winning bets and basic tutorial on howeasy for you to win a bet?

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March 06, 2020, 12:28:30 PM
 #210

I always bet in Esports and Sports gambling games, because they're the only the games that uses intelligence, analysis besides casino games like poker not unlike most games that's based only in luck and intuition. And if you're really familiar with the team and their strategy and behaviour you might even have a winning streak that's the difference between calculated games and randomness cause random games sometimes you win sometimes you loss a lot.

Also these betting sites offers ridiculous jackpot prices like Freebitco where you can win a car and Kawbet where you can win 7BTC.

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March 06, 2020, 09:00:38 PM
 #211

And if the only factor is the amount of the prize pool and the prestige, then there is a risk of fraudulent play, a match seller. After all, there were such cases many years ago. So, what is it now Huh?

The real problem was inequality, so the game was growing and money was circulating via games bet and industry to support those bettors.   However at this time the players themselves were being left nonsalaried and yet they invest alot of time into the regular gameplay and eventually game results that are part of the betting scene.    It was a kind of mistake that was visited on the players in massive consequences for choosing the easier path of throwing games.  If they had more patience and waited for proper revenue streams to establish and teams with regular pay they would have possibly made a million by now.  Instead they gained something like 20k tops, a quick buck.

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March 07, 2020, 03:19:23 PM
 #212

And if the only factor is the amount of the prize pool and the prestige, then there is a risk of fraudulent play, a match seller. After all, there were such cases many years ago. So, what is it now Huh?

The real problem was inequality, so the game was growing and money was circulating via games bet and industry to support those bettors.   However at this time the players themselves were being left nonsalaried and yet they invest alot of time into the regular gameplay and eventually game results that are part of the betting scene.    It was a kind of mistake that was visited on the players in massive consequences for choosing the easier path of throwing games.  If they had more patience and waited for proper revenue streams to establish and teams with regular pay they would have possibly made a million by now.  Instead they gained something like 20k tops, a quick buck.

Wait, basically I get interested in this thread you can write exactly what cases you mean ? I know that many small clubs didn't pay their players and that there was a lot of dishonesty but when it comes to big organizations you know some cases in 2019 - 2018 ? If so, give me the details and source of information.


I always bet in Esports and Sports gambling games, because they're the only the games that uses intelligence, analysis besides casino games like poker not unlike most games that's based only in luck and intuition. And if you're really familiar with the team and their strategy and behaviour you might even have a winning streak that's the difference between calculated games and randomness cause random games sometimes you win sometimes you loss a lot.

Also these betting sites offers ridiculous jackpot prices like Freebitco where you can win a car and Kawbet where you can win 7BTC.

It's funny when someone who advertises... casino and betting says that. What kind of intelligence? What are you talking about? So you're stupid - why do you take bets but no longer place them yourself?? Why is it your business? Please don't write than lies...
tumis (OP)
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March 16, 2020, 12:12:45 PM
 #213

Well, for me esports betting is really easy and you have a higher percentage of winning. Being an avid fan of a certain game that you'll be betting in, for example, Dota 2 or League Of Legends you basically have the edge in winning because you know who is the players involved in each team.
The only tip that I'll be giving to you is just to know what game and the team you are betting in and surely you will earn tons of money.

I think that's definitely the best approach. My observations show that it's also worth following the profiles of all the players on the twitter of the teams we bet most often. It's also worth to follow the coaches and owners of organization. Often it is possible to deduce from the context itself what approach to the match the team will have. Of course there is not much of it but it will change.

It's also worth to keep an eye on the game changes. It is known that in the League of Legends, for example, the game changes a lot with each subsequent patch (new meta). Knowing the exact style of play of 1-2 teams in the league it is easy to bet if the new finish line is good for them or not. And especially at the beginning of the first matches the bettor has a lot of room for improvement. When the statistics are not important yet and we don't have results. Then the strongest weapon is what we have. That is to say, our own obstinacy and logical conclusions we can reach.

I've also noticed another tendency. Some of the odds are very unevenly divided favouring one team to the limit, which is a bookmakers' mistake and should be used. Bookmakers often set odds on the basis of popularity as the players play and those who often play only on the basis of their likes or completely amateurishly. The same is true of traditional football and other sports. Never play Liverpool with weakest team in preamier leauge per 1.12 or somethink like that
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March 22, 2020, 12:27:45 PM
 #214

Hint 1
Only play big tournaments and matches in leagues with a pot of over $100,000. Every lesser known tournament is a risk of fixed matches (many case like russian dota) and so you lose.

Hint 2
Choose one game, only the one you feel better in. You need to know the game very well and be on the go.  Unfortunately, it takes a long time. The better you know the game, the better you can predict the results.

Hint 3
Analyze the statistics of the teams you bet on. Concentrate on the analysis of players with form. Compare the team leaders and the weakest links.

Hint 4
Choose games that are popular because the teams have a lot of fans and where the odds can only be based on that. Analyze whether the odds really reflect form or whether they are a trend that is not based on a team's real chances of winning.
 
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March 22, 2020, 01:41:06 PM
 #215

Discussions with an insider is a interesting group and i would like to take part of it, also share my knowledge to some sports games. Insiders are really an asset especially if they give valuable information such as the teams who are likely to win and what teams is not in a perfect shape or lacking key members.
Even though, there's an internet to find out this information, you can only dig small pieces.

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TeslaMotors
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March 23, 2020, 06:22:04 AM
 #216

Discussions with an insider is a interesting group and i would like to take part of it

You already belong to some group? There were once memosbets, among others, but not only
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March 26, 2020, 07:47:16 AM
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 #217

In principle, the rules are the same as for any sport. Never play something you don't know. Look for information wherever possible. Do not play understated. I always have a dozen or so accounts with bookmakers if you want to win only this way you have any chance.

People are generally overly confident in their knowledge and skills. They tend to overestimate its quality and scope, underestimate the risks and over-confidence in their own control of processes. It has also been observed that people become overconfident, especially when they have previously achieved rapid success in a new field.

Betting players often make cognitive mistakes when making assumptions, drawing conclusions or looking for information about the match they want to bet on. Many of these mistakes can be avoided, but you have to be aware that they can occur.

You need to know psychology - the better the less... you will lose. Always analyze. Every time you lose, the more so. Is it worth taking an interest?


  • Wrong assumptions.
  • Confirmation effect
  • Negligence
  • Peak-end principle
  • Authority effect
  • Contrast effect
  • A halo effect
  • Anchorage effect
I'm not going to summarize them all, but I'll just give you examples:

Errors in risk assessment - actual human behaviour in the face of risk. It takes into account empirical data on decision making in conditions of uncertainty. It explains how and why human behaviour is often irrational and even inconsistent.

Crowd psychology e.g. the so-called Sheep's Rush

Sheep's rush is probably the most well-known and psychologically related behavior of the crowd. The effect of sheep's shoot is when an individual makes decisions taking into account the decisions of other people.
For example, if there are strong falls in odds, I will bet too, because there is probably some significant information. This often results in an avalanche effect, the result of which is not always in line with the player's expectations. If there is a sharp drop in odds during betting trading, the ideal time is to join in at the beginning and "quit" when the trend starts to reverse.


And this is just the beginning ..
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March 26, 2020, 08:50:51 AM
 #218

Well, for me esports betting is really easy and you have a higher percentage of winning. Being an avid fan of a certain game that you'll be betting in, for example, Dota 2 or League Of Legends you basically have the edge in winning because you know who is the players involved in each team.
The only tip that I'll be giving to you is just to know what game and the team you are betting in and surely you will earn tons of money.

It is very easy to win a parlay in League of Legends betting.
Usually, the favorites are taking the wins but this doesn't provide good odds to the gamblers. You can make decent profits only if you gamble big portions of money to a win of a team.
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March 27, 2020, 07:46:26 AM
 #219

Well, for me esports betting is really easy and you have a higher percentage of winning. Being an avid fan of a certain game that you'll be betting in, for example, Dota 2 or League Of Legends you basically have the edge in winning because you know who is the players involved in each team.
The only tip that I'll be giving to you is just to know what game and the team you are betting in and surely you will earn tons of money.

It is very easy to win a parlay in League of Legends betting.
Usually, the favorites are taking the wins but this doesn't provide good odds to the gamblers. You can make decent profits only if you gamble big portions of money to a win of a team.
Usually, the favorites are taking the wins

What a nonsense.
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March 27, 2020, 07:50:46 AM
 #220

Sometimes you can follow ex-professional eSports player on their stream/any other media since they often bet on eSports and usually are right more often than regular users.
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