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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115918 times)
morvillz7z
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March 17, 2024, 05:54:29 PM
Last edit: March 17, 2024, 08:50:49 PM by morvillz7z
 #14961

S. Fontecchio 20+ PRA / T. Rozier 20+ PRA @1.90   won

The Heat and Pistons play their third game in just over two weeks. I went with Fontecchio 20+ PRA primarily because he has returned to the Pistons' starting lineup and has given them solid minutes/contribution. He also draws a terrific matchup in Duncan Robinson, arguably Heat's worst defender. Fontecchio scored 22 and 24 points in his last two games against Miami. He is also an underrated rebounder, averaging almost 6 per game /L5 (as a small forward that is pretty good numbers).

J. Butler has been ruled out which i think should open things/opportunities for Bam and Rozier on offense. Rozier has covered 20+ PRA in 5/L5, covered in his last two vs. Detroit as well. Pistons have been a great matchup for opposing PGs, as they give the second most points to the position this season. One more reason to go with Rozier is that today is his birthday.


I had a nice little win off of a free bet mid-week, thought i should share: https://i.ibb.co/VCgBDq7/dyjdyhdtyg.png

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March 18, 2024, 08:41:51 AM
 #14962

I was late with the NBA games right now this is Yesterday's game and I forgot a post-it I had 2 losses and only 1 win for this NBA game yesterday.

Houston Rockets VS Cleveland Cavaliers - LOST

It was a hard-fought-for the Cleveland Cavaliers even though they got great momentum over Caris LeVert and got a great spread on their score it was not enough because from start to finish the Houston Rockets' momentum with Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet's double-double that got them out on that situation.

Los Angeles Lakers VS Golden State Warriors - WIN

The Los Angeles Lakers had a great start but the Golden State Warriors started gaining momentum in the 2nd quarter, this was a close game and right now I can say that the referee is nowhere to be found in this game and the free throw deficit for the free throw is nowhere to be found, Draymond Green is sure very perfect with the Warriors and for this team alone, for getting 12 rebounds and 13 assists.

Sacramento Kings VS New York Knicks - LOST

For sure I never thought that Jalen Brunson would get his way against the Sacramento Kings it was a great performance for him to get 42 points for this game even though Domantas Sabonis has gotten a double-double of 14 rebounds and 21 points it was Jalen Brunson that have stopped the Sacramento Kings rampage.
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March 18, 2024, 12:08:22 PM
 #14963

1- Phoenix ML..(LOSS)  Giannis is listed as questionable, but even if he play, I still trust the Suns to come up with a win.  Bucks still are inconsistent, but would be better if Giannis will not play so this ML has a good chance.

2-Dallas +4..(WIN) My team will be tested against the defending champion, but I like the points here.

3- Clippers -9.5...(LOSS( It's time for them to bounce back big time as they loss their last 2 home games.

Updated record 38-41 48%)

Was 1-3 yesterday.. The biggest  loss was the Clippers, they can't even with at home, that's 3 consecutive losses at home already.

Moving on..

Warriors -5... Knicks are good but Warriors are playing at home,. I can't bet against this team when they are at home since they needed every week. Still the Knicks are playing undermanned, so I don't trust them as they might not be consistent.

Lakers -8.5... A needed win for the Lakers also, with 25-12 record at home and playing a team that will play back to back, I guess it's all Lakers here.

Indiana -7/ Without Mitchelle, I think Indiana would dominate the Cavaliers like they loss to the Rockets.

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March 18, 2024, 03:03:38 PM
 #14964

Yikes, bad day.
Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (-6.5) Lost!  
Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-3.5) - Lost! Just like I thought, it will be fun to watch. I lost my bet but that was one hell of a crazy game that ended on a buzzer-beater from Kyrie. So special. Must watch!
Orlando Magic - Toronto Raptors - Orlando Magic (-10.5) Win! Magic is strong.
Washington Wizards - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-10.5) - color=green]Win![/color] No doubt Boston will win this one.
Los Angeles Clippers - Atlanta Hawks - Los Angeles Clippers (-10.5) Lost! Clippers sucked in this game. That was not even fun to watch.

Later 8 games. Here are my picks.
Indiana Pacers - Cleveland Cavaliers  - Indiana Pacers (-4.5) - No Mitchell, no Struss, and no Mobley. The Cavs will be undermanned in this game.
Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat - Miami Heat ML - I've seen the Heat bench go crazy with their energy. No Butler today but they still have great players left especially the bench.
Boston Celtics - Detroit Pistons - Boston Celtics (-13.5)
Utah Jazz - Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves (-4.5)
Sacramento Kings - Memphis Grizzlies - Sacramento Kings (-10.5) - Kings trying to secure a safe playoff spot, they will force a big win here.

Good luck everyone.

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March 18, 2024, 04:49:49 PM
 #14965

The results of today's games didn't come as much of a surprise to me, I had even thought about starting to bet on NBA games, but I always succeed, even after analyzing the game, I still succeed in placing a bet. well, the wizard's game against celtic was the game that in terms of points showed a clear victory for celtic. in that game celtic was determined to resolve the game in the first period, winning by an advantage of 18 points, there were 45 points that cerlic scored in the first period alone, that's a lot of points and with that celtic gained a big advantage to manage comfortably the remaining periods. In the second period, Celtic won again and this time they won by a difference of 10 points and with that they remained guaranteed for the remaining periods

in the third period the celtics won again, but this time they won by a difference of just 2 points, in my opinion in the third period the celtics had a less aggressive attack and for that reason they scored few points, while since the first period they always maintained an average of 25 points, which means that it was not the wizards' defense that did well in the third period to the point of making the Celtics have few points, but rather the Celtics who scored few points. In the fourth period there was the same scenario, and this time the Celtics only scored 22 points and lost in the fourth period. probably the celtics coach, realizing the wizard's low average points, may have chosen to relax his attackers and maintain the defense and thus guarantee a comfortable victory without tiring the players too much

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March 18, 2024, 09:55:13 PM
 #14966

Another 2-1 for last night on the right side of the books last couple days.  Will try to keep it going here are my picks for tonight so far:

Knicks -6.5.  Might be a Homer bet but last 5 games keeping the opponent under 100 points, this one should be tight so long as everyone is full up playing.

Pacers -6.5. Cavs are down a couple of guys and I really thing the Pacers are gonna make a run at the 4/5 hole position here.  They are better than their record suggests.

And gimme the Celtics-15.5 here at home.  I know Detroit took them to OT this year but Celtics are steam rolling.  I expect a massive blowout.  130-107 type game.

Good luck everyone.

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March 19, 2024, 01:51:45 AM
 #14967

That Clippers game yesterday was unfortunate, and i'm glad I skipped it because they've been a hit or miss recently like they lost their groove.

Knicks -6.5.  Might be a Homer bet but last 5 games keeping the opponent under 100 points, this one should be tight so long as everyone is full up playing.
That's ballsy to go for the alternate handicap and Anunoby is out for the Knicks. The under is tempting to grab when they've been slowing down and keeping the scores below 200 points, but i'm trusting my gut on GSW to force the pace and hit the over 210.


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March 19, 2024, 02:14:36 AM
 #14968

That's ballsy to go for the alternate handicap and Anunoby is out for the Knicks. The under is tempting to grab when they've been slowing down and keeping the scores below 200 points, but i'm trusting my gut on GSW to force the pace and hit the over 210.

I couldn’t help but agree that this look an easy Over ball game, going by the lineup and roster, while Knicks are one of the worse teams to follow on this route, I also think the game will be heavily influenced by how the Golden State Warriors choose to approach this, a good offensive execution might and if the stChef could get cooking early enough the Over could be a certain one by halftime.

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March 19, 2024, 02:06:52 PM
 #14969

Indiana Pacers - Cleveland Cavaliers  - Indiana Pacers (-4.5) - Lost! Damn it! LeVert was punishing them on the offensive end. Hali's three-point shooting was not online.
Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat - Miami Heat ML - Lost! Tyrese Maxey is superb. 3 games consecutive with 30 points.
Boston Celtics - Detroit Pistons - Boston Celtics (-13.5) - Win! Blowout game.
Utah Jazz - Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves (-4.5) - Win!  Covered.
Sacramento Kings - Memphis Grizzlies - Sacramento Kings (-10.5) - Lost! - Did not cover. I need 1 more point.

But that Kings vs Grizzlies game gave me a good profit.

I am very thankful to that player who fouled Fox in the last seconds of the game despite having an 8-point lead. If not for that, the props will not win. I think it was GG Jackson, it could've been a dribbleout.

Later, 5 games. Here are my picks.
Orlando Magic - Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic (-10.5) - Magic is strong!
Brooklyn Nets - New Orleans Pelicans - New Orleans Pelicans (-5.5) - The Nets could sometimes be surprising/inconsistent so I won't go greedy.
San Antonio Spurs - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-7.5) - I bet the Mavs are pouring with confidence after that big win against the Nuggets. Luka Doncic is questionable to play.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-5.5) - An angry team, they will probably give their all tonight. If Gobert will not play again, there's a big chance the Nuggets will have an easy win. Twolves are exhausted, they might sit Edwards many times.

Good luck everyone.

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March 19, 2024, 04:52:16 PM
 #14970

Not much in the way of risk today but I didn't like the Minnesota matchup with the Nuggets or the Rockets and the Wizards.  I felt like either of those games could go either way.  A huge longshot might be betting the Wizards and Timberwolves to win, but for whatever reason I wanted to try and get a win instead of playing the odds today.  Good luck!

Brooklyn Nets - New Orleans Pelicans
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New Orleans Pelicans

San Antonio Spurs - Dallas Mavericks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Odds
1.70

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March 19, 2024, 10:20:14 PM
 #14971

The totals for the Warriors match yesterday landed easily, as the Knicks kicked it up a notch, dropping 119 points to get the win.  Cheesy

I'll try another over pick, and this will be for the Magic vs. Hornets match. The total seems to be hovering on the lower side, but I have high hopes that they can push the Hornets to score at least a hundred based on their last h2h, which ended with 240+ points.


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March 20, 2024, 12:11:55 AM
Last edit: March 20, 2024, 10:24:08 PM by Harkorede
 #14972

Not much in the way of risk today but I didn't like the Minnesota matchup with the Nuggets or the Rockets and the Wizards.  I felt like either of those games could go either way.  A huge longshot might be betting the Wizards and Timberwolves to win, but for whatever reason I wanted to try and get a win instead of playing the odds today.  Good luck!

San Antonio Spurs - Dallas Mavericks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavs looks like one of the solid teams available for today, and Doncic is available for this I’m banking of the Mavericks to take care of business early enough.

I’ve got;

Dallas Mavs -4.5 1st Half @ 1.85



GL!

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Yaunfitda
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March 20, 2024, 01:19:27 AM
 #14973

^^ Great bet on this one. It's halftime and the score is 65-56. Wolves vs Nuggets is a great game, Over 215.5 for me at 1.80 odds. This could be a high scoring game for me. Although there could be defense playing played specially against ANT as he was on fire in last couple of games. But I doubt that they will or can stop ANT. Just enjoying the first quarter now, Jokic as well have scored some points this early. Usually he starts slow and wanted to involved his team first. So good luck to everyone.

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March 20, 2024, 01:46:50 AM
 #14974

^^ Great bet on this one. It's halftime and the score is 65-56. Wolves vs Nuggets is a great game, Over 215.5 for me at 1.80 odds. This could be a high scoring game for me. Although there could be defense playing played specially against ANT as he was on fire in last couple of games. But I doubt that they will or can stop ANT. Just enjoying the first quarter now, Jokic as well have scored some points this early. Usually he starts slow and wanted to involved his team first. So good luck to everyone.

Thanks mate, but then It does feel like a lucky hit, going by the tempo of the game in the 2nd half.

—————————————

A 63-points high scoring 1st Quarter has put the Nuggets-Wolves game on the right path to get your win as well, good luck the rest of the way Wink

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March 20, 2024, 12:38:10 PM
 #14975

^^ Great bet on this one. It's halftime and the score is 65-56. Wolves vs Nuggets is a great game, Over 215.5 for me at 1.80 odds. This could be a high scoring game for me. Although there could be defense playing played specially against ANT as he was on fire in last couple of games. But I doubt that they will or can stop ANT. Just enjoying the first quarter now, Jokic as well have scored some points this early. Usually he starts slow and wanted to involved his team first. So good luck to everyone.

Thanks mate, but then It does feel like a lucky hit, going by the tempo of the game in the 2nd half.

—————————————

A 63-points high scoring 1st Quarter has put the Nuggets-Wolves game on the right path to get your win as well, good luck the rest of the way Wink
And that's what I'm banking with I did put on the bet for the game between the Nuggets and the Wolves. And I'm seeing that in the first quarter alone, it will be at least 60 points. There's is also that chance that the game could go in Overtime if only if ANT was able to make that 3. So right now, he still has a lot to improved specially that moment wherein he could alter the game with that one buzzer shot like what Kyrie did the other day against the Nuggets. And maybe at the back of their mind, not again, lol, that a final shot will decide whether the will win or not as they might go into overtime.

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March 20, 2024, 02:06:26 PM
 #14976

Orlando Magic - Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic (-10.5) Win! I told you guys, the Magic is strong. Grin
Brooklyn Nets - New Orleans Pelicans - New Orleans Pelicans (-5.5) Win! They did not even let the Nets get close.
San Antonio Spurs - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-7.5) Loss! - Did not cover. The Spurs just keep on fighting back.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-5.5) Loss! Not covered too. The Timberwolves somehow find a way to fight back using McDaniels, Antman, and their bench.

8 games later. Nice. Here are my picks.
Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.5) - So many injured players on both teams, I guess I'll just take the home team and trust LeVert and Garland to step up their game.
Detroit Pistons - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (-7.5) - This should be easy.
Toronto Raptors - Sacramento Kings - Sacramento Kings (-9.5) - The Kings need this win to stay in the 6th spot. Might as well blow them out to have a good rest because they will be playing back-to-back road games.
Boston Celtics - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (12.5) - Yeah, I'll take that. Giannis is questionable but this is still a decent team.
Portland Trail Blazers - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-10.5)

It's hard to pick. The upper ranks are battling the underdogs. Most lines are -10 upward.
Anyway, good luck to everyone, I might just try during live games for the remaining ones.


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March 20, 2024, 02:11:57 PM
 #14977

It's hard to pick. The upper ranks are battling the underdogs. Most lines are -10 upward.
Anyway, good luck to everyone, I might just try during live games for the remaining ones.

At this point, it's easier to just select a high spreads like -10 and up as most of the time they'll cover the spread. Typical bettors would probably choose the underdog with a high handicap without realizing that bookies cannot be outsmarted, they set this line like a trap, so either we ride with them or just follow the public perception. I'll choose the big favorites tomorrow with a high spread.

Pacers -9.5
Boston -10.5
Kings -11
OKC -15
Warriors -11
Clippers -12
Suns -9.

let's see how many will will win...

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March 20, 2024, 05:37:33 PM
 #14978

A ton of mismatches today so there wasn't really much to do but bet the favorites.  I left out a couple of games that I thought could possibly go either way but for the most part these games should all go the way we think they will.  It would be a pretty big upset if one of these games was a loser, but with this many games in a parlay it's always a risk.  Good luck!

Detroit Pistons - Indiana Pacers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Indiana Pacers

Boston Celtics - Milwaukee Bucks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

Toronto Raptors - Sacramento Kings
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Sacramento Kings

Portland Trail Blazers - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Golden State Warriors - Memphis Grizzlies
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Golden State Warriors

Phoenix Suns - Philadelphia 76ers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Odds
2.88

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March 20, 2024, 09:04:44 PM
 #14979

Another 2-1 for last night on the right side of the books last couple days.  Will try to keep it going here are my picks for tonight so far:

Knicks -6.5.  Might be a Homer bet but last 5 games keeping the opponent under 100 points, this one should be tight so long as everyone is full up playing.

Pacers -6.5. Cavs are down a couple of guys and I really thing the Pacers are gonna make a run at the 4/5 hole position here.  They are better than their record suggests.

And gimme the Celtics-15.5 here at home.  I know Detroit took them to OT this year but Celtics are steam rolling.  I expect a massive blowout.  130-107 type game.

Good luck everyone.

Another 2 and 1 night.  Knicks were dicey once OG was out but they have been playing great team ball lately.  Cavs game shocked me but hey anything can happen...and Boston they are just straight rolling through the season.  Going to be tough for anyone to beat them in a 7 game series.

Tonight I have just one pick and laying it all down on...

The Suns-9.  At home and with a relatively healthy squad I like their shot here at under double digits.


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March 20, 2024, 09:13:14 PM
 #14980

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Clippers
The LA Clippers have fallen off the top of the Western Conference with their recent slump, and this calls for a serious turnaround effort. Especially in their 17 point loss to the Atlanta Hawks, the Clippers didn't put up much of a fight. This shows that losing is inevitable. It's worrying that no Clippers player other than Leonard and George reached double digits and James Harden didn't perform as expected. However, the LA Clippers 2-0 lead over the Portland Trail Blazers this season and their dominance in the last seven games between the two teams could give the LA Clippers a mental edge in this game.
Portland, on the other hand, struggles with ball sharing and falls short. While the recent consistent performances of Anfernee Simons and Deandre Ayton have been promising, Portland is well below league level. In this two game series, which is critical for both the Clippers and the Blazers, I think the Clippers will win based on their in form players and past superiority.

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