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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115078 times)
morvillz7z
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March 25, 2024, 10:30:53 PM
Last edit: March 26, 2024, 01:56:07 AM by morvillz7z
 #15021

M. McBride 15+ PRA / D. DiVincenzo 1+ stocks / Pistons Under 103.5 @1.86  won

The Knicks' starting lineup/rotation have been slightly tweaked in the last couple of games. McBride now starts in place of Achiuwa (and injured OG Anunoby). McBride has 47, 44, and 48 minutes /L3, which is absolutely insane...Thibs knows how to run his players into the ground. Lol   With so much playing time, it's near impossible not to get 15+ PRA. McBride has covered in all three games he's started, averaging 26+ PRA in that span.

DET give the second most turnovers in the league, and DiVincenzo's current run of 1+ stocks is 17. It's a match made in heaven.

I don't think the Pistons will go above 100 points. Jaden Ivey is the only starter who is not injured, a bunch of third-stringers playing. They just had a 10-point quarter against the Pels and are up against the Knicks, who lead the league in points allowed /L10  at 95.  Knicks last four home games: BKN/93, 2xPHI/79, ORL/74.

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March 25, 2024, 11:17:23 PM
 #15022

Both teams almost scored 300 points in a game, they finished with a total of 295 points. this coudl be the biggest total of points this season I guess. It was the pace of the Pacers on this game but I'm surprise that the Lakers were able to play with the pace, I don't know they could score 250 points in a game, just an impressive match up for the two, Pacers try to avenge their loss during the in season finals but fall short.
The amount of points they've made is similar to an all-star game. Tongue

The Lakers can always match the pace of the teams they face when they're at home and I think the biggest difference is the number of free throws they've made, which was close to 40 while the Pacers only had like 16 and missed half of them.


Time to ride one of the hottest teams recently and that's the Houston Rockets. They lost against the Blazers in their last meeting, but I don't think we'll get to see another close game with how they've been winning dominantly.


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March 26, 2024, 09:55:14 AM
 #15023

Anyone got destroyed by the Celtics losing to the Hawks by just 2 points?

I watch it early and I said that the Celtics are going to cover the double digit handicap again as they build a 28 point lead at one point. But in the 3rd quarter, the Hawks started to make the 3's and then the Celtics making turnovers.

But still though they manage to continue to have like 8-9 points separation but it quickly evaporated as well in the last minute. Congrats to those who do live betting and pre game on the Hawks here.

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March 26, 2024, 05:36:20 PM
 #15024

Not going to lie...  I don't even believe this pick will hit.  I definitely wouldn't recommend following it...  For whatever reason though I saw the schedule and thought it might be funny to bet against all the California teams today.  Probably a joke with a cost, but here it is.  Happy Tuesday! 

Milwaukee Bucks - Los Angeles Lakers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Milwaukee Bucks

Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Miami Heat

Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Odds
5.33

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March 26, 2024, 05:42:30 PM
 #15025

Cleveland Cavaliers - Charlotte Hornets - Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5) - Won!
New York Knicks - Detroit Pistons - New York Knicks (-14.5) - Won! The Knicks are really good at keeping their opponents' total score below 100. Piston scored only 99 points.
Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-10.5) Loss!
Houston Rockets - Portland Trail Blazers - Houston Rockets (-11.5) Won!
San Antonio Spurs - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns (-10.5) Loss!

No parlay won yesterday. The Celtics broke my line and then the Suns too. Both the Hawks and Spurs won an upset.

4 games later. Here are my picks.
Milwaukee Bucks - Los Angeles Lakers - Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5) - Lebron James is not playing and Anthony Davis is probable to play. Still, I don't want to underestimate the Lakers so I am not taking that -10.
Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors (-1.5) - The Warriors are starting great but it's the closing that they are having trouble with. Perhaps this road game will change that.
New Orleans Pelicans - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-3.5)
Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML - This will be the game that I will definitely not miss.

Good luck everyone, have a nice day.

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March 26, 2024, 09:24:43 PM
 #15026

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors.
Both teams are going through a critical period. Miami is fighting for a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, while Golden State is trying not to fall out of the play-in standings in the Western Conference. Miami's win against Cleveland and its gap with the Indiana Pacers gives Miami hope for the sixth seed.
Golden State has also lost six of its last nine games and dropped to tenth place in the Western Conference. In this situation, I would say that Miami has the home court advantage and its recent performance gives it a leg up in this matchup. The Miami Heat is the favorite in this game, with the capacity to win despite the absence of its key player Tyler Herro. Golden State, led by Stephen Curry and with players like Klay Thompson, can always be dangerous, but their slump in recent games is worrying. Miami Heat are the favorites to win.

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March 26, 2024, 10:55:09 PM
 #15027

Anyone got destroyed by the Celtics losing to the Hawks by just 2 points?
I avoided that match as we had a full slate yesterday with better matches to bet on.

Unfortunately, that's how the Celtics always roll, they always have a perfect start and then sometimes have a subpar second half. That's why the most recommended bets to take on most of their matches are usually the first-quarter or first-half handicap depending on your preference.


I don't dig these close matchups for today and will go for another total bet (over 215.5). The Miami Heat usually hits the under on their matches, but I think the Warriors will change that since their pace is significantly higher, and with these two needing the win, i'm expecting nonstop buckets.


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March 27, 2024, 02:49:39 AM
 #15028

All the California teams I bet against in my parlay are going to end up winning tonight unless the Kings blow it to the Mavericks. An absolutely disgraceful betting performance on my part. I guess there’s only one way to go from here.

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March 27, 2024, 04:23:54 AM
 #15029

All the California teams I bet against in my parlay are going to end up winning tonight unless the Kings blow it to the Mavericks. An absolutely disgraceful betting performance on my part. I guess there’s only one way to go from here.

There is no lighting the Beam today for the Sacramento Kings because Doncic, Kyrie Irving and the Dallas Mavericks are in town... What a game that was, The Dallas Mavericks completely turned it around in the 3rd Quarter and currently hold about 30 points lead early in the fourth quarter... I really personally don't like betting on NBA games when there are only 4-5 games being played for the night because I believe my opinion get skewed and I'm forced to select one of 4 teams or lines that I might not have gone with If I have plethora of choices to pick from.

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March 27, 2024, 07:45:30 AM
 #15030

All the California teams I bet against in my parlay are going to end up winning tonight unless the Kings blow it to the Mavericks. An absolutely disgraceful betting performance on my part. I guess there’s only one way to go from here.
California teams went 2-2 but if you pick all 4 away teams you win 4 legged parlay. There were no home court wins tonight; all the away teams won. Bucks disappointed me once more B-ucks S-ucks. I noticed some lucky bettors got 14X odds on the Lakers because the Bucks dominated the first quarter. Congrats to them.

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March 27, 2024, 09:19:56 AM
Last edit: March 27, 2024, 09:45:14 AM by Hypnosis00
 #15031

All the California teams I bet against in my parlay are going to end up winning tonight unless the Kings blow it to the Mavericks. An absolutely disgraceful betting performance on my part. I guess there’s only one way to go from here.
California teams went 2-2 but if you pick all 4 away teams you win 4 legged parlay. There were no home court wins tonight; all the away teams won. Bucks disappointed me once more B-ucks S-ucks. I noticed some lucky bettors got 14X odds on the Lakers because the Bucks dominated the first quarter. Congrats to them.
Lakers came back from a 19 points deficit to beat the Bucks in OT. Reaves once again upset another top team in the East when he is leading the team. This man is clutch, he can excel when Lebron is out, LOL.. Can the Lakers still win in the playoffs without Bron? I mean, this team moves the ball well because they trust each other, no much dribbling done, they are passing the ball and find an open man.

This could be true.

https://www.facebook.com/basketballforever/posts/pfbid02QJoZL35QDnb5uNzApCz4KtM8gMA4LhfA7BbJjvp5i4XxPSR5bLRst2qAqB3MrGtjl

Quote
The Lakers have a higher winning percentage WITHOUT LeBron James than with him this season 🤷🏽‍♂️

R


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March 27, 2024, 10:00:27 AM
 #15032

Okay, next stop..

Rockets -11.5. (WIN). And this roll should continue, Warriors loss to Minny, a win here will make the Rockets tie with the Warriors in wins but they are still at number 11..

Suns -12.5 (LOSS)
The win should continue as their ranking has improved, they need to keep at least at number 6 where they are sitting currently.

Dallas -8. (WON
Road game but Jazz had already given up, they are not winning games anymore because they are not interested, Dallas should get another blowout win.


Updated record 46(W)-48(L)..... 49%

2-1. still in red overall. had a one day break, now let's proceed.

Cavaliers -10.5
This like a rematch but this time at the homecourt of the Hornets. Still, it doesn't matter as I don't see the Hornets winning here or even covering the spread since they also struggle at home (9-24).


Rockets +6
Hottest team so far, they might even upset the OKC who played a back to back game, but I'll take the + points all day.


Warriors +5
If the Warriors will loss, hopefully they'll cover. I just like them because I know they'll play hard in a situation where every game is very important.


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March 27, 2024, 03:35:25 PM
 #15033

Milwaukee Bucks - Los Angeles Lakers - Milwaukee Bucks (-7.5) Loss! I said to not underestimate the Lakers, I was right, they did better.
Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors (-1.5) Win! Easy win for the Warriors. No Butler, yes problem for the Heat.
New Orleans Pelicans - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-3.5) Win! - Somehow OKC found a way to put a gap against the Pelicans, they are playing great even without BI.
Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML Win! - The Mavs had fun playing with the Kings. Grin Blowout!

12 games later. Wow, that's a lot. Here are my picks.
Charlotte Hornets - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5)
Orlando Magic - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors ML - Not a recommended bet, this is purely emotional. I want the Warriors to win but the Magic are strong. I hope they play hard today.
Philadelphia 76ers - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-5.5) - I know the Clippers had been playing badly for the past 10 games but they badly need every win they can get and I think what happened last time against the Pacers made them realize that.
Toronto Raptors - New York Knicks - New York Knicks (-11.5) - If the Knicks can prevent them from going above 100 points then this spread might be covered.
Oklahoma City Thunder - Houston Rockets - Houston Rockets ML @3.20 - Another risky bet. Not recommended.
Chicago Bulls - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (-1.5)

Good luck everyone!

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March 27, 2024, 05:01:01 PM
 #15034

Trying to recover from yesterday's loss with a W today.  These games are all pretty lopsided.  I was tempted to throw an Indiana win in as well but thought that might be getting a little greedy.  Still, these are pretty good odds for 4 games that should all be easy wins for these teams.  I'm actually surprised the odds are so high on this one and feel like it's a pretty decent bet to make for today.  Smiley


Toronto Raptors - New York Knicks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New York Knicks

Philadelphia 76ers - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Memphis Grizzlies - Los Angeles Lakers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Lakers

Minnesota Timberwolves - Detroit Pistons
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Minnesota Timberwolves

Odds
2.72

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wheelz1200
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March 27, 2024, 09:43:19 PM
 #15035

Took a couple nights off and am diving into 3 games tonight:

Knicks -13.5. - maybe a Homer fan pick but knicks are playing great basketball and Toronto is just spiraling right now.  On the road but I still like the Knicks chances to cover here

Lakers -4.5.  On the road but they are making a push for a playoff spot and right now they need to climb the ranks to not get an away game in the playin.

Pacers -2.5. All away games today but I like the surging Pacers here.  They match up better than the bulls do here.

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March 27, 2024, 11:00:17 PM
Last edit: March 27, 2024, 11:43:12 PM by ralle14
 #15036

My over for the Warriors match got cooked yesterday, it was on pace to hit the over until the game slowed down in the second half.

This might be one of the rare days where i'll be fading the Warriors, but only for the first half because the Magic are similar to the Celtics where they always get off to a hot start in the first half. Going for the full-game handicap is too risky since I still think the Warriors can cover if they bounce back in the third quarter.



Edit: Never mind what an atrocious first quarter from the Magic, I doubt they can cover this one within the next quarter.

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Japinat
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March 28, 2024, 06:41:48 AM
 #15037

My over for the Warriors match got cooked yesterday, it was on pace to hit the over until the game slowed down in the second half.

This might be one of the rare days where i'll be fading the Warriors, but only for the first half because the Magic are similar to the Celtics where they always get off to a hot start in the first half. Going for the full-game handicap is too risky since I still think the Warriors can cover if they bounce back in the third quarter.



Edit: Never mind what an atrocious first quarter from the Magic, I doubt they can cover this one within the next quarter.

Warriors got a lot of energy in that game despite playing a back to back game. Looks like they are really serious in protecting their current standing to qualify in the play-in. Same goes with the Rockets, they won in the OT vs the les SGA OKC, and since both teams won, Rockets will continue to hang around waiting for the chance to be in the top 10.

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Baofeng
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March 28, 2024, 08:23:00 AM
 #15038

My over for the Warriors match got cooked yesterday, it was on pace to hit the over until the game slowed down in the second half.

This might be one of the rare days where i'll be fading the Warriors, but only for the first half because the Magic are similar to the Celtics where they always get off to a hot start in the first half. Going for the full-game handicap is too risky since I still think the Warriors can cover if they bounce back in the third quarter.



Edit: Never mind what an atrocious first quarter from the Magic, I doubt they can cover this one within the next quarter.

Warriors got a lot of energy in that game despite playing a back to back game. Looks like they are really serious in protecting their current standing to qualify in the play-in. Same goes with the Rockets, they won in the OT vs the les SGA OKC, and since both teams won, Rockets will continue to hang around waiting for the chance to be in the top 10.

Good thing I didn't bet in this game, thinking that the Magic is going to have a easy win at their homecourt. And when I saw that Draymond is out because of 2 tech fouls, no way that the Warriors are going to put this kind of numbers. JK is also out but Wiggins play one of his best game here.

So it's going to be a fight between the Warriors and Rockets, and who blinks losses their position.

Congrats for those who see the Warriors winning here.

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danherbias07
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March 28, 2024, 05:40:16 PM
 #15039

Charlotte Hornets - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5) Loss! I missed the game so what the fuck just happened? Grin
Orlando Magic - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors ML Win!
Philadelphia 76ers - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-5.5) Loss!
Toronto Raptors - New York Knicks - New York Knicks (-11.5) Win! Blowout game. No trouble for the Knicks, they didn't prevent them from under 100 but it's just 101 points, that's still something.
Oklahoma City Thunder - Houston Rockets - Houston Rockets ML @3.20 Win! This gave me a good win for this day. Lovely!
Chicago Bulls - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (-1.5) Loss!

Later we just have 2 games. Here are my picks.

Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-14.5)
New Orleans Pelicans - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks ML

Good luck everyone.

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March 28, 2024, 07:06:29 PM
 #15040

Not much in the way of a mindblowing bet today.  Trying to build on yesterday's win with another W.  This bet is almost not even worth making though due to the odds being so low.  I think the chances are high that Golden State could lose also considering how their last game went.  That team has some internal issues to work though...

Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

Charlotte Hornets - Golden State Warriors
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Golden State Warriors

San Antonio Spurs - New York Knicks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New York Knicks

Odds
1.62

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