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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 116298 times)
ralle14
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May 01, 2024, 10:38:23 PM
 #15261

I'm changing it up a bit this time, instead of the first-half spread i'll go with their first-half team total since their first-half spread is close to -10 and you never know if the Heat switches to desperation mode in this elimination game.

The Celtics are already 3/4 in hitting this first-half total, and the only time they came short was during the previous road game in Miami with 53 points.


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May 01, 2024, 10:46:25 PM
 #15262

New York Knicks - Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks (-2.5) Loss!
Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic ML @2.65. Loss! So close.
Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (-1.5) Loss! The Bucks surprised me there. Nice.

2 games later.
Boston Celtics - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (15.5) Like @wheelz1200 said, Celtics smell blood but I know the Heat could at least fight back. Keep the game as close as possible.
Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-1.5) The Mavs need to snatch this one if they want to end it in their home in Game 6. I am rooting for them.

Good luck guys.

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May 02, 2024, 02:03:40 AM
 #15263

I'm changing it up a bit this time, instead of the first-half spread i'll go with their first-half team total since their first-half spread is close to -10 and you never know if the Heat switches to desperation mode in this elimination game.

The Celtics are already 3/4 in hitting this first-half total, and the only time they came short was during the previous road game in Miami with 53 points.



No problem with Boston they covered the spread getting 68 points in the first half making sure to established that strong leads and continue until the game ends, Miami unable to rally back as Boston always have a counter and the defense they are all present to make sure that Miami will not put that pressure again and snatch the game from them.

Congrats with your good pick, I guess if Orlando will manage to win their upcoming game and extend the series to a do-or-die game it will be a good long rest for Boston.

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Harkorede
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May 02, 2024, 03:46:26 AM
 #15264

I guess if Orlando will manage to win their upcoming game and extend the series to a do-or-die game it will be a good long rest for Boston.

Good rest indeed, but I don't think the Miami Heat series took any significant toll on them enough to wear them out or exhaust them if the Magic vs Cleveland series doesn't get extended, I don't know if I'm reading too much into Celtics ball game, but then I really expect either team that make it off that series to do so better than what Miami Heat has done against this Celtics roster.

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May 02, 2024, 12:03:03 PM
 #15265

I guess if Orlando will manage to win their upcoming game and extend the series to a do-or-die game it will be a good long rest for Boston.

Good rest indeed, but I don't think the Miami Heat series took any significant toll on them enough to wear them out or exhaust them if the Magic vs Cleveland series doesn't get extended, I don't know if I'm reading too much into Celtics ball game, but then I really expect either team that make it off that series to do so better than what Miami Heat has done against this Celtics roster.
Had time away from the early match in the play-offs yesterday as I had more concerning matters to attend too.
So when had a chance to relax and rest from a frustrating long day at work, turned on the last match of the day to see the Dallas Mavericks putting a pounding on a rather distraught Los Angeles Clippers full squad still on the floor. While Doncic and all others on the Mavericks side were on the bench.
And why not with a 25+ point lead!
What an utter failure and playing at home to their own fans!
Just utter disgraceful in a play-offs game which they are now leading 3-2 and probably will take in on their homecourt in Dallas.

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May 02, 2024, 02:47:05 PM
 #15266

I can't decide which team to pick for tonight's games because I think the matches will be crucial. It's just Game 6 anyway. So, I just did a bet builder instead. But if you ask me who will win I think it will be the Milwaukee Bucks and the New York Knicks. Might be the end for the 76ers & Milwaukee Bucks. But I still believe even without Giannis & Dame I think Bucks can manage to win this series. Here's my bet builder player props


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AbuBhakar
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May 02, 2024, 02:53:59 PM
 #15267

I can't decide which team to pick for tonight's games because I think the matches will be crucial. It's just Game 6 anyway. So, I just did a bet builder instead. But if you ask me who will win I think it will be the Milwaukee Bucks and the New York Knicks. Might be the end for the 76ers & Milwaukee Bucks. But I still believe even without Giannis & Dame I think Bucks can manage to win this series. Here's my bet builder player props



It’s impressive how Middleton and Portis carry the bucks against Pacers with their current roster. I’m not trying to give a bad omen here but it’s very hard to think that they can carry Bucks to reverse the series since Pacers coach might probably already think about counter measure for the Bucks since they are readable due to lack of players.

Honestly, I want Bucks to advance on this series since Giannis and Dame is almost close to returning if ever they can survive this series. But with current line-up of Bucks, it’s dumb for Pacers coach to not kill them while Bucks is still weak. Pacers has the capability to end the series if they will just break the game of Middleton which is known for being inconsistent in playoffs.

Anyway GL with your bet.

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May 02, 2024, 04:25:54 PM
 #15268

Boston Celtics - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (15.5) Loss!
Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-1.5) Win!

After I lost my bet on the Miami Heat, I thought about chasing my losses in a different way, I was lucky.

I added one more bet for the Mavs and the Over. Thankfully, the garbage time was so good and Jaden Hardy was on fire getting all those 14 points in garbage time and the Clippers bench was answering back.

Great snatch from the Mavs. Luka was on fire while Kyrie was focused on defense. They can now end it in Game 6 at their homecourt.

Later, 2 games. Here are my picks.
Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers (-5.5)
Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks - New York Knicks ML

Good luck with your bets everyone!

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May 02, 2024, 05:41:15 PM
 #15269

A new multi-bet for today's NBA playoff action.  While I think there's a good chance the Bucks lose tonight without their stars, I'm giving them the +7.5 to at least make it close.  This bet worries me a little because teams have a tendency to give up and get slaughtered when their season is over, so I wouldn't be shocked if the Bucks lost by 30 tonight.  We'll see...  A similar story for the 76ers, but I think they're going to be able to pull out another victory and take this series to 7.

Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
Milwaukee Bucks (7.5)

Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Philadelphia 76ers

Odds
2.87

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May 02, 2024, 08:05:27 PM
 #15270

Haven't had that good a run so far so looking for a breakout day here.  Bet all 3 remaining games I didn't touch that cavs game.  Can't figure them out.

Pelicans +1.5, shoukd be a close game tie goes to the home team.  Okc is young amd this might be a tough one

Heat +10.5, they showed last game they are here to play.  Being underdogs by double digits as the home team doesn't sit well with me.  Gimme the heat.

Heat/Celtics over 204.5. I know the unders have hit hard but I think the Celtics score enough to push the heat to push the pace.

Good luck and enjoy the games!

Dam another 0-3 night I'm getting torched these playoffs lol.  So why not 3 more bets lol.

Taking the home Pacers-10.5 with no Dame and no giannis.  I think they will be rudderless and with haliburton he will control the tempo.

Suns -1.5 just like the Lakers think back against the wall they squeeze one out, they have to right? 

Also taking over 213.5.  I think it will be a frenetic pace, and at the end if it's close lots of foul shots.  Can see a 115-110 type of game.

Enjoy the rest of the games and good luck

Finally a positive bet day.  Went 2-1 still need a full night sweep here.  Got 3 in so far here they are:

Knicks -4.5, should be another tight game but with the series on the line if they are up in the 4th I expect 76ers to reach on defense opening up foul shots and easy buckets if they can convert.  Close the series out!

Knicks 76ers under 203.5. Can easily see another drawn out physical low scoring game.  102-95 Knicks win tonight

Orlando +5.5 at the cavs.  Yeah they are away but I think they got the cavs shook right now.  Gimme the streaking team.

Enjoy the games and go knicks!!

Brutal in more ways than 1.  Shoukd have gone 3-0 but the knciks completely and utterly collapsed in the last 30 seconds.  Brutal as a gambler and a knick fan.  I'm sick but hey ho here is another day.  Got 2 picks in and calling it a day:

Boston -13.5 they smell blood and they close the series out at home.  This should be a tough one even though they lost kp for some time. 

Clippers +3.5 I like Dallas here but giving points to the road team seems crazy, gimme the home team here.

Good luck and enjoy the games

Shoukd have taken Dallas lol.  Well a split isn't so bad.  Tonight I got in 3 bets

Pacers -6.5 I think they wrap it up at home with the hurting bucks.

Knicks +3.5 again it shoudk be a dogfight but I like the Knicks chances.

And double loaded up on the under in the Knicks game.  Under 201.5.  This series has been hard fought every game and this should be no.different.  slow drawn out game with tight defense every play.

Good luck tonight and go knicks!

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May 02, 2024, 10:25:29 PM
 #15271

Congrats with your good pick, I guess if Orlando will manage to win their upcoming game and extend the series to a do-or-die game it will be a good long rest for Boston.
Thanks, and yeah they made it look easy throughout the game by winning every quarter against the Heat.

It's nice that most of us are on the Pacers to close out the series and cover the spread. There's no way the Pacers will play that sloppy again, and it'll take some insane luck for the Bucks to shoot above 50% for two games in a row.



And double loaded up on the under in the Knicks game.  Under 201.5.  This series has been hard fought every game and this should be no.different.  slow drawn out game with tight defense every play.
BOL on the Sixers/Knicks under. I also think it should hit since it's an elimination game, and both teams can't afford to make many mistakes in today's game.

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May 03, 2024, 01:02:39 PM
 #15272

Miami +10.5 loss.. Last game was a blowout win by the Celtics, just like in game 1, I like to see the Miami Heat making adjustment in game 4. I'm hoping it will be a close game so the Heat loss, they can cover with their high handicap.

Nuggets -7.5 loss
This is a no brainer, a close out game for the Nuggets, they should give everything here as they can't afford to take this series back to LA where the pressure could be higher.

Pelicans +4.5 loss
For the last time, I like to see them having a competitive game like they did in game 1.

Updated record 8(W)-13(L)..... 38%

Same result a day before, still 0-3.

Let's break that losing streak.

Magic -4, I'm following the same pattern, both teams are good at their home court, so the Magic should be able to tie the series and cover the spread.

Dallas -8 .  last game they beat the Clippers by 30 points, I'm seeing the same scenario, Dallas will be starting strong as they need to finish the series here.

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May 03, 2024, 02:51:24 PM
 #15273


It’s impressive how Middleton and Portis carry the bucks against Pacers with their current roster. I’m not trying to give a bad omen here but it’s very hard to think that they can carry Bucks to reverse the series since Pacers coach might probably already think about counter measure for the Bucks since they are readable due to lack of players.

Honestly, I want Bucks to advance on this series since Giannis and Dame is almost close to returning if ever they can survive this series. But with current line-up of Bucks, it’s dumb for Pacers coach to not kill them while Bucks is still weak. Pacers has the capability to end the series if they will just break the game of Middleton which is known for being inconsistent in playoffs.

Anyway GL with your bet.

As expected, Bucks can’t stop the elimination even with Dame back with their roster since Middleton can’t perform the same big game that he had during the previous game when they won. Probably he was intimidated on Dame presence since he get less ball time compared when he and Portis are the only scorer.

Sad to see that Bucks and Phila early exit on this playoffs just their Big man can’t perform properly/absent on the game. All the efforts that they put just to be on playoffs just wasted due to bullshit injury.

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May 03, 2024, 03:22:05 PM
 #15274

Miami +10.5 loss.. Last game was a blowout win by the Celtics, just like in game 1, I like to see the Miami Heat making adjustment in game 4. I'm hoping it will be a close game so the Heat loss, they can cover with their high handicap.

Nuggets -7.5 loss
This is a no brainer, a close out game for the Nuggets, they should give everything here as they can't afford to take this series back to LA where the pressure could be higher.

Pelicans +4.5 loss
For the last time, I like to see them having a competitive game like they did in game 1.

Updated record 8(W)-13(L)..... 38%

Same result a day before, still 0-3.

Let's break that losing streak.

Magic -4, I'm following the same pattern, both teams are good at their home court, so the Magic should be able to tie the series and cover the spread.

Dallas -8 .  last game they beat the Clippers by 30 points, I'm seeing the same scenario, Dallas will be starting strong as they need to finish the series here.

I have the Magic at -3.5 at their home court, and they are a good home team, so it's a good chance that they will tie the series.

Will likely just watch the Dallas vs Clippers game.

And I do agree that the Sixers and Bucks early exit are unexpected, but what can they do when Giannis and Dame got injured, and so is Joel Embiid. They have a good season, but the injuries though, oh well tough luck for them this season.

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May 03, 2024, 03:52:04 PM
 #15275

Miami +10.5 loss.. Last game was a blowout win by the Celtics, just like in game 1, I like to see the Miami Heat making adjustment in game 4. I'm hoping it will be a close game so the Heat loss, they can cover with their high handicap.

Nuggets -7.5 loss
This is a no brainer, a close out game for the Nuggets, they should give everything here as they can't afford to take this series back to LA where the pressure could be higher.

Pelicans +4.5 loss
For the last time, I like to see them having a competitive game like they did in game 1.

Updated record 8(W)-13(L)..... 38%

Same result a day before, still 0-3.

Let's break that losing streak.

Magic -4, I'm following the same pattern, both teams are good at their home court, so the Magic should be able to tie the series and cover the spread.

Dallas -8 .  last game they beat the Clippers by 30 points, I'm seeing the same scenario, Dallas will be starting strong as they need to finish the series here.

I have the Magic at -3.5 at their home court, and they are a good home team, so it's a good chance that they will tie the series.

Will likely just watch the Dallas vs Clippers game.

Same with you mate. One of the Cavaliers best players Allen is probably not gonna play, so the Magic should win here.
Judging on the last 2 games on the same venue, Magic manage to beat the cavaliers via double digit, they should be able to do it again in a do or die game.


And I do agree that the Sixers and Bucks early exit are unexpected, but what can they do when Giannis and Dame got injured, and so is Joel Embiid. They have a good season, but the injuries though, oh well tough luck for them this season.

I expected the Bucks will exit the moment Giannis was announced he'll not play, but the Sixers, nah, I thought they have a great chance of winning even if Embiid is not 100%, but they loss at their homecourt, and no game 7, but that's alright, aat least they fought, especially Embiid who played despite of the injury.

R


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May 03, 2024, 05:49:06 PM
 #15276

Indiana Pacers - Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers (-5.5) - Win! The Bucks badly need Giannis to win their games. The Pacers will advance to the 2nd round.
Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks - New York Knicks ML - Win! That was a fun game to watch, if you missed it, it's worth the replay.

2 games later. Win or go home.
Orlando Magic - Cleveland Cavaliers - Cleveland Cavaliers ML I did trust the Magic back in the season but this is the game time where veterans could dominate and I think Donovan Mitchell will show it.
Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Clippers - Dallas Mavericks (-5.5) Luka was not feeling good when they won game 5, what more if he is alright? Cheesy
I am expecting the Mavs duo to do a lot of damage.

Good luck everyone.

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May 03, 2024, 09:12:06 PM
 #15277

Haven't had that good a run so far so looking for a breakout day here.  Bet all 3 remaining games I didn't touch that cavs game.  Can't figure them out.

Pelicans +1.5, shoukd be a close game tie goes to the home team.  Okc is young amd this might be a tough one

Heat +10.5, they showed last game they are here to play.  Being underdogs by double digits as the home team doesn't sit well with me.  Gimme the heat.

Heat/Celtics over 204.5. I know the unders have hit hard but I think the Celtics score enough to push the heat to push the pace.

Good luck and enjoy the games!

Dam another 0-3 night I'm getting torched these playoffs lol.  So why not 3 more bets lol.

Taking the home Pacers-10.5 with no Dame and no giannis.  I think they will be rudderless and with haliburton he will control the tempo.

Suns -1.5 just like the Lakers think back against the wall they squeeze one out, they have to right? 

Also taking over 213.5.  I think it will be a frenetic pace, and at the end if it's close lots of foul shots.  Can see a 115-110 type of game.

Enjoy the rest of the games and good luck

Finally a positive bet day.  Went 2-1 still need a full night sweep here.  Got 3 in so far here they are:

Knicks -4.5, should be another tight game but with the series on the line if they are up in the 4th I expect 76ers to reach on defense opening up foul shots and easy buckets if they can convert.  Close the series out!

Knicks 76ers under 203.5. Can easily see another drawn out physical low scoring game.  102-95 Knicks win tonight

Orlando +5.5 at the cavs.  Yeah they are away but I think they got the cavs shook right now.  Gimme the streaking team.

Enjoy the games and go knicks!!

Brutal in more ways than 1.  Shoukd have gone 3-0 but the knciks completely and utterly collapsed in the last 30 seconds.  Brutal as a gambler and a knick fan.  I'm sick but hey ho here is another day.  Got 2 picks in and calling it a day:

Boston -13.5 they smell blood and they close the series out at home.  This should be a tough one even though they lost kp for some time. 

Clippers +3.5 I like Dallas here but giving points to the road team seems crazy, gimme the home team here.

Good luck and enjoy the games

Shoukd have taken Dallas lol.  Well a split isn't so bad.  Tonight I got in 3 bets

Pacers -6.5 I think they wrap it up at home with the hurting bucks.

Knicks +3.5 again it shoudk be a dogfight but I like the Knicks chances.

And double loaded up on the under in the Knicks game.  Under 201.5.  This series has been hard fought every game and this should be no.different.  slow drawn out game with tight defense every play.

Good luck tonight and go knicks!

Well dam loaded up on the wrong bet lol.  The over hit but I won the 2 games so net/net even last night.  Either way it's a win for me the Knicks move on.

Tonight a couple closeout games.  I have bets on both games:

Taking orlando -3.5 they looked great at home and cavs only won by 1 last game.  I will take the home team here and this goes to a game 7!

Also taking the home team in Dallas.  -8.5 was a lot but I think they tighten the screws at home and win by double digits ending the series. 

Good luck and enjoy the games!

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May 03, 2024, 09:52:13 PM
Last edit: May 04, 2024, 01:43:41 AM by morvillz7z
 #15278

P. Banchero 20+ points / P. Banchero 1+ 3pts / F. Wagner 4+ assists @2.07  X

I expect the Mavericks to send Clippers packing later tonight, leaving the Orlando/Cavs series as our only hope for a Game 7 in the first round of the playoffs...and who doesn't want a Game 7?

Banchero leads the Magic in PTS/FGA/3PA, he's had one off game thus far where he finished with 9 points, but i don't see that happening again, plus he was spectacular in Game 5. He's scored 20+ points in 4/L5, averaging 25 in that span. I don't think the Cavs will change how they guard the PnR of him and Wagner on the perimeter, if Banchero pops out, they'll give him the 3pt all day and almost dare him to shoot. Banchero has 1+ 3pts in 4/L5 in the series, and 38% 3pt ain't that bad either.

Franz Wagner leads the team in assists and potential assists*. I'd like to see him be even more aggressive at attacking the rim where he can find people open once the defense has collapsed, ORL role players usually shoot higher % at home too. 18 assists in /L3, expanded playmaking role, the rest of the team just have to make their shots, simple as.

source: https://twitter.com/AdamKoffler/status/1786506980808380846
Quote
I asked Coach Mosley about Franz Wagner averaging nearly FIVE MORE potential assists per game in the postseason than the regular season

His response involved every player on the team becoming a decision-maker with the ball on their hands

It’s ALWAYS about the TEAM with Mosley

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May 04, 2024, 10:16:10 AM
 #15279

Same result a day before, still 0-3.

Let's break that losing streak.

Magic -4, (win)
I'm following the same pattern, both teams are good at their home court, so the Magic should be able to tie the series and cover the spread.

Dallas -8 . (wi) 
 last game they beat the Clippers by 30 points, I'm seeing the same scenario, Dallas will be starting strong as they need to finish the series here.


Updated record 10(W)-13(L)..... 43%

Got this one big time, however, the win rate is still not in the passing  percentage. Let's keep grinding until we hit over 50%.

We have the first game of the semi finals tomorrow between the Nuggets and the Wolves, I guess I'm riding with the home team here as game 1 would usually surprise the visiting team.

Nuggets -4.5

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May 04, 2024, 01:14:10 PM
 #15280

Same result a day before, still 0-3.

Let's break that losing streak.

Magic -4, (win)
I'm following the same pattern, both teams are good at their home court, so the Magic should be able to tie the series and cover the spread.

Dallas -8 . (wi) 
 last game they beat the Clippers by 30 points, I'm seeing the same scenario, Dallas will be starting strong as they need to finish the series here.


Updated record 10(W)-13(L)..... 43%

Got this one big time, however, the win rate is still not in the passing  percentage. Let's keep grinding until we hit over 50%.

We have the first game of the semi finals tomorrow between the Nuggets and the Wolves, I guess I'm riding with the home team here as game 1 would usually surprise the visiting team.

Nuggets -4.5

Are you using same amount of bet on all of your bets regardless of the result of bet or you increase your bet whenever the bet lose since this way you can still have a profit despite of your low winning percentage.

Anyway you are already close on having the breakeven if ever you will hit a 3 consecutive bet win. I wonder if the odds that you choose is the same or varies too. What’s your current PnL?

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