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Author Topic: NBA 2023-2024 betting  (Read 115899 times)
Harkorede
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March 23, 2024, 03:15:52 AM
 #15001

CJ McCollum 15+ points / H. Jones 1+ stock / T. Rozier 20+ PRA @1.82  X

Heat allows the third-fewest points in the paint this season, with the fewest PIP /L3.  It will be a tough task for Zion or Valanciunas to score inside. That's why i am looking at Pels perimeter players, specifically CJ McCollum. He has scored 15+ points in 3/L5, but his shot attempts could increase due to Ingram's absence. His matchup is also favorable, as Rozier is not well-known for his defensive abilities.

Herbert Jones has 17 straight games with at least one steal/block...hopefully, his streak will not end today.

Roziers' PRA has been one of my favorite lines to bet on recently, especially when J. Butler was out for a few games. 20+ PRA in 10/L10, with an extra day of rest against a tired Pels defense, i'll take it.

Damn! That was short by just 1 PRA from Terry Rozier, Your insight about the game was pretty much spot on! CJ MxCollum was the top scorer of the game with 30 points, and 6 triples, while Zion Williamson indeed struggled offensively every of his field goal attempt was heavily contested, the Heats' struggle offensively was what I'd cost you your bet.

I lost mine too, it was an extremely low scoring game, way below my expectation, especially the Timberwolves vs Cavaliers game.

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March 23, 2024, 05:24:23 AM
 #15002

Miami -3
Ingram is out and Miami needs a win. Miami has 2 straight losses at home, they need to prevent that streak and win this game.


Miami Heat another disappointing loss. Damn, thinking it was easy since Ingram was out but it turns out it was a one sided game. I'm sure lots of bettors here fall on that trap. Miami just forgot how to play in the 2nd half which they are outscored by the visiting team. I don't care if their ranking will drop a bit because they'll still be in the play-in but this losing by 20+ points is just ridiculous.

R


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March 23, 2024, 07:41:37 AM
 #15003

CJ McCollum 15+ points / H. Jones 1+ stock / T. Rozier 20+ PRA @1.82  X

Heat allows the third-fewest points in the paint this season, with the fewest PIP /L3.  It will be a tough task for Zion or Valanciunas to score inside. That's why i am looking at Pels perimeter players, specifically CJ McCollum. He has scored 15+ points in 3/L5, but his shot attempts could increase due to Ingram's absence. His matchup is also favorable, as Rozier is not well-known for his defensive abilities.

Herbert Jones has 17 straight games with at least one steal/block...hopefully, his streak will not end today.

Roziers' PRA has been one of my favorite lines to bet on recently, especially when J. Butler was out for a few games. 20+ PRA in 10/L10, with an extra day of rest against a tired Pels defense, i'll take it.

That was one epic game for the Miami Heat VS the New Orleans Pelicans but because of Terry Rozier's good defense stopping Zion Williamson is one of their key components the outside was open wide, so even though Zion Williamson just got 4 points toward the entire game it was CJ McCollum who is going with a lot of points along with Jose Alvarado who that time got 17 points for the Pelicans.

It was not a great game for Miami that the New Orleans Pelicans got good momentum in the 2nd half of the game and managed to rain down scores on the Miami Heat.

Miami Heat another disappointing loss. Damn, thinking it was easy since Ingram was out but it turns out it was a one sided game. I'm sure lots of bettors here fall on that trap. Miami just forgot how to play in the 2nd half which they are outscored by the visiting team. I don't care if their ranking will drop a bit because they'll still be in the play-in but this losing by 20+ points is just ridiculous.

It was a one-sided match in the 2nd half because the 1st half was really unpredictable on what may happen in the following minutes of the game, and it was really a great strategy for the Miami Heat but it was all spoils in the 2nd half when CJ McCollum decided that it was his time to fire off the shot from beyond the arc and it was really a fascinated game for sure, as Zion Williamson was stopped by the Heat but for sure he is not the only piece that the New Orleans Pelicans have because they also got McCollum to fill the buckets.

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March 23, 2024, 08:08:21 AM
 #15004

Miami -3
Ingram is out and Miami needs a win. Miami has 2 straight losses at home, they need to prevent that streak and win this game.


Miami Heat another disappointing loss. Damn, thinking it was easy since Ingram was out but it turns out it was a one sided game. I'm sure lots of bettors here fall on that trap. Miami just forgot how to play in the 2nd half which they are outscored by the visiting team. I don't care if their ranking will drop a bit because they'll still be in the play-in but this losing by 20+ points is just ridiculous.

Yes, I stir away from this game as I'm not feeling good with Miami. However, put some line on the Cavs against the Wolves. And I thought the Cavs has a better chance and make the games closer.

So I guess for tonight's game, some are predictable but there are games that is really hard to score. I must needed win for the Warriors, but it turns another L for them. They are making themselves sink in the standings and that could allow the Houston Rockets to overtake them if they continue being inconsistent and losing games that they could have won.

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March 23, 2024, 12:05:01 PM
 #15005

I got some picks for the upcoming games but not so sure if my win rate will improve, but I'm still trying and at the same time trying to stay discipline.

Miami -3 - loss
Ingram is out and Miami needs a win. Miami has 2 straight losses at home, they need to prevent that streak and win this game.

Lakers -7.5 - loss
Play-in spot is very important, and Davis might return, so they should win this game, hopefully by double digit.

Warriors -5.. loss
Same situation with the Lakers, a win here is necessary.

Updated record 39-46 46%)

Got Rekt..all 3 are bad picks, LOL... May win rate are dropping just like the Warriors,.. gotta get back in the game with these picks.

1- Knicks -7.5 - Good home team vs bad road team, I'll take the home team all day with the spread.

2- Magic -3.5 - Magic have an impressive home record and currently on a 5 winning streak. they should win and cover.

3- Rockets -10.5 - Jazz have no business winning, while the Rockets trying to continue their win streak for the play-in spot.

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March 23, 2024, 12:35:30 PM
 #15006

Miami -3
Ingram is out and Miami needs a win. Miami has 2 straight losses at home, they need to prevent that streak and win this game.


Miami Heat another disappointing loss. Damn, thinking it was easy since Ingram was out but it turns out it was a one sided game. I'm sure lots of bettors here fall on that trap. Miami just forgot how to play in the 2nd half which they are outscored by the visiting team. I don't care if their ranking will drop a bit because they'll still be in the play-in but this losing by 20+ points is just ridiculous.

Yes, I stir away from this game as I'm not feeling good with Miami. However, put some line on the Cavs against the Wolves. And I thought the Cavs has a better chance and make the games closer.

So I guess for tonight's game, some are predictable but there are games that is really hard to score. I must needed win for the Warriors, but it turns another L for them. They are making themselves sink in the standings and that could allow the Houston Rockets to overtake them if they continue being inconsistent and losing games that they could have won.

It was a bad day for us here as probably most of our bets losses. However, this is not the end of journey yet, we are still in the regular season and this thread is dedicated for betting, so let's continue while we still can, as long as there's left to gamble, then we gonna do what we gonna do.

Having said that, I guess the Boston vs Bulls game is quite intereting. I know the Celtics are currently on a big run recently, they aren't slowing down despite the fact that they are already at the top, but this time I'll fade the as I like the Bulls being the home dog fighting for a playoff spot to at least stay in the play-in spot.

R


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March 23, 2024, 02:52:59 PM
 #15007

I got some picks for the upcoming games but not so sure if my win rate will improve, but I'm still trying and at the same time trying to stay discipline.

Miami -3 - loss
Ingram is out and Miami needs a win. Miami has 2 straight losses at home, they need to prevent that streak and win this game.

Lakers -7.5 - loss
Play-in spot is very important, and Davis might return, so they should win this game, hopefully by double digit.

Warriors -5.. loss
Same situation with the Lakers, a win here is necessary.

Updated record 39-46 46%)

Got Rekt..all 3 are bad picks, LOL... May win rate are dropping just like the Warriors,.. gotta get back in the game with these picks.

1- Knicks -7.5 - Good home team vs bad road team, I'll take the home team all day with the spread.

2- Magic -3.5 - Magic have an impressive home record and currently on a 5 winning streak. they should win and cover.

3- Rockets -10.5 - Jazz have no business winning, while the Rockets trying to continue their win streak for the play-in spot.

I'm tailing the Knicks and Houston with you.  Was 2-1 last night and looking for another team to bet on top of these 2.  Knicks had a nice road trip I can't see them losing here tonight.  I'm tempted to take the bulls tonight at only +7.5.  Seems like a suspect trap game.  Second night on the road back to back and taytum already a game time decision.  Will probably rest.  Thinking I'm gonna take the bulls here.

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March 23, 2024, 03:30:49 PM
 #15008

Updated record 39-46 46%)

Got Rekt..all 3 are bad picks, LOL... May win rate are dropping just like the Warriors,.. gotta get back in the game with these picks.

1- Knicks -7.5 - Good home team vs bad road team, I'll take the home team all day with the spread.

I'm tailing the Knicks and Houston with you.  Was 2-1 last night and looking for another team to bet on top of these 2.  Knicks had a nice road trip I can't see them losing here tonight.  I'm tempted to take the bulls tonight at only +7.5.  Seems like a suspect trap game.  Second night on the road back to back and taytum already a game time decision.  Will probably rest.  Thinking I'm gonna take the bulls here.

I also like the early tip-off game for today, the New York Knicks had their winning streak ended by the Nuggets in their last encounter 2 days ago, I believe they'll get back to winning was, the Knicks defense have being their biggest strength, it should be an easy ride playing against a team that is offensively poor too, they are two contrasting teams.

I'm going with the 1st Half handicap here as usual;

New York Knicks -4 1st Half, @ 1.90



GL folks!

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March 23, 2024, 04:59:26 PM
 #15009

Detroit Pistons - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-11.5) Win!
Toronto Raptors - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-13.5) Win!
Minnesota Timberwolves - Cleveland Cavaliers - Minnesota Timberwolves (-5.5) Win!
Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans - Miami Heat (-1.5) Loss! - Damn! I thought the Pelicans would show some exhaustion and frustration without BI but they still played great and won the game.
Golden State Warriors - Indiana Pacers - Golden State Warriors (-2.5) Loss! - Haliburton is very different in this game.

Damn, my high spreads are covered, I never expected that.  Grin
8 games again later. Here are my picks.

New York Knicks - Brooklyn Nets - New York Knicks (-5.5) - Nets are very inconsistent and they are on their 5th losing streak.
Orlando Magic - Sacramento Kings - Orlando Magic (-1.5) - Magic is strong. Yeah, I kept on saying that, because they are.
Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-5.5) - No rest for Boston but I think they can manage.
Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz - Houston Rockets (-10.5) - The most surprising team of all even without Sengun. They can win, I hope they cover the spread.
San Antonio Spurs - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns (-10.5) - Nurkic is probable, hmm this is going to be tough.
Portland Trail Blazers - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-10.5)

Good luck everyone.

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March 23, 2024, 06:40:11 PM
 #15010

I'm feeling good after yesterday's win.  Let's keep the streak alive and go for another one.  I feel like today's parlay should be a gimme, but you never know.  Maybe the Bol Bol matchup with Wemby won't go the right way, but that's really the only concern for me.  I'm actually surprised the odds are so high on this one.  It should be a slam dunk of a bet.  Smiley

Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

San Antonio Spurs - Phoenix Suns
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Portland Trail Blazers - Denver Nuggets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Odds
1.98

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March 24, 2024, 03:34:58 AM
 #15011

I'm feeling good after yesterday's win.  Let's keep the streak alive and go for another one.  I feel like today's parlay should be a gimme, but you never know.  Maybe the Bol Bol matchup with Wemby won't go the right way, but that's really the only concern for me.  I'm actually surprised the odds are so high on this one.  It should be a slam dunk of a bet.  Smiley

Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

San Antonio Spurs - Phoenix Suns
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Portland Trail Blazers - Denver Nuggets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Odds
1.98

That’s quite a good value imo of odds imo, I didn’t even consider taking a parlay of ML tonight, I was rather carried away by the value for the total points and a few 1st Half wins and handicap.

Both Celtics and Phoenix Sun have done you right, while Denver Nuggets is already 10 points up going into the locker at halftime, looks like a solid win on the horizon for you. Congratulations!

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March 24, 2024, 10:08:35 AM
 #15012


Got Rekt..all 3 are bad picks, LOL... May win rate are dropping just like the Warriors,.. gotta get back in the game with these picks.

1- Knicks -7.5 (win ) - Good home team vs bad road team, I'll take the home team all day with the spread.

2- Magic -3.5 (loss) - Magic have an impressive home record and currently on a 5 winning streak. they should win and cover.

3- Rockets -10.5 (win) - Jazz have no business winning, while the Rockets trying to continue their win streak for the play-in spot.

Updated record 41-47 47%)

Still below in the winning percentage, but at least I got 2-1 on this, still positive for me.

Next stop.

Miami -4.5
last time they disappoint us, this game they'll try to bounce back with a big win. I'm betting a little bigger than my usual bet in this game, so hopefully they'll think of winning.

Bucks -2.5
I liked the home team here, OKC has been killing their opponent dominating them but they'll up against a true playoff team, they'll be challenge here.

Lakers -4.
I guess the Lakers has to keep winning for them to secure a play-in spot. 2 straight win at home, this will be the 3rd and they'll cover.



You're a clever guy, you know what teams to follow. Congrats.

I'm tailing the Knicks and Houston with you. 

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March 24, 2024, 01:52:13 PM
 #15013

A little winning streak going all the sudden.  Keeping it alive today with a couple of picks that should be easy wins.  Not great on the odds but the 76ers are a mess and the Pelicans are rolling pretty good right now, so I feel good about these 2.  Enjoy your Sunday!

Detroit Pistons - New Orleans Pelicans
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New Orleans Pelicans

Los Angeles Clippers - Philadelphia 76ers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Odds
1.41

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March 24, 2024, 03:28:07 PM
Last edit: March 24, 2024, 09:18:56 PM by morvillz7z
 #15014

CJ McCollum 20+ PA / H. Jones 1+ stocks / Pelicans ML @1.60  won

Since this game has the potential to be a blowout, Pels starters will most likely see limited minutes. 20+ PA is still doable within three quarters, i think. CJ led the Pelicans in FGA, PTS, and AST against Miami without Ingram. His expanded playmaking duties, along with the fact that the Pistons allow the second most points to opposing PGs this season, should be enough to get through this line without breaking a sweat.

Herbert Jones has 17 straight games with at least one steal/block...hopefully, his streak will not end today.

Make it 18 straight!  Great matchup for Jones against Detroit, who are missing half of their roster and rank second in turnovers per game this season.

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March 24, 2024, 10:57:29 PM
 #15015

New York Knicks - Brooklyn Nets - New York Knicks (-5.5) Win!
Orlando Magic - Sacramento Kings - Orlando Magic (-1.5) Loss!
Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-5.5) Win!
Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz - Houston Rockets (-10.5) Win!
San Antonio Spurs - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns (-10.5) Win!
Portland Trail Blazers - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-10.5) Loss!

I forgot to share my bet before the games.  Cheesy
We have 6 games tonight but 2 of them are already done. They played way too early.
Here are my picks for the remaining games.

Minnesota Timberwolves - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors ML
Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5)
Los Angeles Lakers - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML

Good luck everyone and have a nice day.

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March 25, 2024, 01:22:33 AM
Last edit: March 25, 2024, 03:02:37 AM by ralle14
 #15016

I'm back with another total bet and will try to extend it to five in a row if my luck doesn't fall off.

I saw the total bet on the Lakers vs. Pacers hovering a bit too high when their previous h2h matches ended with less than 240 points.

A few ways for this to go over is when they start fouling to force countless free throws or if both teams can land 60% of their shots.



Edit: My under is about to get busted based on the current pace of the game, it's too fast.  Lips sealed

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March 25, 2024, 05:07:26 AM
 #15017

Still below in the winning percentage, but at least I got 2-1 on this, still positive for me.

Next stop.

Miami -4.5
last time they disappoint us, this game they'll try to bounce back with a big win. I'm betting a little bigger than my usual bet in this game, so hopefully they'll think of winning.

Bucks -2.5
I liked the home team here, OKC has been killing their opponent dominating them but they'll up against a true playoff team, they'll be challenge here.

Lakers -4.
I guess the Lakers has to keep winning for them to secure a play-in spot. 2 straight win at home, this will be the 3rd and they'll cover.

Updated record 44-47 48%)

Gotcha... I had 3-0 and I feel confident with my next picks. LOL... Both Miami and Bucks gave me easy win, but the Lakers game, quite of a thrill, but I got a W since they won by 5 points.

Okay, next stop..

Rockets -11.5.. And this roll should continue, Warriors loss to Minny, a win here will make the Rockets tie with the Warriors in wins but they are still at number 11..

Suns -12.5
The win should continue as their ranking has improved, they need to keep at least at number 6 where they are sitting currently.

Dallas -8.
Road game but Jazz had already given up, they are not winning games anymore because they are not interested, Dallas should get another blowout win.

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March 25, 2024, 12:26:11 PM
 #15018

I'm back with another total bet and will try to extend it to five in a row if my luck doesn't fall off.

I saw the total bet on the Lakers vs. Pacers hovering a bit too high when their previous h2h matches ended with less than 240 points.

A few ways for this to go over is when they start fouling to force countless free throws or if both teams can land 60% of their shots.



Edit: My under is about to get busted based on the current pace of the game, it's too fast.  Lips sealed

Both teams almost scored 300 points in a game, they finished with a total of 295 points. this coudl be the biggest total of points this season I guess. It was the pace of the Pacers on this game but I'm surprise that the Lakers were able to play with the pace, I don't know they could score 250 points in a game, just an impressive match up for the two, Pacers try to avenge their loss during the in season finals but fall short.

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March 25, 2024, 03:11:59 PM
 #15019

Minnesota Timberwolves - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors ML - Loss!
Milwaukee Bucks - Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks (-1.5) Win!
Los Angeles Lakers - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML Loss!

1/3. Well, the other two games were a close one. And luckily I won a good amount in my props that I already shared on the other thread.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1220979.msg63855526#msg63855526

11 games later. Oohlala.
Here are my picks.

Cleveland Cavaliers - Charlotte Hornets - Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5) - With Evan Mobley back, they can definitely win this game.
New York Knicks - Detroit Pistons - New York Knicks (-14.5) - It's a high spread that I don't like but we got to give it to the Knicks for preventing most of their opponent to go above 100 points. They always play good defense.
Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-10.5)
Houston Rockets - Portland Trail Blazers - Houston Rockets (-11.5)
San Antonio Spurs - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns (-10.5)

Damn! Lots of high spreads again. You could say that these teams are trying to win every game they can to avoid the play-in tournament or be on the safe spot which is number 6.

Good luck everyone, have a great day ahead.

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March 25, 2024, 06:39:05 PM
 #15020

I can't say I recommend following this bet as it is way too many games for the odds, but I felt like making a bigger prediction today.  I think the danger here is going to be Utah, but the 76ers have started playing well without Embiid lately so they might surprise as well.


New York Knicks - Detroit Pistons
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New York Knicks

Atlanta Hawks - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

San Antonio Spurs - Phoenix Suns
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Denver Nuggets - Memphis Grizzlies
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Sacramento Kings - Philadelphia 76ers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Sacramento Kings

Odds
2.51

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