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Question: 2025/2026 La Liga Champion will be
Barcelona - 51 (41.5%)
Real Madrid - 61 (49.6%)
Atletico Madrid - 2 (1.6%)
Atletico Bilbao - 3 (2.4%)
Real Betis - 2 (1.6%)
Villareal - 1 (0.8%)
Real Sociedad - 1 (0.8%)
Other - 2 (1.6%)
Total Voters: 123

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Author Topic: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2025/26  (Read 757960 times)
Jody.Drummer
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March 20, 2025, 05:34:26 PM
 #98201

Barcelona and Madrid still have great chances. But the current condition of Barcelona is more lucky. They have 1 postponed match. If they win then the difference is 3 points with Madrid. In a long match there are always difficult predictions. There is always a surprise defeat, a draw on a big team. This has also happened to Madrid in recent matches. I understand they have problems with players. It's very different to Barcelona, they're getting better. So I have 2 favorite teams to win between Real Madrid and Barcelona. For Atletico I don't see having a big chance.
Looking at the current standings even though Barcelona won the postponed match and got a 3-point advantage, I think it is still not enough to establish Barcelona as a contender for the La Liga title this season. I am not underestimating Barcelona but I am worried that they are inconsistent and could lose surprisingly to the underdog team. Right now I think Real Madrid still has the biggest chance to become the La Liga champion followed by Barcelona in second favorite and Atletico Madrid in third favorite. Real Madrid has a champion mentality that no other team has. Therefore in the current position I see Real Madrid will win La Liga again this season.
The points are still very close, and as long as the points gap can change their position in just one match, then it will remain a tight competition until the end of the season. However, apart from the advantage of still having a postponed match, Barcelona is also lucky because they have better goal productivity than Real Madrid, so that is capital for them if in the end they have to have the same points and they have to compete who is more productive in creating goals. Honestly, so far I still can't say anything, only that Barcelona is definitely one step ahead of Real Madrid.
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March 20, 2025, 05:40:08 PM
 #98202

As long as there is a chance, Barcelona will fight for the trophy opportunity to the maximum. Although the financial limitations they have do not make them look weak, they actually show their motivation to play better. This is a phenomenon that we cannot see in other teams with poor financial conditions. Only Barcelona is able to do that in La Liga, the Champions League and the Copa del Rey which now puts Hansi Flick one step closer to the trophy.

I never imagined that Barcelona are still facing financial crisis up till this season because it has not shown in the overall of their performance this season. They look very strong and confident in their games and that hasn’t shown their weakness in any way. They are able to use well and utilize the existing players they have and that has given them good result this season. Hansi Flick should be applauded for being able to manage such a team well even in this condition. I just imagine how good they would be and perform when all financial crisis has been resolved and they not facing any setback in finances anymore, they will be another superb team showing the best performance yet again in the La Liga and also in the champions league. Getting a step closer to the trophy is a good achievement for them so far this season, hopefully they can win one by end of the season.











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March 20, 2025, 05:44:09 PM
 #98203

Barcelona and Madrid still have great chances. But the current condition of Barcelona is more lucky. They have 1 postponed match. If they win then the difference is 3 points with Madrid. In a long match there are always difficult predictions. There is always a surprise defeat, a draw on a big team. This has also happened to Madrid in recent matches. I understand they have problems with players. It's very different to Barcelona, they're getting better. So I have 2 favorite teams to win between Real Madrid and Barcelona. For Atletico I don't see having a big chance.
Looking at the current standings even though Barcelona won the postponed match and got a 3-point advantage, I think it is still not enough to establish Barcelona as a contender for the La Liga title this season. I am not underestimating Barcelona but I am worried that they are inconsistent and could lose surprisingly to the underdog team. Right now I think Real Madrid still has the biggest chance to become the La Liga champion followed by Barcelona in second favorite and Atletico Madrid in third favorite. Real Madrid has a champion mentality that no other team has. Therefore in the current position I see Real Madrid will win La Liga again this season.
The points are still very close, and as long as the points gap can change their position in just one match, then it will remain a tight competition until the end of the season. However, apart from the advantage of still having a postponed match, Barcelona is also lucky because they have better goal productivity than Real Madrid, so that is capital for them if in the end they have to have the same points and they have to compete who is more productive in creating goals. Honestly, so far I still can't say anything, only that Barcelona is definitely one step ahead of Real Madrid.

Yes the points difference is very small and any mistake from Barcelona they will be displaced by Real Madrid and I think that is what Real Madrid is waiting to see so that they will capitalize from there but Real Madrid can only top Barcelona if Barcelona loss two match and I don't even see Barcelona losing any match for now and the form they have now I doubt if any club in La Liga can beat them.

 
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March 20, 2025, 05:56:31 PM
 #98204

Barcelona and Madrid still have great chances. But the current condition of Barcelona is more lucky. They have 1 postponed match. If they win then the difference is 3 points with Madrid. In a long match there are always difficult predictions. There is always a surprise defeat, a draw on a big team. This has also happened to Madrid in recent matches. I understand they have problems with players. It's very different to Barcelona, they're getting better. So I have 2 favorite teams to win between Real Madrid and Barcelona. For Atletico I don't see having a big chance.
Looking at the current standings even though Barcelona won the postponed match and got a 3-point advantage, I think it is still not enough to establish Barcelona as a contender for the La Liga title this season. I am not underestimating Barcelona but I am worried that they are inconsistent and could lose surprisingly to the underdog team. Right now I think Real Madrid still has the biggest chance to become the La Liga champion followed by Barcelona in second favorite and Atletico Madrid in third favorite. Real Madrid has a champion mentality that no other team has. Therefore in the current position I see Real Madrid will win La Liga again this season.
The points are still very close, and as long as the points gap can change their position in just one match, then it will remain a tight competition until the end of the season. However, apart from the advantage of still having a postponed match, Barcelona is also lucky because they have better goal productivity than Real Madrid, so that is capital for them if in the end they have to have the same points and they have to compete who is more productive in creating goals. Honestly, so far I still can't say anything, only that Barcelona is definitely one step ahead of Real Madrid.

Yes the points difference is very small and any mistake from Barcelona they will be displaced by Real Madrid and I think that is what Real Madrid is waiting to see so that they will capitalize from there but Real Madrid can only top Barcelona if Barcelona loss two match and I don't even see Barcelona losing any match for now and the form they have now I doubt if any club in La Liga can beat them.
The fight between Real Madrid and Barcelona will continue until the end, I think everyone knows this now. In the comments I read, everyone's expectation is that there will be a championship race between Barcelona and Real Madrid. Atletico Madrid had been very good up until now, but I can say that they fell behind in the championship race because of the defeat they received against Barcelona. Still, it is necessary to say that their squad is of quality and that they can be in the middle of the championship again in the weeks when Barcelona and Real Madrid make mistakes.

 
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March 20, 2025, 05:59:40 PM
 #98205

I don't think Barcelona  is only targeting La Liga. I see barcelona giving the same  effort in every match of La Liga, Copa DelRey and champions league. Hansi Flick is interested in winning all three titles. Flick's target is not just securing La Liga.

Barcelona is now in a somewhat safe zone in La Liga. The top spot of the table is occupied by Barcelona. Even if they lose a match, the top spot of the table  will be occupied by barcelona. Even then, if Barcelona cannot maintain its performance stability , then they will not be able to  retain the top spot of the table. Real madrid is continuing to try to regain the top spot of the table. Only  if Barcelona's performance is irregular, we will see Real Madrid at the top of the table..
As long as there is a chance, Barcelona will fight for the trophy opportunity to the maximum. Although the financial limitations they have do not make them look weak, they actually show their motivation to play better. This is a phenomenon that we cannot see in other teams with poor financial conditions. Only Barcelona is able to do that in La Liga, the Champions League and the Copa del Rey which now puts Hansi Flick one step closer to the trophy.
The financial situation of Barcelona is actually one factor I think have disturbed them so much this season but their ability to manage the situation and still remain strong is something I commend the team for. There are some teams that will be in such situation and by now they would have been battling relegation but that was not what we saw in Barcelona. This makes me think that without the financial crises, Barcelona would have been far ahead of others in points. I still feel they will be able to win the La Liga title this season if they continue playing as they are doing.











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March 20, 2025, 06:08:23 PM
 #98206

Barcelona having a great offensive line wouldn't be enough if they didn't had a great defensive line as well. Hansi Flick made some massive improvements on defense, he realized that the defensive line itself isn't good enough, and if they just parked the bus they would lose, so even in games where a tie is enough, they still play counter attacking at worst case, because they just prefer to make that a unison work that would allow them a chance.

Whatever it is that makes them so much better, it is not really what the yare after, what they want is to shadow the problems at defense until they get the title. After they do, and maybe open up some financials, they could get some defenders which could help the team immensely for the future.

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March 20, 2025, 06:12:34 PM
 #98207

Bet on Atlético? They are total losers, I am biased (especially after they lost 2-4 having a 2 goal advantage), but it seems obvious to me that there will be no comeback here.
I like the idea of ​​betting on Barcelona more because they have literally everything to hold their position + if they lose the race I won't be upset about the money because I'm a Real Madrid fan.

Atletico Madrid had a lot of chances, but they lost the match against Barcelona and those who bet on them will be completely defeated. We can clearly see that Barcelona are the most preferred team this season and they are going to go ahead like that. It is very likely and preferable to bet on Barcelona. There are plus points here, but if they keep falling behind, it will be their misfortune. However, I currently see Barcelona leading the race much better than Real Madrid, but I would still prefer to bet on Real.

You prefer to bet on Real because +175% profit is better than +61% right?  Grin It seems to me that if you are sure that Real will become the champion, it is better to bet on Real in the game Barcelona - Real (it is obvious that without a win here you will not become the champion) + in some other equally obvious game. The total coefficient will be higher than 2.75. I can assume that Real will be quoted no better than 2.0, which means that by adding a bet on another game against the underdog with a coefficient of 1.5 you already get 3.0+

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March 20, 2025, 06:12:50 PM
 #98208

Atletico Madrid lost key points which cost them a lot this season, and with four points separating them from the league table, they did not seem to be a title candidate anymore. They lost to Leganes, who are at the bottom of the league, and the previous two weeks were against Getafe after Arambarri scored a brace in 6 minutes to help Getafe fight back. Even though one of Atletico Madrid's players was sent off, they still had the power to defeat Getafe, especially when they were leading by one goal.

I thought the game against Barcelona would be an opportunity for Atletico Madrid to bounce back from their Champions League defeat, but they were unable to maintain the advantage and conceded four goals in the second half after 2 goals lead. Atletico Madrid had three consecutive losses, losing two league games and being eliminated from the Champions League; they may recover this season, but they have lost their opportunity to compete in the league.
Considering they are still third place, if they could finish at third place that wouldn't be too terrible for them. They are not paying Simeone 30 million a year so he could be the champion, if he can that would be lovely but he can't do that all the time, once ever 5-6 years is more than enough for them and that is what they are getting. If they could somehow make the team third or better every single year consistently, that would be more than enough.

Simeone managed this team for longer than anyone else currently managing teams I remember, and he has managed to make the team "mostly" third or better, and consistency is the key, if they keep being like this, they are growing and becoming a third piece to two biggest clubs in the league.


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March 20, 2025, 06:34:21 PM
 #98209

~~~
But to be honest, this season I personally seem to have forgotten that Barcelona is having the same financial problems as previous seasons. Maybe this has been distracted by how good Barcelona's performance is this season, which makes us forget that this team is actually struggling with their own club's financial problems which have not yet recovered properly. But it is quite impressive to see a team whose performance continues to improve even though the club's financial situation is not so good. And well, it's rare to be able to do it in conditions like that. And I am always impressed by the way this team continues to shop for players with great enthusiasm even though we know their financial condition.
That's the greatness of Barcelona in my opinion. Even though their financial condition is very bad and can be said to be a crisis, they are still able to give their best in maintaining their club's reputation in Europe. They may not be the best title contender in the last few seasons in Europe, but in La Liga and domestic competitions, I think Barcelona is still dangerous.

I don't remember any other team ever doing that when their finances were bad, but Barcelona did it. Xavi also won several titles when Barcelona's finances were bad, now it's Hansi Flick's turn to prove that finances shouldn't stop players from giving their best for their club.

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March 20, 2025, 07:01:58 PM
 #98210

Perhaps for the time being Barcelona's position at the top of the table is in a safe position, the 27th match against Osasuna could be an advantage for Barcelona, because when viewed based on statistics Osasuna is a weak club,  a 3-point advantage after a win against Osasuna will increase the gap with Real Madrid.
A 3-point lead is not a big lead, to be honest, considering how wack some of the performances can be. It's a good gap to make the race interesting though. Hopefully, they don't repeat the same terrible forms and keep the lead to win the league this season.

Maybe this has been distracted by how good Barcelona's performance is this season, which makes us forget that this team is actually struggling with their own club's financial problems which have not yet recovered properly.
What exactly is their financial situation right now? How do people judge if they've recovered or not? The last hot issue that I followed was Olmo's registration situation, is there anything else that suggests they still need to scrap the barrel and fix their balance sheet?

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March 20, 2025, 07:15:40 PM
 #98211

Barcelona having a great offensive line wouldn't be enough if they didn't had a great defensive line as well. Hansi Flick made some massive improvements on defense, he realized that the defensive line itself isn't good enough, and if they just parked the bus they would lose, so even in games where a tie is enough, they still play counter attacking at worst case, because they just prefer to make that a unison work that would allow them a chance.

Whatever it is that makes them so much better, it is not really what the yare after, what they want is to shadow the problems at defense until they get the title. After they do, and maybe open up some financials, they could get some defenders which could help the team immensely for the future.
If we look at what hansi flick is doing is actually quite reasonable in maintaining the balance of his team, often hansi flick emphasises every match with a big win and that is to anticipate that his team does not lose if the opposing team scores, so that way, they can secure every victory despite having a bad defence, the consistency shown by Barcelona is currently starting to improve and that further cements their position as the championship favourite, But even so, of course, Hansi Flick must begin to emphasize focus and better performance in the remaining matches with the tight schedule they currently have, if you look at their finances which are still very bad, of course the choice of bringing in new players next season is not a good choice, but the only way that Barcelona can do is to maximise the potential of young players and also existing players at this time.

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March 20, 2025, 07:31:02 PM
 #98212



As per Opta's prediction Barcelona is now having greater chance to win La Liga. They went down so hard at the mid season, but able to go up again when it comes to the late season. They're having same points with Madrid, but with one unplayed match.

They logically lead the league as they have unplayed match against Osasuna, which is easy to win. This is why i think such prediction makes sense considering all of advantages owned them.

It seems Barcelona may be winning the league seeing how crazy their gameplay is now. Importantly, their performance is getting stable now.

Perhaps for the time being Barcelona's position at the top of the table is in a safe position, the 27th match against Osasuna could be an advantage for Barcelona, because when viewed based on statistics Osasuna is a weak club,  a 3-point advantage after a win against Osasuna will increase the gap with Real Madrid.

Real Madrid will not miss the opportunity to add points to catch up with Barcelona, we can already see which clubs will meet in the final, if it is true that these two clubs will meet, it will be extraordinary Grin.


In the last match Osasuna was not able to win at all, their best record in the last 5 matches was holding Real Madrid to a 1-1 draw. So of course in that match Barcelona became the most favored team to be able to pack 3 points, especially in that match Barcelona will appear as the host. and if we talk about the worst possibility that could happen in the Barcelona VS Osasuna match is getting a draw. but getting 1 point is enough to secure the top position for a while.

And regarding Real Madrid, they are still a big enough threat for Barcelona to be able to win the trophy this season, while Atletico is still trying to get back into the competition for the championship title.

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March 20, 2025, 07:32:51 PM
 #98213


The points are still very close, and as long as the points gap can change their position in just one match, then it will remain a tight competition until the end of the season. However, apart from the advantage of still having a postponed match, Barcelona is also lucky because they have better goal productivity than Real Madrid, so that is capital for them if in the end they have to have the same points and they have to compete who is more productive in creating goals. Honestly, so far I still can't say anything, only that Barcelona is definitely one step ahead of Real Madrid.
For me it's almost like it's over for the two Madrid teams this season on winning the league. Atletico Madrid is 4 points behind Barcelona Currently and both Real Madrid and Barcelona are on the same points but Barca is ahead based on head to head difference and might actually make it 3 points difference after they win their outstanding game Vs Osasuna next week. Yes, they are in form that's why they are actually the favourites to beat any team that comes in their way now. Even Real Madrid isn't safe in the return leg of the league match because Barcelona is still the favourite to win again in that tie.

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March 20, 2025, 07:36:14 PM
 #98214

Barcelona having a great offensive line wouldn't be enough if they didn't had a great defensive line as well. Hansi Flick made some massive improvements on defense, he realized that the defensive line itself isn't good enough, and if they just parked the bus they would lose, so even in games where a tie is enough, they still play counter attacking at worst case, because they just prefer to make that a unison work that would allow them a chance.
Of course having great attacking line wouldn’t have been enough but having a good defense that matches the performance and balance things up is really what have made them to be at their best this season. I would say kudos to Hansi Flick for how he has transformed Barcelona, no one ever thought with all the financial crisis at the club he was still able to make them a title contender not just contender but the favorites to win the title.

Their current football pattern is really not bad and it is effective but i don’t think this style of play will last long, i won’t be surprised if I see them drop in performance next season.

 
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March 20, 2025, 07:56:01 PM
 #98215


The points are still very close, and as long as the points gap can change their position in just one match, then it will remain a tight competition until the end of the season. However, apart from the advantage of still having a postponed match, Barcelona is also lucky because they have better goal productivity than Real Madrid, so that is capital for them if in the end they have to have the same points and they have to compete who is more productive in creating goals. Honestly, so far I still can't say anything, only that Barcelona is definitely one step ahead of Real Madrid.
For me it's almost like it's over for the two Madrid teams this season on winning the league. Atletico Madrid is 4 points behind Barcelona Currently and both Real Madrid and Barcelona are on the same points but Barca is ahead based on head to head difference and might actually make it 3 points difference after they win their outstanding game Vs Osasuna next week. Yes, they are in form that's why they are actually the favourites to beat any team that comes in their way now. Even Real Madrid isn't safe in the return leg of the league match because Barcelona is still the favourite to win again in that tie.
How sure can you be? We can only call the favorite at this point but pointing out who wins is just speculation on our part. The points Barcelona uses in surpassing Atletico Madrid are considerably enough to limit the assurance that they will win the league. They lost the ability when they faced Barcelona and was unable to secure the winning points, the fall started from there, and a different scenario if Barcelona will be willing to release some points within the remaining games to put Atletico Madrid back in the race.


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March 20, 2025, 08:07:23 PM
 #98216

How sure can you be? We can only call the favorite at this point but pointing out who wins is just speculation on our part. The points Barcelona uses in surpassing Atletico Madrid are considerably enough to limit the assurance that they will win the league. They lost the ability when they faced Barcelona and was unable to secure the winning points, the fall started from there, and a different scenario if Barcelona will be willing to release some points within the remaining games to put Atletico Madrid back in the race.
It is true that Atletico Madrid have failed to win their last two matches against Barcelona. That does not mean that they have performed badly. They drew in the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey with a great performance.

And in the last match they kept Barcelona under full pressure for most of the match. Although Barcelona later managed to win with a surprising performance towards the end, I think it would be foolish to expect such a performance in all matches. I am a Barcelona fan, but I can't take the spotlight off Atletico Madrid. Because Barcelona players really went through tough situations to achieve victory against Atletico Madrid.

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March 20, 2025, 08:20:12 PM
 #98217

For me it's almost like it's over for the two Madrid teams this season on winning the league. Atletico Madrid is 4 points behind Barcelona Currently and both Real Madrid and Barcelona are on the same points but Barca is ahead based on head to head difference and might actually make it 3 points difference after they win their outstanding game Vs Osasuna next week. Yes, they are in form that's why they are actually the favourites to beat any team that comes in their way now. Even Real Madrid isn't safe in the return leg of the league match because Barcelona is still the favourite to win again in that tie.
With just the postponed Barcelona vs Osasuna match, do you believe that Barcelona can win the title this season? It won't be that easy bro.
Look at how the first meeting of the two teams at the beginning of this season and Osasuna managed to beat Barcelona. On the one hand, Osasuna has tried to strengthen their defense and has always been able to hold a draw.
I assume that the rematch of Barcelona vs Osasuna ends in a draw and the points difference is very small with Madrid.

I still strongly believe that Madrid or ATM still have a chance to win the title this season as long as they don't have a big points difference. The competition will last until the end of the season. Wink

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March 20, 2025, 08:29:56 PM
 #98218

Yes the points difference is very small and any mistake from Barcelona they will be displaced by Real Madrid and I think that is what Real Madrid is waiting to see so that they will capitalize from there but Real Madrid can only top Barcelona if Barcelona loss two match and I don't even see Barcelona losing any match for now and the form they have now I doubt if any club in La Liga can beat them.
Don't underestimate any team if the points gap is still quite small because sometimes when someone is too optimistic like this, they forget the match where Barcelona lost five times this season and even that is still more than Real Madrid's four defeats so far. So I want to ask you, did you not watch the match when Barcelona was defeated by Leganes and Atletico Madrid in December last year (2024)? which match also took place at Barcelona's home ground because that match was also counted towards this season for Barcelona.

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March 20, 2025, 08:35:08 PM
 #98219

For me it's almost like it's over for the two Madrid teams this season on winning the league. Atletico Madrid is 4 points behind Barcelona Currently and both Real Madrid and Barcelona are on the same points but Barca is ahead based on head to head difference and might actually make it 3 points difference after they win their outstanding game Vs Osasuna next week. Yes, they are in form that's why they are actually the favourites to beat any team that comes in their way now. Even Real Madrid isn't safe in the return leg of the league match because Barcelona is still the favourite to win again in that tie.
With just the postponed Barcelona vs Osasuna match, do you believe that Barcelona can win the title this season? It won't be that easy bro.
Look at how the first meeting of the two teams at the beginning of this season and Osasuna managed to beat Barcelona. On the one hand, Osasuna has tried to strengthen their defense and has always been able to hold a draw.
I assume that the rematch of Barcelona vs Osasuna ends in a draw and the points difference is very small with Madrid.

I still strongly believe that Madrid or ATM still have a chance to win the title this season as long as they don't have a big points difference. The competition will last until the end of the season. Wink
Lets keep it down through, the game has been rescheduled to Thursday 27th March, so it isn't far again infact that's a week from today. Even if Osasuna still manages to beat Barca, they are still ahead and don't forget, that was the same way Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona 2 -1 in the first leg. Just last week, we saw how Atletico Madrid were already winning 2 - 0 and with few minutes left to 90 minutes, they conceded 4 goals at a stretch. That should tell you that this team isn't actually joking, them seem to want it all this time around. Real Madrid on the other hand is inconsistent in the league and definitely can't be trusted.
But either ways, if any of them wins it, it's still ok but I think I trust Barcelona more.

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March 20, 2025, 08:51:27 PM
 #98220



As per Opta's prediction Barcelona is now having greater chance to win La Liga. They went down so hard at the mid season, but able to go up again when it comes to the late season. They're having same points with Madrid, but with one unplayed match.

They logically lead the league as they have unplayed match against Osasuna, which is easy to win. This is why i think such prediction makes sense considering all of advantages owned them.

It seems Barcelona may be winning the league seeing how crazy their gameplay is now. Importantly, their performance is getting stable now.

Yes Barcelona should have the best odds to win this league this season with everything surrounding Real Madrid, but for I think the odd difference is definitely too much it should be way closer than this because to me Real Madrid still have like 35 odds to win this league considering how both of the two contenders have been on top before and how they dropped down one can see that there is lot of opportunities left for Real Madrid to still still the league. Although personally i will acknowledge the resilience of the Hansi Flick boys since the start of the year, for me it is what’s needed till the end of season.

As for dropping of points my first point was actually that game against Atletico Madrid, should they have dropped points it will have open the league up for even Atletico Madrid to challenge. Right now the suspended game against Osasuna is one game that can actually make Barcelona to drop points before the el Classico Whig should be a must win for Real Madrid. Osasuna already won against Barcelona this season so there is nothing wrong in seeing them pulling it off again

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