Q4 -Quarter 4 speculation thread, where will 2019 end, join the LIST

[Last of the V8s]

Normally you would be happy for anyone to win one of these games that mic is so kind to sponsor, except maybe a scammer but mercifully they don't seem to join.

But I'd hate for one of these arrogant-assed TA soi disant experts to win a goddam penny. They are useless at predicting price, they never admit when they are wrong which is way more than half the time otherwise they'd be quiet and would've fucked off.

If they win one of these it will be pure coincidence and annoying.

'Oh I'm doing it to help you (poor souls), you need to learn my method'

er no we need you to fuck off and learn humility for the next 17 years then don't bother coming back.


present your TA, fine, but do it without your arrogance.

be like water my friend

[1714673403]

1714673403

[1714673403]

1714673403

[El duderino_]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5213423.msg53477656#msg53477656
^
Please respond to that post cheers/THX

[El duderino_]

I have created an auto-updated leaderboard page for this competition - https://tiramisu77.github.io/bct-game-leaderboard/

It takes the entries from the second post of this thread, calculated the delta - how close the prediction is to the current price, then sorts the whole list and displays it, with each predictions delta added as a second column.

Please do use this Witchery on the next game as well..... Its really awesome!!!

[El duderino_]

Just to the winner of the game, I have always been very known for very fast payment.... Though the 31st at 00.00 is a moment where I probably cannot say my own name anymore etc

So I will look on the forum, cheer for the winner and pay the day after max two days (if i'm that F***ed up)...

I hope this is reasonable

[STT]

Sounds sensible

Not that it necessarily matters more then a month from now but BTC seems to be respecting the boundaries of recent prior pricing.   Hence 7500 top and 6500 bottom could repeat, hence I still have hope for my bearish guess though its very slim chance with not much more then 24hr left.

[Globb0]

[El duderino_]

Globb0 running hot??

[NeuroticFish]

Although I was still optimistic yesterday, I do surrender. Not even a miracle can make Bitcoin get as high as my bet.
Thanks Mic for the contest and good luck to the rest!

[Globb0]

[Dabs]

We still have a day or so. I'm not conceding until the final hour. What a way to celebrate the incoming new year.

[dragonvslinux]

Normally you would be happy for anyone to win one of these games that mic is so kind to sponsor, except maybe a scammer but mercifully they don't seem to join.

But I'd hate for one of these arrogant-assed TA soi disant experts to win a goddam penny. They are useless at predicting price, they never admit when they are wrong which is way more than half the time otherwise they'd be quiet and would've fucked off.

If they win one of these it will be pure coincidence and annoying.

'Oh I'm doing it to help you (poor souls), you need to learn my method'

er no we need you to fuck off and learn humility for the next 17 years then don't bother coming back.


present your TA, fine, but do it without your arrogance.

be like water my friend

Totally agree, whoever wins this will be more based on coincidence than skill, given the probabilities of winning and the tiny margin or error (both time and price). I feel like most of the arrogant "moonshot to the moon" TA passed away with the breakdown of $9K though to be honest   Furthermore, while many public traders remain accountable by default (via for example tradingview where you can't edit/delete charts once published), I agree it's a shame there aren't more that transparently publish & review their calls (whether right or wrong) publicly. I've personally tried to encourage other traders to do so, but unsurprisingly many aren't interested, or obvious reason   Also completely agree that any trader trying to teach you "their method" should be instantly disregarded in my opinion. If you're not posting TA in order to discuss and acknowledge alternative perspectives, threre absolutely no point in doing so. The idea is to share your opinion as you learn from others that differ from yours. Thanks for sharing yours, very insightful.

I'll place my bet on you @dragonvslinux

Thanks for your vote of confidence, but I think it's unlikely I'll win this bet.

be like water my friend

Not sure who you're speaking to, but do you mean follow the tide instead of surfing the waves? Heard that one before, it's what made me a hodler  

[El duderino_]

^
I'm surfing the waves.... Its just the BTC-narrative, main important thing is how to surf them waves, I mostly believe DCA-HODL=KEY, also cause i'm just no trader as a non TA expert of any kind.... So i'm lucky that the one strategy i'm able of doing also is the most effective one 

[Globb0]

7000 please

here's my ta trending down, hoping for any green ladder to take us out of here.

[El duderino_]

Last 11h and around 46 minutes till end of the game

[dragonvslinux]

Last 11h and around 46 minutes till end of the game

Yikes! I feel like I'm going to be right about not winning this one  



Some final thoughts...
Without any "big moves", I'd guess someone in the Top 5 will win. A reasonable move up or down would give the Top 10 a chance though.
Be interesting to see what happens in the next 12 hours, best of luck to everyone close to the price, you know who you are!
Would also love if it the price moved $1000+ in either direction, just for someone much further down the list to win  
Also would either get a load of my buys filled, or I'd otherwise be up 15%. Sounds great either way  

[Phil_S]

I think it was possible to predict the approximate [6200...8100] range, assuming the sliding-down trend would continue (as it did) for 3 more months, but it would be harder to guess where we would end up within the range.

[dragonvslinux]

Pure hopium is now what I'm looking for! The grey box represents the price range in which I'd win the game

[JSRAW]

Shout out to phil , don't worry bro win-loss is part of life. If it makes you feel better then think about hairy's prediction and the guy who was rooting for him continuously

[El duderino_]

Are we shifting???

[dragonvslinux]

Are we shifting???

I'd be betting on these lot now, hopium isn't working.
1. 7080 52 aundroid *
2. 7187 55 Spray.
3. 7000 132 Globb0 *
4. 7266 134 irsada
5. 6890 242 morvillz7z