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Author Topic: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev  (Read 52701 times)
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June 05, 2021, 12:34:41 PM
 #2521

^ Manually checked results from EURO 2016, not a single team went unbooked in group stages with Spain leading the pack with just one:

Spain - 1 yellow card (Ramos)
Wales - 2 yellow cards
England - 2 yellow cards
Russia - 2 yellow cards
Portugal - 2 yellow cards

source: https://www.flashscore.com/football/europe/euro/archive/

Stupid question but can we take the same promo twice, will it count? I know that outright bets only the first bet qualifies not sure with this one. I kinda want to put a bigger stake here...dammit  Grin

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June 05, 2021, 12:35:15 PM
 #2522

Great special EURO offer today, every team to get yellow card in group stage @6. This looks like free money to me, every team needs to get at least 1 yellow card in 3 games. Sounds like a very good deal but the odds are quite high so I have a feeling that this bet does not win as often as I would have thought. Did not have the time to check historic record, just took it on gut feeling Smiley
i haven't checked any stats but imo odds seem too generous? i think it should be like 1.7 or 1.4  Grin  i don't know how a team can play 3 crucial high-intensity games without receiving a single yellow card. at some point you're gonna waste time, get into an argument, foul someone cos you slipped, etc, etc. feel like i shoulda max this bet but i only went with 2 units :/

.
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June 05, 2021, 12:40:01 PM
 #2523

Stupid question but can we take the same promo twice, will it count? I know that outright bets only the first bet qualifies not sure with this one. I kinda want to put a bigger stake here...dammit  Grin
Max bet for promo is 5 mBTC. If you placed a bet on let's say 1 mBTC i would click on max bet button and expect to see 4 mBTC left. Just try it if math checks out. Should work like that.

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June 05, 2021, 12:56:50 PM
Last edit: June 05, 2021, 01:09:18 PM by icopress
 #2524

Max bet for promo is 5 mBTC. If you placed a bet on let's say 1 mBTC i would click on max bet button and expect to see 4 mBTC left. Just try it if math checks out. Should work like that.
I decided to check ... and expected a completely different result, since literally a few days ago I saw a pop-up notification about 5 mBTC restrictions (as you can see, I was able to place a bet twice at 3mBTC). I'll try to ask Steve what's the matter ...

Quote
i haven't checked any stats but imo odds seem too generous?
I have not checked the statistics for 2012 and earlier, but at Euro 2016 all teams in group matches received at least one yellow card, I did not even reach the matches of the third round ... since most of the teams received cards in the first round and the rest received them in the second.

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June 05, 2021, 03:59:40 PM
 #2525

^^
It was asked on clubtalk as there was someone by the name of Vj94 who had a fantastic answer for those who were still on the fence in taking on this promotion offered earlier today.



Isn't having a chat function on the site just awesome so to gather some insight into markets and sports you are not too familiar with which come by every 4 years like this one? Smiley

For the Euro 2021 yellow card promotion, you still have time to take it for another 4 more hours until it expires. The matches start on June the 11th for euro group stage play just remember it runs for a few weeks until all done. So just be wary you will have your mbtc locked up into the bet for this long but well worth it in my opinion.

The Day 2 of the Bitcoin Conference in Miami has garnered some of those big investors who own companies into it really get a platform:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JASM5hi82Po

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June 05, 2021, 06:34:51 PM
Merited by icopress (1)
 #2526

Max bet for promo is 5 mBTC. If you placed a bet on let's say 1 mBTC i would click on max bet button and expect to see 4 mBTC left. Just try it if math checks out. Should work like that.
I decided to check ... and expected a completely different result, since literally a few days ago I saw a pop-up notification about 5 mBTC restrictions (as you can see, I was able to place a bet twice at 3mBTC). I'll try to ask Steve what's the matter ...
Just checked it. Max bet for this market was 25 mBTC so 3+3 is totally legit. I just placed another 10 20 mBTC bet on it since it has immense value for me. 5 mBTC was max bet for those money back bets but this one has it set a bit higher. Did not check for outright winner since I skipped those.

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June 05, 2021, 07:09:54 PM
 #2527

Trofo got in earlier but yeah max bet for this one a little more than usual. Booked a little over 5mbtc on today's promo as this seems too good to be true but I don't mind at all. Value odds for maybe 20 teams and I see tired players and eager heads giving us yellows.

Question for me now is VAR and how that might make things different but hey. Five more days for five more specials!

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June 05, 2021, 07:27:29 PM
 #2528

Just checked it. Max bet for this market was 25 mBTC so 3+3 is totally legit. I just placed another 10 20 mBTC bet on it since it has immense value for me. 5 mBTC was max bet for those money back bets but this one has it set a bit higher. Did not check for outright winner since I skipped those.
Thanks for the clarification ... I added 3 more mBTC, I would gladly bet more, but I want to leave some bitcoins in case there is another attractive offer before the start of the Tournament .. Btw, have you looked at the statistics for 2012 and 2008? Google does not display these events by default, as in the case of Euro 2016, and I do not find a suitable site where you can look at the detailed statistics of group matches for those years.

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June 05, 2021, 08:07:55 PM
 #2529

Just checked it. Max bet for this market was 25 mBTC so 3+3 is totally legit. I just placed another 10 20 mBTC bet on it since it has immense value for me. 5 mBTC was max bet for those money back bets but this one has it set a bit higher. Did not check for outright winner since I skipped those.
Thanks for the clarification ... I added 3 more mBTC, I would gladly bet more, but I want to leave some bitcoins in case there is another attractive offer before the start of the Tournament .. Btw, have you looked at the statistics for 2012 and 2008? Google does not display these events by default, as in the case of Euro 2016, and I do not find a suitable site where you can look at the detailed statistics of group matches for those years.
I understand you perfectly, I have now ended with way too much money tied up in various EURO promos. If I get 2 bad days in a row my betting bank will be empty and I'll have to stop betting or drop my stakes significantly. On the other hand my whole betting strategy is centered around value bets and you don't get much more value than these EURO promos at Sportsbet. I fell like this has been my best betting decision in life but we have yet to see if it will end up profitable Smiley

I don't look at the stats much, I usually follow my gut feeling and if somebody offered me a bet with odds around 2 that both teams will get yellow card in the any Euro match I would take it every time. This way we even have 3 games for each team and odds @6. Screams value to me however you look at it.


Question for me now is VAR and how that might make things different but hey. Five more days for five more specials!
VAR is not used for yellow cards as far as I am aware. If we get some promo for red cards or penalties than we have to factor in VAR influence.

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June 05, 2021, 11:34:01 PM
 #2530

Oh shit FML, I didnt take this special bet because I read it incorrectly and now it is gone. I thought it was every matches to have a yellow card in the group stages. Well with 72 matches total for the group stages, its probably not going to pop up ( thats what I thought , dang ). I seriously read that it was matches instead of teams lol, I need to rest my eyes lol.

24 teams and each team will play three times in the group stages, this seems very likely to win

but I want to leave some bitcoins in case there is another attractive offer before the start of the Tournament ..

I hope there is another one. Aside from the special bet for the 'you can't seem to lose' special offer, I had none other Euro related bet lol.

R


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June 06, 2021, 08:42:43 AM
 #2531

I hope there is another one. Aside from the special bet for the 'you can't seem to lose' special offer, I had none other Euro related bet lol.
There is another safe bet promo today - Any Team To Score Over 4.5 Goals In A Single Match In The Group Stages (Money back if there are none) @5. Can't believe I will probably not take it since it is money back. I simply don't have enough to finance these bets that would have no value if they are without money back component.

When you compare it to yesterday promo
* yesterday we had bigger odds for something much more likely to hit, every team to get at least one yellow in 3 highly competitive matches
* one team to score over 4.5 seems highly unlikely to me, for that to happen it should be a game where goal difference is important to favorite and some situation where outsider gets a red or two in first 20 minutes. This is EURO every team knows how to defend.
* but then we have money back and risk nothing

I believe max bet for this one is 25 mBTC but don't have enough to check. It is over 10 for sure.



If gambit did not force every round on the begining of second map and opened it with 8:1 against, I would probably have more than enough Smiley

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June 06, 2021, 11:59:32 AM
 #2532

I believe max bet for this one is 25 mBTC but don't have enough to check. It is over 10 for sure.

I actually had to deposit money for this, I saw it and only had well, something small, not even 10, which it seemed to be able to accept. But then 2 hours later (now) I'm back online with the deposit confirmed and now it's only letting me bet 5mbtc max.

Which of course now means I have more money for silly bets, so I hope I don't do anything silly until the promo countdown ends. Have a feeling it's gonna be big on the last day.

Anyway, I agree with you it's not a big miss today at only 5/1 BUT it's more than okay if you have 5 mbtc to spare. Think if this hits, it'll have to be on Matchday 1.

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June 06, 2021, 12:37:31 PM
 #2533

Okay I just looked up the match histories to see how likely o4.5 would hit and the last time it happened was at EURO 1984 where France 5-0'd Belgium. The usual highest goal per team was three during the groups.

I didn't put much on the offer since my bankroll isn't that big but yeah it's always worth putting something on these moneyback type offers.

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June 06, 2021, 12:43:17 PM
 #2534

There is another safe bet promo today - Any Team To Score Over 4.5 Goals In A Single Match In The Group Stages (Money back if there are none) @5.
i'm surprised this is priced lower than the yellow cards promo from yesterday. A bit higher and i would've booked it. I'll skip this one

If gambit did not force every round on the begining of second map and opened it with 8:1 against, I would probably have more than enough Smiley
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June 06, 2021, 01:39:46 PM
 #2535

I hope there is another one. Aside from the special bet for the 'you can't seem to lose' special offer, I had none other Euro related bet lol.
There is another safe bet promo today - Any Team To Score Over 4.5 Goals In A Single Match In The Group Stages (Money back if there are none) @5. Can't believe I will probably not take it since it is money back. I simply don't have enough to finance these bets that would have no value if they are without money back component.

Took this one few minutes ago



When you compare it to yesterday promo
* yesterday we had bigger odds for something much more likely to hit, every team to get at least one yellow in 3 highly competitive matches

Yeah it is much more likely to hit and too bad I didnt take it yesterday but I'd take any of this 'you can't lose' special bets lol. I think Belgium might somehow score 5 goals though

Which of course now means I have more money for silly bets, so I hope I don't do anything silly until the promo countdown ends. Have a feeling it's gonna be big on the last day.

Saving some of my balance until the last day as well. Hoping to snatch some of these generous promotions, I'd take anything with moneyback offer though

i'm surprised this is priced lower than the yellow cards promo from yesterday. A bit higher and i would've booked it. I'll skip this one

Probably because this has no risk at all, its either we win or moneyback at this point so yeah the odds are quite low compared with the yellow cards promotion



So the main issue is most of these bets are group stages bet, in case of moneyback does this bet settled right after the group stages ended or the entire Euro ended?

R


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June 06, 2021, 01:53:54 PM
 #2536

Okay I just looked up the match histories to see how likely o4.5 would hit and the last time it happened was at EURO 1984 where France 5-0'd Belgium.

A more recent one was Sweden (5) - (0) Bulgaria at EURO 2004.

I still think it's a no-brainer since there's a money-back guarantee if no one scores five, but looking at Round 3 matches: Finland vs. Belgium and Slovakia vs. Spain. Those two are my picks for blowout wins, especially if the favorites get a headstart and score an early goal or two, it absolutely can go the distance.

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June 06, 2021, 01:55:37 PM
 #2537

Yeah it is much more likely to hit and too bad I didnt take it yesterday but I'd take any of this 'you can't lose' special bets lol. I think Belgium might somehow score 5 goals though
Personally, I decided to use this offer only in the payback format for other bets (I do not believe that we will see 5 goals, but at the same time, in case of an accidental win, I can secure my other bets).

Saving some of my balance until the last day as well. Hoping to snatch some of these generous promotions, I'd take anything with moneyback offer though
Well, if my balance were, say, 100 or 200 mBTC, I would not prioritize and use these offers to the maximum. But I am limited, so I must have a small supply of bitcoins for future offers, daily bets and for blackjack (reserve in case of several losses in a row).

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June 06, 2021, 05:41:18 PM
 #2538

Saving some of my balance until the last day as well. Hoping to snatch some of these generous promotions, I'd take anything with a moneyback offer though

Hoping it doesn't become 4/1, 3/1, and 2/1. I love them big odds but the payout's been following the countdown so far, except maybe the final day we see something really big;) Or not, doesn't matter. Already have over 20 bets now that'll be locked in for weeks!

So the main issue is most of these bets are group stages bet, in case of moneyback does this bet settled right after the group stages ended or the entire Euro ended?

SB tends to settle really quick. Another reason I don't mind group stages settlement so we get money back (or wins heh) to go big on the KO stages! It'll probably get a bit duller after group in terms of goals but hoping to be surprised;)

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June 06, 2021, 06:30:28 PM
 #2539

SB tends to settle really quick. Another reason I don't mind group stages settlement so we get money back (or wins heh) to go big on the KO stages! It'll probably get a bit duller after group in terms of goals but hoping to be surprised;)
Exactly, I am expecting all the group stage bets to settle about an hour after last group game finishes. It is even possible that they settle sooner than that if we get win condition sooner. For instance that one with each team getting a yellow card could be settled as early as after first round of games. At least I hope for that conclusion Smiley

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June 06, 2021, 09:27:44 PM
 #2540

Well, if my balance were, say, 100 or 200 mBTC, I would not prioritize and use these offers to the maximum. But I am limited, so I must have a small supply of bitcoins for future offers, daily bets and for blackjack (reserve in case of several losses in a row).

If there is another either win or push special offer for the Grand Final, I might take and bet max amount on it though  Tongue

Saving some of my balance until the last day as well. Hoping to snatch some of these generous promotions, I'd take anything with a moneyback offer though

Hoping it doesn't become 4/1, 3/1, and 2/1. I love them big odds but the payout's been following the countdown so far, except maybe the final day we see something really big;) Or not, doesn't matter. Already have over 20 bets now that'll be locked in for weeks!

20 special euro bets ? damn thats alot, I only took the bets that has moneyback offer on it or atleast a decent chance to hit because most of the special offers are boosted odds for X team to win the Euro, I kinda feel that this is not really worth it

Now that you mention about the odds, my biggest odds for my betslip is 20x and the lowest that I've got is 5x for the latest special bet. It sure is keep going down , glad that I managed to take few good bets at the start of these special offer

Exactly, I am expecting all the group stage bets to settle about an hour after last group game finishes.

Yeah this would be great and this is what Im hoping for instead of waiting till the end of Euro

R


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