US Elections 2020 - very self such moderated

[bryant.coleman]

According to Fox News, Joe Biden wins Arizona. Now it becomes really difficult for Trump to get to the 270 mark. He can do that only if he wins Pennsylvania, and one among the western rust-belt states (MI/MN/WI). Nevada results can be important as well. In case Trump wins NV (chances are very low), then he still has a chance to go above 270.

[eddie13]

According to Fox News, Joe Biden wins Arizona. Now it becomes really difficult for Trump to get to the 270 mark. He can do that only if he wins Pennsylvania, and one among the western rust-belt states (MI/MN/WI). Nevada results can be important as well. In case Trump wins NV (chances are very low), then he still has a chance to go above 270.

What about Trump flipping Virginia? EH?

Dig AZ in their bountyhole..

[KonstantinosM]

Looking at exit polls Biden should win Iowa, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania is not so certain.

This is probably skewed by mail-ins. Which should favor Biden even more.

Yup, most likely.

Trump has pulled through and will probably win Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida.

Pennsylvania will probably end up going to Trump.

Trump will probably win this race IMO. Betting markets have completely flipped on their head here. But I guess there's still a lot of time.

No Pennsylvania is 90%+ going to Biden. They just have to count the absentee ballots. 2.6 Million of them. We won't know until Friday.

[bryant.coleman]

No Pennsylvania is 90%+ going to Biden. They just have to count the absentee ballots. 2.6 Million of them. We won't know until Friday.

Possible. But I guess at least some of the postal ballots are already counted. According to Fox News, with 54% of the votes counted, Trump is having a lead of around 15%. Most of the remaining votes are from Philadelphia and it is possible for Biden to close the gap.

Chances of a Trump re-election almost disappeared with the loss of Arizona. That state and its 11 electoral votes were so crucial. Now Trump needs to win at least one among these three - Nevada, Michigan and Wisconsin.

Just to add, Trump is far behind in NE-2, and therefore he will lose one crucial electoral vote. ME-2 looks very tight as of now.

[suchmoon]

Looks like Georgia might be moving towards Biden. NYT flipped it's forecast to the blue side - 67% Biden's chance to win, while it was as high as 80%+ towards Trump just a couple of hours ago. Vast majority of remaining votes are in Atlanta and suburbs.


Edited 2020-11-30 to fix a broken image

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-georgia-president.html

Edit: NYT finally called Florida for Trump, which they should've done 3 hours ago. Still holding up Texas for no reason.

[nutildah]

So far things are going as planned on my map... Biden can lose Pennsylvania - its ok - he just needs to win WI and MI and he's in.

Wayne County (Detroit) is still pretty far behind in their count, and the vast majority of those yet to be counted are dem votes.

Wonder how many days this is going to take. Hopefully not more than one, two at most.

[eddie13]

Wonder how many days this is going to take.

Now they will just keep counting and counting until biden wins and then stop....
Real votes, fake votes, no matter..
Trump "loses" now..

Civil war in 10.. 9.. 8.. 7.....
You strapped?

[bryant.coleman]

At this point, I would say that Biden is having a significant advantage. First it was his Arizona win which changed the course. Then he won the 2nd district of Nebraska. On top of this, he is having a comfortable lead in Nevada as well. So only way for Trump to win now is to get electoral votes from either Michigan or Wisconsin, in addition to Pennsylvania. And let's not forget the fact that the NYT needle is showing an advantage for Biden in Georgia.

[suchmoon]

The Senate flip is looking very unlikely at this time. Democrats lost a seat in Alabama, as expected, and picked up one in Colorado and likely one in Arizona. They need to defend their seat in Michigan and flip two more... out of 4 remaining: Maine, North Carolina, one in Georgia that went to a runoff, and another one in Georgia also likely heading to a runoff. And that's assuming that Biden wins and gets a tie breaker.

[suchmoon]

It's interesting how much Biden is outperforming Hillary in some of the most populous counties in Georgia. Not sure what's going on there, must be fraud according to the above


Edited 2020-11-30 to fix a broken image

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-georgia-president.html

[eddie13]

Did Trump just say there was a "great fraud" happening without mentioning what the fraud was or where it was actually happening? Then he went on to say as far as he concerned, he already won?

"Yeah there's a lotta fraud goin on, you know how those dems are. Oh but I still already won."

Yeah Trump won..
Should have called the rust belt.. (cnn/all)

polls btfo

[bryant.coleman]

Suddenly out of nowhere Wisconsin looks competitive. 8% votes yet to be counted and Trump is up by 4.1%. Kenosha County (where the riots occurred recently) is showing a big shift towards GOP. I would say that right now Wisconsin looks 50/50. Trump is still up in Michigan by 8.2%, but 28% of the votes are yet to be counted and I expect him to lose by 3-4 points. His lead in PA has been reduced to 13.4%, and 36% ballots remain there to be counted. And in Georgia, Trump is looking quite vulnerable.

[suchmoon]

Should have called the rust belt.. (cnn/all)

CNN "calls" don't determine election outcomes and CNN doesn't count the votes.

If the shoe was on the other foot you'd be advocating for counting every vote before calling it, wouldn't you

[TwitchySeal]

Why does Trump keep making this ridiculous lies?

Exhibit A:

Now they will just keep counting and counting until biden wins and then stop....
Real votes, fake votes, no matter..
Trump "loses" now..

[Boravenchy]

Question is - what's better for the crypto market? Trump or Biden?

[eddie13]

If the shoe was on the other foot you'd be advocating for counting every vote before calling it, wouldn't you

idk maybe lol

Is me calling the winner now triggering to some?
oops..

Trump wins the ec.. (prediction)

You think I trust Detroit and Philadelphia PA to keep counting to infinity?

Question is - what's better for the crypto market? Trump or Biden?

Putin..

[suchmoon]

Suddenly out of nowhere Wisconsin looks competitive. 8% votes yet to be counted and Trump is up by 4.1%. Kenosha County (where the riots occurred recently) is showing a big shift towards GOP. I would say that right now Wisconsin looks 50/50. Trump is still up in Michigan by 8.2%, but 28% of the votes are yet to be counted and I expect him to lose by 3-4 points. His lead in PA has been reduced to 13.4%, and 36% ballots remain there to be counted. And in Georgia, Trump is looking quite vulnerable.

Where do you see 8% remaining? NYT shows 19% remaining in Wisconsin, and 60% remaining in Milwaukee, which should favor Biden significantly.

In Pennsylvania though... I don't see where Biden can get the votes to cover the ~600k deficit he has now. Neither Philly nor Pittsburgh seem to have that many votes left to count and the rest of the state is bright red.

[eddie13]

rest of the state is bright red.

The rest of the country is bright red.. Mandate 2.0..
How many more judges?

ok ok I better stop..

Sorry.. I'm excited that it's even near to close and just talking shit..

[OgNasty]

Currently looking a lot like a final result of:
Biden 248 / Trump 290
 

[Naida_BR]

Currently looking a lot like a final result of:
Biden 248 / Trump 290
 

This is why Trump stated that they should stop counting votes and that the US have already a winner?
We are going to be on hold for the winner during the next few hours. There are some states that might reverse the so far result and this is what Trump is afraid of right now...


Reference from the Independent:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/trump-won-election-ballots-count-supreme-court-biden-b1581628.html