Used to think 8 or 9 was nice at HT but now maybe better to go max 7, right icopress?
My guess is based on my own observations,
(in particular on the basis of 40 past matches in the framework of this event). In the first half, the teams try to stick to the planned strategy, the players are more collected ... while in the second half, fatigue makes itself felt, the players are more likely to make mistakes, which leads to cards and corners,
(or to random goals). Yes, I agree with what else you need to take into account the level of the teams that meet
[generally accepted standards] since the weaker the team, the more dirty the game.
I am playing all "safe" games for max 5 mBTC while I am playing "risky" bets for 1 mBTC. Safe bet is the one where I am expecting push and therefore I am quite certain I am getting at least my stake back. It actually helped me with Barca game since I placed it in risky group and played for smaller stake.
It will be necessary to somehow try out the tactics you are talking about
(at least I will think about what criteria should be used to determine the risk zone). Since I am usually not guided by anything other than simplified statistics, I bet only as much as I am subconsciously ready to lose.
Where are you getting the 20 more games won stat from? Chelsea is 18-10-7 this season while Arsenal is 15-7-13 in EPL and h2h on Fotmob shows Chelsea with 13 wins and Arsenal with 11. The odds look about right to me.
Well, I'm not an expert in betting like you or Trofo, but nevertheless, in this particular case, I look at the statistics of each past match of the team I need.
Using
sofascore.com I can see the details of each of the 10 recent Arsenal matches, and by simple counting, I derive the average for myself,
(total points "/" number of games) the same can be done with Chelchi, then the average number of points for both teams can be calculated.
Although I admit that I have never calculated the individual average number of points, since such a calculation takes more time
(in the format when the number of corners, cards, goals is counted, first for one team, then for another). In this case, based on the results of the last 10 games, the individual average for Arsenal is 8.4 points, while the average for all its opponents is only 5,7 points,
(the average value of points in games with the participation of Arsenal "-" the average of Arsenal's individual points in the same games).
