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Author Topic: Betting to Risk Free Fights  (Read 1294 times)
famososMuertos
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June 04, 2021, 12:00:35 AM
 #41

The risk of losing is always there, even with odds of 1.01  Smiley just don't bet with fear, it's the main factor.

The fun of sports betting is above the risk,I always analyze the data well and if there is a chance to go against the odds, I do bet. Anyway, in your question the feeling is personal, so it's up to you.

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June 04, 2021, 02:08:33 AM
 #42

The risk of losing is always there, even with odds of 1.01  Smiley just don't bet with fear, it's the main factor.

The fun of sports betting is above the risk,I always analyze the data well and if there is a chance to go against the odds, I do bet. Anyway, in your question the feeling is personal, so it's up to you.
That's what I had thought too, pretty sure the risk of losing is the same no matter who is fighting and how the bookies are estimating and deciding their odds for that fighter. I agree that risk is part of the fun but I think another part is the feeling of superiority you feel when your bet is right.
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June 04, 2021, 06:32:36 AM
 #43

The risk of losing is always there, even with odds of 1.01  Smiley just don't bet with fear, it's the main factor.

The fun of sports betting is above the risk,I always analyze the data well and if there is a chance to go against the odds, I do bet. Anyway, in your question the feeling is personal, so it's up to you.
That's what I had thought too, pretty sure the risk of losing is the same no matter who is fighting and how the bookies are estimating and deciding their odds for that fighter. I agree that risk is part of the fun but I think another part is the feeling of superiority you feel when your bet is right.
How the risk of losing could be the same when a champion meets a beginner in a tournament and when 2 champions fight against each other? There are obviously less risks to bet on a champion meeting a beginner than to bet on a champion meeting another champion or to bet on a beginner fighting against a champion. So you must take into account the chances of the outcome you are betting on to happen. If you think those chances to happen are bigger than the implied probability of the odds, then you can earn some value.

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June 04, 2021, 12:08:33 PM
 #44

The risk of losing is always there, even with odds of 1.01  Smiley just don't bet with fear, it's the main factor.

The fun of sports betting is above the risk,I always analyze the data well and if there is a chance to go against the odds, I do bet. Anyway, in your question the feeling is personal, so it's up to you.
That's what I had thought too, pretty sure the risk of losing is the same no matter who is fighting and how the bookies are estimating and deciding their odds for that fighter. I agree that risk is part of the fun but I think another part is the feeling of superiority you feel when your bet is right.
By doing analysis, we can know how big our risk so we can decide it later. But still, the risk will not go but it will reduce and as long as we know how to manage the risk, we do not have to worry. But if you are afraid to lose the money and not sure about handling the risk, you can leave the betting and search for the other bet. It will be better for you to know how big your chance to win by knowing the risk. We do not have to challenge the risk because the situations can change anytime, which can make us in danger.

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June 04, 2021, 01:23:15 PM
 #45

The risk of losing is always there, even with odds of 1.01  Smiley just don't bet with fear, it's the main factor.

The fun of sports betting is above the risk,I always analyze the data well and if there is a chance to go against the odds, I do bet. Anyway, in your question the feeling is personal, so it's up to you.
That's what I had thought too, pretty sure the risk of losing is the same no matter who is fighting and how the bookies are estimating and deciding their odds for that fighter. I agree that risk is part of the fun but I think another part is the feeling of superiority you feel when your bet is right.
How the risk of losing could be the same when a champion meets a beginner in a tournament and when 2 champions fight against each other? There are obviously less risks to bet on a champion meeting a beginner than to bet on a champion meeting another champion or to bet on a beginner fighting against a champion. So you must take into account the chances of the outcome you are betting on to happen. If you think those chances to happen are bigger than the implied probability of the odds, then you can earn some value.
thats why there are odds to know if what are the chance of winning or loosing in gambling  but its true that in every game theres a chance that we can lose if we are having a bad day .
still ,
its hard to accept for me if this happens because im confident on the player or team that im betting and random thoughts start to appear in my head .
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June 04, 2021, 02:08:12 PM
 #46

The risk of losing is always there, even with odds of 1.01  Smiley just don't bet with fear, it's the main factor.

The fun of sports betting is above the risk,I always analyze the data well and if there is a chance to go against the odds, I do bet. Anyway, in your question the feeling is personal, so it's up to you.

Even if we analyze it hard, there's still no guarantee that we will win, but in sports betting, we should believe that it's not won through luck alone. Don't believe on lock bet as it never happen, it's just a way to attract bettors to follow the tipster, the best way to succeed is to develop our personal skills in sports capping and it will require time and patiennce.

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June 04, 2021, 08:21:43 PM
 #47

Judging by the result of the last fight of both Rozenstruik and Augusto, I will say this is a risky fight because I believe Augusto take on Rozenstruik to be prepared for his revenge on Allistair but Rozenstruik still has the upper hand to defeat Augusto though so I will go for him to be the winning of the fight.

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June 04, 2021, 08:38:06 PM
 #48

The risk of losing is always there, even with odds of 1.01  Smiley just don't bet with fear, it's the main factor.

The fun of sports betting is above the risk,I always analyze the data well and if there is a chance to go against the odds, I do bet. Anyway, in your question the feeling is personal, so it's up to you.

Even if we analyze it hard, there's still no guarantee that we will win, but in sports betting, we should believe that it's not won through luck alone. Don't believe on lock bet as it never happen, it's just a way to attract bettors to follow the tipster, the best way to succeed is to develop our personal skills in sports capping and it will require time and patiennce.
Surely takes time because experience would matter most in sports betting.I do agree with theres no such thing about lock bets unless if its fixed then sure it would be a lock one but gaining such information is something impossible.

Sticking with favorites doesnt really give out guarantees for you to win but at least we can really tell that winning odds is high.Just dont go all in with your bets.

Always be mindful about handling out your capital well and make yourself sustainable and could take yourself way more further into betting career.

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June 07, 2021, 03:18:04 PM
 #49

Would you be able to decide which fight could be risk free that you will bet your weekly pay despite the small odd like 1.50 or would you still rethink if there is an upset like Weili Zhang and Rose Namajunas.  

How about Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Augusto Sakai, is this a risk free fight to you?



Jairzinho Rozenstruik by the way is the one that did the nasty cuts to Allistair's mouth.
Now since the fight is over anyone can say that it was easy money but the odds suggested that Sakai had a good chance to win and although Rozenstruik proved his power, I had a feeling that if we went to the distance there was a good chance that Rozenstruik might gas out and Sakai would take advantage of that and land some big shots late in the rounds.

There is never free money on offer even when the odds are 1.01 and as a proof, I can show you at least 5 bets I made for wager and ended up losing with seriously low odds. For example, betting on a 1-minute market on soccer and I have lost a lot of them. Similarly, I have made bets on esports and lost some bets which I felt were free money.

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June 07, 2021, 09:21:02 PM
 #50

Would you be able to decide which fight could be risk free that you will bet your weekly pay despite the small odd like 1.50 or would you still rethink if there is an upset like Weili Zhang and Rose Namajunas.  

How about Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Augusto Sakai, is this a risk free fight to you?



Jairzinho Rozenstruik by the way is the one that did the nasty cuts to Allistair's mouth.
Risk free fights don't exist in sport betting, even when odds are 1.01 or 1.00. The only risk free bets existing are on rigged matchs. So if you want to really get a risk free bet, you need to look for some bonuses or promotions offered by sportsbooks. At Stake for example there will be a risk free bet offered for the next fight of his brand ambassador Israel Adesanya : the main event of UFC263, Adesanya vs Vettori 2. Stakes on an Adesanya victory will be refunded in case of a loss of him.
And even in those circumstances the chances are not 100% because as we know there are many things that can happen in a fight, after all what if the other side is also trying to rig the fight? In that case whatever result you tried to get is going to be incredibly difficult to achieve, also sometimes people decide not to follow what has been agreed upon and do whatever they want, so it is better to accept that risk-free bets simply do not exist and make our bets accordingly.

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June 07, 2021, 09:30:46 PM
 #51

Would you be able to decide which fight could be risk free that you will bet your weekly pay despite the small odd like 1.50 or would you still rethink if there is an upset like Weili Zhang and Rose Namajunas.  

How about Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Augusto Sakai, is this a risk free fight to you?


Jairzinho Rozenstruik by the way is the one that did the nasty cuts to Allistair's mouth.
Risk free fights don't exist in sport betting, even when odds are 1.01 or 1.00. The only risk free bets existing are on rigged matchs. So if you want to really get a risk free bet, you need to look for some bonuses or promotions offered by sportsbooks. At Stake for example there will be a risk free bet offered for the next fight of his brand ambassador Israel Adesanya : the main event of UFC263, Adesanya vs Vettori 2. Stakes on an Adesanya victory will be refunded in case of a loss of him.
And even in those circumstances the chances are not 100% because as we know there are many things that can happen in a fight, after all what if the other side is also trying to rig the fight? In that case whatever result you tried to get is going to be incredibly difficult to achieve, also sometimes people decide not to follow what has been agreed upon and do whatever they want, so it is better to accept that risk-free bets simply do not exist and make our bets accordingly.
If this 100% purely works or could give out 100% winning rate or even with bigger chances and as said on where there are lots of factors that could happen on a certain game which would really be removing the thing of guaranteed win.

Majority is been following about heavily favorite even though winnings wont really be that big but doesnt matter as long it would be considered win
or gain then that what surely counts.

We should really remove this mindset and be mindful about factor  that could possibly affect the game.

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June 07, 2021, 09:39:53 PM
 #52

Would you be able to decide which fight could be risk free that you will bet your weekly pay despite the small odd like 1.50 or would you still rethink if there is an upset like Weili Zhang and Rose Namajunas.  

How about Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Augusto Sakai, is this a risk free fight to you?



Jairzinho Rozenstruik by the way is the one that did the nasty cuts to Allistair's mouth.
Risk free fights don't exist in sport betting, even when odds are 1.01 or 1.00. The only risk free bets existing are on rigged matchs. So if you want to really get a risk free bet, you need to look for some bonuses or promotions offered by sportsbooks. At Stake for example there will be a risk free bet offered for the next fight of his brand ambassador Israel Adesanya : the main event of UFC263, Adesanya vs Vettori 2. Stakes on an Adesanya victory will be refunded in case of a loss of him.
And even in those circumstances the chances are not 100% because as we know there are many things that can happen in a fight, after all what if the other side is also trying to rig the fight? In that case whatever result you tried to get is going to be incredibly difficult to achieve, also sometimes people decide not to follow what has been agreed upon and do whatever they want, so it is better to accept that risk-free bets simply do not exist and make our bets accordingly.

Simply say that shit happened, the idea of double-crossing someone, there are incidents that the plan rigged was rig as well,

inside gambling many things can happened as we deal with money, a very huge amount of money, whoever believes that there's a risk free types of betting most of the times regrets their actions in participating with this kind of bet.

Instead of winning they've situations turned to the other side, yu can't predict accurately even a heavy favorite can lose.

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June 07, 2021, 10:10:52 PM
 #53

Would you be able to decide which fight could be risk free that you will bet your weekly pay despite the small odd like 1.50

In a MMA fight, 1.50 odds is not a small for me. Remember that MMA is obviously a 1 on 1 match and upset always happened here. I'm only considering 1.50 odds as fairly small in terms of a team match like basketball.

But in general, you can't even consider below 1.5 as risk-free odds. It's even more risky as you will put some decent bet here just to feel the profits.

The fight is now over and Jairzinho Rozenstruik did a TKO 1st round win. Do you managed to bet on a 1.50 odds here, OP?
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June 07, 2021, 11:16:46 PM
 #54


Risk free fights don't exist in sport betting, even when odds are 1.01 or 1.00. The only risk free bets existing are on rigged matchs. So if you want to really get a risk free bet, you need to look for some bonuses or promotions offered by sportsbooks. At Stake for example there will be a risk free bet offered for the next fight of his brand ambassador Israel Adesanya : the main event of UFC263, Adesanya vs Vettori 2. Stakes on an Adesanya victory will be refunded in case of a loss of him.
And even in those circumstances the chances are not 100% because as we know there are many things that can happen in a fight, after all what if the other side is also trying to rig the fight? In that case whatever result you tried to get is going to be incredibly difficult to achieve, also sometimes people decide not to follow what has been agreed upon and do whatever they want, so it is better to accept that risk-free bets simply do not exist and make our bets accordingly.
If this 100% purely works or could give out 100% winning rate or even with bigger chances and as said on where there are lots of factors that could happen on a certain game which would really be removing the thing of guaranteed win.

Majority is been following about heavily favorite even though winnings wont really be that big but doesnt matter as long it would be considered win
or gain then that what surely counts.

We should really remove this mindset and be mindful about factor  that could possibly affect the game.

suffice to say, there are really no risk-free fights even if there is someone who is heavily favourite on the match, upset can always happen. we are blinded in some factors like actual condition of the fighter, actual prep, actual performance, and so on. sometimes the fighter even slightly change his style depending on his opponent. the chance of winning may be high, but don't get too contented that you will surely win.
look for other factors that may influence the fight, like personal problems (who knows, something is going on with the mental health of the fighter? - but usually this one is hard to get from the promoter, it will only come up when the fighter himself admits something is going on with his life)

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June 07, 2021, 11:24:57 PM
 #55


Someone here able to watch the fight?

Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a monster and Augusto Sakai has no answer to it. It seems another dangerous heavyweight is coming up. At 33 years of age, still showing deadly moves and no signs of slowing down.

OP got a win here at @1.5 for Rozenstruik if he was able to place his bets.

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June 07, 2021, 11:28:28 PM
 #56

Would you be able to decide which fight could be risk free that you will bet your weekly pay despite the small odd like 1.50

In a MMA fight, 1.50 odds is not a small for me. Remember that MMA is obviously a 1 on 1 match and upset always happened here. I'm only considering 1.50 odds as fairly small in terms of a team match like basketball.

But in general, you can't even consider below 1.5 as risk-free odds. It's even more risky as you will put some decent bet here just to feel the profits.

The fight is now over and Jairzinho Rozenstruik did a TKO 1st round win. Do you managed to bet on a 1.50 odds here, OP?
I hope he placed his bet on Stake at least. Because I bet on him too and the odds at Stake were not @1.50 but @1.89 Shocked
Moreover it was a main event fight, then there was a double winnings bonus for the KO  Cool It means I've been paid @2.78 for this bet at the end. Cool
In addition, I've also bet on Marcin Tybura @1.56 at this UFC and he also won by KO against Walt Harris, then I received a payout of @2.12 for this second bet.  Smiley




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June 08, 2021, 01:05:37 AM
 #57

Would you be able to decide which fight could be risk free that you will bet your weekly pay despite the small odd like 1.50

In a MMA fight, 1.50 odds is not a small for me. Remember that MMA is obviously a 1 on 1 match and upset always happened here. I'm only considering 1.50 odds as fairly small in terms of a team match like basketball.

But in general, you can't even consider below 1.5 as risk-free odds. It's even more risky as you will put some decent bet here just to feel the profits.

The fight is now over and Jairzinho Rozenstruik did a TKO 1st round win. Do you managed to bet on a 1.50 odds here, OP?
I hope he placed his bet on Stake at least. Because I bet on him too and the odds at Stake were not @1.50 but @1.89 Shocked
Moreover it was a main event fight, then there was a double winnings bonus for the KO  Cool It means I've been paid @2.78 for this bet at the end. Cool
In addition, I've also bet on Marcin Tybura @1.56 at this UFC and he also won by KO against Walt Harris, then I received a payout of @2.12 for this second bet.  Smiley


It was 1.58 that time. The ones who place their bet late should have gotten more but this is almost a risk-free bet.

The next one I guess is the UFC 263 Adesanya vs. Vettori 2.  The first fight didn't end with KO but you still could see Adesanya just playing around with Vettori.  All I can say is that this fight can still be considered a risk free although there is a slight difference this time because Vettori could have learned from their first fight.

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June 08, 2021, 03:39:41 AM
 #58

I think if he meant to say that risk free bet means a particular gambling site will still refund your bet if your bet loss. Since one gambling site offers some kind of risk free bet in sports promotions. Although if you are able to decide, 1.5x odds would be better. You'll still have a good profit if you win by that odds.

Anyhow, remember that this is still gambling and regardless of the odds, they might be always an unexpected result.
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June 08, 2021, 03:53:53 AM
 #59

It is possible to get risk free bets by analyzing the gambling sites well and it is easy to win from here. Humanity has long gone because of the uncertainty associated with gambling and betting sweepstakes were already strange in ancient rome giving people a chance not only to share their opinions on upcoming events in sports but also to make money on accurate predictions. For this reason which makes it possible to place a bet gambling has occupied a fairly significant place in the world.
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June 08, 2021, 07:17:21 AM
 #60

I think if he meant to say that risk free bet means a particular gambling site will still refund your bet if your bet loss. Since one gambling site offers some kind of risk free bet in sports promotions. Although if you are able to decide, 1.5x odds would be better. You'll still have a good profit if you win by that odds.

Anyhow, remember that this is still gambling and regardless of the odds, they might be always an unexpected result.
That's actually superb if you think about it because people find it hard to gamble when they know that they will lose the money or eventually lose the money but with a risk free bet where they give it back to you, they hook people into betting again even if they aren't risk free anymore because they already got hooked.

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