Summer dip?!, December price outcome? ---> JOIN and guess the price GO!

[wwzsocki]

I have to pick box 171 with price prediction 14,687.69$

Why so low?

Of course I would love to see BTC price mark at 100K USD but I don't think it is possible so fast, not in December already for sure.

Bear market just started, no doubt that BTC is in correction right now and it will take at least 6 months to end it.

If we are lucky correction will end exactly in December and that is why such low ball prediction of course if it happens I will buy like crazy on these levels  

[cygan]

box 252 👉 $72435 per 1BTC

reason: Bitcoin is not dead and there will definitely still be new ath's this year
cant read any charts and i believe in the digital gold

[LoyceV]

let me pick box 237 with a predicted price of $53,635.48

Sorry, you don't qualify. You're 237 earned Merits short.

[tranthidung]

266. $95,063.88 - $96,965.14

My prediction: $96,000 so I choose the box 266.

It is not because it is my most favorite box but the rest one around it.

Bitcoin will likely to be warmed up again around November and in December, it can retest the current all time high. So why do I choose such high price, not somewhere around $60k?

The momentum of Bitcoin becomes bigger with time and its cycle will be shorter and accumulation can be finished sooner than it was in the past cycles. So I choose less than 50% up from current all time high.  
The award for winner will be 0.077 BTC that is so great. I recall in the previous game, the award is 0.15 BTC. Is it correct?  

[LoyceV]

266. $95,063.88 - $96,965.14

You have to predict one amount, not a range. Please PM me after editing so I don't overlook it.

I recall in the previous game, the award is 0.15 BTC. Is it correct?  

It varies, but I count a total far above 1 BTC in giveaways from El duderino_.

should i delete my reply?

You can if you want.

[DdmrDdmr]

First and foremost, I never get any of my predictions right. I’ve never got into TA further than reading here and there, and haven’t managed to date to take a deep interest into fully understanding the inner basis of these models (which perhaps I should do at some point).

This year’s price has been marked rather more by tweets and news/events than anything else, being seemingly very sensitive to them, many of them having no substance behind, but presenting a strong outcome in terms of price movement.
 
El Salvador’s ongoing bitcoin plan is conceptually a great playing ground to observe a complete day-to-day ecosystem set around bitcoin, but being so, it has lacked so far influencing a price boost that at least has some real substance to it. I would have thought that it would have acted as a catalyst countering unsubstantial twat Tweets, but no such thing has happened yet. It seems that there is a higher sensitivity to price for negative events than substantial positive ones, and the former are more recurrent (and easily generated) on the horizon. I don’t expect them to flip in the semester to come to a great degree.

Based on the above, I wouldn’t expect the second semester to place bitcoin price above 50K$, but I’ll settle my entry for this contest as follows:

Price: 48,999 $
Box: 232. $48,485.25 - $49,454.95

Note: The good this, as I stated, is that I’m dreadful at price predicting …

[El duderino_]

I recall in the previous game, the award is 0.15 BTC. Is it correct? 

It varies, but I count a total far above 1 BTC in giveaways from El duderino_.

Depends even been some from .25 as well, think the first one was .5 but not sure, first game where in the WO and didn’t had a separate thread ….

Have made a thread with all the previous game except the few which where held in the WO

If someone can find those original posts, I will add them to the thread

Cheers

[bullrun2024bro]

Hey @El duderino_, thank you for another exciting giveaway!

Price: $31,500
Box: 210. $31,362.16 - $31,989.39

The current hype around meme coins has destroyed a lot of trust in the crypto market and newcomers in particular have had their fingers burnt. Accordingly, I believe that we will see a sideways market in the coming months and I don't think we will see much higher prices at the beginning of December compared to where we are now.

(I really hope I am wrong and we'll be at 100k by the end of the year according to the Stock-To-Flow-Model)

Good luck to all participants!

[lcharles123]

Box 234, $51,000

I think bear market is only short term.
Also, the average of move between past periods give us around +61% , all aproximations, of course 

[MinoRaiola]

Price: $82,212
Box: 258. $81,136.10 - $82,758.82

A x10 would be sensational, I can't imagine that. The reason for this is the worldwide exceptional situation with corona. I think a new ATH is very likely. I always have a look at PlanB and Stock-to-Flow as well as the Rainbow Chart and there was no maximum bubbly territory there in this bull. Actually my estimate wouldn’t be too low, but I think Corona has messed it up.

[joker_josue]

$43,155 ---  Box 225

I believe the price will go up, but it shouldn't have a substantial increase. Maybe after December 7th it will go up a lot, before it will be close to this value.

[LoyceV]

Box 234, $51,000

Sorry, you don't qualify. You're 214 earned Merits short.

Price: $82,212

Please add your thinking reasoning as required by El duderino_. Note that your box was not reserved yet, if it's still available when you edit your post, please send me a PM so I don't miss it.

$43,155

Sorry, you don't qualify. You're 166 earned Merits short.

[goldkingcoiner]

I say box 231,

48 000


Edit: Since 231 is taken by some sneaky pete, I will be taking 230: 47500.

My explaination: By expecting that we are not finished with our uptrend, if you look at the logarithmic Bitcoin chart, (which hasn't failed us yet) we can predict that the bull run is not over for this year.

However I do expect a lot of insecurity and sideways action until we test 50k again. By using the most likely fibonacci sequences we can somewhat predict the resistance and support areas.

Looks something like this:



Thanks for the awesome contest, my dude! You make speculation very fun!

[Avantikakaur]

There is no doubt here that Bitcoin will exceed the tray top limit But even though bitcoin is difficult to say the exact month or time, we can still expect that Bitcoin will exceed all it's limits in December. One of the most promising points Bitcoin has left is that it has a potential to exceed $88k or more. We can wait for December-January seems to me that next December may be the golden age of Bitcoin.

[joker_josue]

$43,155

Sorry, you don't qualify. You're 166 earned Merits short.

It was the merits of the last 120 days, ok... I hadn't noticed. Sorry.

Good luck to the participants.

[soliton]

My guess is $36,7 (box 217)

Reasoning: right now all of us witness unprecedented price drop  associated with the market  flooding with unsecured candy wrappers aka USDT and  a massive ASICs shutdown. There are strong doubts that all  disconnected power will find a refuge somewhere abroad. And,  so far, the price has been growing with the hash rate.  It will take time to restore it to at least the previous highest level. There is very little hope for the growth until November-December. If the price  manages to stabilize itself at $36,7 ( God willing) which is the a standard (in Celsius scale) for normal temperature of human body,   I'll be happy.

[Phil_S]

Box 282: 132,000

My reasoning: while 2021 shapes to become the same bullrun year like 2013 and 2017, we can't just repeat the pattern exactly. We might get a premature top by October-November due to frontrun/FOMO effect (up to 160,000), and then go down a little by December-January (thus 132,000 preduction), but then we'll get a real top around 200,000 by Ferbuary-March. Just my gut talking.

Thanks to Dude!

Thanks to LoyceV!

[zanezane]

Box 269(Nice): $100,882.55 - $102,900.19
My reason for picking that value is because I think that analysts are all agreeing that bitcoin might reach around the 6 digit territory by the end of the year after a winter in the mid year.

[LoyceV]

I say box 231,
48 000

Sorry, this box is taken:

231. $47,777 bitebits

Feel free to make a new prediction. If you edit your post, please PM me so I don't overlook it.

It was the merits of the last 120 days

It's not. The 250 Merit needs to be earned (not airdropped).

My guess is $36,7 (box 217)

I've put you up for $36,700.

Box 269(Nice): $100,882.55 - $102,900.19

Sorry, you don't qualify. You're 229 earned Merit short.

[mole0815]

Great competition!
I would very much like to choose USD 54545 - Box 237 ($53,531.64 - $54,602.26).

Personally, I see this year still an ATH coming to us but that will happen sooner for my feeling. So an ATH of XXX.XXX which then ends in a -50% setback in December.

And directly in Q1 2022 we really start through