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Author Topic: Gambling on friendly matches  (Read 2073 times)
goinmerry
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July 26, 2021, 12:43:52 PM
 #141

Friendly match arent really hard to predict but somehow it is really somewhat giving off that random result since underdogs could mostly beat up the favorite or higher or better teams since not all of them would really be giving out their best into the game.Motivation to win is something lacking into this kind of game since its not recorded nor official then you would really be expecting those kind of performances.

Your follow-up statement doesn't match your view about friendly matches are not hard to predict.

Since you have pointed out that there's no motivation to win, it's like you are just betting on random here without any analysis or support. You just need to trust that luck will come to you, isn't it?

In the end, what will be your verdict? To bet on favorites or underdogs? Since it's not hard for you to pick who will win.
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July 26, 2021, 02:51:59 PM
 #142

Your follow-up statement doesn't match your view about friendly matches are not hard to predict.

Since you have pointed out that there's no motivation to win, it's like you are just betting on random here without any analysis or support. You just need to trust that luck will come to you, isn't it?

In the end, what will be your verdict? To bet on favorites or underdogs? Since it's not hard for you to pick who will win.
Betting on friendly matches is truly very risky, the underdog may win and have more chances to win if compared to cups and leagues. I still think there are many spammers here posting without even gambling. I only gamble on total overs to be over 1.5 or 2.5 goals which is common in friendly matches while commenting also on how straight win can be dangerous, I am just very surprised some people are taking to here that friendly matches are not risky, which the underdog have more chance to win if compared to cups and leagues.

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July 26, 2021, 02:57:12 PM
 #143

As said by the OP, no betting is risk-free but I still consider gambling on friendly matches to be less risky because there won't be much pressure in terms of having game fever, overbetting the amount you can't afford to lose, and there is usually ease of mind in throughout the game result. However, people still need to be sure about the possible winning team before betting on a friendly match.

Can't agree. Friendly matches is high risk activity. Because you never know how much any team is motivated for winning. In ordinary match you know that both teams are highly motivated to win and you can't ignore this question and concentrate on players stats, team history and so on. But in friendly matches you need to depend on very abstract term of "motivation" which you can't measure in any way.
More things to pay attention - harder to predict.
I agree with what you point out about not knowing the team motivate for winning the friendly game but sports betting is not for all gamblers but people who are consistent about the situation that revolves in the game of sport and it is not reasonable to bet on the game you don't understand the motivate or previous history of the team in winning friendly matches.
I don't consider a friendly match to be hard to predict.
Friendly match arent really hard to predict but somehow it is really somewhat giving off that random result since underdogs could mostly beat up the favorite or higher or better teams
since not all of them would really be giving out their best into the game.Motivation to win is something lacking into this kind of game since its not recorded nor official
then you would really be expecting those kind of performances.Its just normal that you would really be considering out on betting on games which you do know
or included into your interest because betting into something which is out of that line would turn out on not to be entertaining.

You say they are not really hard to predict? What do you base your argument on? I find them very hard to predict as you never really know what the coaches are going to do in half-time, whether they send a completely different squad out on the pitch. There are so many variables in friendly matches that they are harder to predict than serious games in my opinion.
Agree with you, scrims or friendly matches are the matches where we can see or discover a lot of extreme or amazing moves and strategies because players are comfortable to show-off than the actual match. So for me, friendly matches or scrims are also tournaments that is also hard to predict because players will still do their best but less pressure, amazing moves are being discovered there. Serious games or actual games are very predictable especially if the match that aren't really balanced and sometimes you'll know from the start of the game if someone's not performing well.
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July 26, 2021, 03:32:05 PM
 #144

Betting on friendly matches is truly very risky, the underdog may win and have more chances to win if compared to cups and leagues.
Is it because you see that a friendly is a match that is not played with a high focus for win?
I think it's a real risk of a friendly match because the favorite team usually doesn't play more of its star players which make the match very boring in my opinion.

Quote
I still think there are many spammers here posting without even gambling.
Don't you think that in other thread they are have an habits the same too?

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July 26, 2021, 03:45:19 PM
 #145

Betting on friendly matches is truly very risky, the underdog may win and have more chances to win if compared to cups and leagues.
Is it because you see that a friendly is a match that is not played with a high focus for win?
I think it's a real risk of a friendly match because the favorite team usually doesn't play more of its star players which make the match very boring in my opinion.
If you are putting a bet you'll never feel bored especially if you are seeing that your team is wining.
believing that the favorite will not perform their best, you should put your bet on the underdog, better odds, and a better chance of winning.
Lost of games in the past that an underdog won in an exhibition or friendly match, so people are attracted to gamble.

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July 26, 2021, 04:10:35 PM
 #146

Betting on friendly matches is truly very risky, the underdog may win and have more chances to win if compared to cups and leagues.
Is it because you see that a friendly is a match that is not played with a high focus for win?
I think it's a real risk of a friendly match because the favorite team usually doesn't play more of its star players which make the match very boring in my opinion.
If you are putting a bet you'll never feel bored especially if you are seeing that your team is wining.
believing that the favorite will not perform their best, you should put your bet on the underdog, better odds, and a better chance of winning.
Lost of games in the past that an underdog won in an exhibition or friendly match, so people are attracted to gamble.


Bookies though knows how to play smarty against the gamblers, they might offer attracting odds for the favorite or vice versa knowing that in anyhow there are risky gamblers that will take the call and bet.

Friendly games are not as easy as it is still need some efforts to understand the tempo of the game, just like you said it's not boring you f you see that your bets are winning, while you are monitoring the game.

different types of gamblers have different ways of betting strategies,some might bet with over and under while other loves to take the big risk and bet for the underdog in hope that the value of their bets will give them more enjoyable profits.

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July 26, 2021, 04:13:35 PM
 #147

Your follow-up statement doesn't match your view about friendly matches are not hard to predict.

Since you have pointed out that there's no motivation to win, it's like you are just betting on random here without any analysis or support. You just need to trust that luck will come to you, isn't it?

In the end, what will be your verdict? To bet on favorites or underdogs? Since it's not hard for you to pick who will win.
Betting on friendly matches is truly very risky, the underdog may win and have more chances to win if compared to cups and leagues. I still think there are many spammers here posting without even gambling. I only gamble on total overs to be over 1.5 or 2.5 goals which is common in friendly matches while commenting also on how straight win can be dangerous, I am just very surprised some people are taking to here that friendly matches are not risky, which the underdog have more chance to win if compared to cups and leagues.

Friendly games are very risky because most of the times you cannot even see the lineup or even the reserves the underdog always o most goes with their strongest squad while the stronger team mostly goes with the weaker one. Mostly this matches should be played over a certain amount of goals but still very risky

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July 26, 2021, 06:44:20 PM
 #148

As said by the OP, no betting is risk-free but I still consider gambling on friendly matches to be less risky because there won't be much pressure in terms of having game fever, overbetting the amount you can't afford to lose, and there is usually ease of mind in throughout the game result. However, people still need to be sure about the possible winning team before betting on a friendly match.

Can't agree. Friendly matches is high risk activity. Because you never know how much any team is motivated for winning. In ordinary match you know that both teams are highly motivated to win and you can't ignore this question and concentrate on players stats, team history and so on. But in friendly matches you need to depend on very abstract term of "motivation" which you can't measure in any way.
More things to pay attention - harder to predict.
I agree with what you point out about not knowing the team motivate for winning the friendly game but sports betting is not for all gamblers but people who are consistent about the situation that revolves in the game of sport and it is not reasonable to bet on the game you don't understand the motivate or previous history of the team in winning friendly matches.
I don't consider a friendly match to be hard to predict.
Friendly match arent really hard to predict but somehow it is really somewhat giving off that random result since underdogs could mostly beat up the favorite or higher or better teams
since not all of them would really be giving out their best into the game.Motivation to win is something lacking into this kind of game since its not recorded nor official
then you would really be expecting those kind of performances.Its just normal that you would really be considering out on betting on games which you do know
or included into your interest because betting into something which is out of that line would turn out on not to be entertaining.

You say they are not really hard to predict? What do you base your argument on? I find them very hard to predict as you never really know what the coaches are going to do in half-time, whether they send a completely different squad out on the pitch. There are so many variables in friendly matches that they are harder to predict than serious games in my opinion.
Agree with you, scrims or friendly matches are the matches where we can see or discover a lot of extreme or amazing moves and strategies because players are comfortable to show-off than the actual match. So for me, friendly matches or scrims are also tournaments that is also hard to predict because players will still do their best but less pressure, amazing moves are being discovered there. Serious games or actual games are very predictable especially if the match that aren't really balanced and sometimes you'll know from the start of the game if someone's not performing well.

Well, I wouldn't say serious games are "very" predictable. They are also difficult to predict in many instances, but when Manchester City plays against Rubin Kazan in the Champions League, you know what is most likely going to happen. When they meet in a friendly match up, City could easily lose because Guardiola might send five guys at age 17 onto the pitch. Also, any game that is very easy to predict also gives you the worst odds. Hence, it wouldn't even be worse putting bets on those games.

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July 26, 2021, 07:27:49 PM
 #149

As said by the OP, no betting is risk-free but I still consider gambling on friendly matches to be less risky because there won't be much pressure in terms of having game fever, overbetting the amount you can't afford to lose, and there is usually ease of mind in throughout the game result. However, people still need to be sure about the possible winning team before betting on a friendly match.

Can't agree. Friendly matches is high risk activity. Because you never know how much any team is motivated for winning. In ordinary match you know that both teams are highly motivated to win and you can't ignore this question and concentrate on players stats, team history and so on. But in friendly matches you need to depend on very abstract term of "motivation" which you can't measure in any way.
More things to pay attention - harder to predict.
I agree with what you point out about not knowing the team motivate for winning the friendly game but sports betting is not for all gamblers but people who are consistent about the situation that revolves in the game of sport and it is not reasonable to bet on the game you don't understand the motivate or previous history of the team in winning friendly matches.
I don't consider a friendly match to be hard to predict.
Friendly match arent really hard to predict but somehow it is really somewhat giving off that random result since underdogs could mostly beat up the favorite or higher or better teams
since not all of them would really be giving out their best into the game.Motivation to win is something lacking into this kind of game since its not recorded nor official
then you would really be expecting those kind of performances.Its just normal that you would really be considering out on betting on games which you do know
or included into your interest because betting into something which is out of that line would turn out on not to be entertaining.

You say they are not really hard to predict? What do you base your argument on? I find them very hard to predict as you never really know what the coaches are going to do in half-time, whether they send a completely different squad out on the pitch. There are so many variables in friendly matches that they are harder to predict than serious games in my opinion.
Agree with you, scrims or friendly matches are the matches where we can see or discover a lot of extreme or amazing moves and strategies because players are comfortable to show-off than the actual match. So for me, friendly matches or scrims are also tournaments that is also hard to predict because players will still do their best but less pressure, amazing moves are being discovered there. Serious games or actual games are very predictable especially if the match that aren't really balanced and sometimes you'll know from the start of the game if someone's not performing well.

Well, I wouldn't say serious games are "very" predictable. They are also difficult to predict in many instances, but when Manchester City plays against Rubin Kazan in the Champions League, you know what is most likely going to happen. When they meet in a friendly match up, City could easily lose because Guardiola might send five guys at age 17 onto the pitch. Also, any game that is very easy to predict also gives you the worst odds. Hence, it wouldn't even be worse putting bets on those games.
We don't need to argue about this issue because everything depends on gambler knowledge about sports in particular but my stance is that friendly matches are not difficult to predict and about some teams not using their best players or putting their best in the match, bettors need to understand the stance of each team about the friendly game before putting in money.

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July 26, 2021, 07:54:45 PM
 #150

Lol. Is there any game we have control over? It is called football game and anything can happen with any game. Underdogs are turning tables and causing heartbreaks. To my view, I don't think there games we have control over but we can say greater percentage favourable to a team.
We don't have control over the games that we bet on. Friendly match or not, we do not control them. And for these friendly matches, the only one that has control over them are the higher management which seems going to be possible for them to manipulate the results at their will. In some sporting events, this is really happening and we don't know when that's going to happen but some athletes have voiced out that this is really an insider and happens as it's against their will.

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July 26, 2021, 08:18:26 PM
 #151

Lol. Is there any game we have control over? It is called football game and anything can happen with any game. Underdogs are turning tables and causing heartbreaks. To my view, I don't think there games we have control over but we can say greater percentage favourable to a team.
We don't have control over the games that we bet on. Friendly match or not, we do not control them. And for these friendly matches, the only one that has control over them are the higher management which seems going to be possible for them to manipulate the results at their will. In some sporting events, this is really happening and we don't know when that's going to happen but some athletes have voiced out that this is really an insider and happens as it's against their will.
Manipulating or not then we wont even know because most of the time the performance of these friendly matches arent really that interesting to watch.I do have that kind of impression this is why i dont really make out some bets on friendly matches.

When it comes to odds then i dont even see it for it to be considerable.Better to go with official matches where you can really feel up the thrill on the game since you know
that they are aiming to win not like with friendly matches which they dont care at all if they do win or lose.

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July 26, 2021, 09:30:05 PM
 #152

As said by the OP, no betting is risk-free but I still consider gambling on friendly matches to be less risky because there won't be much pressure in terms of having game fever, overbetting the amount you can't afford to lose, and there is usually ease of mind in throughout the game result. However, people still need to be sure about the possible winning team before betting on a friendly match.
You are not wrong on what you are mentioning however the fact that both teams are not giving their all when they are facing each other is a problem, after all if a team is not committed at all to win the game while the other tries harder then that gives the second team a great advantage over the first one just by the desire and the effort they are wiling to put to get the win even if the quality of their players was lower, this makes it almost impossible to tell if the odds the casino is giving are good or not.

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July 26, 2021, 10:31:37 PM
 #153

As said by the OP, no betting is risk-free but I still consider gambling on friendly matches to be less risky because there won't be much pressure in terms of having game fever, overbetting the amount you can't afford to lose, and there is usually ease of mind in throughout the game result. However, people still need to be sure about the possible winning team before betting on a friendly match.
You are not wrong on what you are mentioning however the fact that both teams are not giving their all when they are facing each other is a problem, after all if a team is not committed at all to win the game while the other tries harder then that gives the second team a great advantage over the first one just by the desire and the effort they are wiling to put to get the win even if the quality of their players was lower, this makes it almost impossible to tell if the odds the casino is giving are good or not.

In friendly matches, teams usually do not use all their core players, because friendly matches do not have a target to win. This is what makes
the final outcome of the game even more difficult to predict, like you said the two teams playing a friendly match will not give everything.
Because they play without a burden, and that makes it quite risky in my opinion betting on friendly matches. My advice to avoid gambling on
friendly matches.

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July 27, 2021, 10:57:56 AM
 #154

As said by the OP, no betting is risk-free but I still consider gambling on friendly matches to be less risky because there won't be much pressure in terms of having game fever, overbetting the amount you can't afford to lose, and there is usually ease of mind in throughout the game result. However, people still need to be sure about the possible winning team before betting on a friendly match.
You are not wrong on what you are mentioning however the fact that both teams are not giving their all when they are facing each other is a problem, after all if a team is not committed at all to win the game while the other tries harder then that gives the second team a great advantage over the first one just by the desire and the effort they are wiling to put to get the win even if the quality of their players was lower, this makes it almost impossible to tell if the odds the casino is giving are good or not.

In friendly matches, teams usually do not use all their core players, because friendly matches do not have a target to win. This is what makes
the final outcome of the game even more difficult to predict, like you said the two teams playing a friendly match will not give everything.
Because they play without a burden, and that makes it quite risky in my opinion betting on friendly matches. My advice to avoid gambling on
friendly matches.

That is not entirely true because again taking up my example from before, if Manchester City plays against a team from the second or third league in England, even that friendly match is a huge highlight for the massive underdog and they might play as intensive as if it was an FA cup game. Everybody of the underdog team wants to present himself in the best shape possible. Perhaps City pays attention and gets interested. The top teams don't play to their full abilities because it is really just a test for them and nothing more.

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July 27, 2021, 01:41:19 PM
 #155

We don't have control over the games that we bet on. Friendly match or not, we do not control them. And for these friendly matches, the only one that has control over them are the higher management which seems going to be possible for them to manipulate the results at their will. In some sporting events, this is really happening and we don't know when that's going to happen but some athletes have voiced out that this is really an insider and happens as it's against their will.

I think this state of affairs is relevant for backward countries where business is not developed, but corruption is developed. In any developed country, top management will keep away from such affairs as far as possible, since even a suspicion of this can have serious consequences for a career, and if there is evidence, this will mean a criminal sentence.

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July 27, 2021, 01:59:29 PM
 #156

We don't have control over the games that we bet on. Friendly match or not, we do not control them. And for these friendly matches, the only one that has control over them are the higher management which seems going to be possible for them to manipulate the results at their will. In some sporting events, this is really happening and we don't know when that's going to happen but some athletes have voiced out that this is really an insider and happens as it's against their will.

I think this state of affairs is relevant for backward countries where business is not developed, but corruption is developed. In any developed country, top management will keep away from such affairs as far as possible, since even a suspicion of this can have serious consequences for a career, and if there is evidence, this will mean a criminal sentence.
However, sometimes big clubs just try a few strategies before the start of the league. When the strategy works well then of course, big wins will be unstoppable. But on the other hand, when the coach applies an experimental strategy with second-tier or even third-tier players being played, then it has a chance of getting defeated by the team that is underestimated. I have often found this case in the past few years, for that reason it is also better for me to avoid betting in friendly matches because for me, surprise scores are not only about manipulation because they can occur due to errors in strategy implementation due to experiments carried out in friendly matches.

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July 27, 2021, 02:33:28 PM
 #157

Lol. Is there any game we have control over? It is called football game and anything can happen with any game. Underdogs are turning tables and causing heartbreaks. To my view, I don't think there games we have control over but we can say greater percentage favourable to a team.
We don't have control over the games that we bet on. Friendly match or not, we do not control them. And for these friendly matches, the only one that has control over them are the higher management which seems going to be possible for them to manipulate the results at their will. In some sporting events, this is really happening and we don't know when that's going to happen but some athletes have voiced out that this is really an insider and happens as it's against their will.

In friendly matches is much harder to predict the outcome of the match compared to the championship or the game for the cup as the coach can create more unpredictable situations and guess the team composition or strategy used in the upcoming game is almost unreal. 

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July 27, 2021, 02:45:19 PM
 #158

~snip

Do quantitative statistics show the accuracy of factual data circulating in the field?
Not really !! could lead to data manipulation. Then how to find the accuracy? well the qualitative method will show a much more tangible risk, it's just that it's difficult to do and as you said we prefer to look at the data that is already presented.
Bookies often use this method and cheat small bettors. Betting money on friendly games, just a less stressful bet.
That only depends though I mean if it's and independent study by different people, there's a low chance of the statistics being manipulated, I don't think that math can be faked, it's an absolute thing and even if it's faked, there will be people that will be eager to point out the mistake.
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July 27, 2021, 04:29:14 PM
 #159


In friendly matches is much harder to predict the outcome of the match compared to the championship or the game for the cup as the coach can create more unpredictable situations and guess the team composition or strategy used in the upcoming game is almost unreal.  

Since it's just a friendly match and there's no bearing with the game, coach can rotate players which is uncommon to how we predict the
line up inside the field.

It's tough to know as there's always reserves that we don't expect to happen but  possible to see during the game, from that case
if you are more on the gambling side, taking the over / under might be  better to consider.

Also, if you have that risky type instinct ML for underdog might gather your interest too. Roll Eyes Grin

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July 27, 2021, 06:18:22 PM
 #160

I always say the same thing for the all-star games on NBA as well, it is just mute point and nobody really cares about winning so when you are betting on it, you are not betting on who is better or who is worse, you are betting on who will have more fun basically. I seriously do not think that we should be betting on friendlies neither, sportsbooks could be offering that as an option to you but you do not have to take it, you could just wait.

I understand that during the off-season it becomes harder to not gamble on anything and waiting for the regular season to start, and yes that is a bit hard but at the same time we are talking about something that is very risky to wager instead of no wager, if you are not addicted to gambling then maybe you should try to stay away from those games. Any team could beat any team in friendlies and that is a risk I rather not take.
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