Brasileirão 2022 - Brazilian Championship Serie A

[alegotardo]

Palmeiras has a significant difference with the second place (Fluminense).
If Palmeiras manages the games, and the other teams, for example (Fluminense, Flamengo, Corinthians and others) draw or even lose some games, they will hardly reach Palmeiras, they will possibly not be focused on winning the championship, because Palmeiras have a good advantage, but yes, they will focus to get a spot in the Libertadores.

There are still 14 games left for the end of the championship, so statistically it's possible that many teams will still manage to overcome Palmeiras.
However, technically speaking, I think this is very difficult to do.
Palmeiras have a very solid team that is doing very well not only in the Brazilian championship but also in others they play.


The only team that I believe can surpass Palmeiras is Flamengo, let's wait and see.

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[rdluffy]

There are still 14 games left for the end of the championship, so statistically it's possible that many teams will still manage to overcome Palmeiras.
However, technically speaking, I think this is very difficult to do.
Palmeiras have a very solid team that is doing very well not only in the Brazilian championship but also in others they play.


The only team that I believe can surpass Palmeiras is Flamengo, let's wait and see.

About the statistic, here are the chances of every team with at least a chance to be champion, the last one is Santos with 0.01% 


Source: https://clubedaposta.com/probabilidade-titulo-classificacao/chances-titulo-libertadores-brasileirao-serie-a-2022/

Palmeiras with 81.77% to be champion is high, as I said, there's still 1/3 of championship, but Palmeiras can win the easier matches and lose some without risk the championship.
To be honest, maybe Palmeiras will be the winner with 2 or 3 remaining matches.

[gagux123]

There are still 14 games left for the end of the championship, so statistically it's possible that many teams will still manage to overcome Palmeiras.
However, technically speaking, I think this is very difficult to do.
Palmeiras have a very solid team that is doing very well not only in the Brazilian championship but also in others they play.


The only team that I believe can surpass Palmeiras is Flamengo, let's wait and see.

Yes, looking at this point, "everything" is possible until the end of this championship, but I believe the teams placements can change until then.

(...)

wow, is that true? I confess that I was very surprised with these possibilities of Palmeiras being champion, with approximately 81.77% this is a considerable number.
I had in mind, Palmeiras will be champions, but not with that immense probability lol

[Lucasgabd]

impressive to see the difference in chance of winning by Palmeiras if compared to the other teams
thanks a lot for sharing rdluffy

so, everyone has places their bets already?

curious if we'll see an underdog suprising ourselves

[joker_josue]

curious if we'll see an underdog suprising ourselves

What is the underdog that is surprising you?
Is it Fluminense?

[swogerino]

There are still 14 games left for the end of the championship, so statistically it's possible that many teams will still manage to overcome Palmeiras.
However, technically speaking, I think this is very difficult to do.
Palmeiras have a very solid team that is doing very well not only in the Brazilian championship but also in others they play.


The only team that I believe can surpass Palmeiras is Flamengo, let's wait and see.

About the statistic, here are the chances of every team with at least a chance to be champion, the last one is Santos with 0.01% 


Source: https://clubedaposta.com/probabilidade-titulo-classificacao/chances-titulo-libertadores-brasileirao-serie-a-2022/

Palmeiras with 81.77% to be champion is high, as I said, there's still 1/3 of championship, but Palmeiras can win the easier matches and lose some without risk the championship.
To be honest, maybe Palmeiras will be the winner with 2 or 3 remaining matches.

It is a bit early but I agree seeing their stats after 24 matches being played and only two lost games says a lot about them,especially when you compare them with the second place which has had 7 lost games already and third and fourth with 6 lost game each team.The actual stats clearly favor a lot Palmeiras and that 81.77% is a really accurate percentage as how big their chance to become Champion is,although I don't want to see any league finish early I guess this will be the case here in the Brazilian Serie A.

The eternal second team Vasco de Gama is in Serie B but luckily in a place to be promoted here and I am looking forward to that,they used to play beautiful football and the Serie A without them isn't just right for me.

[gagux123]

impressive to see the difference in chance of winning by Palmeiras if compared to the other teams
thanks a lot for sharing rdluffy

so, everyone has places their bets already?

curious if we'll see an underdog suprising ourselves

Well, in a few hours, the remaining games of this round of the Brasileirao will start.

Let's see how Corinthians and Internacional will perform (hope they don't let me down) lol

[Slow death]

SC Internacional RS - EC Youth RS

Internacional is the favorite in this match, they come from winning days and without a doubt will be very motivated to leave this match with a win, on the other side we have Youth that comes to this match with a draw in the previous match against Botafogo, without a doubt that also will want to come out with victory in this game. honestly looking at the odds in case of a victory for the international, this odd of @1.48 I don't think it's a good value I say that because I don't see Youth as too weak that they can't come out with a draw or victory in this game. So I wouldn't bet on this game. this low odd has no value, not for this game

SC Corinthians SP - Red Bull Bragantino SP

this is a more complicated game to predict the result and honestly I don't bet on this game, both teams come from a draw, so for this game I wouldn't be surprised if they also draw

impressive to see the difference in chance of winning by Palmeiras if compared to the other teams
thanks a lot for sharing rdluffy

so, everyone has places their bets already?

curious if we'll see an underdog suprising ourselves

Well, in a few hours, the remaining games of this round of the Brasileirao will start.

Let's see how Corinthians and Internacional will perform (hope they don't let me down) lol

 

I hope you have chosen a good market in these two games that for me are trap games and very unpredictable

[Ratash]

Flamengo team managed to win yesterday after a tricky game, they had a bad first half were botafogo team was in control they did a great job not conceiding a goal there and in the second half they managed to snatch a goal thanks to vidal experience, they are having a really good unbeatable streak and thanks to that they are on the second position.

[joker_josue]

Flamengo team managed to win yesterday after a tricky game, they had a bad first half were botafogo team was in control they did a great job not conceiding a goal there and in the second half they managed to snatch a goal thanks to vidal experience, they are having a really good unbeatable streak and thanks to that they are on the second position.

Flamengo begins to show signs of exhaustion and has had more difficulty winning games. The fact that they have a good squad, they manage to overcome their opponents, but it's not as easy as in the beginning.

We'll see how the next game in the Copa America goes. The coach must also have saved the team a little for that match.

[rdluffy]

SC Corinthians SP - Red Bull Bragantino SP

this is a more complicated game to predict the result and honestly I don't bet on this game, both teams come from a draw, so for this game I wouldn't be surprised if they also draw

I lost 2 bets in a row with Corinthians last days.
I thought about this match and I believed it would be hard, Bragantino was at top 10 and I prefered to wait next match
So the result was a victory of Corinthians, and the odds were good, it would pay 2.10 

But I think I'll have to wait again, look at the next match:

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Both teams will play, same number of points, fighting for the 4th place (the last place where a team will classify to Libertadores directly)

[Lucasgabd]

still waiting to be convinced that sports betting isn't just a big random game with really small odds of mastering and similar to day trading somehow (90%+ losing money and max 10% winning on the long run)

anyone?

[rdluffy]

still waiting to be convinced that sports betting isn't just a big random game with really small odds of mastering and similar to day trading somehow (90%+ losing money and max 10% winning on the long run)

anyone?

This is the spicy of sports gambling, the unpredictable bets.
Sports gambling usually are fair, but the math and chances to play against the house is the key factor here.
I always try to find good bets like a team weaker than the opponent, but somehow you know this team have great chances to win due to X or Y factor.
I try to not think about the long term, I just put some bets to have fun, if you see my posts you'll find that I prefer to bet on my team Corinthians, because it's a special thing, watching your team winning and you earning some money too is almost addictive.
Another thing, if you really follow your team, the news, the past, even the staff, you can bet more confident and have more chances to find a good bet.

I never used to bet on a long term thinking.

[joker_josue]

I try to not think about the long term, I just put some bets to have fun, if you see my posts you'll find that I prefer to bet on my team Corinthians, because it's a special thing, watching your team winning and you earning some money too is almost addictive.

Here you are betting against the "rule" of sports bettors: you should never bet on the games of our favorite team. 
Usually when you bet on the favorite team, you tend to always bet on a favorable result, you bet on emotion and not on reality.   
Of course, this varies from club to club, and from situation to situation.

But, the way bookmakers make good money is because they know that most punters, bet for emotion and not for reason.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Today Palmeiras and Flamengo are ahead of any team in Brazil, and the difference is becoming bigger in a way that looks like Real Madrid and Barcelona in Spain
I'm talking about this year only ok

When you see a match it's clear that both have a strong main team, and strong spare players in any positions, and they brought even more players to make teams stronger

Palmeiras and Flamengo will win Brasileiro and Libertadores this year

Yes, currently they are "dominating everything", especially Palmeiras who are having an incredible season!

It's a possibility, Palmeiras can win Libertadores and Flamengo maybe the Brasileirão!
Let's see how these teams will perform during the year

Well, I think that many of us who follow Brazilian football agree that they could be some good victories for Palmeiras, and without a doubt it would be very nice if they could win the Libertadores, because for me the Libertadores is a very important title, in general Palmeiras has a good lineup in this championship, what I don't like is when they play against the European champions it seems that all the power goes away and they don't play as they should, this reminds me of Santos from Brazil when Neymar was there and they had to play against him Barcelona that Ney almost knelt down to Messi, that was when they took Ney to Barcelona.

I try to not think about the long term, I just put some bets to have fun, if you see my posts you'll find that I prefer to bet on my team Corinthians, because it's a special thing, watching your team winning and you earning some money too is almost addictive.

Here you are betting against the "rule" of sports bettors: you should never bet on the games of our favorite team. 
Usually when you bet on the favorite team, you tend to always bet on a favorable result, you bet on emotion and not on reality.   
Of course, this varies from club to club, and from situation to situation.

But, the way bookmakers make good money is because they know that most punters, bet for emotion and not for reason.

I agree with you, although it is somewhat hard to go against our teams, which we always carry in our hearts, but reason must be stronger than emotions, I have a friend who did not pay attention to betting on his favorite team , and he bet the rival, and the worst happened to him, his team won, and he didn't know whether to celebrate or be sad, on the one hand his favorite team won and on the other hand he was sad because he lost his money, from From that experience he told me that he was always going to bet on his favorite team, that he didn't care if he lost, that that was a decision he was going to make and that he was going to apply it to every team from then on.

[joker_josue]

I agree with you, although it is somewhat hard to go against our teams, which we always carry in our hearts, but reason must be stronger than emotions, I have a friend who did not pay attention to betting on his favorite team , and he bet the rival, and the worst happened to him, his team won, and he didn't know whether to celebrate or be sad, on the one hand his favorite team won and on the other hand he was sad because he lost his money, from From that experience he told me that he was always going to bet on his favorite team, that he didn't care if he lost, that that was a decision he was going to make and that he was going to apply it to every team from then on.

Well, as I said, it depends on the team and the situation.
Therefore, the person should only bet what he is willing to lose (be it in sports betting or in other investments).

[alegotardo]

SC Corinthians SP - Red Bull Bragantino SP

this is a more complicated game to predict the result and honestly I don't bet on this game, both teams come from a draw, so for this game I wouldn't be surprised if they also draw

I lost 2 bets in a row with Corinthians last days.
I thought about this match and I believed it would be hard, Bragantino was at top 10 and I prefered to wait next match
So the result was a victory of Corinthians, and the odds were good, it would pay 2.10 

But I think I'll have to wait again, look at the next match:

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Both teams will play, same number of points, fighting for the 4th place (the last place where a team will classify to Libertadores directly)

I will definitely bet on Internacional, for two reasons.
The first is because this is my favorite team... please don't tell me that we shouldn't bet with emotion.
Second is because Cortinthinas is far below what it used to be... losing important games and even against small teams.
My bet is for Internacional to win 2x1... we'll see.

[rdluffy]

Here you are betting against the "rule" of sports bettors: you should never bet on the games of our favorite team. 
Usually when you bet on the favorite team, you tend to always bet on a favorable result, you bet on emotion and not on reality.   
Of course, this varies from club to club, and from situation to situation.

But, the way bookmakers make good money is because they know that most punters, bet for emotion and not for reason.

Oh yeah, I know this is not the "best" way to gamble due to emotions involved, but I already tried once to gamble in a serious way, with goals, stop loss etc, and it didn't work.

Now I just gamble for fun, I have a certain amount per month and it's ok if I lose or win. It's not a great amount like I see others doing her, and it's not professional as I see people buying signals, studying every single odd or having 3 monitors at the same time haha.

But don't think I like to lose money, when I talk about Corinthians I know my team very well and in general I know about brazilian soccer as well, I watch at least 3 matches a week.

[Ratash]

It seems that the standing has changed a bit for the second position, flamengo team managed to get it after winning against botafogo and palmeiras managing a draw against fluminese and now the gap is seven points which was reduced, it seems that this might get interesting considering flamengo next game is easier than palmeiras.

[rdluffy]

It seems that the standing has changed a bit for the second position, flamengo team managed to get it after winning against botafogo and palmeiras managing a draw against fluminese and now the gap is seven points which was reduced, it seems that this might get interesting considering flamengo next game is easier than palmeiras.

Both teams, Palmeiras and Flamengo has their odds totally in their favor, ai think it's going to be 3 points to each one and the difference will remain the same

Bragantino is having problems, they start the competition with a strong team but they are falling slowly

I would totally bet on Palmeiras this match today.

The next match of both teams will be fine too, but after these 2 matches, there's classic ones, Flamengo will play against Fluminense and Palmeiras will face Santos. These matches can make difference