📯2026/27 Champions League Pool | ⚽️ Discussion

[arallmuus]

I don’t know how no one spotted the LASK + BTTS bet at odds of 17 - that was clear value; this devilish team loves scoring lots of goals and knows exactly how to do it.

Spotted it but I was like no way this gonna hit so I pretend that odds never exist. Probably we are still pretty early as well, once this goes halfway then some of the bottom ranker would try to rack up 3 stake on that kind of odds. Speaking of the bottom ranker, Im on the bottom half as well lol

I totally understand on some of these except for Manchester United's game. I mean why?  Even I wouldnt dream that we could win against Como in an away game. I even put 2 stake on Como to win. Considering how clueless we were on the weekend game, I knew we would lose but 4-1 was still shocking for me

[KTChampions]

~
5 BTTS selections zero point, 5% penalties, Bayern were the last ones and could have saved the day, but no, they didn't!

There are the kind of rounds that throws you off balance and you go like fuck it imma just go all crazy from here one, I was doing fairly okay before this round.

Uh, I understand you perfectly, normal picks, and it seems that 5 outcomes should at least protect against penalty, but randomness is cruel. Bayern let me down too, such a good bet, completely ruined.

I don’t know how no one spotted the LASK + BTTS bet at odds of 17 - that was clear value; this devilish team loves scoring lots of goals and knows exactly how to do it.

Spotted it but I was like no way this gonna hit so I pretend that odds never exist. Probably we are still pretty early as well, once this goes halfway then some of the bottom ranker would try to rack up 3 stake on that kind of odds.

The problem with value is that it takes a lot of attempts to extract it, this reduces the appetite for risk very much, yes. That is precisely why I spent only one stake on this outcome, rather than two or three. For now, I’m in a decent position and have no penalties, so I won’t take any excessive risks. 1-2 points for an interesting pick are worth it, the rest is better spent on reliable outcomes.

[igebotz]

I scored 27 points without a PEN this round I don't know if that's enough to brag and also was able to saved 2 stakes from the last two rounds; that means I'm getting 8 in the next round - sounds cool

The day, I crack this format, it's over for everyone..
________

Why are we having too many goals in the champions league these days ? Qualifying for the champions league means you're a top team why do they go their and spread their legs everytime against another top clubs.

Our lives never remained the same since Liverpool won Ebola Pandemic league title...

[swogerino]

I thought I am 5th but I see I am 4th and I did relatively well in this round too. If someone had told me after three match days you would be 4th I would have signed for this as I doubted things would be like this. I am still thinking that going for the obvious choices in the staked bets is giving me 0 penalties so far and I am being loyal to this trend until the very end as I hope to be in top 10 or better in the end. I believe going for over 2.5 goals is the most obvious choice for this season.

[yenerbatmaz]

I scored 27 points without a PEN this round I don't know if that's enough to brag and also was able to saved 2 stakes from the last two rounds; that means I'm getting 8 in the next round - sounds cool

The day, I crack this format, it's over for everyone..
________

Why are we having too many goals in the champions league these days ? Qualifying for the champions league means you're a top team why do they go their and spread their legs everytime against another top clubs.

Our lives never remained the same since Liverpool won Ebola Pandemic league title...

When the group stage was in place, draws were very significant; however, now, victories are what matter most. In the past, teams could sometimes advance to the next round with four or five draws, but that is no longer possible.
As a result, many teams now play for the win in most matches, leading to high-scoring games. I hope this format remains in place for a long time.

[igebotz]

When the group stage was in place, draws were very significant; however, now, victories are what matter most. In the past, teams could sometimes advance to the next round with four or five draws, but that is no longer possible.
As a result, many teams now play for the win in most matches, leading to high-scoring games. I hope this format remains in place for a long time.

Okay the great Octopus, but I didn't understand nothing from what you wrote. Lol

Plot twist - your post changed my life. Thanks 

[slaman29]

Well done, me myself saved again from a possible penalty by finding 3 type of stakes correctly as I did put each of the 6 stakes on goals for the games and goals yesterday there were a lot. There were also surprise results like Porto not even scoring a goal at their home and also a great performance by Liverpool which I was watching the game and enjoyed it a lot. I doubt though Bayern Munchen can dominate Arsenal in tonight game but let'see.

Thanks mate, yeah, now seems to be the time to go for goals, but then again, maybe with 3 games gone teams will change the way they play. Maybe Porto start playing for goals, Italian teams start winning, English start losing, who knows.

@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

[KTChampions]

~
@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

With 5 points, it’s mathematically impossible as far as I can see - unless someone gets disqualified or some other external factors come into play.
However, 8 points earned from 8 draws will almost certainly be enough to secure a spot in the top 24 at some point, last season, there were 5 teams with 9 points, 2 of which made it to the playoffs - I see no reason why the distribution couldn't play out slightly differently, allowing a team with 8 points to advance. If this happens, it will be on par with how Cape Verde reached the World Cup knockout stage with three draws.

[swogerino]

~
@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

With 5 points, it’s mathematically impossible as far as I can see - unless someone gets disqualified or some other external factors come into play.
However, 8 points earned from 8 draws will almost certainly be enough to secure a spot in the top 24 at some point, last season, there were 5 teams with 9 points, 2 of which made it to the playoffs - I see no reason why the distribution couldn't play out slightly differently, allowing a team with 8 points to advance. If this happens, it will be on par with how Cape Verde reached the World Cup knockout stage with three draws.

This format needs a minimum of 8 points to qualify further in play offs, not qualifying directly as for directly you need like 12-15 points from 8 games. So 8 points needed to qualify in these play offs before fighting the big guys while to be qualifying directly a minimum of 12 points is needed. As for the 8 points also is not absolutely sure but the average we saw last time around so most teams maybe playing as what teams they will face next and do calculations, for example if some teams won 3 out of 3 games they can get only draws in the remaining five and still be able to qualify directly, in here a lot depends on what other teams do but yeah these are the spots, minimum 12 points for direct qualifying and 8 points for play off.

[slaman29]

~
@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

With 5 points, it’s mathematically impossible as far as I can see - unless someone gets disqualified or some other external factors come into play.
However, 8 points earned from 8 draws will almost certainly be enough to secure a spot in the top 24 at some point, last season, there were 5 teams with 9 points, 2 of which made it to the playoffs - I see no reason why the distribution couldn't play out slightly differently, allowing a team with 8 points to advance. If this happens, it will be on par with how Cape Verde reached the World Cup knockout stage with three draws.

This format needs a minimum of 8 points to qualify further in play offs, not qualifying directly as for directly you need like 12-15 points from 8 games. So 8 points needed to qualify in these play offs before fighting the big guys while to be qualifying directly a minimum of 12 points is needed. As for the 8 points also is not absolutely sure but the average we saw last time around so most teams maybe playing as what teams they will face next and do calculations, for example if some teams won 3 out of 3 games they can get only draws in the remaining five and still be able to qualify directly, in here a lot depends on what other teams do but yeah these are the spots, minimum 12 points for direct qualifying and 8 points for play off.

Ah I made a small mistake with my calculations which leads to a big improbability

5 draws and 1 win, I guess if you're a small team or a young Mourinho with a small team this could be something to aim for, even if 9 didn't make it for some teams I think its reasonable for a small team to get 1 shock win and think, ok we can do this

Its been a while since this type of team in club football advanced.

[swogerino]

~
@yenerbatmaz never thought of draws that way, but you never know, new format. I predict a team with 5 draws will one day progress

With 5 points, it’s mathematically impossible as far as I can see - unless someone gets disqualified or some other external factors come into play.
However, 8 points earned from 8 draws will almost certainly be enough to secure a spot in the top 24 at some point, last season, there were 5 teams with 9 points, 2 of which made it to the playoffs - I see no reason why the distribution couldn't play out slightly differently, allowing a team with 8 points to advance. If this happens, it will be on par with how Cape Verde reached the World Cup knockout stage with three draws.

This format needs a minimum of 8 points to qualify further in play offs, not qualifying directly as for directly you need like 12-15 points from 8 games. So 8 points needed to qualify in these play offs before fighting the big guys while to be qualifying directly a minimum of 12 points is needed. As for the 8 points also is not absolutely sure but the average we saw last time around so most teams maybe playing as what teams they will face next and do calculations, for example if some teams won 3 out of 3 games they can get only draws in the remaining five and still be able to qualify directly, in here a lot depends on what other teams do but yeah these are the spots, minimum 12 points for direct qualifying and 8 points for play off.

Ah I made a small mistake with my calculations which leads to a big improbability

5 draws and 1 win, I guess if you're a small team or a young Mourinho with a small team this could be something to aim for, even if 9 didn't make it for some teams I think its reasonable for a small team to get 1 shock win and think, ok we can do this

Its been a while since this type of team in club football advanced.

Now depending on the draw it should not be that impossible, I am making an example of Conference League where a team from my country plays the first time Egnatia, they got two draws against Denmark Superliga teams and have a difficult game in Romania next week while then they have two easy games at home on paper against Gibraltar team and Lithuania team, the last game to be against Braga, assuming they get 8 points they should go for play offs.

Same can happen to small teams in Champions although here in Champions is a whole lot more difficult.

[joker_josue]

Same can happen to small teams in Champions although here in Champions is a whole lot more difficult.

In recent seasons, we have seen teams with only 9 points making it to the playoffs.

So I really don't see that it's complicated for a team with 8 points to also be able to arrive, if there is a good combination of results.

[slaman29]

Now depending on the draw it should not be that impossible, I am making an example of Conference League where a team from my country plays the first time Egnatia, they got two draws against Denmark Superliga teams and have a difficult game in Romania next week while then they have two easy games at home on paper against Gibraltar team and Lithuania team, the last game to be against Braga, assuming they get 8 points they should go for play offs.

Same can happen to small teams in Champions although here in Champions is a whole lot more difficult.

Yes that's why I was using a rough mix of 'theory' and 'probability'. Obviously much more difficult in CL with teams 10x or more your budget, or in some cases one player costing 2x your whole team, but it just takes one Fleetwood Town to defeat an Arsenal and suddenly odds can improve drastically.

Same can happen to small teams in Champions although here in Champions is a whole lot more difficult.

In recent seasons, we have seen teams with only 9 points making it to the playoffs.

So I really don't see that it's complicated for a team with 8 points to also be able to arrive, if there is a good combination of results.

Just need good luck with pairing to beat a similar small team, if luck is good 2 teams for 2 wins is 6 points, I would be playing draws rest of the big teams, indeed!!

[slaman29]

Evil @buwa will the questions come tomorrow or Tuesday? Just want to plan my Monday Tuesday with a different visit to different workplace I might miss it if it comes late then I have to find a way to submit picks on Tuesday. For me its already Sunday evening so trying to make the decisions on planning now

[buwaytress]

Hello people, and Slam, come on, man, be patient. I'm not like mafia with octopus hands in the pockets of everyone! Serious jokes aside, these selections are telling me bookies expect the goals to flow, goal lines for majority of the matches are at 3..! Traps coming? You bet...

Send in your picks, tagging all participants.

Matchday 4 Open for Submissions!

*deadline 3 Nov 5.45pm UTC/forum time

Code:

arallmuus
B1g4udge
BABY SHOES
buwaytress
cryptofrka
darxiaomi
el che
Harkorede
igebotz
jayce
joker_josue
KTChampions
leea-1334
LTU_btc
notblox1
paco92x
Saint loup
slaman29
Strongkored
swogerino
Trofo
1miau

[swogerino]

Goals incoming it is normal in these type of encounters and although traps maybe incoming I don't expect a lot of them as goals are going to be scored. There is a lot of difference between these teams and when such difference exists it is normal for a lot of goals to happen. The bookies though always they like to tease us and they usually give different odds than they need to simply because they like to win money exactly because of this. Some teams who are not popular at all may be given an odd completely on arbitrary choice by the bookmakers and most people can fall for it, this is how it works in normal weekend games and I doubt Champions games are different.

[BABY SHOES]

Talk2tag.com having a breakdown right now? I can't access at the moment... several times trying to refresh in the browser the results remain the same, there may be a slight error @buwaytress, please fix it immediately if it does happen.

I wanted to fill up now, because tomorrow there is a long trip afraid I can't fill up on time.

The picture just taken.

[swogerino]

It worked for me as I just entered the picks now together with the stakes. I saw a lot of over 3.5 goals options this time which is different from the over 2.5 goals I have seen before. Nevertheless I continued with my choice of dividing the 6 stakes 1 each for favorite choices of over 2.5 and over 3.5 goals which I hope to avoid the next available penalty also for this match day 4 which can help a bit. The games looks like they will produce goals but surprise results happen usually in such cases.

[slaman29]

Site works for me also @BABY SHOES maybe it was your connection? Bad luck if you can't fill up tomorrow, but probably the evil has a solution for you if it stays the same.

@buwa why should I be patient when I'm chasing you down? You know you got nothing on me this season man.

Barca Over 6.5 is easy money take it everyone

[BABY SHOES]

Site works for me also @BABY SHOES maybe it was your connection? Bad luck if you can't fill up tomorrow, but probably the evil has a solution for you if it stays the same.

Do not know, at that time the connection was fine not bad because while opening the forum it was still smooth... now it's working fine, so don't even think about it haha will now send you an answer.

BTTS wins for Roma and Como was most interesting, don't miss it. Lol 

Barca Over 6.5 is easy money take it everyone

Aston Villa are on a winning streak in the Champions League, at talk2tag over 4.5 at the most, so anyone wanting to take his must go to the bookmakers.