2023 Diff thread now opened.

[philipma1957]

heat is over so a lot back on line

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   807830  (4 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   104.2584%  (1431 / 1372.55 expected, 58.45 ahead)

Previous Difficulty:   55621444139429.57                            
Current Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Next Difficulty:   between 56265227785202 and 56468025312225
Next Difficulty Change:   between +3.9060% and +4.2805%
Previous Retarget:   September 5, 2023 at 10:24 PM  (-2.6452%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Tuesday at 8:41 AM  (in 3d 21h 31m 3s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Tuesday at 9:50 AM  (in 3d 22h 40m 23s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 10h 16m 33s and 13d 11h 25m 54s

I can see this moving to +7%

[1714689593]

1714689593

[1714689593]

1714689593

[1714689593]

1714689593

[1714689593]

1714689593

[1714689593]

1714689593

[stompix]

heat is over so a lot back on line

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   807830  (4 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   104.2584%  (1431 / 1372.55 expected, 58.45 ahead)

I can see this moving to +7%

It was a solid variation, not real gear, more luck than miners.
During that day there were no less than 189 blocks in a 24h interval, that would have been an insane amount
https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/blocks?q=time(2023-09-14%2017:15:30..2023-09-15%2017:15:30)

We're down to 150 blocks last 24 hours, guess this is the actual situation with no outages.

Latest Block:   808064  (5 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   104.8542%  (1665 / 1587.92 expected, 77.08 ahead)

But it was expected, what I was saying 10 days ago?

I don't see it recovering to previous ATH too soon

Of course it was going to happen, if somebody would come with me to a casino and always bet roulette the other color than me he would get satoshi level rich in just one night! Bane of casinos they would call me! 

[philipma1957]

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808291  (2 minutes ago)


Current Pace:   105.7403%  (1892 / 1789.29 expected, 102.71 ahead)

Previous Difficulty:   55621444139429.57                            
Current Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Next Difficulty:   between 57255328397752 and 57267799561504
Next Difficulty Change:   between +5.7344% and +5.7574%
Previous Retarget:   September 5, 2023 at 10:24 PM  (-2.6452%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Tomorrow at 4:10 AM  (in 0d 19h 32m 41s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Tomorrow at 4:14 AM  (in 0d 19h 36m 49s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 5h 45m 34s and 13d 5h 49m 43s


57.2 t coming up

that will be the all time high.

[DaCryptoRaccoon]

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808291  (2 minutes ago)


Current Pace:   105.7403%  (1892 / 1789.29 expected, 102.71 ahead)

Previous Difficulty:   55621444139429.57                            
Current Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Next Difficulty:   between 57255328397752 and 57267799561504
Next Difficulty Change:   between +5.7344% and +5.7574%
Previous Retarget:   September 5, 2023 at 10:24 PM  (-2.6452%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Tomorrow at 4:10 AM  (in 0d 19h 32m 41s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Tomorrow at 4:14 AM  (in 0d 19h 36m 49s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 5h 45m 34s and 13d 5h 49m 43s


57.2 t coming up

that will be the all time high.

Are we expecting any new chips on the market anytime soon? 

Any idea how far out we are from seeing new machines come online?

Interesting times for sure!

[philipma1957]

cannan announced a new machine for spring
bitmain announced a new machine s21 but no timeline.

meanwhile we are nearing this jumps end.

and we jumped 5.4% to 57.1t


getting ready to setup a retro contest.


https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808513  (16 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   87.0077%  (98 / 112.63 expected, 14.63 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                               
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                           
Next Difficulty:   between 50043782578240 and 56363868666030
Next Difficulty Change:   between -12.3881% and -1.3235%
Previous Retarget:   Today at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 9:44 AM  (in 13d 9h 59m 13s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 5, 2023 at 7:09 AM  (in 15d 7h 24m 1s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 4h 45m 33s and 16d 2h 10m 21s


01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00

11) 0.01 to   0.50%
12) 0.51 to   1.00%
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00%
17) 3.01 to   3.50%
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%

[mikeywith]

getting ready to setup a retro contest.
01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00

11) 0.01 to   0.50%
12) 0.51 to   1.00%
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00%
17) 3.01 to   3.50%
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%

Statistically speaking the first 10 are less likely to happen, and so are the last 10, the first 4 are almost guaranteed not to happen along with the last 5, this leaves the more likely options to more than 15 and that would anything the falls between -1 to +5%, more so the -1 to 2% has the highest chance, so anyone who understand how difficulty usually performs will have a better chance guessing what's it going to be next.

You might want to reduce the steps from 0.5% to 0.25% to make things more difficult to guess and to allow more people to participate in the reasonable ranges.

[philipma1957]

well its free and I want a winner.

This allows 30 free picks and should give us a winner.

I will open it at block 600 and close it at block 1000.

we are at block 241

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808656  (21 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   95.4390%  (241 / 252.52 expected, 11.52 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54682813361213 and 56553289468814
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.2666% and -0.9919%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 8:35 AM  (in 12d 9h 31m 24s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 9:02 PM  (in 12d 21h 58m 16s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 36m 34s and 14d 16h 3m 26s

getting ready to setup a retro contest.
01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00%
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00%
17) 3.01 to   3.50%
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%


If my pick wins I am giving it to:   joker_josue to help support the talk image website.

my pick will be 11) + 0.01 to 0.50%

my game my rules

rule 1. it is free shot to get 0.001 btc
rule 2. I get to pick first and if my pick wins I give it to joker_josue
rule 3. no newbies must have 10  merits and 90 days on the website.
rule 4. no alts giving you a 2x or 3x shot
rule 5. you can pick at blocks 600-1000
rule 6. new hedge numbers are used for deciding winner
rule 7. if a tie happens due to a round issue I will give 2 prices. this happened 1 time years ago.
rule 8. if BTC moons like a mother fucker I will cap prize  of 0.001 btc to be 100 usd or less
rule 9. my game my rules so if I think you are a sleaze and say do to your answer just accept it
rule 10. if I missed something I will rule on it and you will accept the rule.

start picking at block 600

[DaCryptoRaccoon]

well its free and I want a winner.

This allows 30 free picks and should give us a winner.

I will open it at block 600 and close it at block 1000.

we are at block 241

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808656  (21 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   95.4390%  (241 / 252.52 expected, 11.52 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54682813361213 and 56553289468814
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.2666% and -0.9919%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 8:35 AM  (in 12d 9h 31m 24s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 9:02 PM  (in 12d 21h 58m 16s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 36m 34s and 14d 16h 3m 26s

getting ready to setup a retro contest.
01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00%
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00%
17) 3.01 to   3.50%
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%


If my pick wins I am giving it to:   joker_josue to help support the talk image website.

my pick will be 11) + 0.01 to 0.50%

my game my rules

rule 1. it is free shot to get 0.001 btc
rule 2. I get to pick first and if my pick wins I give it to joker_josue
rule 3. no newbies must have 10  merits and 90 days on the website.
rule 4. no alts giving you a 2x or 3x shot
rule 5. you can pick at blocks 600-1000
rule 6. new hedge numbers are used for deciding winner
rule 7. if a tie happens due to a round issue I will give 2 prices. this happened 1 time years ago.
rule 8. if BTC moons like a mother fucker I will cap prize  of 0.001 btc to be 100 usd or less
rule 9. my game my rules so if I think you are a sleaze and say do to your answer just accept it
rule 10. if I missed something I will rule on it and you will accept the rule.

start picking at block 600

Take lucky 14!

14) 1.51 to   2.00% - MagicByt3

[philipma1957]

well its free and I want a winner.

This allows 30 free picks and should give us a winner.

I will open it at block 600 and close it at block 1000.

we are at block 241

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808656  (21 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   95.4390%  (241 / 252.52 expected, 11.52 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54682813361213 and 56553289468814
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.2666% and -0.9919%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 8:35 AM  (in 12d 9h 31m 24s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 9:02 PM  (in 12d 21h 58m 16s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 36m 34s and 14d 16h 3m 26s

getting ready to setup a retro contest.
01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00%
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00%
17) 3.01 to   3.50%
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%


If my pick wins I am giving it to:   joker_josue to help support the talk image website.

my pick will be 11) + 0.01 to 0.50%

my game my rules

rule 1. it is free shot to get 0.001 btc
rule 2. I get to pick first and if my pick wins I give it to joker_josue
rule 3. no newbies must have 10  merits and 90 days on the website.
rule 4. no alts giving you a 2x or 3x shot
rule 5. you can pick at blocks 600-1000
rule 6. new hedge numbers are used for deciding winner
rule 7. if a tie happens due to a round issue I will give 2 prices. this happened 1 time years ago.
rule 8. if BTC moons like a mother fucker I will cap prize  of 0.001 btc to be 100 usd or less
rule 9. my game my rules so if I think you are a sleaze and say do to your answer just accept it
rule 10. if I missed something I will rule on it and you will accept the rule.

start picking at block 600

Take lucky 14!

14) 1.51 to   2.00% - MagicByt3

you picked too early but I will open all picks and allow yours.

Picks are now open!! free and prize is 0.001 btc  but capped at 100 usd incase we moon


01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00%
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00%
17) 3.01 to   3.50%
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808757  (31 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   95.1295%  (342 / 359.51 expected, 17.51 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54455518811327 and 56265079916512
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.6645% and -1.4965%
Previous Retarget:   last Tuesday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:19 AM  (in 11d 17h 25m 23s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:11 PM  (in 12d 5h 17m 3s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 20m 29s and 14d 17h 12m 9s

picks end when we get to block 1000 or all 30 are picked early
prize is after block 2015/2016 and new diff is posted

[vapourminer]

17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer


sounds lucky to me

If my pick wins I am giving it to:   joker_josue to help support the talk image website.

same here if i win talkimg site gets it.

[philipma1957]

well its free and I want a winner.

This allows 30 free picks and should give us a winner.

I will open it at block 600 and close it at block 1000.

we are at block 241

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808656  (21 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   95.4390%  (241 / 252.52 expected, 11.52 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54682813361213 and 56553289468814
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.2666% and -0.9919%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 8:35 AM  (in 12d 9h 31m 24s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 9:02 PM  (in 12d 21h 58m 16s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 36m 34s and 14d 16h 3m 26s

getting ready to setup a retro contest.


01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00% - mikeywith
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00%
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%


If my pick wins I am giving it to:   joker_josue to help support the talk image website.

my pick will be 11) + 0.01 to 0.50%

my game my rules

rule 1. it is free shot to get 0.001 btc
rule 2. I get to pick first and if my pick wins I give it to joker_josue
rule 3. no newbies must have 10  merits and 90 days on the website.
rule 4. no alts giving you a 2x or 3x shot
rule 5. you can pick at blocks 600-1000 - - -  I opened early
rule 6. new hedge numbers are used for deciding winner
rule 7. if a tie happens due to a round issue I will give 2 prices. this happened 1 time years ago.
rule 8. if BTC moons like a mother fucker I will cap prize  of 0.001 btc to be 100 usd or less
rule 9. my game my rules so if I think you are a sleaze and say do to your answer just accept it
rule 10. if I missed something I will rule on it and you will accept the rule.

start picking at block 600

Take lucky 14!

14) 1.51 to   2.00% - MagicByt3

you picked too early but I will open all picks and allow yours.

Picks are now open!! free and prize is 0.001 btc  but capped at 100 usd incase we moon


01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00%
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00%
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808757  (31 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   95.1295%  (342 / 359.51 expected, 17.51 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54455518811327 and 56265079916512
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.6645% and -1.4965%
Previous Retarget:   last Tuesday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:19 AM  (in 11d 17h 25m 23s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:11 PM  (in 12d 5h 17m 3s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 20m 29s and 14d 17h 12m 9s

picks end when we get to block 1000 or all 30 are picked early
prize is after block 2015/2016 and new diff is posted

got you

[mikeywith]

well its free and I want a winner.

This allows 30 free picks and should give us a winner.

Fine then, I am in

12) 0.51 to   1.00% Mikeywith

If I win, I will donate the prize to charity, will give you the fund raise address directly.

Thanks for making this contest, is it okay if we tag people from other boards or you want to keep this miners only game?

[joker_josue]

Here's my pick.

16) 2.51 to   3.00% - joker_josue

We'll see if it works out. 

[philipma1957]

well its free and I want a winner.

This allows 30 free picks and should give us a winner.

I will open it at block 600 and close it at block 1000.

we are at block 241

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808656  (21 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   95.4390%  (241 / 252.52 expected, 11.52 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54682813361213 and 56553289468814
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.2666% and -0.9919%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 8:35 AM  (in 12d 9h 31m 24s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 9:02 PM  (in 12d 21h 58m 16s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 36m 34s and 14d 16h 3m 26s

getting ready to setup a retro contest.


01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00% - mikeywith
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00% - joker_josue
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%


If my pick wins I am giving it to:   joker_josue to help support the talk image website.

my pick will be 11) + 0.01 to 0.50%

my game my rules

rule 1. it is free shot to get 0.001 btc
rule 2. I get to pick first and if my pick wins I give it to joker_josue
rule 3. no newbies must have 10  merits and 90 days on the website.
rule 4. no alts giving you a 2x or 3x shot
rule 5. you can pick at blocks 600-1000 - - -  I opened early
rule 6. new hedge numbers are used for deciding winner
rule 7. if a tie happens due to a round issue I will give 2 prices. this happened 1 time years ago.
rule 8. if BTC moons like a mother fucker I will cap prize  of 0.001 btc to be 100 usd or less
rule 9. my game my rules so if I think you are a sleaze and say do to your answer just accept it
rule 10. if I missed something I will rule on it and you will accept the rule.

start picking at block 600

Take lucky 14!

14) 1.51 to   2.00% - MagicByt3

you picked too early but I will open all picks and allow yours.

Picks are now open!! free and prize is 0.001 btc  but capped at 100 usd incase we moon


01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00% - mikeywith
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00% - joker_josue
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808757  (31 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   95.1295%  (342 / 359.51 expected, 17.51 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54455518811327 and 56265079916512
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.6645% and -1.4965%
Previous Retarget:   last Tuesday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:19 AM  (in 11d 17h 25m 23s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:11 PM  (in 12d 5h 17m 3s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 20m 29s and 14d 17h 12m 9s

picks end when we get to block 1000 or all 30 are picked early
prize is after block 2015/2016 and new diff is posted

got you

at mikeywith you can let anyone or charity take your  prize if you win.

you can let others know I am running it.

[stompix]

Oh, nice, let's see!
If I win... , lol, so, if I win...common, I'll buy each one of you an anti-air flying pig gun!
I see that everyone is going positive so to increase your chances, here I go with my fudge bear just for fun pick:

10) -0.49 to  -0.00  Stompix

This means anyone willing to win this should go like 20 numbers away from mine!

But now, joking aside, I don't see that much negative news and I can't muster that much pessimism either, the heatwaves are probably long gone, the price is not really in a bad position, we have proof of companies having set plans in motions for Q4 expansions, so probably all signs point to continuous increase, which now that I think it's actually a pessimistic view, right?

I wonder if just as price speculators talk about floors we have a serious one around 5-6 cents per th/s, seems like this one is a barrier at which shutdowns and efficiency tweaking start to happen.

Latest Block:   808816  (5 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   95.5979%  (401 / 419.47 expected, 18.47 behind)

I wonder if I'll have time to log off till it turns positive!

[philipma1957]

well its free and I want a winner.

This allows 30 free picks and should give us a winner.

I will open it at block 600 and close it at block 1000.

we are at block 241

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808656  (21 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   95.4390%  (241 / 252.52 expected, 11.52 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54682813361213 and 56553289468814
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.2666% and -0.9919%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 8:35 AM  (in 12d 9h 31m 24s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 9:02 PM  (in 12d 21h 58m 16s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 36m 34s and 14d 16h 3m 26s

getting ready to setup a retro contest.


01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00 - stompix
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00% - mikeywith
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00% - joker_josue
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%


If my pick wins I am giving it to:   joker_josue to help support the talk image website.

my pick will be 11) + 0.01 to 0.50%

my game my rules

rule 1. it is free shot to get 0.001 btc
rule 2. I get to pick first and if my pick wins I give it to joker_josue
rule 3. no newbies must have 10  merits and 90 days on the website.
rule 4. no alts giving you a 2x or 3x shot
rule 5. you can pick at blocks 600-1000 - - -  I opened early
rule 6. new hedge numbers are used for deciding winner
rule 7. if a tie happens due to a round issue I will give 2 prices. this happened 1 time years ago.
rule 8. if BTC moons like a mother fucker I will cap prize  of 0.001 btc to be 100 usd or less
rule 9. my game my rules so if I think you are a sleaze and say do to your answer just accept it
rule 10. if I missed something I will rule on it and you will accept the rule.

start picking at block 600

Take lucky 14!

14) 1.51 to   2.00% - MagicByt3

you picked too early but I will open all picks and allow yours.

Picks are now open!! free and prize is 0.001 btc  but capped at 100 usd incase we moon


01) -4.99 to - 4.50
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00 - stopmix
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00% - mikeywith
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00% - joker_josue
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808757  (31 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   95.1295%  (342 / 359.51 expected, 17.51 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54455518811327 and 56265079916512
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.6645% and -1.4965%
Previous Retarget:   last Tuesday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:19 AM  (in 11d 17h 25m 23s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:11 PM  (in 12d 5h 17m 3s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 20m 29s and 14d 17h 12m 9s

picks end when we get to block 1000 or all 30 are picked early
prize is after block 2015/2016 and new diff is posted

got you

at mikeywith you can let anyone or charity take your  prize if you win.

you can let others know I am running it.

. got you.

https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808844  (11 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   94.3053%  (429 / 454.91 expected, 25.91 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                               
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                           
Next Difficulty:   between 53959204011797 and 55875149087079
Next Difficulty Change:   between -5.5334% and -2.1791%
Previous Retarget:   last Tuesday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 12:42 PM  (in 11d 3h 53m 55s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 4, 2023 at 1:16 AM  (in 11d 16h 28m 19s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 7h 42m 58s and 14d 20h 17m 22s

It would be funny if I cut off the lowest numbers wrong and we do -6%

[kano]

Well we are currently at -6.74% but that of course means nothing at this stage of the 2016 blocks

Block 506, 1510 to go

I'll bet 01) -4.99 to - 4.50 Kano
and see if I'm closest

P.S. you can keep the BTC if I'm closest, I'm just betting for fun

[philipma1957]

Well we are currently at -6.74% but that of course means nothing at this stage of the 2016 blocks

Block 506, 1510 to go

I'll bet 01) -4.99 to - 4.50 Kano
and see if I'm closest

P.S. you can keep the BTC if I'm closest, I'm just betting for fun

[hr
@kano
I will mark it up.

if you win I will send the 0.001 to joker_josue to support talkimg


Quote from: philipma1957 on September 21, 2023, 09:07:52 PM
Quote from: philipma1957 on September 21, 2023, 05:34:18 PM
Quote from: philipma1957 on September 21, 2023, 04:55:59 PM
Quote from: MagicByt3 on September 21, 2023, 04:19:03 PM
Quote from: philipma1957 on September 20, 2023, 11:03:53 PM
well its free and I want a winner.

This allows 30 free picks and should give us a winner.

I will open it at block 600 and close it at block 1000.

we are at block 241

Quote
https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808656  (21 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   95.4390%  (241 / 252.52 expected, 11.52 behind)
Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54682813361213 and 56553289468814
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.2666% and -0.9919%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 8:35 AM  (in 12d 9h 31m 24s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 9:02 PM  (in 12d 21h 58m 16s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 36m 34s and 14d 16h 3m 26s




getting ready to setup a retro contest.


01) -4.99 to - 4.50 - kano
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00 - stompix
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00% - mikeywith
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00% - joker_josue
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%


If my pick wins I am giving it to:   joker_josue to help support the talk image website.

my pick will be 11) + 0.01 to 0.50%

my game my rules

rule 1. it is free shot to get 0.001 btc
rule 2. I get to pick first and if my pick wins I give it to joker_josue
rule 3. no newbies must have 10  merits and 90 days on the website.
rule 4. no alts giving you a 2x or 3x shot
rule 5. you can pick at blocks 600-1000 - - -  I opened early
rule 6. new hedge numbers are used for deciding winner
rule 7. if a tie happens due to a round issue I will give 2 prices. this happened 1 time years ago.
rule 8. if BTC moons like a mother fucker I will cap prize  of 0.001 btc to be 100 usd or less
rule 9. my game my rules so if I think you are a sleaze and say do to your answer just accept it
rule 10. if I missed something I will rule on it and you will accept the rule.

start picking at block 600

Take lucky 14!

14) 1.51 to   2.00% - MagicByt3

you picked too early but I will open all picks and allow yours.

Picks are now open!! free and prize is 0.001 btc  but capped at 100 usd incase we moon


01) -4.99 to - 4.50 - kano
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00 - stompix
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00% - mikeywith
13) 1.01 to   1.50%
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00% - joker_josue
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%

Quote
https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808757  (31 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   95.1295%  (342 / 359.51 expected, 17.51 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54455518811327 and 56265079916512
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.6645% and -1.4965%
Previous Retarget:   last Tuesday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:19 AM  (in 11d 17h 25m 23s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 10:11 PM  (in 12d 5h 17m 3s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 20m 29s and 14d 17h 12m 9s



picks end when we get to block 1000 or all 30 are picked early
prize is after block 2015/2016 and new diff is posted

got you

at mikeywith you can let anyone or charity take your  prize if you win.

you can let others know I am running it.
. got you.


Quote
https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   808844  (11 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   94.3053%  (429 / 454.91 expected, 25.91 behind)


Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 53959204011797 and 55875149087079
Next Difficulty Change:   between -5.5334% and -2.1791%
Previous Retarget:   last Tuesday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 12:42 PM  (in 11d 3h 53m 55s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 4, 2023 at 1:16 AM  (in 11d 16h 28m 19s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 7h 42m 58s and 14d 20h 17m 22s

It would be funny if I cut off the lowest numbers wrong and we do -6%




Latest Block:   808994  (24 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   95.8449%  (579 / 604.10 expected, 25.1 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   54150142369480                              
Current Difficulty:   57119871304635.31                            
Next Difficulty:   between 54816956219993 and 55963331318383
Next Difficulty Change:   between -4.0317% and -2.0248%
Previous Retarget:   last Tuesday at 4:59 AM  (+5.4842%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   October 3, 2023 at 12:09 PM  (in 10d 2h 28m 55s)
Next Retarget (latest):   October 3, 2023 at 7:33 PM  (in 10d 9h 52m 58s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 7h 9m 55s and 14d 14h 33m 59s


lots of numbers left 7 picked and 23 to go.

I close on or about block 1000

[sirazimuth]

.....
Picks are now open!! free and prize is 0.001 btc  but capped at 100 usd incase we moon


01) -4.99 to - 4.50 - kano
02) -4.49 to - 4.00
03) -3.99 to - 3.50
04) -3.49 to - 3.00
05) -2.99 to - 2.50
06) -2.49 to - 2.00
07) -1.99 to - 1.50
08 ) -1.49 to -1.00
09) -0.99 to  -0.50
10) -0.49 to  -0.00 - stompix
11) 0.01 to   0.50% put your name next to your pick. philipma1957
12) 0.51 to   1.00% - mikeywith
13) 1.01 to   1.50% sirazimuth
14) 1.51 to   2.00%  - MagicByt3
15) 2.01 to   2.50%
16) 2.51 to   3.00% - joker_josue
17) 3.01 to   3.50% - vapourminer
18) 3.51 to   4.00%
19) 4.01 to   4.50%
20) 4.51 to   5.00%
21) 5.01 to   5.50%
22) 5.51 to   6.00%
23) 6.01 to   6.50%
24) 6.51 to   7.00%
25) 7.01 to   7.50%
26) 7.51 to   8.00%
27) 8.01 to   8.50%
28) 8.51 to   9.00%
29) 9.01 to   9.50%
30) 9.51 to 10.00%

.....

1.01 to   1.50%
I have no idea what those percentages mean but I used to mine bitcoin and 13 is my lucky number.

[Hueristic]

18) 3.51 to   4.00%

If I win, same, goes to talkimg