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Author Topic: When to sell bitcoin before the next bear market starts?  (Read 609 times)
kiddex (OP)
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February 08, 2023, 11:57:16 PM
 #1

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
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February 09, 2023, 12:02:51 AM
 #2

Do you know a a fortune teller? If you do I would go ask them because their answer is going to be as accurate as anyone else here. it will be 1 of the only times a fortune teller will be as accurate. No one on this forum or in the world can accurately tell you when to buy or sell btc. That comes with experience but you are not going to do it at the perfect moment. If people knew how to do that all the traders on WO or the Economy board would be rich. We are not. We look at charts to the best of our ability but we only speculate. Anyone that claims to know the best time to sell is lying and should not be trusted.

I recommend that you set a goal like $30000  and sell when that has been reached. Do not worry about losing out as long as you have made a profit that you are happy with. Set a goal that you will be happy with selling at. if you do not want to sell all your btc and want to keep some in it set a goal and only take 10%, 20% out. There is a method called dollar cost averaging that a lot of veteran traders will recommend because it is the safest way to accumulate btc and sell for profit but it is not fool proof. I will not explain it here because there is a lot of topics about it. Use the search on the forum or Google.
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February 09, 2023, 01:44:38 AM
 #3

To answer quickly, I would like to say : sell when BTC hit new ATH  Grin

 Nobody can predict the price of BTC, otherwise things would be too easy!  Grin

Each holder has in mind his resale target, there are even some maximalists who always and still say 1 BTC = 1 BTC and who will not resell in theory. I am sure you could find some of them on the forum  Wink

Depending on the price you bought it, it's up to you to determine how much you hope to resell your BTC, and especially: how long you are ready to hold them. Everything is a question of patience, as you probably already know  Cheesy

Determining a selling price randomly is clearly not possible, we are not clairvoyant, nor do we have the ability to travel in time...

In any case you can always try to determine a resale range that will be to your advantage, but even with that, you will never have the guarantee that BTC will reach it in itself
Why would you trust the "expertise" from randoms on internet ? It is your investment, and you probably have your own goals

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February 09, 2023, 02:05:44 AM
 #4

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits.
You should take profit with each bull run and if not taking all, you can sell part of your portfolio to get profit. However, it depends on your time budget as well as your financial budget for your life. If you don't have enough money reserve for your life, you will have to sell your coins when you need money even in bear market.

Quote
I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.
This bear market has yet over so it is so early to talk about a next bear market.

Quote
So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat?
Usually, you can consider to take profit about 3 months up to 6 months after Bitcoin breaks out and start to make a new bull run and find its new all time high. Don't want to take profit at all time highs because we can not see future. So if you can take profit at good price, enjoy it and move on.

R


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February 09, 2023, 02:08:26 AM
 #5

As you mentioned, you've missed bull runs and bear markets before, and my question is do you realize you've missed them because the truth is the market isn't that easy to predict. So I would answer I don't know, and I don't know where the market is going next, and it could go up and it could go down and anything could happen because of some unknown factor.
and my advice is better hold your coin or bitcoin when there is a decline or and take advantage of this decline to accumulate and hold it, because if you believe the market or bitcoin will go back up even though you don't know for sure. There's nothing wrong with you taking advantage of this moment and when the price goes up you can sell it, and be patient so that you sell at the right time and are also very profitable.

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February 09, 2023, 02:13:21 AM
 #6

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

We are still in the middle of the bear market and yet you are asking when you sell your bitcoin?

You should just continue to accumulate at this point and not thinking of selling. Besides, the next bull run might take it's shape around 2024-2025.

And with that said, I don't think that anyone can predict how the market is going to move, we don't have the crystal ball to make such predictions.

R


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February 09, 2023, 02:29:55 AM
 #7

No one knows what the best time would be. Because if we knew, we'd all be rich already. Obviously markets don't work that way; and if everyone had a price target of selling and the price target is close to each other, bitcoin would immediately crash from that pricepoint.

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February 09, 2023, 02:34:05 AM
 #8

To answer quickly, I would like to say : sell when BTC hit new ATH  Grin

Uh-uh, even this is easier said than done. According to Coingecko, the ATH is $69,044.77. Does it mean to say that by the time Bitcoin's price reached $69,050.00, it's already selling time? I don't think so. So when is selling time? $70,000, $80,000, $100,000? We cannot tell. But if you're good enough that you've already made profit, then selling beyond the ATH is good. But don't fret if months after selling, the price continued to rise 20% or more.

You have to take note that the halving's full effect on Bitcoin's price happens at least a year from the halving itself. And the growth is considerable you wouldn't want to miss it. The peak of the growth every after halving is significantly higher than its halving price. So a new ATH is probably a low selling point.

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February 09, 2023, 02:42:30 AM
 #9

if the cycle true bitcoin will reach new ath around 2025 a year after bitcoin halving or less than that, i don't know if the bear market already finished or we already at bottom but 2023 and 2024 there is always the case that bitcoin will reach mini bull.

and when you think is enough to take profit just take profit a half or a quarter just take profit a little bit so when the sometimes gone wrong you had feeling relief after take profit a little bit

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February 09, 2023, 02:55:08 AM
 #10

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

You mean you want to sell bitcoin at the highest price? No one will know what the high will be in the next bull season, even if you ask the best expert. You need to have a plan and goal for your investment, not necessarily to sell at the highest price, but to sell when you have enough profit as you want. For example, my goal will sell my bitcoin for 100k, just bitcoin reach 100k, I will sell it even if it has a chance to increase more. Sell when there is enough profit, don't set the target too high, or it will only disappoint you.

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February 09, 2023, 02:55:29 AM
 #11

If you believe in the 4-year cycle and think it is the single most important factor for Bitcoin’s price as I do, then you should probably be thinking about selling sometime in Q3 of 2025. While the news cycle seems to control the daily price movements, the 4-year cycle is what controls the price for real. I stay away from trading tiny movements from the news cycle. Others should as well.

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February 09, 2023, 03:07:18 AM
 #12

outside of the retail(spot) market.. is the wholesale market. and economics of world costs which set the window of possible speculation of the retail(spot)


in 2021. the cheapest mining on the planet and cheapest way to acquire bitcoin was about $10k meaning no one wanted to sell below $10k in 2021
the most costly mining on the planet was about $75k in 2021

this is why the retail market swung in a range within this..
it didnt go below 10k and didnt go above $75k
(actual prices was the $30k-$70k speculation within the window limit of wholesale maxis)

this is becasue no one on the planet is left able to mine and sell for less than $10k nor no one wants to buy for more then $75k if they can mine for less

so the spot market hits its tops and bottoms within that range.. in short there was no hope of a $100k btc in 2021

no once can prredict what the prices will be at any given top within the window..  and if it will go upto limit or down to limit. but atleast knowing the outside of market limit sets a range of speculation within

2022 was a $15k-$90k wholesale market window limit. and the prices only reached 16k-50k in the retail market

jan 2023 is about a near 17k-95k window limit of possibility

anyone thinking it can jump to $300k is fooling themselves right now i would say 95k is is the current possible tops of the market

where even buyers in hawaii/japan(expensive mining cost on planet) would be reluctant to buy becasue even they can acquire coin cheap via mining at that 95k point

unless mining costs went up by 2x-3x this year dont expect a $300k coin.. dont wait or plan on only selling at over $100k

but like everyone knows
no one knows if the market will top out at 30k 50k 70k or 90k as the price may not even reach the window limits of actual possible speculation

but you can tell there is no demand or desire of say a $1k sell of bitcoin or a $300k buy of bitcoin

I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER.
Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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February 09, 2023, 03:32:46 AM
 #13

Since many people are predict the next bull run Bitcoin price will hit at least $100,000 it means just sell your Bitcoin at that price, it may not the highest price, but you're still make profit and you can have a choice to wait until the bear market to buy Bitcoin at the cheap price. Your prediction, analysis and speculation wouldn't always will be true like the realization because the world isn't always in your side and you need to learn how to maximize it, not to become 100% perfect.

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February 09, 2023, 04:24:02 AM
 #14

Since many people are predict the next bull run Bitcoin price will hit at least $100,000 it means just sell your Bitcoin at that price, it may not the highest price, but you're still make profit and you can have a choice to wait until the bear market to buy Bitcoin at the cheap price.

That is a psychological barrier where people are going to sell. Compared to previous high breaks, I would expect no less than three clear approaches before breaking definitively upwards.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell.

In general, when you keep hearing about bitcoin in the news, when people on the forum keep making increasingly exaggerated predictions about how fast we will reach a million or more, when you hear your neighbourhood fool say he has taken a loan to buy bitcoins. That will be the best time to sell. I wouldn't sell everything, though. You can sell 80% and keep the other 20.

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February 09, 2023, 04:42:10 AM
 #15

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
Man, if this things were predictable, or easy to predict, everybody in crypto would be super and stinkingly rich, as we all would know when exactly to buy, how long to hold it, and when to sell, take profit, and when to re-buy again.
If the above was how bitcoin and crypto in general operate, everybody would make money, but crypto wouldnt be so interesting after all, but unfortunately, this is not how crypto operates, and i can tell you that what you are enquiring to know is not predictable, who ever tells you otherwise is only guessing and as well as lying to you.

My advice is that, you should just keep holding and wait for the next bull season, when the bull market starts, decide what price is ok (don't be over greedy) for you and sell at that price, take your profit, and wait to re-buy again when the price comes down.

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February 09, 2023, 04:44:15 AM
 #16

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
The point is that a bear market will always come when the bull run ends, but no one knows for sure when the next bear market will occur even though we are used to these events in the crypto market, but sometimes history that happened in the past doesn't repeat itself in the future, especially now the crypto market is different from before, maybe what we can do to anticipate a bear market is to sell our bitcoins when the price reaches the ATH level because every time we see that when bitcoin is able to make ATH, after that there will be a significant price drop due to simultaneous sales .

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February 09, 2023, 05:42:38 AM
 #17

Never! Because bitcoin is money and you don't sell money, you use it. That's what you should do with bitcoin too. When price goes up, instead of trying to "dump" it to get your fiat and and then use the fiat you can instead use bitcoin to pay for stuff you need. The adoption has been growing and will continue grow so you will have a lot of options for when you want to spend your bitcoins.

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February 09, 2023, 07:45:06 AM
 #18

Why do you have to ask when is the right time to sell? the investment you make is your own responsibility and you must determine where the target must be achieved. If you still depend on other people's decisions, it will not be good.
you consciously say that you need help with someone else's TA, why don't you start learning how to do TA so that you have a trading knowledge foundation?
Easily I can only say, Buy when the price is cheap and sell when the price is high, very simple. Profits depend on where you will cut profits.

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February 09, 2023, 08:26:35 AM
 #19


you wanna zoom way out to your monthly timeframe and watch the RSI hit the overbought line and if you see it is overbought. that's a good sign to sell your coins.

the last bull run, the RSI hit 90.99 around March 2021.  the market, however, is unpredictable the price spike higher on Nov 2021 but the RSI is still correct, it is a good indicator for this purpose.









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February 09, 2023, 08:44:41 AM
 #20

When it comes to selling your Bitcoin before the next bear market starts, there are a few key steps you should take. First, determine what your goals are for trading and invest in Bitcoin. Do you want to hold onto short-term gains or use them as a long-term investment? These considerations will all affect when is the best time for you to sell.

Second, study trends and patterns in the cryptocurrency market carefully, including volume, history of prices dips/peaks, past bear markets and other factors that could influence when you should sell. Keeping an eye on news about developments in the blockchain industry can also help inform your decision about whether now is a good time for selling off your digital assets.

Thirdly consider alternative ways of mitigating risk from volatility such as hedging with options contracts or other derivatives products. This can be an effective strategy if used correctly as it allows investors to buy protection against losses at certain points while still keeping their crypto position intact so they can potentially benefit from any rises in coin prices too.

Remember too that timing isn’t everything - understanding market dynamics is more important than trying to predict when each individual sale will occur: timing needs to happen right but it won’t guarantee success; careful research into different coins before investing and caution during periods of rising/falling prices will help give you better chances of avoiding serious losses during a bear market period.
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February 09, 2023, 08:55:01 AM
 #21

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
I would always say that the best time to sell is when you sell for profits, most likely when bitcoin price hits its new ATH. Otherwise, you will only lost the essence of investing and profiting if you hold your coins forever, by not taking any chances to sell. However, if ask if the perfect price to sell can be predicted, of course it’s not going to happen knowing the market itself is highly volatile, one day the price surges high, the next day it’s price is suddenly dropping due to some factors that affect the condition of the market. So it’s better to take time to sell if you think you’ll gain some decent amount of profits.

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February 09, 2023, 09:15:43 AM
 #22

Never! Because bitcoin is money and you don't sell money, you use it. That's what you should do with bitcoin too. When price goes up, instead of trying to "dump" it to get your fiat and and then use the fiat you can instead use bitcoin to pay for stuff you need. The adoption has been growing and will continue grow so you will have a lot of options for when you want to spend your bitcoins.

Using Bitcoin for everyday purchases can be a pain the ass because of taxation. The regulations need to be adjusted and softened, but that would only happen if authorities really want Bitcoin to be further adopted.

Perfectly timing bear or bull markets is impossible. You can always have exogenous events that have nothing to do with cycles. When the pandemic started Bitcoin crashed from 10k to 5k and I am pretty sure that nobody would have guessed that exactly one year later Bitcoin was going to be at 55k. There are many things you can't predict. There might be political, financial, social events etc. that can have an impact on the price yet nobody can anticipate them.

A long-term approach to holding Bitcoin is the safest bet in my opinion. If you think that Bitcoin has potential and will go up in the long run, don't try to time the market and specifically catch bear or bull turnarounds. You won't be successful and if you are, keep in mind it was probably luck.

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February 09, 2023, 09:28:06 AM
 #23

Never! Because bitcoin is money and you don't sell money, you use it. That's what you should do with bitcoin too. When price goes up, instead of trying to "dump" it to get your fiat and and then use the fiat you can instead use bitcoin to pay for stuff you need. The adoption has been growing and will continue grow so you will have a lot of options for when you want to spend your bitcoins.

It depends on the country you live in, if you live in a country bitcoin is not legal and not considered as a payment method, then you will not be able to use bitcoin. Another thing is that even if you are in a place where you can use bitcoin to pay for your daily needs, they still rely on the value of fiat currency for payment.

As long as fiat remains the main currency of the world and remains the measure of value, we will never be able to comfortably use bitcoin for daily payments, the value of bitcoin will forever be measured in fiat.

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February 09, 2023, 10:22:29 AM
 #24

~snip~

Instead of trying to do something in which you will obviously fail, I would suggest that you set an exit price for yourself and that at the moment of reaching that price, you simply sell what you want to sell. No one will be able to predict with certainty what the maximum price of the next bull run will be, and everything will again come down to speculation and various plans and charts, which in most cases will not be accurate. If you wait, you will miss the train again and you will wait at least 4 years for a new opportunity.



Never! Because bitcoin is money and you don't sell money, you use it. That's what you should do with bitcoin too. When price goes up, instead of trying to "dump" it to get your fiat and and then use the fiat you can instead use bitcoin to pay for stuff you need. The adoption has been growing and will continue grow so you will have a lot of options for when you want to spend your bitcoins.

The problem is that most people don't see Bitcoin as a currency, and we can't blame them too much for that, considering that public opinion has been shaped to the point that people have simply taken it for granted. Let's just remember Mr. Mars and his statements about how BTC transactions have a harmful effect on the environment, or how Saylor accumulates BTC without showing that he is using it in a way that would be right.

I agree that there will be more and more ways to use Bitcoin as a currency, although for those who currently have nowhere to spend it, all that remains is to convert it to fiat.

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February 09, 2023, 10:55:13 AM
 #25

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
I want to believe just like you have gone through a couple of Bull market circles and you didn't sell because you didn't think you have to which was wholly your decision, I believe this too will be decided by you alone cos it is your investment. Investors should have a target as has been always clam, you know if your investment is for the long term or a short time and at what percentage of profit, this should all be your own decision, just imagine someone advice you to sell when BTCitcoin hits $100k which you did and it eventually went to $150k ATH  Embarrassed
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February 09, 2023, 11:24:53 AM
 #26

For me, the best time for people who want to sell a Bitcoin is when the profit is already earned by them. Maybe that's the good thing about us not knowing when the market will increase and when it's time for the market to decline.

You can see for yourself how the chart conditions this week since the 3rd Bitcoin price of $24K have continued to decline until now at a price of $22,703.27. Whether it will continue to decline or will turn into an increase we cannot answer yes or no. Maybe we will release some of it in 1 or 2 years.

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February 09, 2023, 01:23:38 PM
 #27

You're acting like someone is only interesting in a hit track, bitcoin should not be a some form of quick earn money except that's your priorities but if you ask me there is not set time to sell, weather bull or bears all your need is right strategics, remembering some people gains more when is bearing while when is bulling, you can't actually predict what the future holds.

What if tomorrow Bitcoin rise to some limits and you sell after a while bitcoin a long term bulling to the amazement of the person you sold to, there is no proper time to than when is best for you individualistic.

Some people have lost their investment, profits all in the name of trying to outsmart the system, so let's watch from this 2023 to 2024 what will come of it but I believed it will definitely surpass our expectations.
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February 09, 2023, 03:27:19 PM
 #28

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.
People are free when bullruns enter the market because they already have their own targets to do so, but I wonder why you miss the after few bullruns and want to sell on the next bullrun? Every profit must be taken because it is one that bitcoin holders are looking for, on the other hand we are not predictors who know when a bullrun will come even though the halving will come in the following year, obviously you have to judge how high the bitcoin price will be later will sell it.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
Looking at the history of the previous cycle, it always happened, but we didn't know about the start of a bear market, and all of that can indeed be predicted with analytical techniques, it's just that sometimes nothing is always right, even though the experts do it.
If you want to sell bitcoin at a higher price, then wait for ATH to return again and make sure you are ready to sell with the bitcoin you have.

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February 09, 2023, 03:51:37 PM
 #29

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

There is no way to predict that with accuracy. If you posted this topic in the trading discussion subforum, you might find better answers from people who did the technical analysis and can give you a picture with their own ideas.

But if you ask me, I think you will regret selling Bitcoin. Just like the people who sold Bitcoin in the past. They all regretted not waiting for the price to go higher and they never thought Bitcoin could go into the 5 figure area.

If you truly understand the potential of Bitcoin, you would hodl and sit tight.

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February 09, 2023, 04:01:13 PM
 #30

If bitcoin goes into another bull run, that will be the best time to sell bitcoins because the price will surely reach a peak. You have to be able to find when the price peak occurred and only by analyzing the movement can you find it. But no one will know when the peak price will occur and we can only sell bitcoins at the price we want.

And as long as it's the highest price and has exceeded the last ATH price, it seems okay if you sell at that time. That's because you can already see how much your profit will be if you sell it at that time. And we'll never know if 2024 is the year bitcoin gets another bull run.

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February 09, 2023, 06:15:29 PM
 #31

All time high I believe? But there is no way to know when we are at the top ATH, it was like how many people are waiting for 100k bitcoin in the last bull market and they got rekt, my advice is, do not be greedy, take profits when Bitcoin is way over the top, I don't expect anything more than a 100k per Bitcoin in 2025 but I am sure that many will want 250k per bitcoin. Have a strategy in place, know when to take profit.

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February 09, 2023, 07:26:34 PM
 #32

Well, you could always have a stop loss, that way you would be selling whenever it drops and you would get out before the bear hits a low. I do not support doing that right now, it just doesn't make any sense at all, but if you could do that then you should, it would give you a chance to avoid going low in your funds.

I personally will hold, I am a long term holder and that's what I like to do, but that doesn't mean that I would be going against people who uses stop loss. If you could do like 10% lower from your purchasing power, then you would be able to get out with just 10% loss and recover from there if you can, it is a sound strategy that many people use.

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February 09, 2023, 07:59:35 PM
 #33

No one knows what the best time would be. Because if we knew, we'd all be rich already. Obviously markets don't work that way; and if everyone had a price target of selling and the price target is close to each other, bitcoin would immediately crash from that pricepoint.
We always anticipate when is the best time to sell but actually, no can can predict when it’s going to happen or what price will we have to sell as bitcoin price just eventually drops when we are thinking the right time to sell. But if we really want to sell for profits, I guess it’s not that hard as long as we can place a sell order the moment the price just starting to surge high, but at least expect just a slight amount of profits.

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February 09, 2023, 08:35:52 PM
 #34

All time high I believe? But there is no way to know when we are at the top ATH, it was like how many people are waiting for 100k bitcoin in the last bull market and they got rekt, my advice is, do not be greedy, take profits when Bitcoin is way over the top, I don't expect anything more than a 100k per Bitcoin in 2025 but I am sure that many will want 250k per bitcoin. Have a strategy in place, know when to take profit.
Mapping out the good entries on bitcoin during the bear market involved good profits when the bull season finally comes. These two seasons don't last for too long, presently the dump period have been in duration over the past months and the market planning to retest back to bull season would be a little challenging for the project since there are red long candles everywhere on the chart. Currently, I'm in possession of some of pieces of bitcoin and waiting patiently for the bull season to come so I could make profits from it. Our ultimate goal in the space is to grow our portfolio into gigantic one and been stable in profitable results.

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February 09, 2023, 08:36:57 PM
 #35

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
In the trading world, you will see two types of traders, one type of trader will always say to hold, and the other will always say  buy low and sell high. The main objective of both is to earn profit by buying low and selling high.
And now coming to the main point, no one can predict when the price of Bitcoin will touch its all-time high and when or if it should be sold.  So I think one should take such a strategy that you want to make a certain amount of profit at that particular time. So I would suggest you to set a certain amount and decide that you will sell your bitcoins in that strategy. And I say this because Bitcoin could surpass its last ath high at the next halving

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February 09, 2023, 09:21:46 PM
Last edit: February 10, 2023, 04:59:37 PM by coolcoinz
Merited by paid2 (2)
 #36

To answer quickly, I would like to say : sell when BTC hit new ATH  Grin

This means that in 2021 you would've sold at 21k or something like that and in 2024 you're planning to sell at 70k. If that's your strategy, you can as well put a sell order right now and forget about it.

If I were you OP, I wouldn't try to catch the top. People who try to hard usually end up making mistakes and regretting it. Buy and focus on the long term. Don't watch the price, check it from time to time, maybe once or twice a week. You'll be healthier, more relaxed and when the pump comes you'll have months to decide if and when you're going to sell. A bull market is not going to end in a week.

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February 09, 2023, 09:27:09 PM
 #37

As you mentioned, you've missed bull runs and bear markets before, and my question is do you realize you've missed them because the truth is the market isn't that easy to predict. So I would answer I don't know, and I don't know where the market is going next, and it could go up and it could go down and anything could happen because of some unknown factor.
and my advice is better hold your coin or bitcoin when there is a decline or and take advantage of this decline to accumulate and hold it, because if you believe the market or bitcoin will go back up even though you don't know for sure. There's nothing wrong with you taking advantage of this moment and when the price goes up you can sell it, and be patient so that you sell at the right time and are also very profitable.
I guess OP might be somewhat regretting nowadays because he keep on missing opportunities to sell and make profits way back then, that’s why he want a change this time hoping that he could perfectly sell for a huge profits. But the problem is it’s never predictable when is the best time to sell or what particular price we need to sell. As selling is an individual’s choice, so we have to analyze and think of it a hundred times if this is the right time to sell or we just need more DCAing and just decide to sell when we see a new ATH is achieved.

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February 09, 2023, 11:33:10 PM
 #38

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.
It is quite difficult to determine which is the ATH before we are getting out of the bullish era. But for me personally, after getting into some bullish era, I will not expect to have or meet the highest price again. My target is to sell Bitcoin in some steps, but I will also set the price more than the previous ATH because I am sure that Bitcoin will always commonly rise up over the previous ATH. I am not really expecting to reach $100k as what people said so far, but I will expect to meet the higher price of the previous ATH, whatever the amount, but I will start to take profits, but not all in at once sell.
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February 09, 2023, 11:43:37 PM
 #39

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

There is no way to predict that with accuracy. If you posted this topic in the trading discussion subforum, you might find better answers from people who did the technical analysis and can give you a picture with their own ideas.

But if you ask me, I think you will regret selling Bitcoin. Just like the people who sold Bitcoin in the past. They all regretted not waiting for the price to go higher and they never thought Bitcoin could go into the 5 figure area.

If you truly understand the potential of Bitcoin, you would hodl and sit tight.
No one really knows because if there's one who would be able to know then lots of us would really be that rich already on which we could utilize and able to predict on when the bear starts.It would really be totally

not balance because if people do knows then all would be selling on that particular point which would really be ending up on a complete crash in overall market.There's no way for us to know on what are the things

that could happen on this market.This is why we do keep on speculating and guessing on what would really happen.There's no way to point out the perfect spot of a particular point of time.

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February 10, 2023, 01:17:16 AM
 #40

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?
There isn't an accurate answer for that because it depends on you.
You can sell it when it surpasses the $69,000 ATH. You can also sell whenever it reaches the target you once set. You can also do dollar cost averaging, but this time in selling like sell a portion when it reaches this price, and then sell again when it goes higher again.

i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.
Saw the 2017-2018 thing where 2017 was the year the crypto are in a bull run, and 2018 was a year of hell. Same thing with 2021-2022, I also didn't sell or took any profits (which is kind of what makes me disappointed because I can still buy in the bear market). I learned from it and will sell when the bull market starts.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
If the 4-year cycle will happen again, we might see 2025 as the year where Bitcoin's price will rise up significantly until it goes to a bear market again in 2026.
2024 is the halving, but Bitcoin's price doesn't rise up immediately. It will take months before it happens.

As for your question "Can this be predicted", it can be predicted, but take note that there is a 50% chance that you're prediction might be true or not. I'm not a TA guy, but even those people who are expert in TA can't give you an answer for that because there is no specific time that is considered "good" when you are selling. It all depends to you if you're ok with it. Set some targets, don't ask here and follow that strategy of yours.

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February 10, 2023, 02:08:27 AM
 #41

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

You've answered your question, the best time to sell is during the next bull season. If you say you have been through a few bull and bear markets, then I think you are experienced enough to know what to do to make a profit. And if you want to ask about the highest ATH for the upcoming bull season, I think you are not the only one who wants to know, we all want to know. But unfortunately, no one can make predictions about it, not even those who claim to be top experts in the market. We will only know bitcoin's highest ATH, after the bull season is over.

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February 10, 2023, 02:30:27 AM
 #42

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
no need to worry, you just have to see what price you buy bitcoin, if the price has exceeded the price when you bought it, that's also called profit, but if you want to take bigger profits, you have to be patient until the next bitcoin halving .
because looking for profit is a relative thing, if you are able to be patient, maybe you will make more profit.

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February 10, 2023, 02:59:41 AM
 #43

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

Oh! So you've missed the huge opportunity to sell when Btc reached the last ATH?
Well, the bad thing is, nobody knows when will the bear market begins. All of us are going to probably notice it when the market is down by more than 50% from the last highest point Btc reached. So, that's gonna be too late for you to sell then.
Anticipating it will give you a real hard time selling your Btc.
You should set your own target and profit percentage what you think is worth your patience. Definitely that's more than $60k, since you've just missed it, why not wait a little more longer.

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February 10, 2023, 03:27:33 AM
 #44

You should already know a bit about when a bull run will occur because you have experienced several bull runs before so that can give you a clue to get ready to sell your bitcoins at a high price. We all want to sell bitcoin at the next peak but we don't know exactly when the bull run will occur and can only guess. If the price can get past the last ATH price, that is the time to get ready to sell and this will depend on what price you want to sell your bitcoins at. There are those looking to sell at $70k, $80k, $90k, and even $100k so it will be up to you.

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February 10, 2023, 03:45:13 AM
 #45

I think, the price of Bitcoin will definitely hit $80,000 before the end of 2024 for those that purchased early last year and this year to have a potential opportunity to make a huge amount of income from their investments. There is a sign that showed from the beginning of this new year that the price of Bitcoin will really pump this year, and next year to help both long term investors and short term investors to recover from their losses. I believe, this bearish market will soon disappear for bullish market to appear for investors to start selling their coins to achieve what they want to achieve in this season.

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February 10, 2023, 02:36:35 PM
 #46

The most annoying thing is that no one really knows when it's better to sell your Bitcoin. Probably the best thing to come up with is to wait for Bitcoin to reach a new ATH and then sell it.
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February 10, 2023, 02:44:00 PM
 #47

I think, the price of Bitcoin will definitely hit $80,000 before the end of 2024 for those that purchased early last year and this year to have a potential opportunity to make a huge amount of income from their investments. There is a sign that showed from the beginning of this new year that the price of Bitcoin will really pump this year, and next year to help both long term investors and short term investors to recover from their losses. I believe, this bearish market will soon disappear for bullish market to appear for investors to start selling their coins to achieve what they want to achieve in this season.

What do you rely on to be so sure, or just what do you want it to happen? The market is not so benevolent that it will only increase the price and help those who invest can make a profit. If things were that simple, I don't think anyone would have to lose their investment. We're still in bear season and it's not going away anytime soon.

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February 10, 2023, 03:36:24 PM
 #48

Just sell when you're ready. It would be hard to determine the bottom or ceiling of the market price. Likewise with anticipating when will bear and bullish trend start or occur. Therefore, selling at a point wherein you won't regret doing a particular action. You won't be able to get every penny or profit in this industry. The market itself is full of uncertainty and inconsistency. The market could fall or rise depending on the demand basically because it is the only factor which affects the market price. Demand on the other hand is affected by many things which makes it more difficult to create accurate predictions.

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February 10, 2023, 03:40:06 PM
 #49

You should already know a bit about when a bull run will occur because you have experienced several bull runs before so that can give you a clue to get ready to sell your bitcoins at a high price. We all want to sell bitcoin at the next peak but we don't know exactly when the bull run will occur and can only guess. If the price can get past the last ATH price, that is the time to get ready to sell and this will depend on what price you want to sell your bitcoins at. There are those looking to sell at $70k, $80k, $90k, and even $100k so it will be up to you.
I do not think we will reach another ath until the next halving but there is a chance late this year and the beginning of next year because of the hype for the halving but I would not get our hopes up because we are in a economical crisis and people will be more concerned about real life problems unless things get so bad and the interest rates continue to rise and people start looking to make money through their investments we could see a big bull run if that does happen but I think there is a small chance of that happening.

If btc can increase 1.5x from current price I will be happy because I am currently in the red by a lot and while I do not plan on selling until my goal is hit it can get you down seeing the price and your investment in the red all the time.
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February 10, 2023, 03:59:18 PM
 #50

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

I believe that even the top technical analysis experts cannot answer your question. If someone could accurately predict the bottom and top of bitcoin, they would never tell you because they have already become a millionaire and have no time for you. Sell bitcoin when you have made a profit, and don't be too greedy trying to find bitcoin's bottom and ceiling.
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February 10, 2023, 05:34:42 PM
 #51

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits.
The bull run is when the price of bitcoin does rise significantly, is an excellent moment to sell your holdings. However, there is no requirement that you hold off on selling until then. You can buy or sell whenever you want. Anyone is welcome to purchase or sell in the crypto market whenever they choose.

The price of bitcoin is anticipated to soar throughout the process of halving, which occurs every four years. When that happens, crypto investors do sell their holdings for profits
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I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.
Although the bear market is still ongoing, it is anticipated that it will end as soon as we begin the bull run by next year.

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February 10, 2023, 05:40:30 PM
 #52

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

No one can know what the next peak price will be. You can't predict that. You can however, sell when you are in the green zone. You know what they say... "Nobody went broke taking profits." You may even sell at the bottom of the bear market and depending on when you bought your coins, it might still become a good trade. For example tho who bought their coins when btc was $1000, they are still more than x20 up. They may sell now and still can make a killing even though the price is pretty low from the ath.

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February 11, 2023, 08:27:16 AM
 #53

You should already know a bit about when a bull run will occur because you have experienced several bull runs before so that can give you a clue to get ready to sell your bitcoins at a high price. We all want to sell bitcoin at the next peak but we don't know exactly when the bull run will occur and can only guess. If the price can get past the last ATH price, that is the time to get ready to sell and this will depend on what price you want to sell your bitcoins at. There are those looking to sell at $70k, $80k, $90k, and even $100k so it will be up to you.
I do not think we will reach another ath until the next halving but there is a chance late this year and the beginning of next year because of the hype for the halving but I would not get our hopes up because we are in a economical crisis and people will be more concerned about real life problems unless things get so bad and the interest rates continue to rise and people start looking to make money through their investments we could see a big bull run if that does happen but I think there is a small chance of that happening.

If btc can increase 1.5x from current price I will be happy because I am currently in the red by a lot and while I do not plan on selling until my goal is hit it can get you down seeing the price and your investment in the red all the time.
I'm still waiting while accumulating more bitcoins now and still relaxed in buying bitcoins. And like you, I don't really think the price can increase immediately, especially in the current economic situation but the current situation gives us more opportunities to invest in bitcoin. And I think a lot of people are still trying to buy bitcoins at this point because they think this is a good moment to increase their number of bitcoins.

It's okay if the current bitcoin price is still at the bottom or at a low price because either way, the bitcoin price will start moving to higher prices and eventually reach a peak price. This is also to practice patience in waiting for the price to start moving and preparing our investment to be sold at the peak price later.

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February 11, 2023, 11:20:59 AM
 #54

Unless you can see the future then indeed you can say with certainty when it will happen.
Everything that no one knows about it, but indeed in this case as long as you get the profit then do it no matter what happens. It's just that something like that obviously won't be easy to guess because this is not a guess.
Simply put, as long as you make a profit and feel that the profit is sufficient, then go out and wait for another bearish period. but if you are still not satisfied with the profits after being bullish then indeed the thing that needs to be done is to continue to hold back.

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February 11, 2023, 11:46:32 AM
 #55

I am not really expecting to reach $100k as what people said so far, but I will expect to meet the higher price of the previous ATH, whatever the amount, but I will start to take profits, but not all in at once sell.

Yes, it's all speculation and expectations of many people, but the $100k target for bitcoin for the next bull season is not so high, I think bitcoin will easily achieve that gain. I also set a sell target at $100k, I won't sell if bitcoin doesn't reach that level, and I'm willing to hold until next bull season. We all want to sell bitcoin at ATH, but no one will be able to guess right unless that person is lucky, so as long as it is profitable, we can sell or set a fixed target.

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February 11, 2023, 12:26:15 PM
 #56


So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
Even though the cycle is true but I would say that it never be like before because people do the move first before it happens. We are changing the trend and this will like to change the cycle of the crypto market as well. Sooner or later, we can no longer see the ATH or the bear season but probably all are just normal conditions. What I mean is that the price of Bitcoin will pump in a shorter time and it drop in a shorter time as well.



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February 11, 2023, 12:50:07 PM
 #57

I am not really expecting to reach $100k as what people said so far, but I will expect to meet the higher price of the previous ATH, whatever the amount, but I will start to take profits, but not all in at once sell.

Yes, it's all speculation and expectations of many people, but the $100k target for bitcoin for the next bull season is not so high, I think bitcoin will easily achieve that gain. I also set a sell target at $100k, I won't sell if bitcoin doesn't reach that level, and I'm willing to hold until next bull season. We all want to sell bitcoin at ATH, but no one will be able to guess right unless that person is lucky, so as long as it is profitable, we can sell or set a fixed target.
We don't need to believe too much in other people's speculations, and it is better for us to analyze what is happening with the market while preparing to buy more bitcoins. What will happen later will happen, and when the bullish season comes, we will make a big profit if we already have more bitcoins. Many of us have a target price of $100k or above for selling bitcoins. So we must be patient until the price can increase and reach the target price we want.

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February 11, 2023, 12:54:30 PM
 #58

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
Talking about this, you have to look at your personal needs first, in my opinion, if bitcoin is still on the same cycle, maybe I personally better keep bitcoin for a longer time than take profits as soon as possible because basically I invest in bitcoin for my old age guarantee
That might apply to you too, but if you take a chance on this cycle, maybe the most appropriate advice is to sell when a new ATH is formed and wait for another bear market to take more bitcoins in the next cycle.
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February 11, 2023, 12:59:23 PM
 #59

Honestly, I will wait for 5 elliot wave before selling
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February 11, 2023, 01:17:37 PM
 #60

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

no one will know or predict the cycles that occur in the Bitcoin market. if there was it was a fluke that would make him rich.
the analysis is carried out only based on trends and also cycle charts that have occurred. and it gives an idea of the next market movement. but if you were told by someone about this, would you bet all your money on Bitcoin? I guess you won't do it right? because you certainly have doubts.
sell when you are satisfied with the value. if you dream of getting to the top, no one will ever tell you.
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February 12, 2023, 08:18:29 PM
 #61

You can sell during the bull run or in its peak. Don't wait for too long after it if you don't want to regret, but I see that you already missed a couple of bull runs. For what reason? Are you busy outside and didn't noticed it coming? Or maybe you are just too greedy and expected for more gains. It's fine to make a one or two mistake but making more than that seems a turned off already. I can't imagine continuing after it but I salute you for not giving up.

You seem to have a good patience. Sadly there is no way to predict the next bear run but it will likely come after the bull run. Bull run don't also last longer than a bear run. I hope these tips help you and change your approach next time, good luck!

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February 12, 2023, 09:40:31 PM
 #62

No one knows what the best time would be. Because if we knew, we'd all be rich already. Obviously markets don't work that way; and if everyone had a price target of selling and the price target is close to each other, bitcoin would immediately crash from that pricepoint.
This is true, we can only predict but there is no guarantees that it will be the best time to sell as the market condition is never fixed due to its volatility. But I would say that if you want to sell for decent amount of profits, never sell your bitcoin when the price is still starting to surge high. Wait until a new ATH is being reached, that way you will get an assurance that if you want to sell, you’ll likely to get huge profits.

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February 12, 2023, 10:09:24 PM
 #63

I'm not sure if someone has already reported this thread to move to trading discussion or not, but it should be worth there. [I have reported it].

I don't expect bear market during 2023 and 2024, it should be optimistic to expect bull market to come in these two years to 2025. There are good cycles to get positive trends and it's much more important for me to get lots of bitcoins now instead of thinking about bears that market. It's fine if you and some other users have doubts, but I wouldn't sell it now even if correction could be made.

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February 12, 2023, 10:13:32 PM
 #64

Honestly, selling our Bitcoin is really good when the price is high or during Bullrun. Many investors hold their Bitcoin until the next ATH in the seek of having a huge profit. But I will tell you that holding can be challenging for us, especially for beginners. However, we can never say that it was impossible because as long as we are very certain about our goal (earning more profit), we are also motivated to do so.

Yes, Bullrun was predicted to happen after halving, yet we can't be sure of that but at least we have an idea that could help us also to think about what we gonna do during that time.  

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February 12, 2023, 11:13:58 PM
 #65

Honestly, selling our Bitcoin is really good when the price is high or during Bullrun. Many investors hold their Bitcoin until the next ATH in the seek of having a huge profit. But I will tell you that holding can be challenging for us, especially for beginners. However, we can never say that it was impossible because as long as we are very certain about our goal (earning more profit), we are also motivated to do so.

Yes, Bullrun was predicted to happen after halving, yet we can't be sure of that but at least we have an idea that could help us also to think about what we gonna do during that time.  

What is a high price for Bitcoin then? It is impossible to describe that in an objective way in my opinion. If you consider an ATH as the highest possible price, you can obviously only know retrospectively whether you selling price was chosen well or not.

If it goes to 100k and you sold at 60k, did you still sell at a high price then? So you either go subjectively about it and define your own price points which you would consider high or doesn't really make sense to talk about a high price in the objective sense.

With all the crises that are going on currently, we might not see ATHs for quite some time anyway. No crystal ball will tell you, yet having a strategy never hurts and having some liquidity available to also be able to catch some downswing momentum and buy cheaper is never bad, too.

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February 13, 2023, 07:01:51 AM
 #66

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

From my understanding, after the halving that's when the cycle starts, the very first year will be a pump in price of Bitcoin so that'll be 2025 and Bitcoin is likely to reach its all time year in that year or early 2026. In the previous bull cycle Bitcoin reached its peak in the next year after halving which was 2021 but in the last two bull cycle, the peak was reach in 2018 which is two years after the 2016 halving.

To be on the safety side, you're good selling around the last quarter of 2025. Then immediately after the bull year, the bear market starts so we should be expecting a bear market between 2026 to 2027 then we begin to see some recovering of the market by the end of 2027 in preparation for the halving happening in 2028.

R


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February 13, 2023, 08:23:30 AM
 #67

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

Who knows the Future? No one...

CPI data are scheduled to be released on February 14, This Week. If CPI is good, We Will Fly! IMO
I'll look at the volume. The global cryptocurrency market cap today is $1.07 Trillion.
I think it's going to be a bull soon. Just keep stacking sats and keep buying.
From the end of February till March, Bitcoin will become $30k. DYOR.
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February 13, 2023, 09:23:07 AM
 #68


From the end of February till March, Bitcoin will become $30k. DYOR.

Do you mean that you are sure the price of Bitcoin will reach $30k because you have it found from your research?
I'm not sure and I would still say that Bitcoin prices remain unpredictable no matter what we do. We can't assume that everything will do the same just like in the past years and most of all, we can't even be sure when will be the next Bull season. I would tell you that the market trend is behaving differently and it is probably because investors had also changed.

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February 13, 2023, 04:59:58 PM
 #69

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
Selling is depending on your limitation you need to set a limit to avoid unnecessary loss, sometimes crypto is very hard to understand  i experience so many situation like continuous dropping of price after we buy and rising of price after we sell so many regrets and so many wrong decision it is normal for we don't know when the price rise or when it fall the important thing is that we have limit on when we sell our holdings it is better to earn small amount than nothing.


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February 13, 2023, 05:46:34 PM
 #70

Selling is depending on your limitation you need to set a limit to avoid unnecessary loss, sometimes crypto is very hard to understand  i experience so many situation like continuous dropping of price after we buy and rising of price after we sell so many regrets and so many wrong decision it is normal for we don't know when the price rise or when it fall the important thing is that we have limit on when we sell our holdings it is better to earn small amount than nothing.
There will be times when you need to cut loss. Setting a limit will help you cut those losses before you entirely wipe out your balance based on the market's move.
And knowing when to sell your bitcoin, you've got to plan it out. As we approach to another month and we're already half of February, there could be a lot of changes in the pricing. Sometimes we think that we shouldn't sell when we're at a total loss but that's okay when you manage to cut loss when you're unsure to avoid further losses.

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February 13, 2023, 09:46:58 PM
 #71

Selling is depending on your limitation you need to set a limit to avoid unnecessary loss, sometimes crypto is very hard to understand  i experience so many situation like continuous dropping of price after we buy and rising of price after we sell so many regrets and so many wrong decision it is normal for we don't know when the price rise or when it fall the important thing is that we have limit on when we sell our holdings it is better to earn small amount than nothing.
There will be times when you need to cut loss. Setting a limit will help you cut those losses before you entirely wipe out your balance based on the market's move.
And knowing when to sell your bitcoin, you've got to plan it out. As we approach to another month and we're already half of February, there could be a lot of changes in the pricing. Sometimes we think that we shouldn't sell when we're at a total loss but that's okay when you manage to cut loss when you're unsure to avoid further losses.

Setting a limit can under some circumstances also be a strategy that is prone to mistakes. What about a situation where some unexpected event creates huge positive price momentum but you set a limit? I think that everyone is well advised to keep a close eye other investments and relevant microeconomic and macroeconomic events as much as possible. Not everyone has the time to nonstop watch their investments and analyze everything and then setting limits is the least you can do. But especially when we are talking about Bitcoin there are so many things that can happen and that have an impact on the price that taking a bare minimum of time to analyze some content of the most relevant industry sources is advisable.

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February 13, 2023, 11:05:44 PM
 #72

Selling is depending on your limitation you need to set a limit to avoid unnecessary loss, sometimes crypto is very hard to understand  i experience so many situation like continuous dropping of price after we buy and rising of price after we sell so many regrets and so many wrong decision it is normal for we don't know when the price rise or when it fall the important thing is that we have limit on when we sell our holdings it is better to earn small amount than nothing.
There will be times when you need to cut loss. Setting a limit will help you cut those losses before you entirely wipe out your balance based on the market's move.
And knowing when to sell your bitcoin, you've got to plan it out. As we approach to another month and we're already half of February, there could be a lot of changes in the pricing. Sometimes we think that we shouldn't sell when we're at a total loss but that's okay when you manage to cut loss when you're unsure to avoid further losses.

Setting a limit can under some circumstances also be a strategy that is prone to mistakes. What about a situation where some unexpected event creates huge positive price momentum but you set a limit? I think that everyone is well advised to keep a close eye other investments and relevant microeconomic and macroeconomic events as much as possible. Not everyone has the time to nonstop watch their investments and analyze everything and then setting limits is the least you can do. But especially when we are talking about Bitcoin there are so many things that can happen and that have an impact on the price that taking a bare minimum of time to analyze some content of the most relevant industry sources is advisable.

When there is a positive price momentum that is beyond prediction and makes the price increase very high, of course it will be a good opportunity to start selling. But when we have set a limit, it will only cut profits. But after all it depends on the initial strategy used. If the redemption limit is the price that is actually agreed upon and is the goal of profit then there is nothing wrong and nothing to regret, the important thing is that there is no loss.
Some strategies that can help you determine the selling price of Bitcoin include Technical Analysis and fundamental analysis. Fundamental analysis looks at factors such as adoption rates, regulation, and developments in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, while technical analysis looks at price charts and technical indicators to predict future price trends.
Bitcoin is more recommended for long-term investments, so the selling price of bitcoin will be more variable and more profitable in the long run. If we buy now and set the selling price at the new ATH at $100k, it is already a good target price.   

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February 14, 2023, 12:01:32 AM
 #73

(...)
Yes, Bullrun was predicted to happen after halving, yet we can't be sure of that but at least we have an idea that could help us also to think about what we gonna do during that time.  
I don't think so,  there are some analyses that bull run will not start during the block halving or the exact day of block halving or after. But if you go back to the historical prices of Bitcoin, a bull run is happening during months before the the start of Bitcoin block halving.
Since Bitcoin block halving is already in around May 2023, so for me, it will start on this year, but I am not sure what month.

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February 14, 2023, 04:47:46 AM
 #74

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
This is a difficult question to answer as each bull market is different, the bull market of 2017 was way more intense, while the one we went through on 2021 was slower but still gave good profits for those willing to hold their coins until the very end of the movement.

However if you are thinking about selling close to the top and assuming the halving produced another bull run then once the last quarter of 2025 came you should be getting ready to sell.

.
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February 14, 2023, 09:16:25 PM
 #75

There will be times when you need to cut loss. Setting a limit will help you cut those losses before you entirely wipe out your balance based on the market's move.
And knowing when to sell your bitcoin, you've got to plan it out. As we approach to another month and we're already half of February, there could be a lot of changes in the pricing. Sometimes we think that we shouldn't sell when we're at a total loss but that's okay when you manage to cut loss when you're unsure to avoid further losses.

Setting a limit can under some circumstances also be a strategy that is prone to mistakes. What about a situation where some unexpected event creates huge positive price momentum but you set a limit? I think that everyone is well advised to keep a close eye other investments and relevant microeconomic and macroeconomic events as much as possible. Not everyone has the time to nonstop watch their investments and analyze everything and then setting limits is the least you can do. But especially when we are talking about Bitcoin there are so many things that can happen and that have an impact on the price that taking a bare minimum of time to analyze some content of the most relevant industry sources is advisable.
Yeah, that's the drawback of setting a limit but it's a better thing if you only set the limit for cut loss and you'll just have to monitor it about the price increases and that's what I'm taking about so you can mitigate your losses instead of your profits.
I know that there are traders that would set a price for selling so that it will be done automatically for them and that's the satisfying part that they wanna do. And if it's profit then, that's the goal whether you get low or high of it.

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February 15, 2023, 06:18:10 AM
 #76

The best time to sell is when you see it as best time or you have made profits and now you want to exit the market cashing out profits but if you ask from others they can't tell you about this.So you are the one making this decision seeing if you want to sell or you see they will go down the next cycle and can buy again at dip but it should be your own decision.

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February 15, 2023, 06:29:39 AM
 #77

We still don't know; we can't read the future, and we also can't predict when the price will start to drop. Only you can answer when you sell because it starts with you as a contented owner of your profit. I get your point; you want to maximize profit, but what if you keep holding and the bear market starts? Sell on what you think is the peak and don't regret it as long as you gain profit. That is a sign of greediness which is not good
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February 15, 2023, 08:52:44 AM
 #78

Hi everyone,

first of all: I dont want to brag or tell someone that i have the holy grail (if you still think there is a holy grail, you have a long way to go on your journay). But i want to show here my thoughts as experienced trader (95% only Bitcoin trading - in 23 99% Bitcoin - lol). Also i want to get in touch with other succesful and experienced traders. Im not lying, im searching since months for other plebs like me, who are in love with bitcoin, but love trading too - so maxis hate me for trading, and traders hate me for loving bitcoin. So if you see yourself as succesful bitcoiner / Bitcoin trader, lets get in touch and network together. Now my opionion on all of these...

I dont now, if youtube videos etc. are allowed, but Plan B is doing a pretty great job. His biggest mistake was the 100k bet, but he have a an Youtube Video online, which shows a bunch of indicators, that are pretty nice to trade and show you when to trade. Of course you will never now whats happening in the next moment in the world and how the fundamentals change. But if you take profits on the way you arent doing wrong. For example "relized cost price" ist a great indicator for tops and bottoms, of course the "BTC in profit" Data is also very very accurate to find a near top. You just need to find suitable strategies how to use all of these indicators.

Im making creativity brainstorms for my trading and my strategies for all kind of markets - im already prepared for everything and it feels great to have a plan already for everything. One for sure. the next 3 years will be profitable cycles. Dont forget, that in 24/25 or 28/29 this can break and we can so signs of hyperbitcoinisation or hyperinflation on fiat / MMT. This would give us a completly new market. - i give it like 15-20%, that we see it in 24/25 cycle. But 70-80% for the next halving.

Dont try to predict the markets top now - Work on your strategy.
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February 15, 2023, 12:14:11 PM
 #79

I won't hesitate to sell my Bitcoin when seeing the price is high OP. As long as I was in profit already, selling is certainly at the right time but because we are aiming high, that is why we are preferred selling them during the bull season. Unfortunately, that is the thing that we never know but constant price monitoring saves us from not missing it unless we are too greedy to wait for more which might lead us to miss the opportunity as well.

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February 15, 2023, 05:22:31 PM
 #80

I won't hesitate to sell my Bitcoin when seeing the price is high OP. As long as I was in profit already, selling is certainly at the right time but because we are aiming high, that is why we are preferred selling them during the bull season. Unfortunately, that is the thing that we never know but constant price monitoring saves us from not missing it unless we are too greedy to wait for more which might lead us to miss the opportunity as well.
Basically it should be in a way that you should be still proud of what you have if it goes up. Like for example lets say you invested 20k and bought a bitcoin, then it went to 40k, you could sell half of it, get your money out, so you won't be losing anything at all, rest could do whatever it wants, go up or down or whatever and you should be still keeping it.

That way, not only you are protecting yourself from a future loss, but you are also making sure that you could profit from going even further up, like if it does another 2x on top of that, which is possible, you still have 40k invested and yet your 20k is out which would be pretty sweet.

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February 15, 2023, 05:48:50 PM
 #81

The best time to sell is when you see it as best time or you have made profits and now you want to exit the market cashing out profits but if you ask from others they can't tell you about this.So you are the one making this decision seeing if you want to sell or you see they will go down the next cycle and can buy again at dip but it should be your own decision.
Being too greedy will hinder selling, at some point we will need to sell so it will be better to sell when we already reach certain amount of that investment maybe a x2 or x10 still depending on our coins and how much we invest. We we're not sure when will the price will be high or low so when we got a opportunity to sell at higher price then better sell and just buy back once there is a chance to buy lower.

.
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February 15, 2023, 07:48:12 PM
 #82

Just wait till you feel like it. And divide your assets in multiple section. Buy and sell in different price points. That way you can keep a steady flow and you can also take profits from them. Never put all your assets in one price range. I had to learn that in the hard way. So don't make that mistake. And in any bull run, the price will reach a new ATH price range in most of the time. So if you can pinpoint that, then you know when to sell and when to buy.
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February 15, 2023, 07:58:34 PM
 #83

I'm not sure if someone has already reported this thread to move to trading discussion or not, but it should be worth there. [I have reported it].

I don't expect bear market during 2023 and 2024, it should be optimistic to expect bull market to come in these two years to 2025. There are good cycles to get positive trends and it's much more important for me to get lots of bitcoins now instead of thinking about bears that market. It's fine if you and some other users have doubts, but I wouldn't sell it now even if correction could be made.
We can’t really tell exactly as to when is the best time to sell but I have a good sense that this is not going to happen this year or probably next year, but if even bitcoin halving happens, I think then I would take some time to sell or when the price of new ATH has been achieved. For now, I think DCA is the best time to do while the price is still low.
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February 15, 2023, 09:28:56 PM
 #84

To answer quickly, I would like to say : sell when BTC hit new ATH  Grin
Nobody can predict the price of BTC, otherwise things would be too easy!  Grin
It is easy to say "selling at ATH", but do we know when the next ATH to be reached?
Sure, if everyone knows when the next ATH is, all the people won't miss the chance to sell their Bitcoin at the highest rate.
The problem is we don't know when the next ATH, so people speculate about the best price to sell their Bitcoin. However, I agree that 2024-2025 should be the ideal time to sell our Bitcoin. Bullrun season looks like to happen in 2024-2025. We don't miss the chance to sell our Bitcoin before the bullrun season is over.


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February 15, 2023, 09:45:53 PM
 #85

To answer quickly, I would like to say : sell when BTC hit new ATH  Grin
Nobody can predict the price of BTC, otherwise things would be too easy!  Grin
It is easy to say "selling at ATH", but do we know when the next ATH to be reached?
Sure, if everyone knows when the next ATH is, all the people won't miss the chance to sell their Bitcoin at the highest rate.
The problem is we don't know when the next ATH, so people speculate about the best price to sell their Bitcoin. However, I agree that 2024-2025 should be the ideal time to sell our Bitcoin. Bullrun season looks like to happen in 2024-2025. We don't miss the chance to sell our Bitcoin before the bullrun season is over.



Yeap I was joking dear Smiley

As I wrote just after the joke : Nobody can predict the price of BTC, otherwise things would be too easy!

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February 15, 2023, 10:28:18 PM
 #86

To answer quickly, I would like to say : sell when BTC hit new ATH  Grin
Nobody can predict the price of BTC, otherwise things would be too easy!  Grin
It is easy to say "selling at ATH", but do we know when the next ATH to be reached?
Sure, if everyone knows when the next ATH is, all the people won't miss the chance to sell their Bitcoin at the highest rate.
The problem is we don't know when the next ATH, so people speculate about the best price to sell their Bitcoin. However, I agree that 2024-2025 should be the ideal time to sell our Bitcoin. Bullrun season looks like to happen in 2024-2025. We don't miss the chance to sell our Bitcoin before the bullrun season is over.



Yeap I was joking dear Smiley

As I wrote just after the joke : Nobody can predict the price of BTC, otherwise things would be too easy!
No one even saw that 69k ath coming  Cheesy.This is why speculations do floats and flooding around the market on which it isnt really something new.We do keep on guessing prices
whether it would be hitting or not.For now the price had moved up 24k suddenly and now trying to break 25k resistance.Who had able to guess that? 2k movement in a short
span of hours isnt something that could be easily be predicted. Lots had missed out on making long positions and total devastation into those who do make
out some short position which is totally blown up.
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February 18, 2023, 04:54:35 PM
 #87

Actually prediction is easy but surety about price is hard so people just estimate about the Bull and bear market but no one really knows that will he win or loss the price. What will come next will there be up or down, will market situation become harsh or beneficial, no one have any idea about it.

I just think that if you have a little bit extra revenue from your investment then selling is a good idea so waiting more will sometime become a reason of worsting. I buy some coins and whenever they rise I sell because the market has no boundaries there is no surety what will be the next level of market. instead of losing whole money, getting little money is good option.

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February 18, 2023, 05:28:42 PM
Merited by fillippone (2)
 #88

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
The market is impossible to predict, bitcoin is a volatile asset. It is good to sell during the bull run and buy during the bearish market, but the truth is that nobody knows how dip the price will be during the bear market and how high the price will hit during the bull run. Having a target price to sell and to buy is the best way to invest, so that you will always make profit,no matter how much profit it is. Bitcoin life cycle repeats itself from the history of bitcoin,study this and know that you should sell when bitcoin is it's ATH.
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February 18, 2023, 06:47:39 PM
 #89

Can this be predicted somewhat?

Predicting correctly I think it's impossible, this market movement is not always stable, I say good sales when Bitcoin reaches a new ATH, but it's not very easy to do, the truth is we can't predict the price of Bitcoin, Bitcoin is not predictable even to predict it is very difficult, so you will determine sales to make a profit of course you have your own stance and desire, if you hold it from a slanted price from now on I think this is still in a profitable condition for you, and this depends on your purchase price at that time, whether above the current price or below the current price, I think you will know the answer.
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February 18, 2023, 07:48:31 PM
 #90

Just wait till you feel like it. And divide your assets in multiple section. Buy and sell in different price points. That way you can keep a steady flow and you can also take profits from them. Never put all your assets in one price range. I had to learn that in the hard way. So don't make that mistake. And in any bull run, the price will reach a new ATH price range in most of the time. So if you can pinpoint that, then you know when to sell and when to buy.

Well this is really a difficult decision to make as to when to sell in a bull market. The market sentiments are so positive that we never feel that it is the end of the bull run and we keep on buying at the top hoping it will create another all time high. It is impossible to time the market.

However, there are some clues which can tell that the bull run is over. Usually in a bull market, first the bitcoin pumps, then high market cap altcoins pump, then low cap coins pump and when you see shit coins making 10-50x, it's time to be out of the market as the bull season should be ending soon. This is one indication that i use to exit the markets.

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February 18, 2023, 08:50:36 PM
 #91

...For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

This is the problem that it is very difficult to accurately determine the beginning of a bullish trend, investors miss the opportunity to sell their coins at the maximum price. This is due to the fact that it is very difficult to correctly identify the process of distribution and accumulation. For this reason, investors partially take profit when the price reaches another resistance.

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February 18, 2023, 09:03:11 PM
 #92

Just wait till you feel like it. And divide your assets in multiple section. Buy and sell in different price points. That way you can keep a steady flow and you can also take profits from them. Never put all your assets in one price range. I had to learn that in the hard way. So don't make that mistake. And in any bull run, the price will reach a new ATH price range in most of the time. So if you can pinpoint that, then you know when to sell and when to buy.

Well this is really a difficult decision to make as to when to sell in a bull market. The market sentiments are so positive that we never feel that it is the end of the bull run and we keep on buying at the top hoping it will create another all time high. It is impossible to time the market.

However, there are some clues which can tell that the bull run is over. Usually in a bull market, first the bitcoin pumps, then high market cap altcoins pump, then low cap coins pump and when you see shit coins making 10-50x, it's time to be out of the market as the bull season should be ending soon. This is one indication that i use to exit the markets.
Selling of BTC has a specific time or date. If you want to make profit you can calculate it from the time you bought or invest it and check current price that you are planning to sell. Now the calculation should be depend on the buying price or time and current price if the two time frames are okay for you to sell then you can see but if the two time price are not good for you to make profit then you can defer it till the price goes up.

I might agree with tjtonmoy in some areas, yes you can sell it whenever you are ready because it is your coin and nobody should determine when to sell it because your expenses are not the same with other people, so if you want to sell it from others advise then it might affect your plans if you have. I will advise you that you should sell it whenever you need it but make sure you do that when the price is higher than the purchase price so that you will not lose in the investment.









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February 19, 2023, 07:15:17 PM
 #93

However, there are some clues which can tell that the bull run is over. Usually in a bull market, first the bitcoin pumps, then high market cap altcoins pump, then low cap coins pump and when you see shit coins making 10-50x, it's time to be out of the market as the bull season should be ending soon. This is one indication that i use to exit the markets.

This is a great strategy to point out the bull run's end, but not every time this happens, tho. Sometime, Bitcoin could still stay at a stable point after an all time high and then slowly take correction and make a new stable price point just like we see recently in bear run too. Or other time it just falls over night in a matter of time. So it will be hard to tell when and how to buy and sell. The strategy of buying in bull run seeing the market on green comes from greed. Only fools and newbie would do such thing. But if you stay long enough in the market, you will know when to do what. So technical analysis is a must before taking decisions.
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February 20, 2023, 07:12:28 AM
 #94

However, there are some clues which can tell that the bull run is over. Usually in a bull market, first the bitcoin pumps, then high market cap altcoins pump, then low cap coins pump and when you see shit coins making 10-50x, it's time to be out of the market as the bull season should be ending soon. This is one indication that i use to exit the markets.

This is a great strategy to point out the bull run's end, but not every time this happens, tho. Sometime, Bitcoin could still stay at a stable point after an all time high and then slowly take correction and make a new stable price point just like we see recently in bear run too. Or other time it just falls over night in a matter of time. So it will be hard to tell when and how to buy and sell. The strategy of buying in bull run seeing the market on green comes from greed. Only fools and newbie would do such thing. But if you stay long enough in the market, you will know when to do what. So technical analysis is a must before taking decisions.
Listen, I gotta tell ya, technical analysis is no joke when tradin those digital coins. You gotta be an expert in those movin' averages, RSI, MACD, and a few others if ya wanna make some reel dough. Dont let those emotions like greed and FOMO get the best of ya either. Tradin based on feelins is a surefire way to screw yourself over. You gotta have a solid plan in place with precise entry and exit points, risk management, and a focus on long-term gains. Plus, you gotta be ready for those wild swings in the market. Ya can't panic and sell durin' those dips, or you'll regrett it later. Remember that crash in May 2021? Yeah, that was rough, but we bounced back, babyy! So, bottom line, if you want to get rich in the crypto game, you have to know your technical analysis and have a sound strategy. Oh, and a little bit of patients doesn't hurt either. I know the recent market is not as good as you expected. But jus' chill, things will get better.
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February 20, 2023, 07:43:15 AM
 #95

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?
In all honesty, no one can pinpoint the exact date when the bear will come upon the market. However, we can predict the year expectedly anyway; nonetheless with the mindset that we are also in a highly speculative industry where anything is possible. The way I like to judge my prediction is to expect the bear season two years from every Bitcoin halving year. I've taken this into cognizance from my two post halving experiences and it seems to work pretty well. For instance, from my speculation based on what I just explained, the next bear after the  coming halving in 2024 will begin in 2026. It happened on 2018. Repeated itself in 2022 too.

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February 20, 2023, 09:16:03 AM
 #96

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?
In all honesty, no one can pinpoint the exact date when the bear will come upon the market. However, we can predict the year expectedly anyway; nonetheless with the mindset that we are also in a highly speculative industry where anything is possible. The way I like to judge my prediction is to expect the bear season two years from every Bitcoin halving year. I've taken this into cognizance from my two post halving experiences and it seems to work pretty well. For instance, from my speculation based on what I just explained, the next bear after the  coming halving in 2024 will begin in 2026. It happened on 2018. Repeated itself in 2022 too.
I agree that no one was able to pinpoint when the exact date but fortunately, we have some ideas and market expectations because of previous bear experience. History repeats itself, maybe that seems right and I believe the market cycle which every 4 years after the bear season we have the so-called Bullrun which is also followed by a bear market eventually.
We don't need to be exact and it was impossible because of the volatile market but at least, we have market insights to anticipate which is good enough.

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February 20, 2023, 11:22:37 AM
 #97

Yeah, it surely does. That's why I made the analysis I did based on past records. The pattern is still there. May be in time to come we may start seeing a different pattern (which will also repeat itself for a while too) before moving on to another. For now, the old pattern still exists. When Bitcoin was dipping last year and a whole lot of investors were panicking I knew it was nothing. We even saw a worse scenario in 2018–2019. For anyone to take profit if they're already riding this bull rally, I think they should wait for Bitcoin to do a X2 on its previous ATH. I judged that from the rally of 2017 and 2021. Look at their new ATHs and crosseck with the previous ones. Check the multiples they did to get new ATHs.

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February 20, 2023, 02:18:58 PM
 #98

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
You must understand before trading or investing in Bitcoin, because the Bitcoin market is very sensitive both when prices rise and when prices fall, as far as I know someone has bought Bitcoin in a bear market, they have a target price to sell it back when the market is really at the next ATH point, whether it's one year from now, two or five years from now.

I mean this, for example: you buy Bitcoin at the current price of $ 24,800, say 1-3 Bitcoins, of course you have a target to sell $ 50k, $ 60k or $ 80k in the future you don't need to target a new ATH price, even if the price reaches $100k in the future, it could be that the $100k price lasts only 24 hours, after that it drops to another $24k price, when you wake up you will regret selling it too late.

For that, do your own research to sell, after you see a profit of 2x the price you bought at this time, usually greed will result in a regret value.

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February 20, 2023, 02:52:30 PM
 #99

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?
In all honesty, no one can pinpoint the exact date when the bear will come upon the market. However, we can predict the year expectedly anyway; nonetheless with the mindset that we are also in a highly speculative industry where anything is possible. The way I like to judge my prediction is to expect the bear season two years from every Bitcoin halving year. I've taken this into cognizance from my two post halving experiences and it seems to work pretty well. For instance, from my speculation based on what I just explained, the next bear after the  coming halving in 2024 will begin in 2026. It happened on 2018. Repeated itself in 2022 too.
By that logic it means a year from the halving is also a bull market and we are out of the bear market right now and the bull market is ahead of us. That is basically the way we can calculate the cycles, the first year of bull market its going up, but not insanely high, just recovering from the bear market, the second year, 12 months after the halving, we start to have a bull market and eventually reach the ATH that we set, and then 24 months after the halving we are in a bear market and the cycle keeps going like that without a stop.

I believe that we are out of the bear market zone now, but not into the full-swing bull market zone just yet, but with time, we are getting there next. Exact market reversal time is highly unpredictable hence not bothering and holding across 2 or more halving event will get big profits for sure.

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Mpamaegbu
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February 20, 2023, 03:50:39 PM
 #100

~snipped
By that logic it means a year from the halving is also a bull market and we are out of the bear market right now and the bull market is ahead of us.
Yes, my keen observation of the market is that the bull season usually happens around the pre–halving year, the halving year itself and the post–halving year. They all have different dynamics driving them. In all, it's FOMO that drives them all through.

For me, while the FOMO in the Pre–halving year is driven by real fear of not wanting to miss out, the halving year itself is driven by expectations of what had happened before repeating itself and then the post-halving is driven by pure greed. The last is where Warren Buffet's principle of getting out of the market whenever others are getting greedy comes in. It's in the last that we usually experience a fresh ATH each time.

BTW, I don't believe the pre-halving bull rally starts a year to the next halving. I like to expect it from the last quarters of the year to the halving year. We might've started this year's rally earlier than expected if we judge by what it's happening in the market now. In some quarters, they still think that what we've now is even a trap.

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February 20, 2023, 09:13:23 PM
 #101

Listen, I gotta tell ya, technical analysis is no joke when tradin those digital coins. You gotta be an expert in those movin' averages, RSI, MACD, and a few others if ya wanna make some reel dough. Dont let those emotions like greed and FOMO get the best of ya either. Tradin based on feelins is a surefire way to screw yourself over. You gotta have a solid plan in place with precise entry and exit points, risk management, and a focus on long-term gains. Plus, you gotta be ready for those wild swings in the market. Ya can't panic and sell durin' those dips, or you'll regrett it later. Remember that crash in May 2021? Yeah, that was rough, but we bounced back, babyy! So, bottom line, if you want to get rich in the crypto game, you have to know your technical analysis and have a sound strategy. Oh, and a little bit of patients doesn't hurt either. I know the recent market is not as good as you expected. But jus' chill, things will get better.
I may have mentioned it on my previous reply, but I will say it again. I agree on the fact that one needs control over their emotion. This is the first step to learn. As we are talking about buy sell here, I think those who are already doing it, know it very well. But for those who just popped out in the market and starting their trades with good knowledge and TA skills, they will make the mistake too of taking decision based on their fear and greed. If one can overcome the urge of greed and fear, only then they can succeed in crypto world.
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February 20, 2023, 09:56:42 PM
 #102

If you believe in the 4-year cycle and think it is the single most important factor for Bitcoin’s price as I do, then you should probably be thinking about selling sometime in Q3 of 2025. While the news cycle seems to control the daily price movements, the 4-year cycle is what controls the price for real. I stay away from trading tiny movements from the news cycle. Others should as well.

It takes patience and courage to wait until then before selling the coins. If you've tried this before and it worked perfectly, following your advice will be fantastic. I hope the market hype and sudden rise in bitcoin price does not influence the decision of those who, like me, will want to wait until then. Because the Q3 of 2025 is more than two years away, now is a good time to start saving for that time.

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February 24, 2023, 11:14:09 PM
 #103

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

I think no one can give certain answer, because the cycles that Bitcoin price follows could change over the time. For example, in the first cycle, Bitcoin took 367 days after the halving to reach ATH, while in the second cycle, it took 527 days. However, the world's events heavily affect Bitcoin in the short term, but for the longer term, we have no doubt that the price will be much higher than now. In my opinion, Bitcoin will reach a new ATH in the summer of 2025.

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February 25, 2023, 05:38:13 PM
 #104

Except for Bitcoin cryptocurrency It is highly predictable that Bitcoin will go through these bad times again Will reach a good position Moreover, other Alt coin Since it is aligned with Bitcoin, it is much more secure than other tokens.I am now confident that bitcoin is back after coming through many bad markets 60k Will hit and take all my damage.If you hold patience you will definitely reap the rewards as now is the best time to hold Bitcoin Which will later come back with several times profit.
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February 25, 2023, 06:44:45 PM
 #105

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

I think no one can give certain answer, because the cycles that Bitcoin price follows could change over the time. For example, in the first cycle, Bitcoin took 367 days after the halving to reach ATH, while in the second cycle, it took 527 days. However, the world's events heavily affect Bitcoin in the short term, but for the longer term, we have no doubt that the price will be much higher than now. In my opinion, Bitcoin will reach a new ATH in the summer of 2025.
Yes you are right, no one can give a definite answer to this question. I don't think we should focus on that, I know that we want the highest price to sell bitcoins and want to avoid a bear market. But if we really believe in bitcoin, then we can keep waiting without thinking about when the time is right. There have been many questions about this, starting from when to buy, when to sell and so on. If we only focus on that then we will continue to ask questions that actually don't have very accurate answers and are only in the form of speculation.

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February 26, 2023, 05:05:26 PM
 #106

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

I think no one can give certain answer, because the cycles that Bitcoin price follows could change over the time. For example, in the first cycle, Bitcoin took 367 days after the halving to reach ATH, while in the second cycle, it took 527 days. However, the world's events heavily affect Bitcoin in the short term, but for the longer term, we have no doubt that the price will be much higher than now. In my opinion, Bitcoin will reach a new ATH in the summer of 2025.
Yes you are right, no one can give a definite answer to this question. I don't think we should focus on that, I know that we want the highest price to sell bitcoins and want to avoid a bear market. But if we really believe in bitcoin, then we can keep waiting without thinking about when the time is right. There have been many questions about this, starting from when to buy, when to sell and so on. If we only focus on that then we will continue to ask questions that actually don't have very accurate answers and are only in the form of speculation.
Well, that is something that can be difficult, because this happens whenever the distribution stage is generated, and once it occurs is when the bearish trend must be caught, that is when it is necessary to catch it with good leverage, but how to know? I think that experience prevails here, if an operator has experience he will grab it, in any case Bitcoin never goes down the first time, because when it goes down, it makes a correction and goes up, it is normal, bullish traps, then if when it falls, it does so in free fall, that's the behavior I've seen in bitcoin.

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February 26, 2023, 05:10:48 PM
 #107

-
Yes you are right, no one can give a definite answer to this question. I don't think we should focus on that, I know that we want the highest price to sell bitcoins and want to avoid a bear market. But if we really believe in bitcoin, then we can keep waiting without thinking about when the time is right. There have been many questions about this, starting from when to buy, when to sell and so on. If we only focus on that then we will continue to ask questions that actually don't have very accurate answers and are only in the form of speculation.
It's always good to consider selling your bitcoin at 2x to 3x the previous bitcoin ATH, that means you can wait for the price to reach $130K to $200K in the next ATH period. Of course I have to admit that it is a fantastic price to reach after halving of bitcoin, but any possibility that it could happen in the future including reaching it or it will just fail as expected.

We both expect repeat like the previous period, but still have to consider the risk for the amount that can afford to lose. Something that is expected about the future is not necessarily certain, this is just speculation based on previous events which in turn has made optimism grow and be maintained.

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Kasabus
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March 10, 2023, 12:50:36 PM
 #108

The best time to sell is when you see it as best time or you have made profits and now you want to exit the market cashing out profits but if you ask from others they can't tell you about this.So you are the one making this decision seeing if you want to sell or you see they will go down the next cycle and can buy again at dip but it should be your own decision.
Being too greedy will hinder selling, at some point we will need to sell so it will be better to sell when we already reach certain amount of that investment maybe a x2 or x10 still depending on our coins and how much we invest. We we're not sure when will the price will be high or low so when we got a opportunity to sell at higher price then better sell and just buy back once there is a chance to buy lower.
I would say the best time to sell is when you sell for profits, regardless if it’s the best price or not. Because if you keep on waiting for the perfect time to sell, you will never know if it’s the best price or not as the market will always comes unpredictable. So to avoid missing again the opportunities to sell and make profits, then take time to sell when you see the market price is positive enough, and buy more and do DCA when the market is showing a good buying opportunity. That way, you will never miss out every single opportunity in the crypto market.

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