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Author Topic: When to sell bitcoin before the next bear market starts?  (Read 609 times)
kiddex (OP)
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February 08, 2023, 11:57:16 PM
 #1

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
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February 09, 2023, 12:02:51 AM
 #2

Do you know a a fortune teller? If you do I would go ask them because their answer is going to be as accurate as anyone else here. it will be 1 of the only times a fortune teller will be as accurate. No one on this forum or in the world can accurately tell you when to buy or sell btc. That comes with experience but you are not going to do it at the perfect moment. If people knew how to do that all the traders on WO or the Economy board would be rich. We are not. We look at charts to the best of our ability but we only speculate. Anyone that claims to know the best time to sell is lying and should not be trusted.

I recommend that you set a goal like $30000  and sell when that has been reached. Do not worry about losing out as long as you have made a profit that you are happy with. Set a goal that you will be happy with selling at. if you do not want to sell all your btc and want to keep some in it set a goal and only take 10%, 20% out. There is a method called dollar cost averaging that a lot of veteran traders will recommend because it is the safest way to accumulate btc and sell for profit but it is not fool proof. I will not explain it here because there is a lot of topics about it. Use the search on the forum or Google.
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February 09, 2023, 01:44:38 AM
 #3

To answer quickly, I would like to say : sell when BTC hit new ATH  Grin

 Nobody can predict the price of BTC, otherwise things would be too easy!  Grin

Each holder has in mind his resale target, there are even some maximalists who always and still say 1 BTC = 1 BTC and who will not resell in theory. I am sure you could find some of them on the forum  Wink

Depending on the price you bought it, it's up to you to determine how much you hope to resell your BTC, and especially: how long you are ready to hold them. Everything is a question of patience, as you probably already know  Cheesy

Determining a selling price randomly is clearly not possible, we are not clairvoyant, nor do we have the ability to travel in time...

In any case you can always try to determine a resale range that will be to your advantage, but even with that, you will never have the guarantee that BTC will reach it in itself
Why would you trust the "expertise" from randoms on internet ? It is your investment, and you probably have your own goals

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February 09, 2023, 02:05:44 AM
 #4

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits.
You should take profit with each bull run and if not taking all, you can sell part of your portfolio to get profit. However, it depends on your time budget as well as your financial budget for your life. If you don't have enough money reserve for your life, you will have to sell your coins when you need money even in bear market.

Quote
I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.
This bear market has yet over so it is so early to talk about a next bear market.

Quote
So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat?
Usually, you can consider to take profit about 3 months up to 6 months after Bitcoin breaks out and start to make a new bull run and find its new all time high. Don't want to take profit at all time highs because we can not see future. So if you can take profit at good price, enjoy it and move on.

R


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February 09, 2023, 02:08:26 AM
 #5

As you mentioned, you've missed bull runs and bear markets before, and my question is do you realize you've missed them because the truth is the market isn't that easy to predict. So I would answer I don't know, and I don't know where the market is going next, and it could go up and it could go down and anything could happen because of some unknown factor.
and my advice is better hold your coin or bitcoin when there is a decline or and take advantage of this decline to accumulate and hold it, because if you believe the market or bitcoin will go back up even though you don't know for sure. There's nothing wrong with you taking advantage of this moment and when the price goes up you can sell it, and be patient so that you sell at the right time and are also very profitable.

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February 09, 2023, 02:13:21 AM
 #6

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

We are still in the middle of the bear market and yet you are asking when you sell your bitcoin?

You should just continue to accumulate at this point and not thinking of selling. Besides, the next bull run might take it's shape around 2024-2025.

And with that said, I don't think that anyone can predict how the market is going to move, we don't have the crystal ball to make such predictions.

R


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February 09, 2023, 02:29:55 AM
 #7

No one knows what the best time would be. Because if we knew, we'd all be rich already. Obviously markets don't work that way; and if everyone had a price target of selling and the price target is close to each other, bitcoin would immediately crash from that pricepoint.

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February 09, 2023, 02:34:05 AM
 #8

To answer quickly, I would like to say : sell when BTC hit new ATH  Grin

Uh-uh, even this is easier said than done. According to Coingecko, the ATH is $69,044.77. Does it mean to say that by the time Bitcoin's price reached $69,050.00, it's already selling time? I don't think so. So when is selling time? $70,000, $80,000, $100,000? We cannot tell. But if you're good enough that you've already made profit, then selling beyond the ATH is good. But don't fret if months after selling, the price continued to rise 20% or more.

You have to take note that the halving's full effect on Bitcoin's price happens at least a year from the halving itself. And the growth is considerable you wouldn't want to miss it. The peak of the growth every after halving is significantly higher than its halving price. So a new ATH is probably a low selling point.

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February 09, 2023, 02:42:30 AM
 #9

if the cycle true bitcoin will reach new ath around 2025 a year after bitcoin halving or less than that, i don't know if the bear market already finished or we already at bottom but 2023 and 2024 there is always the case that bitcoin will reach mini bull.

and when you think is enough to take profit just take profit a half or a quarter just take profit a little bit so when the sometimes gone wrong you had feeling relief after take profit a little bit

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February 09, 2023, 02:55:08 AM
 #10

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

You mean you want to sell bitcoin at the highest price? No one will know what the high will be in the next bull season, even if you ask the best expert. You need to have a plan and goal for your investment, not necessarily to sell at the highest price, but to sell when you have enough profit as you want. For example, my goal will sell my bitcoin for 100k, just bitcoin reach 100k, I will sell it even if it has a chance to increase more. Sell when there is enough profit, don't set the target too high, or it will only disappoint you.

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February 09, 2023, 02:55:29 AM
 #11

If you believe in the 4-year cycle and think it is the single most important factor for Bitcoin’s price as I do, then you should probably be thinking about selling sometime in Q3 of 2025. While the news cycle seems to control the daily price movements, the 4-year cycle is what controls the price for real. I stay away from trading tiny movements from the news cycle. Others should as well.

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February 09, 2023, 03:07:18 AM
 #12

outside of the retail(spot) market.. is the wholesale market. and economics of world costs which set the window of possible speculation of the retail(spot)


in 2021. the cheapest mining on the planet and cheapest way to acquire bitcoin was about $10k meaning no one wanted to sell below $10k in 2021
the most costly mining on the planet was about $75k in 2021

this is why the retail market swung in a range within this..
it didnt go below 10k and didnt go above $75k
(actual prices was the $30k-$70k speculation within the window limit of wholesale maxis)

this is becasue no one on the planet is left able to mine and sell for less than $10k nor no one wants to buy for more then $75k if they can mine for less

so the spot market hits its tops and bottoms within that range.. in short there was no hope of a $100k btc in 2021

no once can prredict what the prices will be at any given top within the window..  and if it will go upto limit or down to limit. but atleast knowing the outside of market limit sets a range of speculation within

2022 was a $15k-$90k wholesale market window limit. and the prices only reached 16k-50k in the retail market

jan 2023 is about a near 17k-95k window limit of possibility

anyone thinking it can jump to $300k is fooling themselves right now i would say 95k is is the current possible tops of the market

where even buyers in hawaii/japan(expensive mining cost on planet) would be reluctant to buy becasue even they can acquire coin cheap via mining at that 95k point

unless mining costs went up by 2x-3x this year dont expect a $300k coin.. dont wait or plan on only selling at over $100k

but like everyone knows
no one knows if the market will top out at 30k 50k 70k or 90k as the price may not even reach the window limits of actual possible speculation

but you can tell there is no demand or desire of say a $1k sell of bitcoin or a $300k buy of bitcoin

I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER.
Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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February 09, 2023, 03:32:46 AM
 #13

Since many people are predict the next bull run Bitcoin price will hit at least $100,000 it means just sell your Bitcoin at that price, it may not the highest price, but you're still make profit and you can have a choice to wait until the bear market to buy Bitcoin at the cheap price. Your prediction, analysis and speculation wouldn't always will be true like the realization because the world isn't always in your side and you need to learn how to maximize it, not to become 100% perfect.

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February 09, 2023, 04:24:02 AM
 #14

Since many people are predict the next bull run Bitcoin price will hit at least $100,000 it means just sell your Bitcoin at that price, it may not the highest price, but you're still make profit and you can have a choice to wait until the bear market to buy Bitcoin at the cheap price.

That is a psychological barrier where people are going to sell. Compared to previous high breaks, I would expect no less than three clear approaches before breaking definitively upwards.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell.

In general, when you keep hearing about bitcoin in the news, when people on the forum keep making increasingly exaggerated predictions about how fast we will reach a million or more, when you hear your neighbourhood fool say he has taken a loan to buy bitcoins. That will be the best time to sell. I wouldn't sell everything, though. You can sell 80% and keep the other 20.

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February 09, 2023, 04:42:10 AM
 #15

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
Man, if this things were predictable, or easy to predict, everybody in crypto would be super and stinkingly rich, as we all would know when exactly to buy, how long to hold it, and when to sell, take profit, and when to re-buy again.
If the above was how bitcoin and crypto in general operate, everybody would make money, but crypto wouldnt be so interesting after all, but unfortunately, this is not how crypto operates, and i can tell you that what you are enquiring to know is not predictable, who ever tells you otherwise is only guessing and as well as lying to you.

My advice is that, you should just keep holding and wait for the next bull season, when the bull market starts, decide what price is ok (don't be over greedy) for you and sell at that price, take your profit, and wait to re-buy again when the price comes down.

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February 09, 2023, 04:44:15 AM
 #16

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
The point is that a bear market will always come when the bull run ends, but no one knows for sure when the next bear market will occur even though we are used to these events in the crypto market, but sometimes history that happened in the past doesn't repeat itself in the future, especially now the crypto market is different from before, maybe what we can do to anticipate a bear market is to sell our bitcoins when the price reaches the ATH level because every time we see that when bitcoin is able to make ATH, after that there will be a significant price drop due to simultaneous sales .

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February 09, 2023, 05:42:38 AM
 #17

Never! Because bitcoin is money and you don't sell money, you use it. That's what you should do with bitcoin too. When price goes up, instead of trying to "dump" it to get your fiat and and then use the fiat you can instead use bitcoin to pay for stuff you need. The adoption has been growing and will continue grow so you will have a lot of options for when you want to spend your bitcoins.

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February 09, 2023, 07:45:06 AM
 #18

Why do you have to ask when is the right time to sell? the investment you make is your own responsibility and you must determine where the target must be achieved. If you still depend on other people's decisions, it will not be good.
you consciously say that you need help with someone else's TA, why don't you start learning how to do TA so that you have a trading knowledge foundation?
Easily I can only say, Buy when the price is cheap and sell when the price is high, very simple. Profits depend on where you will cut profits.

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February 09, 2023, 08:26:35 AM
 #19


you wanna zoom way out to your monthly timeframe and watch the RSI hit the overbought line and if you see it is overbought. that's a good sign to sell your coins.

the last bull run, the RSI hit 90.99 around March 2021.  the market, however, is unpredictable the price spike higher on Nov 2021 but the RSI is still correct, it is a good indicator for this purpose.









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February 09, 2023, 08:44:41 AM
 #20

When it comes to selling your Bitcoin before the next bear market starts, there are a few key steps you should take. First, determine what your goals are for trading and invest in Bitcoin. Do you want to hold onto short-term gains or use them as a long-term investment? These considerations will all affect when is the best time for you to sell.

Second, study trends and patterns in the cryptocurrency market carefully, including volume, history of prices dips/peaks, past bear markets and other factors that could influence when you should sell. Keeping an eye on news about developments in the blockchain industry can also help inform your decision about whether now is a good time for selling off your digital assets.

Thirdly consider alternative ways of mitigating risk from volatility such as hedging with options contracts or other derivatives products. This can be an effective strategy if used correctly as it allows investors to buy protection against losses at certain points while still keeping their crypto position intact so they can potentially benefit from any rises in coin prices too.

Remember too that timing isn’t everything - understanding market dynamics is more important than trying to predict when each individual sale will occur: timing needs to happen right but it won’t guarantee success; careful research into different coins before investing and caution during periods of rising/falling prices will help give you better chances of avoiding serious losses during a bear market period.
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