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Author Topic: When to sell bitcoin before the next bear market starts?  (Read 609 times)
wiss19
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February 12, 2023, 08:18:29 PM
 #61

You can sell during the bull run or in its peak. Don't wait for too long after it if you don't want to regret, but I see that you already missed a couple of bull runs. For what reason? Are you busy outside and didn't noticed it coming? Or maybe you are just too greedy and expected for more gains. It's fine to make a one or two mistake but making more than that seems a turned off already. I can't imagine continuing after it but I salute you for not giving up.

You seem to have a good patience. Sadly there is no way to predict the next bear run but it will likely come after the bull run. Bull run don't also last longer than a bear run. I hope these tips help you and change your approach next time, good luck!

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February 12, 2023, 09:40:31 PM
 #62

No one knows what the best time would be. Because if we knew, we'd all be rich already. Obviously markets don't work that way; and if everyone had a price target of selling and the price target is close to each other, bitcoin would immediately crash from that pricepoint.
This is true, we can only predict but there is no guarantees that it will be the best time to sell as the market condition is never fixed due to its volatility. But I would say that if you want to sell for decent amount of profits, never sell your bitcoin when the price is still starting to surge high. Wait until a new ATH is being reached, that way you will get an assurance that if you want to sell, you’ll likely to get huge profits.

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February 12, 2023, 10:09:24 PM
 #63

I'm not sure if someone has already reported this thread to move to trading discussion or not, but it should be worth there. [I have reported it].

I don't expect bear market during 2023 and 2024, it should be optimistic to expect bull market to come in these two years to 2025. There are good cycles to get positive trends and it's much more important for me to get lots of bitcoins now instead of thinking about bears that market. It's fine if you and some other users have doubts, but I wouldn't sell it now even if correction could be made.

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February 12, 2023, 10:13:32 PM
 #64

Honestly, selling our Bitcoin is really good when the price is high or during Bullrun. Many investors hold their Bitcoin until the next ATH in the seek of having a huge profit. But I will tell you that holding can be challenging for us, especially for beginners. However, we can never say that it was impossible because as long as we are very certain about our goal (earning more profit), we are also motivated to do so.

Yes, Bullrun was predicted to happen after halving, yet we can't be sure of that but at least we have an idea that could help us also to think about what we gonna do during that time.  

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February 12, 2023, 11:13:58 PM
 #65

Honestly, selling our Bitcoin is really good when the price is high or during Bullrun. Many investors hold their Bitcoin until the next ATH in the seek of having a huge profit. But I will tell you that holding can be challenging for us, especially for beginners. However, we can never say that it was impossible because as long as we are very certain about our goal (earning more profit), we are also motivated to do so.

Yes, Bullrun was predicted to happen after halving, yet we can't be sure of that but at least we have an idea that could help us also to think about what we gonna do during that time.  

What is a high price for Bitcoin then? It is impossible to describe that in an objective way in my opinion. If you consider an ATH as the highest possible price, you can obviously only know retrospectively whether you selling price was chosen well or not.

If it goes to 100k and you sold at 60k, did you still sell at a high price then? So you either go subjectively about it and define your own price points which you would consider high or doesn't really make sense to talk about a high price in the objective sense.

With all the crises that are going on currently, we might not see ATHs for quite some time anyway. No crystal ball will tell you, yet having a strategy never hurts and having some liquidity available to also be able to catch some downswing momentum and buy cheaper is never bad, too.

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February 13, 2023, 07:01:51 AM
 #66

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

From my understanding, after the halving that's when the cycle starts, the very first year will be a pump in price of Bitcoin so that'll be 2025 and Bitcoin is likely to reach its all time year in that year or early 2026. In the previous bull cycle Bitcoin reached its peak in the next year after halving which was 2021 but in the last two bull cycle, the peak was reach in 2018 which is two years after the 2016 halving.

To be on the safety side, you're good selling around the last quarter of 2025. Then immediately after the bull year, the bear market starts so we should be expecting a bear market between 2026 to 2027 then we begin to see some recovering of the market by the end of 2027 in preparation for the halving happening in 2028.

R


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February 13, 2023, 08:23:30 AM
 #67

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.

Who knows the Future? No one...

CPI data are scheduled to be released on February 14, This Week. If CPI is good, We Will Fly! IMO
I'll look at the volume. The global cryptocurrency market cap today is $1.07 Trillion.
I think it's going to be a bull soon. Just keep stacking sats and keep buying.
From the end of February till March, Bitcoin will become $30k. DYOR.
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February 13, 2023, 09:23:07 AM
 #68


From the end of February till March, Bitcoin will become $30k. DYOR.

Do you mean that you are sure the price of Bitcoin will reach $30k because you have it found from your research?
I'm not sure and I would still say that Bitcoin prices remain unpredictable no matter what we do. We can't assume that everything will do the same just like in the past years and most of all, we can't even be sure when will be the next Bull season. I would tell you that the market trend is behaving differently and it is probably because investors had also changed.

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February 13, 2023, 04:59:58 PM
 #69

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
Selling is depending on your limitation you need to set a limit to avoid unnecessary loss, sometimes crypto is very hard to understand  i experience so many situation like continuous dropping of price after we buy and rising of price after we sell so many regrets and so many wrong decision it is normal for we don't know when the price rise or when it fall the important thing is that we have limit on when we sell our holdings it is better to earn small amount than nothing.


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February 13, 2023, 05:46:34 PM
 #70

Selling is depending on your limitation you need to set a limit to avoid unnecessary loss, sometimes crypto is very hard to understand  i experience so many situation like continuous dropping of price after we buy and rising of price after we sell so many regrets and so many wrong decision it is normal for we don't know when the price rise or when it fall the important thing is that we have limit on when we sell our holdings it is better to earn small amount than nothing.
There will be times when you need to cut loss. Setting a limit will help you cut those losses before you entirely wipe out your balance based on the market's move.
And knowing when to sell your bitcoin, you've got to plan it out. As we approach to another month and we're already half of February, there could be a lot of changes in the pricing. Sometimes we think that we shouldn't sell when we're at a total loss but that's okay when you manage to cut loss when you're unsure to avoid further losses.

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February 13, 2023, 09:46:58 PM
 #71

Selling is depending on your limitation you need to set a limit to avoid unnecessary loss, sometimes crypto is very hard to understand  i experience so many situation like continuous dropping of price after we buy and rising of price after we sell so many regrets and so many wrong decision it is normal for we don't know when the price rise or when it fall the important thing is that we have limit on when we sell our holdings it is better to earn small amount than nothing.
There will be times when you need to cut loss. Setting a limit will help you cut those losses before you entirely wipe out your balance based on the market's move.
And knowing when to sell your bitcoin, you've got to plan it out. As we approach to another month and we're already half of February, there could be a lot of changes in the pricing. Sometimes we think that we shouldn't sell when we're at a total loss but that's okay when you manage to cut loss when you're unsure to avoid further losses.

Setting a limit can under some circumstances also be a strategy that is prone to mistakes. What about a situation where some unexpected event creates huge positive price momentum but you set a limit? I think that everyone is well advised to keep a close eye other investments and relevant microeconomic and macroeconomic events as much as possible. Not everyone has the time to nonstop watch their investments and analyze everything and then setting limits is the least you can do. But especially when we are talking about Bitcoin there are so many things that can happen and that have an impact on the price that taking a bare minimum of time to analyze some content of the most relevant industry sources is advisable.

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February 13, 2023, 11:05:44 PM
 #72

Selling is depending on your limitation you need to set a limit to avoid unnecessary loss, sometimes crypto is very hard to understand  i experience so many situation like continuous dropping of price after we buy and rising of price after we sell so many regrets and so many wrong decision it is normal for we don't know when the price rise or when it fall the important thing is that we have limit on when we sell our holdings it is better to earn small amount than nothing.
There will be times when you need to cut loss. Setting a limit will help you cut those losses before you entirely wipe out your balance based on the market's move.
And knowing when to sell your bitcoin, you've got to plan it out. As we approach to another month and we're already half of February, there could be a lot of changes in the pricing. Sometimes we think that we shouldn't sell when we're at a total loss but that's okay when you manage to cut loss when you're unsure to avoid further losses.

Setting a limit can under some circumstances also be a strategy that is prone to mistakes. What about a situation where some unexpected event creates huge positive price momentum but you set a limit? I think that everyone is well advised to keep a close eye other investments and relevant microeconomic and macroeconomic events as much as possible. Not everyone has the time to nonstop watch their investments and analyze everything and then setting limits is the least you can do. But especially when we are talking about Bitcoin there are so many things that can happen and that have an impact on the price that taking a bare minimum of time to analyze some content of the most relevant industry sources is advisable.

When there is a positive price momentum that is beyond prediction and makes the price increase very high, of course it will be a good opportunity to start selling. But when we have set a limit, it will only cut profits. But after all it depends on the initial strategy used. If the redemption limit is the price that is actually agreed upon and is the goal of profit then there is nothing wrong and nothing to regret, the important thing is that there is no loss.
Some strategies that can help you determine the selling price of Bitcoin include Technical Analysis and fundamental analysis. Fundamental analysis looks at factors such as adoption rates, regulation, and developments in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, while technical analysis looks at price charts and technical indicators to predict future price trends.
Bitcoin is more recommended for long-term investments, so the selling price of bitcoin will be more variable and more profitable in the long run. If we buy now and set the selling price at the new ATH at $100k, it is already a good target price.   

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February 14, 2023, 12:01:32 AM
 #73

(...)
Yes, Bullrun was predicted to happen after halving, yet we can't be sure of that but at least we have an idea that could help us also to think about what we gonna do during that time.  
I don't think so,  there are some analyses that bull run will not start during the block halving or the exact day of block halving or after. But if you go back to the historical prices of Bitcoin, a bull run is happening during months before the the start of Bitcoin block halving.
Since Bitcoin block halving is already in around May 2023, so for me, it will start on this year, but I am not sure what month.

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wxa7115
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February 14, 2023, 04:47:46 AM
 #74

Ok so this is a little down the road from here but assuming after the next halving and bitcoin goes into another bull run, when would be a good time to sell?i have already went through a couple of bull runs and bear markets but i didnt sell and take profits. I would like to sell before the next bear market to take profits this time.

So if bitcoin's cycles remain true, when roughly would be the start of the next bear market after the 2024 halving and bull run for a good time to sell. Can this be predicted somewhat? For all you TA guys when would be a good time to sell just to give me an idea? Thanks.
This is a difficult question to answer as each bull market is different, the bull market of 2017 was way more intense, while the one we went through on 2021 was slower but still gave good profits for those willing to hold their coins until the very end of the movement.

However if you are thinking about selling close to the top and assuming the halving produced another bull run then once the last quarter of 2025 came you should be getting ready to sell.

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February 14, 2023, 09:16:25 PM
 #75

There will be times when you need to cut loss. Setting a limit will help you cut those losses before you entirely wipe out your balance based on the market's move.
And knowing when to sell your bitcoin, you've got to plan it out. As we approach to another month and we're already half of February, there could be a lot of changes in the pricing. Sometimes we think that we shouldn't sell when we're at a total loss but that's okay when you manage to cut loss when you're unsure to avoid further losses.

Setting a limit can under some circumstances also be a strategy that is prone to mistakes. What about a situation where some unexpected event creates huge positive price momentum but you set a limit? I think that everyone is well advised to keep a close eye other investments and relevant microeconomic and macroeconomic events as much as possible. Not everyone has the time to nonstop watch their investments and analyze everything and then setting limits is the least you can do. But especially when we are talking about Bitcoin there are so many things that can happen and that have an impact on the price that taking a bare minimum of time to analyze some content of the most relevant industry sources is advisable.
Yeah, that's the drawback of setting a limit but it's a better thing if you only set the limit for cut loss and you'll just have to monitor it about the price increases and that's what I'm taking about so you can mitigate your losses instead of your profits.
I know that there are traders that would set a price for selling so that it will be done automatically for them and that's the satisfying part that they wanna do. And if it's profit then, that's the goal whether you get low or high of it.

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February 15, 2023, 06:18:10 AM
 #76

The best time to sell is when you see it as best time or you have made profits and now you want to exit the market cashing out profits but if you ask from others they can't tell you about this.So you are the one making this decision seeing if you want to sell or you see they will go down the next cycle and can buy again at dip but it should be your own decision.

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February 15, 2023, 06:29:39 AM
 #77

We still don't know; we can't read the future, and we also can't predict when the price will start to drop. Only you can answer when you sell because it starts with you as a contented owner of your profit. I get your point; you want to maximize profit, but what if you keep holding and the bear market starts? Sell on what you think is the peak and don't regret it as long as you gain profit. That is a sign of greediness which is not good
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February 15, 2023, 08:52:44 AM
 #78

Hi everyone,

first of all: I dont want to brag or tell someone that i have the holy grail (if you still think there is a holy grail, you have a long way to go on your journay). But i want to show here my thoughts as experienced trader (95% only Bitcoin trading - in 23 99% Bitcoin - lol). Also i want to get in touch with other succesful and experienced traders. Im not lying, im searching since months for other plebs like me, who are in love with bitcoin, but love trading too - so maxis hate me for trading, and traders hate me for loving bitcoin. So if you see yourself as succesful bitcoiner / Bitcoin trader, lets get in touch and network together. Now my opionion on all of these...

I dont now, if youtube videos etc. are allowed, but Plan B is doing a pretty great job. His biggest mistake was the 100k bet, but he have a an Youtube Video online, which shows a bunch of indicators, that are pretty nice to trade and show you when to trade. Of course you will never now whats happening in the next moment in the world and how the fundamentals change. But if you take profits on the way you arent doing wrong. For example "relized cost price" ist a great indicator for tops and bottoms, of course the "BTC in profit" Data is also very very accurate to find a near top. You just need to find suitable strategies how to use all of these indicators.

Im making creativity brainstorms for my trading and my strategies for all kind of markets - im already prepared for everything and it feels great to have a plan already for everything. One for sure. the next 3 years will be profitable cycles. Dont forget, that in 24/25 or 28/29 this can break and we can so signs of hyperbitcoinisation or hyperinflation on fiat / MMT. This would give us a completly new market. - i give it like 15-20%, that we see it in 24/25 cycle. But 70-80% for the next halving.

Dont try to predict the markets top now - Work on your strategy.
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February 15, 2023, 12:14:11 PM
 #79

I won't hesitate to sell my Bitcoin when seeing the price is high OP. As long as I was in profit already, selling is certainly at the right time but because we are aiming high, that is why we are preferred selling them during the bull season. Unfortunately, that is the thing that we never know but constant price monitoring saves us from not missing it unless we are too greedy to wait for more which might lead us to miss the opportunity as well.

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February 15, 2023, 05:22:31 PM
 #80

I won't hesitate to sell my Bitcoin when seeing the price is high OP. As long as I was in profit already, selling is certainly at the right time but because we are aiming high, that is why we are preferred selling them during the bull season. Unfortunately, that is the thing that we never know but constant price monitoring saves us from not missing it unless we are too greedy to wait for more which might lead us to miss the opportunity as well.
Basically it should be in a way that you should be still proud of what you have if it goes up. Like for example lets say you invested 20k and bought a bitcoin, then it went to 40k, you could sell half of it, get your money out, so you won't be losing anything at all, rest could do whatever it wants, go up or down or whatever and you should be still keeping it.

That way, not only you are protecting yourself from a future loss, but you are also making sure that you could profit from going even further up, like if it does another 2x on top of that, which is possible, you still have 40k invested and yet your 20k is out which would be pretty sweet.

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