🏁🏎️ Sportsbet.io🏁 FORMULA 1 2024 Season🏁🏎️Prediction Pool Discussion Thread

[Koal-84]

Quite a good start for me. First race is always the hardest to call so I'm really happy with how I did.

Alonso on the podium, huh? Who would have said this before the race?

After Friday's strong performance, I really had Alonso on the third place, of course it was a bit of luck that Leclerc had a defect, otherwise it would be very difficult for Alonso to get on the podium, but a very strong performance from Alonso. Nobody would have expected that before the season.

@Koal-84

If you'd like your Free Bet for participating, either reply to my PM or post your SB Username here.
Thank you!

Sorry for the delay, i send you the Username with PM, maybe i need it at the next time 😉.

Koal-84: well done!

Thank you, I was surprised myself. It was my first participation and I scored 15.5 points.

[1714744045]

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[1714744045]

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[1714744045]

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[tokeweed]

Then what is the situation for changing picks to sacrifice the early points? There must be one

Well I guess if you thought that Red Bull will have pole positions and made their drivers to finish on the podium and both have troubles with the car in qualifying and start from last positions you could change your pick to some other driver. Not gonna happen, but that rule with 2 points for early picks seems like great one for F1. Big influence on my decision to join, wanted to see how it works first hand.

This thing is harder than it looks and def harder than football prediction imho.  Like I have somewhat of an idea of the first 5 spots but 6 to 10 it gets a bit harder and that's where just clicking buttons begin.  Lolol. 

And it seems like the couple early picks points isn't really worth it at the start of the season as we don't really know where these teams will be on the grid every race day.  That could change at the middle of the season tho.

[CLS63]

I played the last year so i know so much points can be a winning round, and when i see i have 14.5 i say to myself, "Well maybe i win the round", but when i click in the leaderboard i see that tremendous 17 points made by fM.

Yeah, I'm having a similar impression because despite Leclerc did a DNF, I still had some good picks but seeing someone making 17 points is really surprising. 
Last year in your Formula 1 pool, it was enough to have 11 Points for winning yellow cap for the first race (see here) and today, 11 points is just resulting in being somewhere in the lower midfield. 
Sure: last year, Verstappen and Perez did an unexpected DNF as well as Leclerc did today but so much points difference in our pool is still surprising.

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

[Ulven]

I played the last year so i know so much points can be a winning round, and when i see i have 14.5 i say to myself, "Well maybe i win the round", but when i click in the leaderboard i see that tremendous 17 points made by fM.

Yeah, I'm having a similar impression because despite Leclerc did a DNF, I still had some good picks but seeing someone making 17 points is really surprising. 
Last year in your Formula 1 pool, it was enough to have 11 Points for winning yellow cap for the first race (see here) and today, 11 points is just resulting in being somewhere in the lower midfield. 
Sure: last year, Verstappen and Perez did an unexpected DNF as well as Leclerc did today but so much points difference in our pool is still surprising.

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

You are right,Last year's pool was a small and intimate competition, with only 12 members competing for the top spot. This year, however, the pool has expanded to almost triple the number of participants,As we look forward to the upcoming races, it is clear that the title will be won through a great effort and dedication from each player. With the challenge set to be tougher than ever before, we can expect to witness some truly breathtaking moments on the track this season. And as we prepare to focus our attention on the Saudi track, we can be sure that we are in for an unforgettable experience.

[notblox1]

This thing is harder than it looks and def harder than football prediction imho.  Like I have somewhat of an idea of the first 5 spots but 6 to 10 it gets a bit harder and that's where just clicking buttons begin.  Lolol. 

One more thing with this Formula 1 pool is that situation on table can change in drastic ways in just one round, that makes it very interesting to follow.
My main betting options was based on betting odds from Sportsbet website, but I looked history of previous seasons, and that didn't work well as I expected.
Maybe yellow cap winner FmbetBru can give us some tips for next rounds

[swogerino]

I can finally pay the fee without using anything from my own pocket as I got about 45 dollars in bonus from becoming a VIP in my favorite casino and here I sent you directly my payment for this wonderful pool.I know that it is just started and there is time to correct things and try to do better.As said above things get pretty dramatic here with just a power failure like that of Leclerc which gave the first 17 points a massive achievement to that guy.Anything can happen,a failure in the Redbull cars hopefully can make the Championship looking good again.
 
https://blockstream.info/tx/22719dd4f6247b864600feb4e43f2e53df2be543cc903f82156fa37c09e16980

[slaman29]

I can finally pay the fee without using anything from my own pocket as I got about 45 dollars in bonus from becoming a VIP in my favorite casino and here I sent you directly my payment for this wonderful pool.I know that it is just started and there is time to correct things and try to do better.As said above things get pretty dramatic here with just a power failure like that of Leclerc which gave the first 17 points a massive achievement to that guy.Anything can happen,a failure in the Redbull cars hopefully can make the Championship looking good again.
 
https://blockstream.info/tx/22719dd4f6247b864600feb4e43f2e53df2be543cc903f82156fa37c09e16980

I love this feeling. Paying for something with something free. I consider freebets won from insurance like this too, but it's a flawed thinking as I actually lost money, but I feel like I have a second chance and often throw it on an even worse bet

Same goes for cashback which I get end of the month, I put it all on something weird that loses, so these days I just retrieve it all back and pretend nothing happened

LeClerc better win his next race!

[tokeweed]

I played the last year so i know so much points can be a winning round, and when i see i have 14.5 i say to myself, "Well maybe i win the round", but when i click in the leaderboard i see that tremendous 17 points made by fM.

Yeah, I'm having a similar impression because despite Leclerc did a DNF, I still had some good picks but seeing someone making 17 points is really surprising. 
Last year in your Formula 1 pool, it was enough to have 11 Points for winning yellow cap for the first race (see here) and today, 11 points is just resulting in being somewhere in the lower midfield. 
Sure: last year, Verstappen and Perez did an unexpected DNF as well as Leclerc did today but so much points difference in our pool is still surprising.

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

Just wondering...  How many spots are getting paid out of 29?  Just so we know.  In the EPL pool I didn't know that 22 spots were getting paid until it was too late as I stopped trying to win and just started to clock buttons starting around November because I thought only 10 spots were getting paid.    I don't want to make the same mistake here in this pool. 

Anyway..  Saudi Arabian GP next!  Let's see if Aston Martin can finish on the podium again.  They're the team to watch imho.

[swogerino]

I played the last year so i know so much points can be a winning round, and when i see i have 14.5 i say to myself, "Well maybe i win the round", but when i click in the leaderboard i see that tremendous 17 points made by fM.

Yeah, I'm having a similar impression because despite Leclerc did a DNF, I still had some good picks but seeing someone making 17 points is really surprising. 
Last year in your Formula 1 pool, it was enough to have 11 Points for winning yellow cap for the first race (see here) and today, 11 points is just resulting in being somewhere in the lower midfield. 
Sure: last year, Verstappen and Perez did an unexpected DNF as well as Leclerc did today but so much points difference in our pool is still surprising.

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

Just wondering...  How many spots are getting paid out of 29?  Just so we know.  In the EPL pool I didn't know that 22 spots were getting paid until it was too late as I stopped trying to win and just started to clock buttons starting around November because I thought only 10 spots were getting paid.    I don't want to make the same mistake here in this pool. 

Anyway..  Saudi Arabian GP next!  Let's see if Aston Martin can finish on the podium again.  They're the team to watch imho.

I am sure the prize structure will be put here for all of us to see and to motivate us further to take this pool seriously as this is a long one and just one mistake from one driver can make drastic changes in the standings,we saw that with the first yellow cap during the first race,if Leclerc had not a power failure we would not see 17 points which is the highest for this pool so far taking into consideration even last year,so there is plenty of room for improvement,as long as we are consistent we can grab a prize spot.

I think that Aston Martin will most likely be again on the podium as this is a very fast track coming to S.Arabia and they passed Mercedes on track and even Ferrari so unless Mercedes and Ferrari drastically improve their car I don't see them joining the podium either this upcoming race.

[CLS63]

Just wondering...  How many spots are getting paid out of 29?  Just so we know.  In the EPL pool I didn't know that 22 spots were getting paid until it was too late as I stopped trying to win and just started to clock buttons starting around November because I thought only 10 spots were getting paid.    I don't want to make the same mistake here in this pool. 

Anyway..  Saudi Arabian GP next!  Let's see if Aston Martin can finish on the podium again.  They're the team to watch imho.

The final date for the pool participants to make the payment is March 17. And as there are still some participants who haven't made it yet we haven't announced the distribution table. But we would determine it concurringly. You can still fight for yellow cap in the PL pool as well.

I am sure the prize structure will be put here for all of us to see and to motivate us further to take this pool seriously as this is a long one and just one mistake from one driver can make drastic changes in the standings,we saw that with the first yellow cap during the first race,if Leclerc had not a power failure we would not see 17 points which is the highest for this pool so far taking into consideration even last year,so there is plenty of room for improvement,as long as we are consistent we can grab a prize spot.

I think that Aston Martin will most likely be again on the podium as this is a very fast track coming to S.Arabia and they passed Mercedes on track and even Ferrari so unless Mercedes and Ferrari drastically improve their car I don't see them joining the podium either this upcoming race.

I absolutely agree with this. It is more difficult to win a prize compared to the previous season. However the prize amount is going to be much more than that. If there is anyone who has a suggestion they can write to the thread.

[Koal-84]

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

Unfortunately, I didn't see this betting game last year, but I'm glad to be part of it this year. I've already made my predictions for the next race. Let's wait and see, I guessed a bit unconventionally...

A small question about the submission before qualifying, can the submission be changed again or do I lose points when i changed before qualifying?

[CLS63]

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

Unfortunately, I didn't see this betting game last year, but I'm glad to be part of it this year. I've already made my predictions for the next race. Let's wait and see, I guessed a bit unconventionally...

A small question about the submission before qualifying, can the submission be changed again or do I lose points when i changed before qualifying?

You can change your predictions in the way you would like before qualifying sessions. However the changes you make after qualifying sessions prevent you from winning EBP points. My personal advice to you is that you should make your predictions after practice sessions on Friday.

[swogerino]

A small question about the submission before qualifying, can the submission be changed again or do I lose points when i changed before qualifying?

That is a wrong move most likely to put in place predictions without checking the driver performances during the Friday practices and the Saturday morning free practice before the official qualifying,you should definitely wait to see such data before you go and put in place your predictions because what you have done is just a gamble and not real study of the events  .

I would always suggest that you have some data in your hands to analyze before going and putting your picks,of course you can do like that,putting picks 10 days before the race but I am afraid it won't end well if you use a set and forget style of predicting,this is not soccer which you can do that,in here a small change can cause dramatic changes to everything.It is just a friendly advice,I do not mean to scare you  .

[bullrun2024bro]

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

Thanks for the interesting information about last year's season buddy. I'm pretty curious whether you really need a (significantly) higher points average to win this season (I doubt it, since I don't think all the new pool participants are F1 experts, haha).

Anyway, for my part, I have already noticed at the first race of the season, how little I know about F1. I guess, I will need to do some proper F1 research here if I don't want to be last in pool at the end of the season. 

There is no race this weekend or? Is this always a two-week rhythm between each of the F1 events?

[jeremypwr]

There is no race this weekend or? Is this always a two-week rhythm between each of the F1 events?

https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2023.html

[CLS63]

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year. But it isn't hard to predict this point to be much higher than that this year.

Thanks for the interesting information about last year's season buddy. I'm pretty curious whether you really need a (significantly) higher points average to win this season (I doubt it, since I don't think all the new pool participants are F1 experts, haha).

Anyway, for my part, I have already noticed at the first race of the season, how little I know about F1. I guess, I will need to do some proper F1 research here if I don't want to be last in pool at the end of the season. 

There is no race this weekend or? Is this always a two-week rhythm between each of the F1 events?

The F1 calendar isn't progressing regularly. There might be some spaces on some weeks. If you look at the race calendar in the OP the dates of the races that will happen during the season are determined. I don't agree with you about the new participants. It was really very hard to predict the podium after Leclerc's incident. But there were some people who did it.

[1miau]

There were only 12 people in the pool last year but this year there are 29 members and this is making things much more difficult. Another example is that one needed to win approximately 11.78 points per race to finish the pool as the first last year.

Interesting to know. It's a really big difference from our current average. Maybe many participants expected Mercedes to be stronger last year and overestimated Mercedes in some races last season. And also Ferrari dropped off very quickly after Ferrari had been very strong in the first 5 or 6 races last season. So, it's quite likely, many participants overestimated Ferrari for the rest of last year's season as well.
I remember, Alfa Romeo dropped of as well after Bottas scored a few good results very early last season.
It'll be interesting to see such developments and calculate it for our current season. 

I think that Aston Martin will most likely be again on the podium as this is a very fast track coming to S.Arabia and they passed Mercedes on track and even Ferrari so unless Mercedes and Ferrari drastically improve their car I don't see them joining the podium either this upcoming race.

Your analysis makes sense, Ferrari will suffer even more from tyre degradation, as Saudi Arabia is a really fast track, where fast corners and heavy breaking zones will make it hard for Ferrari to save their tyres, which was key in Bahrain because Sainz really suffered from tyre degradation, while Alonso didn't struggle. Maybe even Mercedes will fight Ferrari in Saudi Arabia, we'll see.

[tokeweed]

Just wondering...  How many spots are getting paid out of 29?  Just so we know.  In the EPL pool I didn't know that 22 spots were getting paid until it was too late as I stopped trying to win and just started to clock buttons starting around November because I thought only 10 spots were getting paid.    I don't want to make the same mistake here in this pool. 

Anyway..  Saudi Arabian GP next!  Let's see if Aston Martin can finish on the podium again.  They're the team to watch imho.

The final date for the pool participants to make the payment is March 17. And as there are still some participants who haven't made it yet we haven't announced the distribution table. But we would determine it concurringly. You can still fight for yellow cap in the PL pool as well.

Right right...  Was just curious. 

And yeah, I wouldn't mind winning a free bet or two from getting a yellow cap at the EPL pool but it's also hard to do.  A lot of the guys now have decent knowledge of the game unlike some years prior.  It's really noticeable how everybody has leveled up in football, F1 and MMA.  Can't speak for the rest of the sports.

But maybe I shouldn't be taking those free bets for granted by making degen long shot parlays with them.  Lolol.  I think next time I'll make some bets that actually win.  I've wasted more than 10 of them.  That's like over 200 bucks!  I could've made a bigger parlay with that. 

[Woodie]

After my wooden spoon 🥄 moment from the Bahrain Grand Prix, clearly this was a sign I had quite a lot going on at the moment and didnt have my head in the game , &  unfortunately will be sitting this one out, thanks for the opportunity team motorsport. All the best to all.

[darxiaomi]

What the fuck its talking about this bot?, i normally not reported this things but come on man, im seeing so much of them in the last times.

I hope only you confuse the thread, and i think it was that because i see some other post and seem on topic.

Well talking about F1, what a pain to have this weeks off.... and now we have so much races than ever, in the past was really hard to wait.