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Author Topic: What happened to Crypto Volatility..???  (Read 883 times)
SharonC
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August 29, 2023, 06:09:34 AM
 #21

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Usual thing. It'll start growing in the autumn-winter. So, stay calm and hold
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August 29, 2023, 08:06:49 AM
 #22

I don't remember exactly but 2017 itself was sideways for the early part in most alts before the ATH, and then 2018 also in between.

It's definitely true that volatility index is lower year by year though on BTC alone. Heck, bottom to ATH distance is smaller and smaller.

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August 29, 2023, 08:42:03 AM
 #23

I am not a day trader. So I am not so much bothered about the volatility of Bitcoin. I agree with you that the price is not volatile and there is no good movement that will give profit in the market this time around especially when you are trading the Bitcoin pair. But I remember some years ago, there was a time that the movement was almost stable. But everything turned around, there is no volatility in the market now, but this should not be the worst in the history of Bitcoin. Something similar has happened in the past. It is a very strong build-up to a long-term bull run, so we should be able to manage the situation now.

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August 29, 2023, 09:56:57 AM
 #24

At those years that you have mentioned 2015,there was no high level of inflation in the world. After covid 19 pandemic, the inflation increase and hit the world economy. The war between Russia and Ukraine is also ongoing,and all this is making inflation to increase,leading to low liquidity in the crypto market. The price that dropped was base on low circulation of funds. The price will pump again and don't worry too much,instead see this as an opportunity for you to accumulate more bitcoin and wait for the bull run to make good profit. It is certain that by the end of this year we will see bitcoin price at 40k+.

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August 29, 2023, 05:48:21 PM
 #25

I would guess that volatility is something people mistake in the crypto world and what it means. It means that "when" the price starts to move, it moves a lot and people think that it should move a lot right away, that is not how it happens and you shouldn't be expecting that. It does move, but when it moves, we talk about something that would be a little different and we need to be a lot more careful with it without a trouble.

I think it should be important to make sure that we are doing a good job with it and it shouldn't really matter all that much. Just realize that volatility will happen when the market is moving, when the market is not moving like right now, why would it have any volatility at all?

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August 29, 2023, 05:50:28 PM
 #26

If anyone know about the ending and Initiation of volatility then everyone will be a successful trader and they will never see any difficulty in getting profit. Previously there was volatility in price too but it is a fact that when hard time passed then people forget about it.

If one think about past then he will realized that how bad the year of 2021 and 2022 was. Now the price remains at lower price of 26k$ for longer time but its not the time of having worry but it's time to take the benefit of this event as every event possess advantages if person utilze his knowledge.

This is not a new thing but remember that after every hard time there comes a good time so focus on the market very soon it will recover back.









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August 29, 2023, 06:53:53 PM
 #27

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Past things arent guarantee that it would really be happening in the future on which means that if there's something that we do able to observe in the past, then it cant really be avoided for you not to think that it could

potentially happen in the future and we do know that whenever we do make out some similarities like patterns or behavior on the present time then we do always love on making some attachment on what happened in the past but in overall i do really agree basing up on what you have observed that when it comes to moving sideways or consolidation period on which it does really take up some time comparing in the past where movements
or really have those significant movement and the having a short pause and then it cycles once again on which it is really that totally different on what we are seeing now.

This is why its always been that suggested that you should really be making yourself that able to be versatile on whatever the market would really be doing or behaving. Its not bad to correlate
those past events into the future but always mindful that the market is always that random and totally unpredictable on which you do have already the idea at least.

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August 30, 2023, 06:23:09 AM
 #28

...What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same?? ..

This was the case earlier in the market, and always after such a lull, we saw an impulse exit from the flat. And you can be sure that this is exactly what will happen. That's just there is no certainty in which direction the momentum will be, so it's better to refrain from opening orders.
Exactly so it does happen often and we should be ready for even a bigger move with time now.


Now, it is different from a few years ago, when crypto has become increasingly popular and has attracted more people to use crypto for trading. That is what makes the movement or volatility of the crypto market unpredictable. I feel the same way when I see what's going on in the market, especially since the current market conditions have more coins to trade, making it difficult to analyze the coins.

And when the market gets to what it is now, it's not likely to go back to how it used to be but it's probably going to be wilder than it is now. So if you don't learn to analyze more, maybe you will find it difficult to profit from trading. Only by continuing to learn can we adapt to market movements.

But you shouldn't worry too much because you can still benefit from market volatility. For this reason, we are required to have better analytical skills than before.
So what do you suggest how to enhance our analytical skills ?? maybe share some thoughts with the users here ? we all up for learning even after all these years. True its better to learn more n more in the market so lets come out with few thoughts in how to deal with such markets.
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August 30, 2023, 11:15:59 AM
 #29

I don't remember exactly but 2017 itself was sideways for the early part in most alts before the ATH, and then 2018 also in between.

It's definitely true that volatility index is lower year by year though on BTC alone. Heck, bottom to ATH distance is smaller and smaller.
It's normal for Bitcoin and to any alts that before an impulsive up move of price the price will accumulate. That is what I have noticed in the market. When the market is in consolidation stage, there is an equal amount of buyers and sellers, in other words the market is indecision. We should expect that there are institutions are watching for a break to determine who is in control. If the market breaks the resistance, institutions will immediately enter the market which can cause the price increase even more, others are just waiting for the pull back. If we look back at the chart of Bitcoin, we can tell that we are in the accumulation stage which is the best time to invest.

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August 30, 2023, 02:52:03 PM
 #30

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Have you ever thought about individuals been tired of trading the market knowing fully well that whatever they predict mightn't be how the market will turn out because we're in a bear market and they have just decided to hold instead of trying to trade. Maybe the traders are now joining the investors in accumulating bitcoin and preparing for the bull market there by staying away from the market and making it less active as you have noticed.

Each bear market comes with experience and the individual that have witness how bear market are won't fall victim again as they'll be more aware of what's happening and prepare for the dumps by selling their cryptocurency to stablecoin and wait for the market to recover.

R


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August 30, 2023, 09:28:45 PM
 #31

In the past it was even lower than now. The current volatility when compared with the past is certainly quite far.
You may just be panicking about the decline in crypto over the last few months. You need to remember that now is the right moment to start logging in and holding until the latest ATH is reached. The halving will happen soon, so what do you need to worry about anymore. The journey of crypto continues to improve, we are only consolidating to get rid of the cowards in the crypto market. See later how the holder of the diamond hand will enjoy the benefits. The volatility will rise again and even at the worst times, you just need to be patient.
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August 30, 2023, 09:45:44 PM
 #32

I don't remember exactly but 2017 itself was sideways for the early part in most alts before the ATH, and then 2018 also in between.

It's definitely true that volatility index is lower year by year though on BTC alone. Heck, bottom to ATH distance is smaller and smaller.
The volatility might differ based on the current trend and as we can see right now, its very volatile because we are on a downtrend.
The market is getting more volatile actually and becoming more unpredictable, anything can happen and if  you are not doing anything to address such volatility then you might lose the opportunity to make profit. This is beyond our control, what we can do is to make a strategy that can work with the volatile market.

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August 30, 2023, 09:50:28 PM
 #33

I don't remember exactly but 2017 itself was sideways for the early part in most alts before the ATH, and then 2018 also in between.

It's definitely true that volatility index is lower year by year though on BTC alone. Heck, bottom to ATH distance is smaller and smaller.
The volatility might differ based on the current trend and as we can see right now, its very volatile because we are on a downtrend.
The market is getting more volatile actually and becoming more unpredictable, anything can happen and if  you are not doing anything to address such volatility then you might lose the opportunity to make profit. This is beyond our control, what we can do is to make a strategy that can work with the volatile market.
That’s true, the volatility right now are just like the previous trend, as we can see the price drops instantly from $29k to $26k and now it pumps again to the level of $27k in just a Month, so its a volatile trend. Dealing with the volatility might be more risky when you do trading, so better to have a good system about this and know when to timing the market, you can be more profitable if you will not chase the market.
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August 30, 2023, 09:51:37 PM
 #34

I don't remember exactly but 2017 itself was sideways for the early part in most alts before the ATH, and then 2018 also in between.

It's definitely true that volatility index is lower year by year though on BTC alone. Heck, bottom to ATH distance is smaller and smaller.
The volatility might differ based on the current trend and as we can see right now, its very volatile because we are on a downtrend.
The market is getting more volatile actually and becoming more unpredictable, anything can happen and if  you are not doing anything to address such volatility then you might lose the opportunity to make profit. This is beyond our control, what we can do is to make a strategy that can work with the volatile market.
I agree with those others sentiments above that those things happened in the past wont really be a guarantee that it would really happen in the future on which means that it would really be that basically
be that truly depending on several factors on which it would really be entirely be neither be positive or negative on certain conditions. It did really just turns out that volatility behavior do really differ on these years knowing that application and recognition is really that been accepted by some institutions on which on the time that it would really be making out some movements or decisions then
it do really create out that kind significant effect when it come to price movement.

Thing here is that you do really know on how to ride with the waves and wont really be freaking out and heavily relying on things that you have seen in the past. We know that future things
doesnt always follow on what things that we do have in the past but there's always a correlation somewhat and this is what we are trying out to follow.

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August 31, 2023, 08:13:56 AM
 #35

I don't remember exactly but 2017 itself was sideways for the early part in most alts before the ATH, and then 2018 also in between.

It's definitely true that volatility index is lower year by year though on BTC alone. Heck, bottom to ATH distance is smaller and smaller.
I agree with those others sentiments above that those things happened in the past wont really be a guarantee that it would really happen in the future on which means that it would really be that basically
be that truly depending on several factors on which it would really be entirely be neither be positive or negative on certain conditions. It did really just turns out that volatility behavior do really differ on these years knowing that application and recognition is really that been accepted by some institutions on which on the time that it would really be making out some movements or decisions then
it do really create out that kind significant effect when it come to price movement.

Thing here is that you do really know on how to ride with the waves and wont really be freaking out and heavily relying on things that you have seen in the past. We know that future things
doesnt always follow on what things that we do have in the past but there's always a correlation somewhat and this is what we are trying out to follow.

That was kinda actually what I was trying to say, the wisdom from markets is clear that past performance not only is not a guarantee of future performance, it is not even an indication of future performance.

However, we can see a trend of volatility which I believe is more of a behavior from assets that are new and slowly maturing whereby volatility slowly comes down. Bitcoin still volatile but nowhere near the degree of in the early years. This is not performance Smiley

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August 31, 2023, 05:02:31 PM
 #36

It's normal for Bitcoin and to any alts that before an impulsive up move of price the price will accumulate. That is what I have noticed in the market. When the market is in consolidation stage, there is an equal amount of buyers and sellers, in other words the market is indecision. We should expect that there are institutions are watching for a break to determine who is in control. If the market breaks the resistance, institutions will immediately enter the market which can cause the price increase even more, others are just waiting for the pull back. If we look back at the chart of Bitcoin, we can tell that we are in the accumulation stage which is the best time to invest.
I would guess that some of them are traders, not buyers or sellers. I think it could be literally same people who bought and sold the same day, because they want to trade and that's how it happens. I know that some people think that it is all just people who buy and people who sell for a good amount of time, but it is not, there are plenty of them who just trade and 50%+ of it must be trading because we can't have billions in trading every single day, the difference would have been bigger.

I hope that we get bigger volume though, the volatility will be important but volume is even more important, it will make you a lot of profit without a doubt. It should realize that you are going to end up with a great profit when volume goes bigger.

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August 31, 2023, 05:36:23 PM
 #37

Things will change more in the future. Bitcoin has created quite a reputation over the decades. As it is getting more adopted all over the world, people are looking for stability in the market in order to use it as a method of payment. A volatile market is not that good when you are trying to use it like a regular currency. Also, there are more people who are now strong hodler. They own a good amount of BTC and they are not willing to sell. Volatility occurs when buying and selling happen rapidly.

As most people are now becoming aware of the benefits of hodling, they are not selling and there aren't any major news that can influence people to make decisions. So yeah, the market is changing as the people are changing too. We may see an entirely different market in the upcoming years.
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August 31, 2023, 05:45:20 PM
 #38

I don't remember exactly but 2017 itself was sideways for the early part in most alts before the ATH, and then 2018 also in between.

It's definitely true that volatility index is lower year by year though on BTC alone. Heck, bottom to ATH distance is smaller and smaller.
The volatility might differ based on the current trend and as we can see right now, its very volatile because we are on a downtrend.
The market is getting more volatile actually and becoming more unpredictable, anything can happen and if  you are not doing anything to address such volatility then you might lose the opportunity to make profit. This is beyond our control, what we can do is to make a strategy that can work with the volatile market.

Exactly, that's the point of it's volatility we can't actually predict it since it's too random which already happened in the past. If you were trading for a long time for sure you would be aware of this kind of situation of the market. All we can do about it is to have a way to take advantage of it's current volatility cause it might be manipulated by some groups or institution that causes the huge changes in the market but for now they might be doing the same. As Bitcoin's known for it's potential for sure a lot of people are already holding their BTC which causes the market to stabilized for a long run because all of people might be doing all the same, waiting for the hype, trend or news that can change the current market. There's nothing we could do about it, situation really changes as time goes by.

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August 31, 2023, 07:33:57 PM
 #39

I’ve been around a long time & I don’t think volatility in bitcoin is going anywhere any time soon. We are in the transition between bear & bull market right now so it’s relatively boring & big swings in price in either direction are not happening but that’s normal. Spot bitcoin ETF’s are coming & also the halving, the volatility you seek will return.

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August 31, 2023, 08:33:00 PM
 #40

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??
Fluctuations occur when either there is a lot of demand or there is a lot of supply. When the demand is high and supply is low, the price fluctuates on the positive side which means it will increase, and when the demand is low and supply is high, the price tends to drop significantly over time. That is the basic reason for Bitcoin's stability these days, not a lot of people are willing to buy and a lot of people are not selling as well, so the equation is almost the same from both sides.

If a lot of people start investing all of a sudden, we will surely see the price going up, and if a lot of people start selling at the same time, we will see the market plunge even more, that is how the market works. However, we can always make use of the opportunities we get to buy more as long as we can.

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