What happened to Crypto Volatility..???

[Mahanton]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Fluctuations occur when either there is a lot of demand or there is a lot of supply. When the demand is high and supply is low, the price fluctuates on the positive side which means it will increase, and when the demand is low and supply is high, the price tends to drop significantly over time. That is the basic reason for Bitcoin's stability these days, not a lot of people are willing to buy and a lot of people are not selling as well, so the equation is almost the same from both sides.

If a lot of people start investing all of a sudden, we will surely see the price going up, and if a lot of people start selling at the same time, we will see the market plunge even more, that is how the market works. However, we can always make use of the opportunities we get to buy more as long as we can.

Its always pertains about on that simple economics kind of subject which everything would really be varying on the supply and demand thing if we do speak about value or numbers/worth.Just like on what most people been saying that past things could really be that possibly be experienced on the upcoming future but there's no solid proof into that.Thing here is that we do have that so-called market cycle on which it would really be that
people would be keeping an eye on such situation or condition since we do already have the experience it on previous ones on which it did really give out the idea on how it do moves or behaves into that particular moments.To those people who had made out such bad move or decisions will really be normally be making out adjustments accordingly.

Experience would be always be the best weapon that you could have in order to survive this unpredictable space on which you would really be that needing to have that kind of versatility on whatever things that
you would really be facing on. We do know that the market is really that unpredictable and there's no way that we could really be able to know on whats ahead but somewhat due to past
experiences then we do have at least the idea on what we should gonna do.

[joker1313]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Fluctuations occur when either there is a lot of demand or there is a lot of supply. When the demand is high and supply is low, the price fluctuates on the positive side which means it will increase, and when the demand is low and supply is high, the price tends to drop significantly over time. That is the basic reason for Bitcoin's stability these days, not a lot of people are willing to buy and a lot of people are not selling as well, so the equation is almost the same from both sides.

If a lot of people start investing all of a sudden, we will surely see the price going up, and if a lot of people start selling at the same time, we will see the market plunge even more, that is how the market works. However, we can always make use of the opportunities we get to buy more as long as we can.

Its always pertains about on that simple economics kind of subject which everything would really be varying on the supply and demand thing if we do speak about value or numbers/worth.Just like on what most people been saying that past things could really be that possibly be experienced on the upcoming future but there's no solid proof into that.Thing here is that we do have that so-called market cycle on which it would really be that
people would be keeping an eye on such situation or condition since we do already have the experience it on previous ones on which it did really give out the idea on how it do moves or behaves into that particular moments.To those people who had made out such bad move or decisions will really be normally be making out adjustments accordingly.

Experience would be always be the best weapon that you could have in order to survive this unpredictable space on which you would really be that needing to have that kind of versatility on whatever things that
you would really be facing on. We do know that the market is really that unpredictable and there's no way that we could really be able to know on whats ahead but somewhat due to past
experiences then we do have at least the idea on what we should gonna do.

Totally agree to your statements, markets will remain the way they are but the experience we have while trading makes a huge difference. Our role is just to utilize our experience in the right manner. Accept the mistakes we make while trading and learn from those mistakes and turn them over into profitable trades. exactly the best n only weapon a trader has its experience.

[justdimin]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Fluctuations occur when either there is a lot of demand or there is a lot of supply. When the demand is high and supply is low, the price fluctuates on the positive side which means it will increase, and when the demand is low and supply is high, the price tends to drop significantly over time. That is the basic reason for Bitcoin's stability these days, not a lot of people are willing to buy and a lot of people are not selling as well, so the equation is almost the same from both sides.

If a lot of people start investing all of a sudden, we will surely see the price going up, and if a lot of people start selling at the same time, we will see the market plunge even more, that is how the market works. However, we can always make use of the opportunities we get to buy more as long as we can.

Right now we are on the dull moments of bitcoin, this has happened before, go check 2016 and 2019 and you will see the similarities, sort of the same thing with about right now as well. When the crash happens, one year after that is about the same, and right now we are living about the same period as well.

I think this is quite similar to something like 2019 where it will not have a lot of moves, and it will be calm period and then we are going to do better for sure. I think it should be important to remember that it is not an easy thing to move bitcoin and it happens when it needs to be and rest of the time it doesn't move that much. We will see it go up, and volatility will be there, we just need to wait for it.

[Minecache]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Fluctuations occur when either there is a lot of demand or there is a lot of supply. When the demand is high and supply is low, the price fluctuates on the positive side which means it will increase, and when the demand is low and supply is high, the price tends to drop significantly over time. That is the basic reason for Bitcoin's stability these days, not a lot of people are willing to buy and a lot of people are not selling as well, so the equation is almost the same from both sides.

If a lot of people start investing all of a sudden, we will surely see the price going up, and if a lot of people start selling at the same time, we will see the market plunge even more, that is how the market works. However, we can always make use of the opportunities we get to buy more as long as we can.

Right now we are on the dull moments of bitcoin, this has happened before, go check 2016 and 2019 and you will see the similarities, sort of the same thing with about right now as well. When the crash happens, one year after that is about the same, and right now we are living about the same period as well.

I think this is quite similar to something like 2019 where it will not have a lot of moves, and it will be calm period and then we are going to do better for sure. I think it should be important to remember that it is not an easy thing to move bitcoin and it happens when it needs to be and rest of the time it doesn't move that much. We will see it go up, and volatility will be there, we just need to wait for it.

I don't remember every detail in 2019 but if you say the market is repeating what happened in 2019, does that mean we still have a chance that bitcoin will be dumped again? Do you remember? In 2019 bitcoin recovered to $12k but then in 2020 before the halving it was also dumped and dropped to $4k, and the reason is due to the Covid pandemic. If history continues to repeat itself, will we suffer another round of dumping? Will another black swan hit the market?

[joker1313]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Fluctuations occur when either there is a lot of demand or there is a lot of supply. When the demand is high and supply is low, the price fluctuates on the positive side which means it will increase, and when the demand is low and supply is high, the price tends to drop significantly over time. That is the basic reason for Bitcoin's stability these days, not a lot of people are willing to buy and a lot of people are not selling as well, so the equation is almost the same from both sides.

If a lot of people start investing all of a sudden, we will surely see the price going up, and if a lot of people start selling at the same time, we will see the market plunge even more, that is how the market works. However, we can always make use of the opportunities we get to buy more as long as we can.

Right now we are on the dull moments of bitcoin, this has happened before, go check 2016 and 2019 and you will see the similarities, sort of the same thing with about right now as well. When the crash happens, one year after that is about the same, and right now we are living about the same period as well.

I think this is quite similar to something like 2019 where it will not have a lot of moves, and it will be calm period and then we are going to do better for sure. I think it should be important to remember that it is not an easy thing to move bitcoin and it happens when it needs to be and rest of the time it doesn't move that much. We will see it go up, and volatility will be there, we just need to wait for it.

I don't remember every detail in 2019 but if you say the market is repeating what happened in 2019, does that mean we still have a chance that bitcoin will be dumped again? Do you remember? In 2019 bitcoin recovered to $12k but then in 2020 before the halving it was also dumped and dropped to $4k, and the reason is due to the Covid pandemic. If history continues to repeat itself, will we suffer another round of dumping? Will another black swan hit the market?

Probably because there is very less liquidity right now to goback up to 70k. to reach that level there needs to be a crash which will be again bought back and start the bull run. thats my opinion, anything can happen in the market though

[cute nmp]

Think it is normal for such scenario to happen, If you look at both the Fx market and the stock market ,A pair can consolidates for months before moving in a direction ,Same case is happening in the crypto - market right now .The Money flowing is not much to generate a drastic move these days causing those consolidations for days or weeks.

[Hypnosis00]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

It looks different now and it was more on the manipulating side making the market less volatile than before. And why? We also think that new investors and traders have different market approaches and so these old investors have also changed their behavior as they are more focused on controlling themselves, unlike the old times.
I believe that everyone can notice the different market movements by now compared before but because we are not very certain about every change, we just thought that it was the same scenario. Sooner or later, the more it becomes less volatile, IMO.

[Richkiedx]

Nothing new in crypto its very volatile since i start trading
 

I will not trade when the market is really very volatile because your analysis is useless when the whales are moving, which means big players who often fight against the market

[teosanru]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

I really think it was pretty much the same case back in 2017 as well. Also one thing to keep in mind is that bigger the consolidation is the bigger the move also becomes. So there is a big possibility that you might see a much larger move the next time. Also volatility isn't that important of a parameter, volumes is, and if you see Jan and Feb 2023 were highest volume months for bitcoin.

[Ziskinberg]

Nothing new in crypto its very volatile since i start trading
 

I will not trade when the market is really very volatile because your analysis is useless when the whales are moving, which means big players who often fight against the market

But some people including OP want to have a highly volatile market because every movement of the price is very important especially if you are a scalper. I understand how important it was if you were doing this knowing that every fall/rise seems to be a great opportunity for us to earn. If the market is less volatile, it is difficult and you probably need to stay in the computer for the whole day waiting for the price to move. I say that most traders wanted to see the market like before where the up/down works so fast which is currently slowed down.

[Mahanton]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Fluctuations occur when either there is a lot of demand or there is a lot of supply. When the demand is high and supply is low, the price fluctuates on the positive side which means it will increase, and when the demand is low and supply is high, the price tends to drop significantly over time. That is the basic reason for Bitcoin's stability these days, not a lot of people are willing to buy and a lot of people are not selling as well, so the equation is almost the same from both sides.

If a lot of people start investing all of a sudden, we will surely see the price going up, and if a lot of people start selling at the same time, we will see the market plunge even more, that is how the market works. However, we can always make use of the opportunities we get to buy more as long as we can.

Its always pertains about on that simple economics kind of subject which everything would really be varying on the supply and demand thing if we do speak about value or numbers/worth.Just like on what most people been saying that past things could really be that possibly be experienced on the upcoming future but there's no solid proof into that.Thing here is that we do have that so-called market cycle on which it would really be that
people would be keeping an eye on such situation or condition since we do already have the experience it on previous ones on which it did really give out the idea on how it do moves or behaves into that particular moments.To those people who had made out such bad move or decisions will really be normally be making out adjustments accordingly.

Experience would be always be the best weapon that you could have in order to survive this unpredictable space on which you would really be that needing to have that kind of versatility on whatever things that
you would really be facing on. We do know that the market is really that unpredictable and there's no way that we could really be able to know on whats ahead but somewhat due to past
experiences then we do have at least the idea on what we should gonna do.

Totally agree to your statements, markets will remain the way they are but the experience we have while trading makes a huge difference. Our role is just to utilize our experience in the right manner. Accept the mistakes we make while trading and learn from those mistakes and turn them over into profitable trades. exactly the best n only weapon a trader has its experience.

But we know that there are people or traders specially noob ones would really be in a hurry in speaking about making profits or income with trading and this is why they would really be forgetting the basic principle or on
how things should really be done. Market is really that volatile and it do involves highs and downs on which it would really be just that normal that as a trader then you should really know on what are the basic principles on dealing with a market which is a buy cheap and sell high which would generate profit. Yes, it does sounds simple but its not something that someone could easily pull off on a short time, it would really be involving
tons of trial and errors and specific period of time on which you could really be able to deal with things specially on a volatile market. Dont make yourself that believe that what happened in the past will happen in the future.Yes, you could really be having the reference but doesnt mean that you would be totally rely on it on what would happen in the future. Always be versatile and always be that having kind of behavior on which you could easily make out some adjustments if ever there would really be changes that you might encounter along the way. It is really just that depending on how you would really be gonna handling yourself.

[poodle63]

i guess bitcoin just simply stabilizing nowadays, the fact that the price swing isn't also very common these days also become my concern initially then I remember that bitcoin has come long way.

I think nowadays instead of waiting the volatility to occur its better to allocate some of the money to invest instead, investing is quite effective nowadays, even with altcoins in general.
waiting for volatility might just waste our time after all as you said its getting lower and lower rate of volatility.
bitcoin movement so far is quite slow, even if there's correction it will come back to its previous point again, remember when space x tries to dump their assets, it quite literally have no effect for long term.

[gunhell16]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Based on my personal observations, when there is a good news update in crypto today, suddenly there will be a pump in Bitcoin. When there is negative news in cryptocurrency, its value will dump in the market. In short, when this is the case, the use of technical analysis will be irrelevant or useless.

It also means that it is very difficult to read the volatility that is happening right now in the price of Bitcoin. Right now, the only good strategy I can see when the price drops is to take advantage and buy, then just hold. The resistance is also difficult to read; it seems that the tools will not be useful to make money because that is what happens in the market.

[adaseb]

So we had record low volatility and then after the GBTC news we finally broke up and pumped hard, only to stall and head back down before the pump.

It was nothing but a fake move. And most likely the sideways trading action will continue. When we head towards the end of September we will see more volatility and October and November will reveal what type of action we will have whether it’s bullish or bearish. 

[Minecache]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Fluctuations occur when either there is a lot of demand or there is a lot of supply. When the demand is high and supply is low, the price fluctuates on the positive side which means it will increase, and when the demand is low and supply is high, the price tends to drop significantly over time. That is the basic reason for Bitcoin's stability these days, not a lot of people are willing to buy and a lot of people are not selling as well, so the equation is almost the same from both sides.

If a lot of people start investing all of a sudden, we will surely see the price going up, and if a lot of people start selling at the same time, we will see the market plunge even more, that is how the market works. However, we can always make use of the opportunities we get to buy more as long as we can.

Right now we are on the dull moments of bitcoin, this has happened before, go check 2016 and 2019 and you will see the similarities, sort of the same thing with about right now as well. When the crash happens, one year after that is about the same, and right now we are living about the same period as well.

I think this is quite similar to something like 2019 where it will not have a lot of moves, and it will be calm period and then we are going to do better for sure. I think it should be important to remember that it is not an easy thing to move bitcoin and it happens when it needs to be and rest of the time it doesn't move that much. We will see it go up, and volatility will be there, we just need to wait for it.

I don't remember every detail in 2019 but if you say the market is repeating what happened in 2019, does that mean we still have a chance that bitcoin will be dumped again? Do you remember? In 2019 bitcoin recovered to $12k but then in 2020 before the halving it was also dumped and dropped to $4k, and the reason is due to the Covid pandemic. If history continues to repeat itself, will we suffer another round of dumping? Will another black swan hit the market?

Probably because there is very less liquidity right now to goback up to 70k. to reach that level there needs to be a crash which will be again bought back and start the bull run. thats my opinion, anything can happen in the market though

No one can predict what will happen in the future, but if we believe history will continue to repeat itself then we need to plan for that bad scenario should it happen. I'm not sure if that will happen again, but I wouldn't rule it out either. That means the market will continue to move sideways and create a prolonged period of boredom, and will be followed by massive dumping to knock the last weak hands out of the market before we welcome the bull season. That's the scenario I'm thinking of, IMO.

[taufik123]

-snip-
That means the market will continue to move sideways and create a prolonged period of boredom, and will be followed by massive dumping to knock the last weak hands out of the market before we welcome the bull season. That's the scenario I'm thinking of, IMO.

It's a scheme that keeps happening, starting with bearish, big dumps that will throw out the short-term holders and those who are just panicky people.
and new holders will come in and have more confidence in their investments.

A sideway and very boring market will drive them out on its own, so there will be fewer people who are not in line.
Crypto volatility will always be there, it's still on hold now of course and this volatility will get crazier when the Halving happens and there is a lot of News for Bitcoin and crypto.

[GigaBit]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

Its possible that only i feel like that and other people still see it like the normal bitcoin trend. But there was fun every week in crypto before.

What do you guys think ?? Is it just me or some of you others feel the same??

And if it is like that then what do you all think when the wild ride start again like old days ??

Based on my personal observations, when there is a good news update in crypto today, suddenly there will be a pump in Bitcoin. When there is negative news in cryptocurrency, its value will dump in the market. In short, when this is the case, the use of technical analysis will be irrelevant or useless.

It also means that it is very difficult to read the volatility that is happening right now in the price of Bitcoin. Right now, the only good strategy I can see when the price drops is to take advantage and buy, then just hold. The resistance is also difficult to read; it seems that the tools will not be useful to make money because that is what happens in the market.

It's true that investors are quite tricky these days. The market does not move the way it used to in the past. A massive change in investors that has been observed between the earlier and the present period. Because of which there has been a huge change in the volatility of the crypto market. One of the main attractions of the crypto market is its volatility. Some believe that since it is staying in a stable price soon we are going to see a bullish move in the crypto market that has not been seen in the past, despite the recent stagnation in its price.

[TheUltraElite]

Periods of stagnation in the market are common as is swings. Observe the long term charts and you will realise that the yearly volatility is usually under 15% and thus I would not compare the market to be that volatile that it can be said to be non-volatile now. It rather remains in its own movement that is often exaggerated as too high or too low.

Overall I think the stagnant market will be a good time to buy at the low since it's much lower than all time highs. But a trader should keep both cash and Bitcoin at hand to face the upcoming bull or near market respectively. If the market remains stagnant, just observe and wait it out.

[joker1313]

Periods of stagnation in the market are common as is swings. Observe the long term charts and you will realise that the yearly volatility is usually under 15% and thus I would not compare the market to be that volatile that it can be said to be non-volatile now. It rather remains in its own movement that is often exaggerated as too high or too low.

Overall I think the stagnant market will be a good time to buy at the low since it's much lower than all time highs. But a trader should keep both cash and Bitcoin at hand to face the upcoming bull or near market respectively. If the market remains stagnant, just observe and wait it out.

Look out for crypto vix and you will see it can be said as non-volatile for now. thats the thing this kind of market is boring for scalpers n intraday traders. only investors and swing traders can work in this kind of market.

-snip-
That means the market will continue to move sideways and create a prolonged period of boredom, and will be followed by massive dumping to knock the last weak hands out of the market before we welcome the bull season. That's the scenario I'm thinking of, IMO.

It's a scheme that keeps happening, starting with bearish, big dumps that will throw out the short-term holders and those who are just panicky people.
and new holders will come in and have more confidence in their investments.

A sideway and very boring market will drive them out on its own, so there will be fewer people who are not in line.
Crypto volatility will always be there, it's still on hold now of course and this volatility will get crazier when the Halving happens and there is a lot of News for Bitcoin and crypto.

ofcourse it keeps happening. but this time they are moving things very slow. if you look out for the whole year, we are in the 9th month and we have probably seen 4 or 5 moves only. be it upwards or downward, only 4-5 moves in 9 months is like pretty boring and non-volatile. Thats the only main cause of this discussion that whats making the market go so slow.

So we had record low volatility and then after the GBTC news we finally broke up and pumped hard, only to stall and head back down before the pump.

It was nothing but a fake move. And most likely the sideways trading action will continue. When we head towards the end of September we will see more volatility and October and November will reveal what type of action we will have whether it’s bullish or bearish. 

yea true and thats what major guys here are saying that let summers end we will definately see good moves, so just patiently watching the market for now with few small positions.

[nurilham]

So i've been a trader since early 2017 and i have never seen such low volatility in market. Even at the time of 2018 bear run the things were quite slow but this time its totally different. It makes a move and consolidates for like a month or two now. Which was never the case in past.

What do you mean by low volatility? If you check the price of each crypto coin, it is still far from its ATH. Bitcoin: -62% from its ATH, ETH: -66%, BNB: -68%, XRP: -85%, ADA: -92%, EOS: -97%. LUNC: -100%. These are some examples of the crypto prices now, they are still trying to grow and come back to its ATH. If you count their best price and the current price, there is still too high gap. That's mean the volatility is very high, right? So, it doesn't makes sense if you judge there is a low of volatility in the market.

If the price of some crypto coins still consolidate or take a sideway phase for few months, that's because they follow the Bitcoin price trend. You must realize that the price of Bitcoin seems a bit slow to rise. After BTC price passed $30k few months ago, it dropped again below $30k because of some FUDs. It is difficult to return to above $30k because it is still many bad news spreading. So, we must understand if it is rather slow to move.

I think this situation also happened in past, right?