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Author Topic: Betting on underdog by choosing a favorite spread to increase the odds.  (Read 336 times)
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January 09, 2024, 06:57:16 AM
 #41

We might have a different analysis on betting an underdog team but for sure we are confident they will win. At least with the underdog winning and we are getting good odds, that's an extra winning compared to taking the odds that are 1.90 and below. Other might see it as a bad strategy, but it's not consistently picking the underdog, just choose the quality underdogs as that's the key on winning.
Let me ask you a question. Are you taking underdogs to win the strong teams and you make money while gambling this than losing?

There are three possibilities. The first is that the strong team might win, the second is that the underdog might draw and the third is that the underdog might win. What if you chose the underdog to win and the match is drawn? That is still also a loss.

I know that sometimes it can be good to choose an underdog but these are just few occasions when a strong team is not playing very well. An instance is when the last 3 to 5 matches that are played are drawn and most lost by the good team. But I know how gamblers think, they will be looking for such opportunity to win high odd matches, but several try might still be of losses if no winning, if you chose underdog.

As for me, I prefer tomost of the time choose strong team. But to draw is still another disadvantage even if the match is not lost by the strong team.

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January 11, 2024, 04:04:29 PM
 #42

~snip~
The superior and the favorite team is indeed the team that has a greater chance of winning than the opposing team. But we must remember that when the match has started, there will be moments when surprises will come and encourage the opposing team to play with the best performance. In fact, by being the underdog, a team can play without burden and pressure because the underdog team is underestimating their team. This allows the team to play relaxedly and can reveal hidden performances that can surprise the favored team. This has happened in many matches where the unseeded team can compete with the favored team and can even win against that team because they can turn around and put pressure on the favored team.

Yes, every gambler has his or her way of predicting a match. Every gambler has that differently because we are talking about a person's ability to collect and analyze other data that other gamblers may not have. This allows them to find more important information that will support their analysis so that they can see the possibility of winning against the underdog team. This is what gamblers often forget when analyzing a match because many of them only see that the favored team has a greater chance of winning than the opponent, which is true. But other factors must also be considered when analyzing a match, which should be remembered by gamblers who want to analyze a match.
So that the main point in betting, there is no certainty that the top team will always win and the top team could lose tragically if there is luck and surprises that can be given by the underdog team itself.
Several times I made the mistake of having a fairly convincing prediction by choosing the favorite as the favorite in betting. This prediction was made with full consideration and of course there was an analysis that I carried out.
But everything is in vain when the underdog or bottom team can take advantage of the situation very well and succeed in creating opportunities for victory, bets like this are of course also experienced by other gamblers.
In sports, many unexpected things can happen suddenly and of course conditions like this make it difficult for gamblers. I usually watch the progress of the match and if the conditions or circumstances make it impossible to continue betting then cashout is the right step.

We understand these differences and of course we can conclude that what is considered right may not necessarily be considered good by other gamblers.
Having these different methods can also make us believe in each other abilities with full ambition for success, but for sports betting it will be very difficult to guess accurately.
Just imagine that in the first half there was team that was more dominant and superior, but surprisingly in the second half the opposing team turned things around with much better control of the game so that the advantage belonged to the opposing team.

If you really can't have prediction that you can really believe in or when betting you have doubts then my advice is to bet when you have entered the second half and this will make it easier to study the game to be able to make better predictions.
But by using method like this, don't ever hope to have high odd because significant changes will definitely occur.

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January 11, 2024, 04:29:56 PM
 #43

If you really can't have prediction that you can really believe in or when betting you have doubts then my advice is to bet when you have entered the second half and this will make it easier to study the game to be able to make better predictions.
But by using method like this, don't ever hope to have high odd because significant changes will definitely occur.
I often do this by betting while the game is in progress or playing bets for the second half. At least I know how the players from both clubs are performing and also their style of play so I can read and predict the score of the match in the end result, even though the odds are low, which is different when we bet. before the game starts, that's why people prefer to bet before the game starts compared to while the game is in progress.

As much as possible, my advice is that if you don't have more experience and knowledge about which team is the favorite and which is not the favorite, you should not try to bet while the game is in progress, sometimes there are unexpected surprises at the end of the match which makes us ultimately disappointed with the results. I'm used to playing before. the match starts also when the match is in progress so everything is safe. but beginners should not try it  Grin

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January 21, 2024, 02:43:03 PM
 #44

As much as possible, my advice is that if you don't have more experience and knowledge about which team is the favorite and which is not the favorite, you should not try to bet while the game is in progress, sometimes there are unexpected surprises at the end of the match which makes us ultimately disappointed with the results. I'm used to playing before. the match starts also when the match is in progress so everything is safe. but beginners should not try it  Grin

You should be aware of the betting odds first before you do a live betting, because if not, it's just like you are gambling hoping you'll get lucky. It's different when you study the game, analyze it as a win prove to be your success and you will feel confident with your picks. Choose quality over quantity, that's the secret, when we are selective with our bet, that is a sign of maturity in sports betting, I know newbies would eventually learn in the long run how to be matured.

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January 21, 2024, 03:26:23 PM
 #45

If it is by team win, I still won't do it, also I don't prefer spreads in sportsbetting. I would rather skip the match and wait for a better vision perhaps better match up I would be comfortable betting my money with. I would more do a bet build if there is an option to sports provider (not all websites have this feature). I don't have that much of a support to my claim but it is just that I am always considering the enjoyment over profit. I don't also chase bet count and more of quality bets than betting every game I would be seeing.
Does anyone here do the same?

For example, let's say there's a game tomorrow between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers. The original betting spread is Indiana +2.5 vs Milwaukee -2.5. Let's assume their respective spreads have odds of 1.90, and you believe the underdog will win. Are you willing to bet on Indiana as favorites?

By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.

Yes would choose to bet on underdog especially if I know that the team is really doing well so most provably I will go bet on them. And in case of Indiana Pacers they have great chance to win since this young guys lead by Haliburton is doing good this season and have a chance to defeat those top teams on the league. Also its not rare situation that underdog team beat those strong team and their bettors is lucky enough to get a huge win for trusting their bets.

Milwaukee Bucks is strong team but sometimes they are not prone to losing that's why its good to gamble with that since it adds the exciting while watching this type of game especially you know that your team is way behind.

We might have a different analysis on betting an underdog team but for sure we are confident they will win. At least with the underdog winning and we are getting good odds, that's an extra winning compared to taking the odds that are 1.90 and below. Other might see it as a bad strategy, but it's not consistently picking the underdog, just choose the quality underdogs as that's the key on winning.
I only bet on mu favorite underdogs with odds above 2 'coz it would be worthy of taking the risk but that depends on the players line up; which is why I do follow team managements which works well for me so far. However most of the time I am engaging with lower odds because it promotes higher chances of winning as expected by the majority. I just increase my bet but still under my tolerance to make sure everything's fine and that I will be able to enjoy the outcome no matter what.

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January 22, 2024, 05:25:08 AM
 #46

So that the main point in betting, there is no certainty that the top team will always win and the top team could lose tragically if there is luck and surprises that can be given by the underdog team itself.
Several times I made the mistake of having a fairly convincing prediction by choosing the favorite as the favorite in betting. This prediction was made with full consideration and of course there was an analysis that I carried out.
But everything is in vain when the underdog or bottom team can take advantage of the situation very well and succeed in creating opportunities for victory, bets like this are of course also experienced by other gamblers.
In sports, many unexpected things can happen suddenly and of course conditions like this make it difficult for gamblers. I usually watch the progress of the match and if the conditions or circumstances make it impossible to continue betting then cashout is the right step.

We understand these differences and of course we can conclude that what is considered right may not necessarily be considered good by other gamblers.
Having these different methods can also make us believe in each other abilities with full ambition for success, but for sports betting it will be very difficult to guess accurately.
Just imagine that in the first half there was team that was more dominant and superior, but surprisingly in the second half the opposing team turned things around with much better control of the game so that the advantage belonged to the opposing team.

If you really can't have prediction that you can really believe in or when betting you have doubts then my advice is to bet when you have entered the second half and this will make it easier to study the game to be able to make better predictions.
But by using method like this, don't ever hope to have high odd because significant changes will definitely occur.
That's why we shouldn't be too confident in the results of our analysis and our predictions because the situation in the match can change at any time without us knowing. The favorite team may be defeated by a team that is not favored and it does not guarantee that the favorite team will always beat the other teams. It depends on how the coach can use the right strategy to face his opponents. The coach will adjust his strategy in each match so that the names of the players competing will also change. That makes matches often run unexpectedly and produce different results than we predicted. I also experience what you experience because I feel confident in my analysis. Hence, I immediately placed a bet, but the situation and conditions on the field were very different from my predictions. The opposing team was able to put pressure on my chosen team and even managed to win the match so I had to experience defeat too. That is why we must be able to search for and get more information from trusted sources to add information when analyzing the match. We can only hope that our analysis can provide victory but we must not hope too much.

Each gambler has different ways of analyzing, so they will also have different analysis results. We should not be too ambitious to win every bet we place because it will not always give us a win. The important thing is that we can place bets with the money we can afford so that we won't lose a lot of money if we lose. We also need to improve our analytical skills to use them to find teams that have a chance of winning the match so that our chances of winning will be greater. We also have to be prepared for changes that can occur in each match, so that's why we can adjust the bet amount so we don't lose too much.

If we can't predict, we can look for sources to learn to analyze and it's okay if our predictions are still wrong because that is a process we go through. By continuing to learn to analyze, we can improve our analytical skills to analyze better.

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January 22, 2024, 11:33:09 AM
 #47

Not only betting on the underdog but in each case its strategy and odds must be analyzed well before betting. Otherwise there is a possibility of high risk because not all casinos throw the underdog game the same way. For us players, knowing the odds is an extra tool in our arsenal. This helps you understand whether the bookmaker's odds match your expectations of what will happen. If you think an event is more likely than it is, it can be a betting signal. At the end of the day successful sports betting requires a good understanding of the odds. Also before a person places a bet it is important to know what the betting odds are and how they work.

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