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Author Topic: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning.  (Read 1727 times)
bitvalak
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January 15, 2024, 07:21:41 PM
 #41

As far as I've experienced, the fewer choices you make the better it is to keep your mind clear and sane.
Because usually there are more choices, we are faced with a lot of analysis which ultimately interferes with our decision to bet. Even making lots of choices will also drain your funds in an instant.
It's better to focus on the simpler ones first, so that we get used to reading patterns that may occur in each game. Whether this is a suggestion or whether it can be scientifically proven, when you bet with a happy feeling, your potential for winning is closer.

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January 15, 2024, 07:29:21 PM
 #42

As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.
When gambling, the higher the bets you make, the lower your chances of winning money. I will like to use soccer as an example. When gambling and you pick too many matches in your bet, then your chances of winning will decrease, because your bet can easily be ruined by a match alone. But when you pick just a few matches with little odds, the chances of winning will be kind of high, even if your win might not be much, so I do recommend to people to always reduce the matches that they will be picking when gambling, which will increase their chances of winning.

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January 15, 2024, 07:52:29 PM
 #43

As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.

As long as I discuss sports betting, I always say that the most ideal is a single bet. especially, if we talk about football. every week there are many matches that will be held, whatever the league. starting from the local leagues of each country, to the top European leagues. well, we have many opportunities every week to choose and sort the teams we will bet on later. in fact, I am not referring to expert opinions about too many choices reducing the chances of winning, but based on my experience in sports betting. the more matches we choose, the smaller our chances of winning. so, I agree with what you said in this post based on expert sources, especially in the field of sports. that's why, I often say, bet as ideally as possible and choose from the many matches presented. even before a match is about to take place, we can research it and gather as much up-to-date information as possible.

what's even more ideal is that we have marked several matches beforehand even though the matches, for example, will be held in the next three days. collect information, then research and analyze it. after that, we look for the ideal odds choice as a bet and don't always just have to bet on 1×2. there are many options for us to choose from, whether both teams scored, Under/Over, handicap and various options available. maximum, three matches is more than enough. ideally, just one single bet, that too from various matches that we choose. and never hesitate, if there are no interesting, good, high probability choices, then avoid betting. and I often do this, at least from various top European leagues, one of the best matches is the choice. or, as I said, a maximum of three matches. even so, there is no guarantee that the team we choose will win all three. well, there are no other words other than I agree with what the experts say.

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DubemIfedigbo001
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January 15, 2024, 07:53:12 PM
 #44

As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.
There's no valid formula in betting, some people have win really long coupons, white some have won short and few selections. I'll put it to him that he's saying what possibly works for  him, he needs to remember that peoples gates are different and his magic might not probably be another person's magic.

The most important thing in gambling is finding out what works for you and follow put, follow your heart and have fun.











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January 15, 2024, 08:32:26 PM
 #45

I also take bets one at a time.

I just don't want to do it for so many bets at the same time but when some matches that I like for which a player or the team itself, I'll bet for that even if I have already an active bet.

It varies from time to time and I don't parlay. I'm more satisfied to see the actual odds for each of the bet that I make. Maybe that's about being organized with our bets that we just want it to be like that.
There are really those moment or situations on which there are really some exemptions for you to not on making some bets basing up on what you do observed or basing up on what you havent seen or something like that.
Its not necessary for you to fill up a number of bets on a particular day, it would be pointless or useless if you do rush up on making multiple bets on a single day even if you arent that sure if its gonna win or not.
There are gamblers who are really that just too desperate on trying to catch up with multiple bets because  they are really that eager on making profits in a short time basis without even trying out to
mind off about on the risks factor thing which we know that it is really that important. Speaking about on having many picks then it doesnt automatically means that you do have that reduced
chances of winning but rather the opposite but it would be always be that depending on how well you do pick those bets basing up into your analysis.

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January 15, 2024, 09:52:26 PM
 #46

As gamblers, we love more action, so we tend to make more bets on a regular basis. However, experts say that when we make too many picks regularly, our chances of winning decrease. This is due to the fact that we won't be able to analyze all the games carefully that are in our ticket and won't have the advantage needed to win. So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.



Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.

There are some similarities between picking bets and buying into shares on the stock market, however you're actually up against a much harder contender when choosing to place a bet. They have a lot more useful statistics that are heavily analyzed, but still there is room for the bookmakers to make errors when pricing up the odds they give to people placing bets. Ultimately though, you need a long term strategy and you're right - it is better to pick quality over quantity. However the extent to which you can analyse better than a bookmaker is limited, it may actually be worth looking into artificial intelligence to see whether it can identify any weaknesses or trends in data sets you can provide to it on previous bets.


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January 15, 2024, 10:22:09 PM
 #47

My initial thought was, if I place a lot of bets, it means my chances of winning will be greater. And it turns out that was a wrong idea, because what is clear is that the more bets I place, the higher the level of loss I will experience. And it is true, that the less we place bets, the easier it is for us to control them. And vice versa. Because sometimes when I place too many bets, it encourages me to behave carelessly, by placing bets carelessly without any calculation, analysis or a definite and mature prediction. And the more we place bets, the closer we get to feeling addicted to betting or gambling itself. So it would be better if we placed bets in reasonable amounts, apart from minimizing the occurrence of significant losses, this also needs to be done so that we can be more focused and mature in carrying out calculations, analysis and predictions. .

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January 15, 2024, 10:27:56 PM
 #48

FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.
I thought that you're talking about parlay. But I don't think that there is a difference whether you do single bets or do it on a parlay. The chances of winning will remain the same but it's just harder with parlay. So, avoiding the discussion about parlay and moving to the single bets and what you're describing here is about the consecutive bets and that's gonna reduce my chance of winning, but how? I think if I understand it right, it's about how many picks/bets not with many choices per bet. IMHO, if it's been said by an expert/s it's better to put that link or case study to solidify and back that claim about the reduced chance of winning when you pick a lot of bets daily. To see on how it reduces the chance of winning and that's another knowledge that we'll learn and gain.

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January 15, 2024, 10:35:07 PM
 #49

It seems to me that even if some of our picks win, placing too many bets without a calculated plan could result in lower payouts. You might not be much affected by the number of picks because the odds are usually stacked in the house's favor. I believe that you can maintain mental clarity and sanity by making fewer decisions. Naturally, the key to increasing our chances of winning at gambling is to comprehend the odds, the game's mechanics, and to have a well-thought-out strategy.
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January 15, 2024, 10:37:30 PM
 #50

~
It's not parlay so just in general spreading your bets across various matches instead? I'd say that's common sense really. It's not even a matter of not being able to analyze all games, just the fact that your money is spread over various games already screams of reducing the profits you could possibly gain. Whoever thought of this probably mistook his gambling portfolio for his trading portfolio really.

Not to mention that winning a lot is a lot harder compared to winning it big once. In essence really it's rather similar to how parlay works, though I guess the former is still better than the latter.

 
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January 15, 2024, 10:51:47 PM
 #51

So instead, it's recommended that we should value quality over quantity if we want to succeed in sports betting.

Share your opinion regarding this matter.
We should value quality over quantity? This is only workable on the grounds that our staking power is very high. You don't expect a gambler whose staking power at most is $10 to be picking a single game with an odd of 1.20, how much are you expecting him to win as profit from that bet. But if it's from a high staker 1.20 odd with $100-500 stake can bring out something meaningful for a gambler that's ain't greedy

Quote


Edit : I see that some replies are talking about parlay. FYI, this is not about parlay, it's about making many single picks on a regular basis. Please avoid using parlay when sharing your opinion.
Parlays betting may be very hard to avoid because many gamblers uses the parlay as a means to increase their potential winning due to their low staking power.
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January 15, 2024, 11:14:00 PM
 #52

-snip-
I just don't want to do it for so many bets at the same time but when some matches that I like for which a player or the team itself, I'll bet for that even if I have already an active bet.
-snip-
If without betting on the favorite team that both play or see a match that is quite exciting, it is difficult to just make one bet.
Making a double bet isn't necessarily bad, it won't reduce your chances of winning.
Because we have several active bets, so the possibility of winning will be more.

The number of bets used is also adjusted to how much and what we have, maybe it will be divided evenly with several other bets.

 
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January 15, 2024, 11:36:27 PM
 #53

Most punters I gave seen only know a handful of teams really well.
Yes ofc there are people that will know every little detail about their country's top tier and perhaps even second tier leagues by heart.
But the vast majority if us sport fans will maybe know some stuff about our local team, their rivals, the top of the league etc. So tops 3 to 5 teams.

And ofc if on any particular week you want to get many bets in, naturally you will have to put stakes in more games than the ones you know enough things to make educated decisions about. So the advice in the OP Is valid in that regard. If someone wants to make many different bets on a regular basis I would at least recommend making them in categories and teams they are more certain about.

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January 16, 2024, 12:24:11 AM
 #54

More single picks will let us avoid losses. This is true, because with parlay gamblers used to pick in a random manner whereas with single bet they used to analyse, gather data and pick the odds. With most of the single bets we won't be able to make big money as profit, but winning three bets and losing two will somehow gives us with a profit than losing the entire bet going for parlay.

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January 16, 2024, 02:05:50 AM
 #55

I thought this was about parlay betting but it turns out it's about single bets, maybe if you make more parlay bets, make more choices, it will indeed reduce your chances of winning, it's better with fewer choices with really accurate analysis so the chance of winning is greater. Talking about betting actually, this depends on us, if you choose many bets, for example 20 matches and only lose 2 or 3 matches, then you will still get a profit, because in fact the more you have single choice, the greater the chance of winning, but you have to analyze it accurately and not carelessly so that it will bring you closer to profit, perhaps what the experts mean is that when making a parlay bet, the more we choose to bet, the chance of winning decreases, but if it is a single bet, in my opinion it will be more profitable if many of your bets win compared to the other ones if you lose. This can also minimize losses, for example placing 10 bets and losing 3, we still get a profit on 7 that bets.
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January 16, 2024, 02:26:43 AM
 #56

Yes definitely, if you play more games by placing more bets, then it means that you are taking more risk to make more money. Now we know that with high risk the chances of loss also increases. Hence, it’s often seen that we make losses in this type of situation. We can easily counter this, if we set a daily budget and bet according to it. Don’t greed for more, and you won’t lose more.

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January 16, 2024, 06:43:31 AM
 #57

Although for some gamblers, making too many picks will increase their chances of winning it's the opposite because making a lot of picks means you are also increasing the risk and you could lose more than a single pick, I prefer to pick single choices one at a time because it will decrease the risk of losing such large amount of money and of course I have a limit to budget so I know when to make a choice or pick, think of this if you make too many picks means you will be more less focus and the level of anxiety waiting for the result will also increase, so its better to not let your greedy take over, its better to earn little than to lose huge amount in one go, that is the most mistakes of other gamblers, they becoming more greedy and taking things rush as if it will help them to win or to have a winnings.

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January 16, 2024, 11:39:43 AM
 #58

Quality over quantity is a basic rule of sports betting. Betting on a lot of different games lets you do more in-depth study and analysis. Using this method enables you to make smart choices by analyzing things like odds, team success, and player statistics. It's better to make decisions by selecting carefully do some analyzation.
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January 16, 2024, 11:52:06 AM
 #59

It could be. Many single picks. We tend to exhausts our resources on the first game that we predicted so we have a high chance to win that. On our next bets we might get lazy at checking the statistics and history of the team we are betting and their opponents. Yes, we reduce the chance to win.
But, let's also consider those who only follow one sport. What if they really know what the result might be because they are following that certain game? That's also a fact because many gamblers are just focused on one favorite game and they might really have an idea who will win. I bet 3 to 4 games on one day in just one sport so I can say that there are gamblers who are successful at winning 75 - 80 percent of their bets.
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January 16, 2024, 11:55:34 AM
 #60

Making too many picks reduces chances of winning.
Since I don't usually play sportsbetting this will also apply to lottery and this happened to me many times before. I placed bets on multiple combinations just to increase my chances of winning but what really happened was the opposite. I keep on doing that for a while and then realized that it gave me nothing but upset on the consecutive loss I suffered. I think it would be better if it is based only on our instincts though it also does not guarantee any winnings but it might help us lessen the loss.

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