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Author Topic: My betting strategies  (Read 4804 times)
Sanitough
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February 25, 2024, 10:57:13 PM
 #181

I do not bet often but when I do, my strategy is done in such a way that I will be at least sure of a way. I do most of my sports betting in obscure football leagues or cups in Armenia, Croatia, Poland, Asia I usually prefer to do half-time/full-time, under/overs, and both teams to score. I have been lucky in these leagues than in well known leagues. And I use less than 10% of my income. I do not bet every other week. At lease 6 times in a week(not fixed).

Do you mean you bet at least 6 times in a week. If so this is more like saying you bet everyday. Well, strategies that work for you may not work for others. For me, are bet mostly on championship days and weekends. I believe these are days I can get good he's with good odds that can give me maximum returns.
I have seen someone for bet all days of the week, and he still managed to do that responsibly since he follow his lay down principles at all time, this is where the main thing comes in, because i understand your fear with someone who gamble on daily basis with the tendency of getting addicted or lose much more than he or she can afford to lose and for that one need to give space abs take a vreak in between games admin day to cool off.

But when you can handle all with being under so much uncontrollable pressure is key to attaining a satisfactory gambling experience most especially when you gambling for fun and not for the winnings, based on that you won't be forced to chase any direction.
There's no problem with gambling on a daily basis as long as everything is under control. For some, gambling is just entertainment, so if they are gambling daily, that makes them happy daily. People should stop judging those who gamble constantly as irresponsible, since gambling is created for entertainment, and it always depends on the gambler himself if he will stay disciplined or not.

Betting strategies may differ, but as long as the outcome favors you, you should stick with that. Most of the time, the only problem is ourselves. Although the strategy is already perfected, the lack of implementation could ruin it, and that is because of our sensitive emotions.
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February 25, 2024, 11:03:48 PM
 #182

how the results of your gambling in sports betting using the strategy you wrote.
what percentage of profit you get every month from the strategy you use.
Because if gambling in sports betting the value of odds is also very important because to cover losses if our previous bet loses. because if the odds are small when guessing wrong recovery will be even more difficult.

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February 25, 2024, 11:14:19 PM
 #183

I do not bet often but when I do, my strategy is done in such a way that I will be at least sure of a way. I do most of my sports betting in obscure football leagues or cups in Armenia, Croatia, Poland, Asia I usually prefer to do half-time/full-time, under/overs, and both teams to score. I have been lucky in these leagues than in well known leagues. And I use less than 10% of my income. I do not bet every other week. At lease 6 times in a week(not fixed).

Do you mean you bet at least 6 times in a week. If so this is more like saying you bet everyday. Well, strategies that work for you may not work for others. For me, are bet mostly on championship days and weekends. I believe these are days I can get good he's with good odds that can give me maximum returns.
I have seen someone for bet all days of the week, and he still managed to do that responsibly since he follow his lay down principles at all time, this is where the main thing comes in, because i understand your fear with someone who gamble on daily basis with the tendency of getting addicted or lose much more than he or she can afford to lose and for that one need to give space abs take a vreak in between games admin day to cool off.

But when you can handle all with being under so much uncontrollable pressure is key to attaining a satisfactory gambling experience most especially when you gambling for fun and not for the winnings, based on that you won't be forced to chase any direction.


Gambling for fun has its own relief and in most cases does not trigger that level of addiction that causes problems to one's finances or calls for concern.
The fact that you consider gambling fun is enough strategy to kill every sign of addiction. Fun has to do with what you commit non profitable resources to in other to get a non- substantial reward.

Knowing this and applying it alone is enough strategy.

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February 26, 2024, 08:39:09 AM
 #184

The goal difference is a very difficult thing to predict in my opinion because sometimes, even teams that are generally stronger than their opponent tend to score no goals. After all, the opponent manages to defend all their tries and unfortunately, the game ends with no score at all, even if they manage to score somehow, they might not be able to score up to the expected quantity which means those who had bet on goals will lose their bets even if the team manages to win.

In my opinion, the easiest way to win a sports bet is to analyse the teams and their strengths and then decide which side is going to win because if you choose the stronger side, even if they score one goal, they win the game and you win your bet which isn't going to happen if you bet on goals.
Please read the context, folks. Iam not guessing GD, but we use it as one of the strategies to measure a team or club's strength. And again, this is a soccer match, where I'm sure not only us are betting, but many people around the world are betting on every game. Any analysis can still fail.

Analyzing teams and their strengths doesn't always make you right, does it? Even the Manchester United vs. Fulham match, played at Old Trafford, ended surprisingly. Manchester United was favored in several aspects, including h2h, ranking in the table, GD, and everything. But Fulham emerged as the winner..
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February 26, 2024, 09:00:55 AM
 #185

Gambling for fun has its own relief and in most cases does not trigger that level of addiction that causes problems to one's finances or calls for concern.
The fact that you consider gambling fun is enough strategy to kill every sign of addiction. Fun has to do with what you commit non profitable resources to in other to get a non- substantial reward.

Knowing this and applying it alone is enough strategy.

Sorry but you are completely wrong, and I disagree with you, it is 100 percent possible for someone who is gambling mainly for fun; to still become addicted to gambling.
Becoming a gambling addict is not something or a character threat that only those who gamble for money are at risk of, anybody can become an addict in gambling if he or she gambles too much, and also commit their heart and soul in it, it doesn't matter whether he or she is doing it for fun or for monetary benefits.

Take for example, some people start smoking, not because they really want to, but just to feel among the kind or type of people they go out with, but before they even realize it, they are already heavily and deeply into smoking, to the extent that stopping it becomes a big problem for them, why does this happen? It's because, there is always a very tin line between casually doing, and seriously doing that same thing.

A person can start gambling and take it that he or she is just having fun, if he or she starts gambling too much, like applying some seriousness to it, in his or her mind, he or she may still feel that he or she is just having fun, but trust me, that person is on his or her way to becoming the next gambling addict.

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February 26, 2024, 09:45:18 AM
 #186

If we're veering a bit into soccer, the goal difference is now my main analysis, especially as we're past week 18. For other sports, I also analyze the scores obtained by the athletes or clubs. The success or failure of a match is very much reflected in the scores achieved, so besides the parameters you mentioned earlier, I'm starting to consider this score as well.

The bigger the score, the more it indicates that the team or athlete is too strong. This makes it easier for us to compare their strength in other matches. Even though the final result is still unpredictable because surprises often happen in matches, analyzing them clearly minimizes the risks we face.

You cannot really trust the score in soccer, nor the performance of the team in the season nor the performance of specific players. All that is more or less taken into account by the house, so your chance to try playing with advantage disappears in that sense. You are not really betting to a team winning, you are betting at the house having gotten the odds wrong.


Absolutely correct, but the team is made up of the players and it will not be out of context to note that the players collectively make up the team and if there exists a challenge with the players then it will be a team challenge. The team would win the game if all her players were to play at their full potential not if one had a problem and couldn't deliver on his own line of duty.
We can underestimate the power of having the right players on the team and it is advantageous to the team's potential winning, I have experienced this many times where the efforts of a player yield the club a winning match that seems tough for them from the beginning, like in the last Manchester City game with a smaller club, the played a draw game all through the first half and second half but halland was able to make a score in the extra time in the match, so his efforts paid off for the club so having a star player on the team is a plus to the team.


Another example is Christiano Ronaldo whose presence in the AI Nasrr Saudi Arabian club has changed the performance and position of the club in the league,  so we can't undermine their contribution to the clubs, the reason why clubs spend alot on signing big players.
The strength of the club is very important for us to bet on, many gamblers put money into their clubs who have been watching for a long time. and knowing the position and potential the club has. I always rely on several clubs and it depends on the opposing club team that will be playing. As you said, City is a giant English club with lots of star players, this is an attraction for betting on strong club teams

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February 26, 2024, 10:40:19 AM
 #187

There are people who take into account the emotional state of the team and players, jet lag, weather factors and much more. Of course, this is more in the area of fortune telling, but nevertheless, this help them make this or that bet. Unfortunately, over the past 15 years, many top football teams have not shown the best results. However, bets continue to be placed on them due to their “name” and past results.
Everything changes. 20 years ago we didn`t hear anything about Chelsea or ManCity. Seria A was top championship. Today Seria A is medium championship and ManCity is one of the best teams in the world. It is normally and we mustn`t bet in memory of the team it was several years ago.
Even if we compares teams today and year ago - it can differs very serious - new players, new coach, and, as result - the team becomes unpredictable for several matches.

And that's a valid point,  you needed to consider all the changes that has been done, the impact of that change will reflect to performance of the club or team that you'll going to support, most if the time, adjustment can be done especially if you are still in the part where you are selecting games to bet on, there are lots of time for you to consider if which team you think that will give you potential benefits.

And by knowing those changes you'll also have the chance to compare the capabilities of each teams that you are monitoring,  in gambling,  the better you understand  the game the better chance to pick the right team to support.
If you have favorite team it is easy to search information - you know all about it. But it can be difficult for gambling - if it is famous enough team - every bookie knows such information and use it for calculating odds. So you can get big odd using some fans secret information - everybody knows when some big player is ill. But if you team is a small team from small town - it can be advantage.

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February 26, 2024, 03:56:19 PM
 #188

There are people who take into account the emotional state of the team and players, jet lag, weather factors and much more. Of course, this is more in the area of fortune telling, but nevertheless, this help them make this or that bet. Unfortunately, over the past 15 years, many top football teams have not shown the best results. However, bets continue to be placed on them due to their “name” and past results.
Everything changes. 20 years ago we didn`t hear anything about Chelsea or ManCity. Seria A was top championship. Today Seria A is medium championship and ManCity is one of the best teams in the world. It is normally and we mustn`t bet in memory of the team it was several years ago.
Even if we compares teams today and year ago - it can differs very serious - new players, new coach, and, as result - the team becomes unpredictable for several matches.

And that's a valid point,  you needed to consider all the changes that has been done, the impact of that change will reflect to performance of the club or team that you'll going to support, most if the time, adjustment can be done especially if you are still in the part where you are selecting games to bet on, there are lots of time for you to consider if which team you think that will give you potential benefits.

And by knowing those changes you'll also have the chance to compare the capabilities of each teams that you are monitoring,  in gambling,  the better you understand  the game the better chance to pick the right team to support.
If you have favorite team it is easy to search information - you know all about it. But it can be difficult for gambling - if it is famous enough team - every bookie knows such information and use it for calculating odds. So you can get big odd using some fans secret information - everybody knows when some big player is ill. But if you team is a small team from small town - it can be advantage.

When it comes to betting on football for me it is very easy, it is as you Say , the favorite team has a lot of information on the Web and that helps Determine who could be the winner, I also see the most famous team, and when they are Between two Teams very good as opposed to more study being done on them, but it is something that I Only Find in data from sports information , Where I see that the statistics are very well Viewed and with tremendous chances of winning in a bet is when the boxing fights take place, because the Statistics are very Accurate.

Boxing Matches are the ones that come Closest to the Predictions, if only sports said the Predictions like in boxing, things were different, I think there would be more Winners , more Neighbors in the game and that is something that can be good for We , in the Casino , also win with this because of the huge advantage they have, it is complicated but sometimes these Things do Work.

R


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February 26, 2024, 05:46:34 PM
 #189

If you have favorite team it is easy to search information - you know all about it. But it can be difficult for gambling - if it is famous enough team - every bookie knows such information and use it for calculating odds. So you can get big odd using some fans secret information - everybody knows when some big player is ill. But if you team is a small team from small town - it can be advantage.
In this case, the idea can be developed further: if a team is from a small town and plays in the third or fourth league, then it is easier to agree on a fake match. And an experienced bookmaker will be able to make good advertising and attract a lot of bets. But this, of course, would be a scam with great risk, and it can only be done successfully once or twice. And in this context, I will “paraphrase” one of the participants in our forum with his strategies for betting on an outsider.

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terrific
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February 26, 2024, 05:50:53 PM
 #190

In this case, the idea can be developed further: if a team is from a small town and plays in the third or fourth league, then it is easier to agree on a fake match. And an experienced bookmaker will be able to make good advertising and attract a lot of bets. But this, of course, would be a scam with great risk, and it can only be done successfully once or twice. And in this context, I will “paraphrase” one of the participants in our forum with his strategies for betting on an outsider.
Not a fake match but it's a sold one. Those type of matches truly happens in those type of leagues where the tier is for the lower ones.
As a bettor, I'd avoid those type of leagues because they're prone to selling matches and your bet might not be justifiable if you lose it when you have the idea that it was once a sold game and your money doesn't even able to fight for it.


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Franctoshi
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February 27, 2024, 02:53:49 AM
 #191

There's no problem with gambling on a daily basis as long as everything is under control. For some, gambling is just entertainment, so if they are gambling daily, that makes them happy daily. People should stop judging those who gamble constantly as irresponsible, since gambling is created for entertainment, and it always depends on the gambler himself if he will stay disciplined or not.
For sure, if the gambler can put things under control then there is no issues here, but the problem here is that, out of many only few gamblers who gamble on the dialy basis would have things under their control and without these regular visit of online or offline gambling site gradually turning them into gamble anddicts and mostly happens without them even noticing it.

Betting strategies may differ, but as long as the outcome favors you, you should stick with that. Most of the time, the only problem is ourselves. Although the strategy is already perfected, the lack of implementation could ruin it, and that is because of our sensitive emotions.
Even with our strategies and those points that op listed, games will still go they way they want, it will even shock you to know that most of the times I win in sports betting, I pick a team to win base on current players in their and the manager the team has and not looking at what they have done in the past regarding H2H meetings.

R


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mak013
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February 27, 2024, 06:12:50 AM
 #192

If you have favorite team it is easy to search information - you know all about it. But it can be difficult for gambling - if it is famous enough team - every bookie knows such information and use it for calculating odds. So you can get big odd using some fans secret information - everybody knows when some big player is ill. But if you team is a small team from small town - it can be advantage.

When it comes to betting on football for me it is very easy, it is as you Say , the favorite team has a lot of information on the Web and that helps Determine who could be the winner, I also see the most famous team, and when they are Between two Teams very good as opposed to more study being done on them, but it is something that I Only Find in data from sports information , Where I see that the statistics are very well Viewed and with tremendous chances of winning in a bet is when the boxing fights take place, because the Statistics are very Accurate.

Boxing Matches are the ones that come Closest to the Predictions, if only sports said the Predictions like in boxing, things were different, I think there would be more Winners , more Neighbors in the game and that is something that can be good for We , in the Casino , also win with this because of the huge advantage they have, it is complicated but sometimes these Things do Work.
I don`t like boxing matches. They have only one man in the team and the price of his mistake is huge. When we talk about football - there are 11 men in the team and if someone mistakes - the others can help him. But surely, we can`t guarantee the result - it is sport and everything is possible.


If you have favorite team it is easy to search information - you know all about it. But it can be difficult for gambling - if it is famous enough team - every bookie knows such information and use it for calculating odds. So you can get big odd using some fans secret information - everybody knows when some big player is ill. But if you team is a small team from small town - it can be advantage.
In this case, the idea can be developed further: if a team is from a small town and plays in the third or fourth league, then it is easier to agree on a fake match. And an experienced bookmaker will be able to make good advertising and attract a lot of bets. But this, of course, would be a scam with great risk, and it can only be done successfully once or twice. And in this context, I will “paraphrase” one of the participants in our forum with his strategies for betting on an outsider.
It is possible, but i think that we can get such information only if we have some mate in the team. And as result the bookie will cancel your bet or even ban you. But if you real fan of this team, you know if they are ready for such kind of matches.

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redsun114
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February 27, 2024, 02:59:02 PM
 #193

Because if gambling in sports betting the value of odds is also very important because to cover losses if our previous bet loses. because if the odds are small when guessing wrong recovery will be even more difficult.
One needs to have this thing in their strategy to stay profitable in sports betting because as you said, if a sports bettor is losing a bet worth $20, and then even if he wins a bet worth $20 but has 1.5x odds, he wouldn't be able to recover everything they have lost previously. So one needs to evaluate all these things when planning their bets so that they are either choosing games with higher odds or risking more money if the odds are lower to recover previous losses.

To be honest, I think it's not that difficult to win your money back when it comes to sports betting as long as you have knowledge about a certain sport that you usually place your bets on because even if you lose 2 games out of 10, the other games will cover the money you've lost in that series.

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February 27, 2024, 06:32:08 PM
 #194

In this case, the idea can be developed further: if a team is from a small town and plays in the third or fourth league, then it is easier to agree on a fake match. And an experienced bookmaker will be able to make good advertising and attract a lot of bets. But this, of course, would be a scam with great risk, and it can only be done successfully once or twice. And in this context, I will “paraphrase” one of the participants in our forum with his strategies for betting on an outsider.
Not a fake match but it's a sold one. Those type of matches truly happens in those type of leagues where the tier is for the lower ones.
As a bettor, I'd avoid those type of leagues because they're prone to selling matches and your bet might not be justifiable if you lose it when you have the idea that it was once a sold game and your money doesn't even able to fight for it.
I agree with you, I was just trying to show that "team from small town" is not always a positive thing. In such leagues, the favorite can “accidentally” lose to the underdog with a significant score, or we can see own goals with a huge coefficient. By the way, fake games are typical and for e-sports, and also in the lower leagues. Betting on sports is similar to betting in a casino - no matter what strategies you follow, there is a very high chance of losing.

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February 27, 2024, 07:00:09 PM
 #195

how the results of your gambling in sports betting using the strategy you wrote.
what percentage of profit you get every month from the strategy you use?
Because if gambling in sports betting the value of odds is also very important because to cover losses if our previous bet loses. because if the odds are small when guessing wrong recovery will be even more difficult.
Every sports bettor should understand that, the predictions are based on the conditions of the matches and even though one may have a strategy that has worked before,  it is still subject to changes based on the condition of the game and what and how players take advantage of certain chances as there present themselves.


The only area one could have a strategy is in financial control and how the player chooses to make use of the available funding while gambling on sports betting, aside from that, there is no other workable strategy.

R


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February 27, 2024, 08:10:49 PM
 #196

In this case, the idea can be developed further: if a team is from a small town and plays in the third or fourth league, then it is easier to agree on a fake match. And an experienced bookmaker will be able to make good advertising and attract a lot of bets. But this, of course, would be a scam with great risk, and it can only be done successfully once or twice. And in this context, I will “paraphrase” one of the participants in our forum with his strategies for betting on an outsider.
Not a fake match but it's a sold one. Those type of matches truly happens in those type of leagues where the tier is for the lower ones.
As a bettor, I'd avoid those type of leagues because they're prone to selling matches and your bet might not be justifiable if you lose it when you have the idea that it was once a sold game and your money doesn't even able to fight for it.

You can't do anything as the game can be manipulated by people who has a good control regarding to the game, something that we can't avoid to happen inside those small tier leagues,  it's better  if you can do your research and study those major leagues which can help you address every factors that you use when analyzing games, understanding and knowing both potential and edges by the team that you are following might help you plus knowing that big leagues is not prone that much with any possibility of fixed matches (not generalizing) as we can still hear rumors about some game fixing.

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February 27, 2024, 08:28:48 PM
 #197

I agree with you, I was just trying to show that "team from small town" is not always a positive thing. In such leagues, the favorite can “accidentally” lose to the underdog with a significant score, or we can see own goals with a huge coefficient. By the way, fake games are typical and for e-sports, and also in the lower leagues. Betting on sports is similar to betting in a casino - no matter what strategies you follow, there is a very high chance of losing.

I guess we can say that even in skill-based gambling games like sports betting we still rely on some luck. Without luck we can't win, small or big odds, there is no "safe bet" in any gambling game, the "luck" factor is essential in all games.

I can't say that I have some special strategy when it comes to sports betting. I like to follow some tipsters and I compare their picks with mine and I make a bet (usually parlay) after that. I can only say it's hard to win in the long run, I have some streaks of wins but after that losing streaks eat my balance,  I feel like I am trapped in a magic circle. I guess we need to have a lot of patience to win in the long run (which I don't have) and to make long breaks between bets. Of course, there are no guarantees that it can help, but after some wins, we definitely need to make a break before we get into betting again... another one of those things that is easier said than done.

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Uhwuchukwu53
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February 27, 2024, 09:49:34 PM
 #198

I never used no. 3 as basis for my betting strategy. Why? Those matches that happened five years ago are no longer relevant to the current teams.  I can acknowledge that there is rivalry between clubs and there are past records but players are different now. I would rather look at the injury and suspension list instead of head to head.

You speak my mind  the first two I do consider but the number 3 is no go area some past analysis when compare with the present gives different results , only formation from current match they play is enough for me.

OP, you have some very interresting betting strategies there, but do you think clubs will throw matches, when they are top of their league? A lot of these clubs will go for a unbeaten record and might decide not to throw any matches. (It might also be perceived as match fixing)

Yes, they might play some of their weaker players against weaker teams to rest their stronger players, but they will not throw those games. (Tournaments points are valueble, for those instances, where you lose a game or two against the stronger teams)

It's the facts everyone need record even if they need sell of their game not at early stage where their hope is still back  to create record. Everything has strategies I believe on your point reserve is strong player is preparation to harder challenge ahead.

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bitterguy28
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February 27, 2024, 10:08:57 PM
 #199

I do not bet often but when I do, my strategy is done in such a way that I will be at least sure of a way. I do most of my sports betting in obscure football leagues or cups in Armenia, Croatia, Poland, Asia I usually prefer to do half-time/full-time, under/overs, and both teams to score. I have been lucky in these leagues than in well known leagues. And I use less than 10% of my income. I do not bet every other week. At lease 6 times in a week(not fixed).

Do you mean you bet at least 6 times in a week. If so this is more like saying you bet everyday. Well, strategies that work for you may not work for others. For me, are bet mostly on championship days and weekends. I believe these are days I can get good he's with good odds that can give me maximum returns.
I have seen someone for bet all days of the week, and he still managed to do that responsibly since he follow his lay down principles at all time, this is where the main thing comes in, because i understand your fear with someone who gamble on daily basis with the tendency of getting addicted or lose much more than he or she can afford to lose and for that one need to give space abs take a vreak in between games admin day to cool off.

But when you can handle all with being under so much uncontrollable pressure is key to attaining a satisfactory gambling experience most especially when you gambling for fun and not for the winnings, based on that you won't be forced to chase any direction.


Gambling for fun has its own relief and in most cases does not trigger that level of addiction that causes problems to one's finances or calls for concern.
The fact that you consider gambling fun is enough strategy to kill every sign of addiction. Fun has to do with what you commit non profitable resources to in other to get a non- substantial reward.

Knowing this and applying it alone is enough strategy.


Don’t most addictions start like this though? addictions start because someone started doing something and they ended up enjoying it to the point that they can not stop anymore Some people gamble because they like the feeling or that high they get when they win so even if they lose so many times they would just want to keep on coming back

Sometimes addiction is not just about money or the profit they are gaining but rather the exhilarating experience they get from it

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February 27, 2024, 10:31:18 PM
 #200

I basically wasn’t an actual gambler not until I joined the forum and the truth be told all the strategies you mentioned where used by me because previous, my bets where more on odds and match club statistics as I was more concerned about odds as well as statistics of the team playing the very match .
I was tempted to say you should be specific on the very match and games you were talking about but I had to take my time to read all of your post though I’m not really a reader of long post but I actually wanted to read and know what strategies you were talking about and if it will be favorable to me but it seems I’m already familiar with it but anyways thanks mate for sharing the knowledge.

~snip~

Do you mean you bet at least 6 times in a week. If so this is more like saying you bet everyday. Well, strategies that work for you may not work for others. For me, are bet mostly on championship days and weekends. I believe these are days I can get good he's with good odds that can give me maximum returns.
We’re in same shoes of betting mostly weekends and I think that’s another strategy on it’s own as I think there are always more better matches weekends and I learnt this from a friend who always prefers betting weekends to have more obvious and more interesting and important games to bet on.

R


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