When will the real bull run begin?

[fuguebtc]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market so current prices do not interest me too much as I got in a lot lower so I am just waiting to take profits.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

I will continue to hold as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

How is everyone else feeling?

Bull season is coming but no one can tell you exactly when it will happen, maybe in the next few months or maybe in the next few years. The only thing when investing in bitcoin is to be mentally prepared to hold it for a long time and maybe longer than you originally planned. Don't speculate with bitcoin and think you can easily make a profit from it. I mean, don't focus too much on news like ETFs or halvings, they can be factors in creating a bull season but nothing is 100% guaranteed.

[DannyHamilton]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022

The highest value that month was less than $48,000.  So, you're already up more than 28% on the purchases you made that month.  Got it.  Great job! That's a very nice return on investment after only 27 months!

and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

From mid-November 2022 through mid-March 2024 (16 months) we just had a huge bull run from a low of a bit less than $15,600 to a high of more than $73,000. That's an increase of almost 370%! I'm sorry about your patience, but it appears you weren't paying attention?

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market

Wonderful! So, you have multiple purchases below $18,000 between November 7, 2022 and January 11, 2023. Isn't it exciting that all those purchases are now worth more than 3 times as much after less than 18 months!?

so current prices do not interest me too much

Honestly, I never find any price "interesting". It's just a number.  $10 per bitcoin sounds just as interesting to me as $1,000,000 per bitcoin.

as I got in a lot lower

That's great. That means you've experienced the bull run and can decide now if you want to do something else with your money, or if you want to continue to see what happens next with Bitcoin.  So many fun choices to make.

so I am just waiting to take profits.

Waiting? Why?  If you just want profits, you can take them now.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

Oh. Past performance is NEVER a guarantee of future results. There is one thing that I can say with a high level of confidence though:
Every time the bitcoin exchange rate hits a new all-time-high value, it will be within two years of when the bitcoin reward subsidy is cut in half.
That's a fun fact, isn't it?

I will continue to hold

Oh. Ok. I thought you said you wanted to take profits? If you would prefer to hold, that's a fun choice as well.

as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run

Real? Was there something imaginary about the bull run we already had? Also, if you want to take profits, you should think about the fact that we may be months away from a real bear run.  I certainly wouldn't be surprised if the value of Bitcoin was more than $250,000 a year from now, BUT I also wouldn't be at all surprised it if was $15,000 either (or anywhere in-between). If you want guaranteed profits, the only way to do that is to sell now.  If you want the possibility of higher profits, then you're going to need to accept the risk of lower profits or even total loss.

but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

Again, there's been plenty of action. Is there something about that action that makes it imaginary? It certainly seems real to me.

How is everyone else feeling?

I feel like you just like to complain. Maybe it makes you feel important when people respond to your complaints, I don't know. You're essentially bragging about how you made a lot of money, and simultaneously complaining that you want lots MORE money. I wasn't going to point that out, but since you asked.

[Gallar]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market so current prices do not interest me too much as I got in a lot lower so I am just waiting to take profits.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

~Snip

It is true that 4 months after the halving in 2020 Bitcoin experienced quite good price movements (up). However, you need to remember that the price of bitcoin started to rise higher, namely at the end of 2021. Then in November 2021 the price of bitcoin managed to break through the ATH at that time at $68K. So if you look at the historical records of the last Bitcoin halving, it means that the time interval before the Bitcoin price experienced a rapid increase (bull run), was approximately one year after the halving occurred. So in my opinion the bull run market that occurs this time will not be much different from the bull run markets that have occurred before. Therefore, you have to be more patient to get the target price you want. Because as we know, the Bitcoin halving just happened. So the potential for bitcoin to experience a very high price increase will definitely take a little longer (1-1.5 years). Therefore, until that happens, you must be able to strengthen your patience even more. And my advice, if you still have capital that can be invested in Bitcoin, then it's better to just continue doing DCA.

[crwth]

Well, that's going to be dependent on the market and we cannot really know where we will go but only once we are there. It's best that you HODL and continue to buy if you are able to. I think the bull run would start around 6 months to 1 year I believe. Let's wait to have another run-up and be happy lol.

[Cryptomultiplier]

...
How is everyone else feeling?

I for one has been excited about the halving happening at a time when my knowledge of Bitcoin is emboldened enough and from my research of such happenings, the bull run should come within 3-6months after this current halving.
Everyone DCAing for sometime now, can still do so and wait for maturity stage before selling or an investor who has been patient enough to accumulate can either continue to do so or still sell.

[Slow death]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market so current prices do not interest me too much as I got in a lot lower so I am just waiting to take profits.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

I will continue to hold as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

If you bought bitcoin in 2022 then you are still making a profit of 2x or 3x, so that in itself is already something very incredible, if it were in other markets you would hardly have obtained such a profit. I think we always need to be grateful when we manage to make a profit of 2x or 3x, because there is no guarantee that the price will always go up a lot. The past event should not serve as a guarantee that it will repeat itself in the future. In the past, the price rose a lot after the halving, but this does not mean that the price must necessarily rise a lot in this halving, it may be the case that in this halving things are different and at most the price has a modest increase, such as 50% It's just that people need to be prepared for these types of scenarios and not get into feelings of anger and hate.

How is everyone else feeling?

In my case I'm feeling good, I always get it in my head that this is a high-risk market and that past events are no guarantee that they will happen again, especially when it comes to large price increases. As the price becomes very high, the more complicated it becomes for it to increase by 3x, 10x. for example in the current scenario where the price of bitcoin is at $63000, rising to 5x is a very difficult mission, and 10x can be considered mission impossible, so we cannot look at the past increase and think that we will see the same thing in the future

[GeorgeJohn]

I have been very patient up till now - just the last few days have been struggling with it but I will continue to hold.

I am up 85% currently so I'm happy so far but want want a lot more so just need to remember it will take time and expect that to come end of this year / early next year.

really comprehend what you're saying but from the look of things I think that what you are saying is that you have been holding for long time and whenever you make a profit in any of the investment you make or any of the coins about you are holding you should make sure that you withdraw your profit all you need to draw your capital and the leaf your profit so that is the systematic way of investment in cryptocurrency was some people does not understand the protocols of a crypto investment they will hold onto the market is out of bullish season so that is why we see it many people does not like to learn and comprehend very well via cryptocurrency or bitcoin investment especially when bullrun affect your investment

[kotajikikox]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

Mate I feel your frustration and sometimes I also feel impatient but your trust in bitcoin should ease your mind. We have to be patient or else there will be mo rewards for us.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

History repeats itself. It is not only during the 2020 halving that it took quite a while for bitcoin to sky rocket. It happened on other previous halvings as well and most likely will happen on this one too.

[R100K-Martin-Lunger]

I understand your sentiments, but you have to be patient. Historically Bitcoin's price doesn't increase right away after the halving. It does take a few months, always. My estimation is that it will get to a new ATH by the end of the year. Analysts are saying it might just cross 150k. If you have been HODLing for this long, what do a few more months matter. Try to be patient!

[famososMuertos]

Well, OP, You are the typical 'dude' that sucks bitcoin as a model of return obligatory. Then, the adjective patience is  to only exists for a monetary return, money, hey, we are not on the trading board, so, do you understand the importance of bitcoin in its other financial aspects.

Anyway, you will earn the automatic right to get rich, when the volatility of bitcoin dictates the right to profit at your whim.

[kentrolla]

You have answered the question yourself, usually the bull runs starts post few months of halving. But this year we have seen very good spike in the value of Bitcoin even before the halving due to factors like spot ETF approval. I think we just need to wait for some more month like mid of next year or end if this year to witness the bull run and until then there would be uncertainty in the market as we will go through some rough phase of frequent fluctuations.

[Franctoshi]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market so current prices do not interest me too much as I got in a lot lower so I am just waiting to take profits.

I wonder why you're panicking and running out of patient when you have had patient till this time and want to see the price start skyrocketing, according to what you said that you got in cheap prices, You must be in a profit by now,  Bitcoin finds its bottom at $15k, and the current price $63k, which is about 4x increase in the price.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

I will continue to hold as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

What was your goal before you invested initially, 2022 down here is 1 year plus, people buy Bitcoin and hold for 2, 4, 5 years and above ,so ask yourself what was your goal target.

[Mpamaegbu]

I will continue to hold as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

That patience is what you're supposed to have a double dose of right now if you must gain your early investment. Otherwise, you're going to be on the sideline to rue your quick sell off. If you waited this long, I don't see how extra six more months wait will destroy you. Patience is key in this industry.

How is everyone else feeling?

I'm nonchalant about the current price and how it has been stalling and ranging since after halving. I'm looking at the bigger picture in price. Bitcoin won't do anything less than $100k a few months from now.

[Zaguru12]

That patience is what you're supposed to have a double dose of right now if you must gain your early investment. Otherwise, you're going to be on the sideline to rue your quick sell off. If you waited this long, I don't see how extra six more months wait will destroy you. Patience is key in this industry.

One thing I notice with people about this bull run of a thing is that they calculated the date of the halving and decided to set a date to take profit, which isn’t right. They’re some of this newbies that they invested an amount that they cannot afford to look away from for like a long period of time and those are the impatient ones looking for an immediate bull run. My advice has always been the bull run could come anytime, it could come earlier than the past trend or even come later than it. Just hodl and set a target price to take profit, any time it gets there you take profit.

How is everyone else feeling?

Feeling like before, holding till I get to my profit target. My advice to those losing patience is quite checking the market chat always. Engage in other things.

[ShowOff]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market so current prices do not interest me too much as I got in a lot lower so I am just waiting to take profits.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

I will continue to hold as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

How is everyone else feeling?

I lost 10% of the value of my investment in bitcoin in the last 1 month, this is not pleasant when I hope the halving can influence investors' interest in increasing the price. But what can you do, this is a fact that inevitably has to be considered as a process in investing. Price volatility is considered normal regardless of any moment considered fundamental to bitcoin, so with patience and optimism I will hold on and will continue to hold.

The price of bitcoin will rise over time and this is an expectation that is more likely to come true after the halving. Massive price movements may still be difficult to expect to happen overnight, so it's best not to have too big expectations about it. Just do accumulation while the price is still looking for a dip, it will make you collect more bitcoins before hitting the new ATH again.

[South Park]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market so current prices do not interest me too much as I got in a lot lower so I am just waiting to take profits.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

I will continue to hold as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

How is everyone else feeling?

I do not really understand why you claim that your patience is being tested, since according to your post you were able to buy close to the bottom, this means that even at the current prices you are enjoying some nice profits, so if you have waited for two years already then why it should bother you to wait for a few more months before you see an increase your profits? After all if you were to sell your bitcoin now, in what other market you could get the same profits you could get here during the next years?

[tabas]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market so current prices do not interest me too much as I got in a lot lower so I am just waiting to take profits.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

I will continue to hold as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

How is everyone else feeling?

I am feeling fine and still patient. You've started on 2022 and that's a good timing because it was the bear market and the bull run was just after that. While you have understood how the market's cycle works, all you need to do is to go on with your plan and wait for sometime. Give the market to react with all of these Bitcoin spot etfs and halving that have been the big factors of this upcoming bull run. Before, it was with the ICOs and NFTs but we see some real deal here from the real world institutions.

[Solokan]

you start investing in bitcoin in 2022, that's a good idea and way because what I remember at that time was the market was bearish, of course collecting or buying btc at that time is a good way because if you look at the current price, if you compare, now it's definitely more tall. but of course your patience will really be tested.

You have certainly felt the results of your struggle and patience, so now you just have to wait and take a position at the price you want to sell or take advantage of the BTC investment. In my opinion, we will not know future market conditions, but if you have made the decision to stay and continue holding your bitcoin, of course that is your right.

However, I personally still hold BTC because I only invested a little in BTC and I personally feel that 2025 is the right time to sell it, if for example the price of BTC rises high and there is no negative news which usually causes losses which makes the potential for BTC prices to fall.

It seems like you are in your comfort zone, of course in this case it's up to you.

[Nheer]

I have been investing in crypto since January 2022 and it is beginning to test my patience waiting for the bull run.

I was buying all along the bottom of the bear market so current prices do not interest me too much as I got in a lot lower so I am just waiting to take profits.

Looking at the 2020 halving, the market didn't really start moving until 4 months later - is this likely to be the case after this recent halving too?

I will continue to hold as I feel we are only months away from the real bull run but it is testing my patience lately waiting month after month for some real price action.

How is everyone else feeling?

If you invested as early as 2020 then you should have realized a reasonable profit by now because the price was actually low as at then and by now you must have gained profit from your investment. Taking out profit is essential in bitcoin investment and we should always leave greed aside else we might end up losing everything.  I know you must have your plans and you must be targeting the next bull run but the increase in price from your point of investment is high enough to earn you a reasonable amount and taking out profit doesn’t mean you should take out all your bitcoins, you can always take little profit and prepare for the upcoming bull run.

You will have to keep waiting because bitcoin halving recently started and we are still witnessing high price demand from miners and it may take a little time to witness real halving before even expecting bull run because bull run comes months after bitcoin halving and some even say it takes up to a year so i think you should be prepared to hold even longer as your patience will be tested even more.

Well, you have gone far and come too close to give up on your quest to reach the upcoming bull run so i will just advise you keep holding on till your goall is achieved, if you were able to hold for 4 years already then holding for another year or less shouldn’t be a big deal.

[JamesDaniel90]

Nheer - I started in 2022 not 2020 - my overall portfolio is up +85% currently.

The mistake I made was starting too early in January 2022 , looking back now I should have waited and started around 6 months later when the big crash happened but I will learn and have a break after this coming bull run and then start buying again near the bottom of the next bear market.

It has just been a long 2.5 years almost and nothing to show for it Fiat wise yet but I just need to remember we will likely start going up properly in the next 2-3 months so not much longer to wait.