⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2024/2025

[LTU_btc]

Hah! I thought Bayern would drop points, didn't expect an outright loss, and expected even less that all their rivals would drop the ball. I know it's still a way to go but cygan deserves this round's yellow cap for his daring picks. About all of us got all of 2 points from all the games so far. Pretty amazing, in a way? Hard to argue for which was a worse loss. Bayern to snatch defeat from victory? Bayer not able to score? BVB seeing a goal overturned but also 2 other goals against them chalked off?

When was the last time all three played at the same time and lost at home? NINETEEN yellows and 1 red in these three games too!

That's such strange round, Bayer and Bayern loosing both being such heavy favorites, such things doesn't happens often. And cygan backing Werder against Bayer from first glance looks strange pick that doesn't makes much sense, but then I remembered that he is Werder fan, right?
After few decent wins I thought that Dortmund is back on track, but no, you can't rely on them this season. And cherry on top for me is goaless draw between Freiburg and Leipzig - I just can't remember when Bundesliga burned so much my money .

[cygan]

...
And cygan backing Werder against Bayer from first glance looks strange pick that doesn't makes much sense, but then I remembered that he is Werder fan, right?
...

right - i'm a very big werder fan and it's always difficult for me to bet against bremen
besides, i can only make up a few places in our pool by making these kinds of picks (see also the mainz and wolfsburg games, for example)
of course, this can also go backwards... but this time the luck was on my side

werder had now lost a total of 5 games in a row and the last away win in leverkusen was in 2019...

[darxiaomi]

I dont know what a lot of you think, but i feel like we have to open a  thread in meta about the manipulation of a contest.

We have a impossible outcome in this round of Bundesliga (Leverkusen,Munich and Dortmund losing) and the only one who is being benefited is cygan (look at him with 9 points), we have a clear clue about how he talked with the captains of the teams Leverkusen, Munich and Dortmund, some says they saw him drinking some pints with them. This is 100% info, confirmed by Fabrizio Romano.



 



Talking seriosuly what a crazy round, we were destroyed also in my contest of goals, Leverkusen losing without scoring against a super weak Werder Bremen was crazy. Munich losing in his home agains a weak Bochum. Non sense.

[Unknown01]

Talking seriosuly what a crazy round, we were destroyed also in my contest of goals, Leverkusen losing without scoring against a super weak Werder Bremen was crazy. Munich losing in his home agains a weak Bochum. Non sense.

I absolutely agree with you! The fact that Werder Bremen beat Leverkusen after so many bad played games is something 99% of the world didn't believe would happen and relegation candidate Bochum beats the top favourite for the title and manage to score 3 goals away. Simply unbelievable, the bookmakers have made a lot of profit today!

[cygan]

and at the moment we haven't had a home win in the 7 games that have already taken place on this matchday...
on the last matchday there was no home win in the 9 games - will that happen again this time?


and the next 'extraordinary' matchday is now over, in which a total of 4 players scored no less than 0 points and (as in the previous week) there was no home win either...
but here, too, a matchday winner has to be determined and this time it's cygan
with 9 points he now secures a free bet on sportsbet.io and rewards himself for the risky picks



[moderator's note: consecutive posts merged]

[KTChampions]

and the next 'extraordinary' matchday is now over, in which a total of 4 players scored no less than 0 points and (as in the previous week) there was no home win either...
but here, too, a matchday winner has to be determined and this time it's cygan
with 9 points he now secures a free bet on sportsbet.io and rewards himself for the risky picks

Congratulations to the guy with the yellow cap! I'll be talking about him in the third person too 
When I look at the results of this round in this visualization, I realize how much money the bookies make when the favorites lose. Even though the odds on the underdogs are much higher, it's easy to imagine that everyone who picked the favorites would have made a similar bet and the bookies would have gotten almost every bet in this round.

[buwaytress]

Congratulations to the guy with the yellow cap! I'll be talking about him in the third person too 
When I look at the results of this round in this visualization, I realize how much money the bookies make when the favorites lose. Even though the odds on the underdogs are much higher, it's easy to imagine that everyone who picked the favorites would have made a similar bet and the bookies would have gotten almost every bet in this round.

Still trying to get over how the home teams all failed (again). Someone mentioned somewhere that if you remove Covid season, this season is the lowest home win percentage all over Europe (or something like that). Premier League I can check quite easily and it does appear to be the case, only Anfield was a steady win % but even Etihad and Emirates have taken a blow this season. Bundesliga too I guess.

buway knows bookies love when the favs don't win, so buway also knows bookies don't mind paying him out when he wins on the dog!

[cygan]

in less than 9 hours the 26th matchday in the bundesliga starts with the game st. pauli vs. hoffenheim and a new battle for the popular free bets on sportsbet.io begins
to make sure that all pool participants submit their picks in time, here is a reminder for all those who are missing out:

Code: Saint-Loup el che Omikifuse Trofo vd309 shogun47 jeremypwr

[darbitmobilerecovery]

in less than 9 hours the 26th matchday in the bundesliga starts with the game st. pauli vs. hoffenheim and a new battle for the popular free bets on sportsbet.io begins

TAKE CARE GUYS!!!

My informants are saying again to me they see this guy talking and drinking some beers with some of the captains of the teams. Also he assisted to the UCL game between Munich and Leverkusen to talk about the next phases of his plan, dont be fooled. 

I dont know what is in his mind now, so i cant guarantee if he made a deal to go with underdogs or what.


Now again back to normal, the game who takes all the lights is Leipzig and Dortmund for this round, its strange to see this game in this phase of the tournament and not seeing both teams involved in the real fight for the championship, and they are only fighting for a place in low tier european competition.

[KTChampions]

Congratulations to the guy with the yellow cap! I'll be talking about him in the third person too 
When I look at the results of this round in this visualization, I realize how much money the bookies make when the favorites lose. Even though the odds on the underdogs are much higher, it's easy to imagine that everyone who picked the favorites would have made a similar bet and the bookies would have gotten almost every bet in this round.

Still trying to get over how the home teams all failed (again). Someone mentioned somewhere that if you remove Covid season, this season is the lowest home win percentage all over Europe (or something like that). Premier League I can check quite easily and it does appear to be the case, only Anfield was a steady win % but even Etihad and Emirates have taken a blow this season. Bundesliga too I guess.

buway knows bookies love when the favs don't win, so buway also knows bookies don't mind paying him out when he wins on the dog!

Yes, I also noticed that the results have a large deviation from the norm, but I did not dig deep into the statistics because without it I see that the calendar is being raped more and more every year and the results are becoming more random.
By the way, personally for myself I can’t say that I get additional profit from this - probably here you need single bets with high odds (your case) and for now I am dependent on large multi-bets with high odds.

[mv1986]

Unbelievable how the now first four ranks in the Kicktipp standings now got that 1-0 pick correct. I didn't think that too many here would go with a St. Pauli win, but seems there is a good reason why those four are leading the standings hm? I wonder how many would instead have gone with a draw if it was worth it in terms of the number of points to be won as Hoffenheim had be more stable recently.

[cygan]

@buwaytress to answer your question about home games/home wins, unfortunately I can't find any suitable statistics
but i can tell you that there have been 79 home defeats in the current bundesliga season so far... in the whole last season there were a total of 91 home defeats. so i think that this mark will be reached and exceeded this season...

btw yesterday, after a total of 18 games (2 last matchdays), there was a home win in the 1. bundesliga again

[KTChampions]

Unbelievable how the now first four ranks in the Kicktipp standings now got that 1-0 pick correct. I didn't think that too many here would go with a St. Pauli win, but seems there is a good reason why those four are leading the standings hm? I wonder how many would instead have gone with a draw if it was worth it in terms of the number of points to be won as Hoffenheim had be more stable recently.

St. Pauli scored 19 goals in 25 games (we don't count this 26th round, let's pretend we went back in time). 0.76 goals per game. A home game against a weak opponent suggests that St. Pauli will either win the game or draw. What could be the score in this game? 1-0, 0-0 or 1-1. Obviously, it's worth choosing 1-0 since a draw can be broken down into two results (0-0 and 1-1), so it's harder to guess the exact score in a draw.

[mv1986]

Unbelievable how the now first four ranks in the Kicktipp standings now got that 1-0 pick correct. I didn't think that too many here would go with a St. Pauli win, but seems there is a good reason why those four are leading the standings hm? I wonder how many would instead have gone with a draw if it was worth it in terms of the number of points to be won as Hoffenheim had be more stable recently.

St. Pauli scored 19 goals in 25 games (we don't count this 26th round, let's pretend we went back in time). 0.76 goals per game. A home game against a weak opponent suggests that St. Pauli will either win the game or draw. What could be the score in this game? 1-0, 0-0 or 1-1. Obviously, it's worth choosing 1-0 since a draw can be broken down into two results (0-0 and 1-1), so it's harder to guess the exact score in a draw.

Yes I understand the analysis and its s comprehensible, but has some limitations. Before this game St. Pauli won 6 out of 25 games and they didn't win a game for many weeks. I think it was almost 6 weeks without a win and if you look at it from that perspective, the draw could have been the more likely choice here. But it comes with the problem that a draw only gives 2 points if it is a result different from the one you chose. That's why the 1-0 makes sense, but still risky given that they didn't win a single game for so long.

[cygan]

yesterday's matchday ended with a spectacular 4-3 away win for the german champions at vfb stuttgart
this means that 3 participants can now look forward to a free bet on sportsbet.io
with 17 points each, KTChampions, bullrun2024bro and Cryptoblivion secured the matchday win - congratulations!
as i have unfortunately joined now, i dont yet know when the free bet will be credited to you...

[KTChampions]

yesterday's matchday ended with a spectacular 4-3 away win for the german champions at vfb stuttgart
this means that 3 participants can now look forward to a free bet on sportsbet.io
with 17 points each, KTChampions, bullrun2024bro and Cryptoblivion secured the matchday win - congratulations!
as i have unfortunately joined now, i dont yet know when the free bet will be credited to you...

Thank you. Finally a good round and a free bet. An interesting round in terms of the fact that the first 4 participants almost synchronously guessed the results much better than all the other participants.
As for the free bet, it will be difficult to implement it given how the favorites are losing points here and there without hesitation. By the end of the season, the teams had lost any consistency.

[darbitmobilerecovery]

Hahahah what aws that start made by the 4 players in top with two consecutive exact score 1-0??

It seems like this was a round for the upper class guys, all in top with 17 points, and below that the people with much less points  my 11 points were not so bad but side to side with them looks not so good.

[cygan]

the ball is finally rolling again in the european football leagues
and in less than 9 hours the 27th matchday in the bundesliga starts with the game leverkusen vs. bochum and the fight for another free bet on sportsbet.io goes into the next round
and so that all participants have the same chance, here is a reminder to users who have not yet submitted any picks

Code: Saint-Loup el che Omikifuse buwaytress Trofo vd309 mv1986 jeremypwr

[buwaytress]

Thank you for the reminder; feels like ages since club football and I know La Liga kicked it off last night so I put in some picks but of course, somehow forgot about Germany

So tempting to back all the favourites in this fresh reset round of sorts, but I'm looking with sadness at BVB and possibly, Leipzig. Or am I?

[cygan]

✂
So tempting to back all the favourites in this fresh reset round of sorts, but I'm looking with sadness at BVB and possibly, Leipzig. Or am I?

in fact, the matches with the clubs you mentioned are certainly good for a surprise...
but if there's an unexpected result in tonight's match between the german champions and bochum, then you can really roll the dice and make your picks soon