Will Bitcoin ever again crash below 50.000$?

[Free Market Capitalist]

I am going to be optimistic and think that once we hit the peak of the cycle, the price will at most go down to a level slightly under $100K, up to $95K or so and from there it will not go down any further because of how cheap it will be the massive sell orders will drive the price up right away. And in any case if it starts a real state and institutional adoption with large amounts of bitcoins bought regularly doing non-stop DCA, I doubt very much that next winter will be very cold.

[wheelz1200]

I wondered if Bitcoin will ever again crash below 50.000$. What do you think? I think it is likely that we will see it go down to 70K but not below that point. 2025 will be the most important year, because governments around the world get involved.

I think it will be considered cheap in the future to buy Bitcoin below 100.000$. Any opinions on that?

The short answer is no one knows.  But in all reality it probably depends on the top of this next bull run.  If i runs into a couple hundred thousamd dollars than probably not but if it stalls in the 125k-150krange it can likely pull back to 50k.  Especially if we see another crazy event like covid.  Future economic factors arent kmown so dont listen to anyone who says "guarantee"

[STT]

I was thinking earlier and I might be way off but people seem a bit too cautious perhaps.   Not that I think wild abandon is the correct strategy but nobody is saying we can goto 500k instead its this call for 50k.   Again Im not saying 50k is an incorrect call or that OP is making any definite statement but in terms of perception its quite unusual for people to be looking down like that, the price has been heading up strongly.

Just as a betting man I'd rather go for the blow off top type move just now rather then be estimating the bottom prices, thinking of this year.    Sure things can go bad, but a low like this I'd guess is the end of a long dilapidated train track slowly reached as a destination.

  The spike down move can mean spike up, the V bottom move is ironically bullish if anybody can recall during the pandemic sell for example;  BTC was not then a real negative or time to sell just some panic.   Misplaced panic is inversely bullish etc.
  Anyhow I'am mostly looking up rather then down, its good to hear people arent too wild in the estimates despite BTC being capable of surprising highs at times.

[Greyhats]

As of now I'm a beliver in the 200 WMA as a bottom indicator, i think with the last ATL it breached it but over all the cycles its been a good baromater or at least within 20% of the bottom. We will see this time around if it is or not, but to your question with using the 200 WMA yes BTC could crash below 50k, as of right now 200 WMA is 43.1k, and slicing another 20% off gets us to ~34.5k.

I will feel way more comfortable to say we shouldnt go under 50k while the 200 WMA is 63k or higher.

When we go into the next bear its about the only thing I'm looking forward to, to see how the 200 WMA stacks up against that ATL. I will feel more confident in it, as I'm sure others will too for future bottom indicators.

[shinratensei_]

I wondered if Bitcoin will ever again crash below 50.000$. What do you think? I think it is likely that we will see it go down to 70K but not below that point. 2025 will be the most important year, because governments around the world get involved.

I think it will be considered cheap in the future to buy Bitcoin below 100.000$. Any opinions on that?

The short answer is no one knows.  But in all reality it probably depends on the top of this next bull run.  If i runs into a couple hundred thousamd dollars than probably not but if it stalls in the 125k-150krange it can likely pull back to 50k.  Especially if we see another crazy event like covid.  Future economic factors arent kmown so dont listen to anyone who says "guarantee"

seeing at what price institutional investors are having their DCA at is also one way to find out the bottom, it will be a good psychological support for when people gonna buy and try to have same trade like those institutional investor's DCA and thus price will hardly breaking the support.

but I firmly believe that we won't see $50k, maybe at peak bearish, but for occassional dip worst case scenario maybe $60k, that's where BTC first going up to reach ATH and will serve as a strong support since there's so many buy order untouched at that price mark.

[betswift]

I wondered if Bitcoin will ever again crash below 50.000$. What do you think? I think it is likely that we will see it go down to 70K but not below that point. 2025 will be the most important year, because governments around the world get involved.

I think it will be considered cheap in the future to buy Bitcoin below 100.000$. Any opinions on that?

The short answer is no one knows.  But in all reality it probably depends on the top of this next bull run.  If i runs into a couple hundred thousamd dollars than probably not but if it stalls in the 125k-150krange it can likely pull back to 50k.  Especially if we see another crazy event like covid.  Future economic factors arent kmown so dont listen to anyone who says "guarantee"

Yep.
There is always a domino-effect after each bull run that pulls things back from where we started, albeit a bit higher than the last time.
And to see the bear knocking, we should await said chain of events to even consider the possibility of such a price.

[Yablee0]

Is very difficult to know the future price of Bitcoin due to it high rate of fluctuations,perhaps anything is possible.


Regardless, at the moment we are not expecting any drop less than $50k.

[Powerjumboo]

I wondered if Bitcoin will ever again crash below 50.000$. What do you think? I think it is likely that we will see it go down to 70K but not below that point. 2025 will be the most important year, because governments around the world get involved.

I think it will be considered cheap in the future to buy Bitcoin below 100.000$. Any opinions on that?

The popularity of Bitcoin is increasing day by day. We are now seeing in the news every day that different countries and banks of different countries are promising to keep Bitcoin in their reserves. If different countries and banks of different countries promise to keep Bitcoin in their reserves, then Bitcoin may not come below $50,000, I think Bitcoin will go above $100,000.

[_BlackStar]

-snip-

The popularity of Bitcoin is increasing day by day. We are now seeing in the news every day that different countries and banks of different countries are promising to keep Bitcoin in their reserves. If different countries and banks of different countries promise to keep Bitcoin in their reserves, then Bitcoin may not come below $50,000, I think Bitcoin will go above $100,000.

At least in the near future I agree with your assumption - but if the cycle turns bearish like before, then nothing is impossible. I am even very optimistic that bitcoin will not fall to $50K until the end of 2025 - but there is no guarantee that the price will remain above $50K in 2026 to 2027 if you review the history of its price movements. There are two cycles that you can use as a guide and they are bearish and bullish.

[STT]

Crash below yes but stay below is far less likely.   Anything can happen though, like the 200 week average is seen as the bottom pricing to many people yet we did fall below then trade many days and weeks below that measure before recovering.

Never say never.

200 week low now is 43k so on that particular gauge right now today its possible for this scenario to feasibly occur even though market is not nearly that bearish or appearing capable of that.

[_BlackStar]

Crash below yes but stay below is far less likely.   Anything can happen though, like the 200 week average is seen as the bottom pricing to many people yet we did fall below then trade many days and weeks below that measure before recovering.

Never say never.

200 week low now is 43k so on that particular gauge right now today its possible for this scenario to feasibly occur even though market is not nearly that bearish or appearing capable of that.

The last time bitcoin traded below $50K was in August 2024 ^[$49.000] - that's been over 5 months. Since then bitcoin has soared high to hit $109K - but this is not yet at the peak of its bull run, at least that's what I think. If the same scenario as the previous cycle repeats - then bitcoin price might break $200K as ATH after the halving in 2024. But still - we never know what will happen so all possibilities, good or bad, must still be considered as consequences.

[Kemarit]

Crash below yes but stay below is far less likely.   Anything can happen though, like the 200 week average is seen as the bottom pricing to many people yet we did fall below then trade many days and weeks below that measure before recovering.

Never say never.

200 week low now is 43k so on that particular gauge right now today its possible for this scenario to feasibly occur even though market is not nearly that bearish or appearing capable of that.

And even if we go bearish short term, I do not see that the price will go and crash to this $50,000. We might see the price going down to $100,000 though, but that is ok, I think that could be the support or the resistance line for now. And I do not see any regulatory framework that can push down the price so hard that we will go on a bearish state. The market is still in the bullish sentiments and most of the investors are still very optimistic about the price movement for this year.

I read that we are in the consolidating phase, and the 0.5 Fib is still holding, but it can signal that the bulls and the bears are fighting it out to regain control. So let's see, again, in short term we could be bearish, but in the bigger picture we might see the price going on parabolic rise.

[knowngunman]

The popularity of Bitcoin is increasing day by day. We are now seeing in the news every day that different countries and banks of different countries are promising to keep Bitcoin in their reserves. If different countries and banks of different countries promise to keep Bitcoin in their reserves, then Bitcoin may not come below $50,000, I think Bitcoin will go above $100,000.

As at now 9:21am WAT, Bitcoin price is $99,180 which is below $100k. What does this mean actually? Well, it means the actions from government and some of these institutions can actually trigger the price of Bitcoin to certain level but it doesn't mean it would stabilise the price at stagnation without declining. However, I'm not saying we are going to witness the price going as low as $50k but on the other hand, we can not comfortably refute it's possibility. In the last bear, we witnessed the price going below $16k which no one really expected. Although, from the recent trends we can be confident that we'll likely not go to as low as $50k but of course, we can not completely relied on it. You have to expect the unexpected.

[buwaytress]

Today saw a 5% dip -- for no real plausible reason. Bitcoin's just full of that kind of instance. 10% slip? No problem. Reason needed? Nope. All it would take for Bitcoin to get to 50k again is for it to settle down into a very reasonable 80k after market exhaustion. And then throw in some speculators and a wall of stops come into liquidation.

We've all (okay, most of us anyway) seen several cycles with a floor below 20% of ATH. 50k's easy to imagine, if only temporary.

[lixer]

As at now 9:21am WAT, Bitcoin price is $99,180 which is below $100k. What does this mean actually? Well, it means the actions from government and some of these institutions can actually trigger the price of Bitcoin to certain level but it doesn't mean it would stabilise the price at stagnation without declining. However, I'm not saying we are going to witness the price going as low as $50k but on the other hand, we can not comfortably refute it's possibility. In the last bear, we witnessed the price going below $16k which no one really expected.

People are expecting something positive from the current government and institutions but why the price goes down? But if we are only talking about triggers or effects, then yeah they can easily influence it in any direction they wanted to, because they have more power to manipulate BTC. That being said, if they wish to stabilize the price, they can do it for real by just not doing any actions (buying or selling). The price before is much lower than what we have now, so we will have stronger bullish trend ahead.

Although, from the recent trends we can be confident that we'll likely not go to as low as $50k but of course, we can not completely relied on it. You have to expect the unexpected.

Yeah. We can make a plan B if plan A fails, to still have the best of both worlds. The drops that we are seeing these days is one proof that we should believe what you are saying there.

[skarais]

Today saw a 5% dip -- for no real plausible reason. Bitcoin's just full of that kind of instance. 10% slip? No problem. Reason needed? Nope. All it would take for Bitcoin to get to 50k again is for it to settle down into a very reasonable 80k after market exhaustion. And then throw in some speculators and a wall of stops come into liquidation.

We've all (okay, most of us anyway) seen several cycles with a floor below 20% of ATH. 50k's easy to imagine, if only temporary.

For me today's decline was a little surprising because it just happened without any big reason, but that's bitcoin with all its market dynamics. It's not certain whether we won't see the price drop to $50k this year, it's possible that $50k will happen, but I don't imagine it will be a reality. I prefer to be bullish on bitcoin this year, meaning I expect a higher rise compared to a fall to $50k.

I double checked the latest price as of writing, it is already at $101k which looks like a recovery attempt from bitcoin itself. Expect the market to recover and continue its positive trend throughout the remainder of January.

[tygeade]

As at now 9:21am WAT, Bitcoin price is $99,180 which is below $100k. What does this mean actually? Well, it means the actions from government and some of these institutions can actually trigger the price of Bitcoin to certain level but it doesn't mean it would stabilise the price at stagnation without declining. However, I'm not saying we are going to witness the price going as low as $50k but on the other hand, we can not comfortably refute it's possibility. In the last bear, we witnessed the price going below $16k which no one really expected.

People are expecting something positive from the current government and institutions but why the price goes down? But if we are only talking about triggers or effects, then yeah they can easily influence it in any direction they wanted to, because they have more power to manipulate BTC. That being said, if they wish to stabilize the price, they can do it for real by just not doing any actions (buying or selling). The price before is much lower than what we have now, so we will have stronger bullish trend ahead.

I am not sure if anyone is manipulating bitcoin, there are people who sell, there are automatic liquidation from longs that impact it too, but that's about it. We are going to of course have some down market as well, it is going to be hard to keep in it while market going down because we will end up wanting to get out with the fear.

That is why I always suggest a dynamic stop loss, the higher the price goes, the higher your stop loss should go, that way you could probably make a lot more money. This isn't really that difficult to do, many big traders do it and we are going to end up with a much better result if we follow this as well, I am not really interested in anything else, we could make profits grow a lot more.

[buwaytress]

It's not certain whether we won't see the price drop to $50k this year, it's possible that $50k will happen, but I don't imagine it will be a reality. I prefer to be bullish on bitcoin this year, meaning I expect a higher rise compared to a fall to $50k.

We all want nice things. But we've already had a grand ball for the last 12 months, 250% up and still in price discovery for the top. A year's about what we get from the bull -- seeing out 2025 would mean an entire 2 years of strength and Bitcoin's never done that. The eternal caveat for Bitcoin is that anything's possible but the reality is exhaustion and that's usually a matter of eventuality.

[KingsDen]

It's not certain whether we won't see the price drop to $50k this year, it's possible that $50k will happen, but I don't imagine it will be a reality. I prefer to be bullish on bitcoin this year, meaning I expect a higher rise compared to a fall to $50k.

We all want nice things. But we've already had a grand ball for the last 12 months, 250% up and still in price discovery for the top. A year's about what we get from the bull -- seeing out 2025 would mean an entire 2 years of strength and Bitcoin's never done that. The eternal caveat for Bitcoin is that anything's possible but the reality is exhaustion and that's usually a matter of eventuality.

It surprising that people don't understand how Hugh we are. Even if BTC reverses from here back to 50k region, it didn't do us bad. Everyone is speculating 120k to 150k, we should also know that one bad news we are off. I do not trust the current bitcoin president, or altcoins president in the White house. He could wake and make one deteriorating statement against bitcoin and it will just crash. So, anyone planning to exit the market should just do now and it is fine. Even if the price pumps later, you will not be much pained.

[fullhdpixel]

We all want nice things. But we've already had a grand ball for the last 12 months, 250% up and still in price discovery for the top. A year's about what we get from the bull -- seeing out 2025 would mean an entire 2 years of strength and Bitcoin's never done that. The eternal caveat for Bitcoin is that anything's possible but the reality is exhaustion and that's usually a matter of eventuality.

It surprising that people don't understand how Hugh we are. Even if BTC reverses from here back to 50k region, it didn't do us bad. Everyone is speculating 120k to 150k, we should also know that one bad news we are off. I do not trust the current bitcoin president, or altcoins president in the White house. He could wake and make one deteriorating statement against bitcoin and it will just crash. So, anyone planning to exit the market should just do now and it is fine. Even if the price pumps later, you will not be much pained.

Even though I am sure everything is possible in this world, and we can crash which can bring us to level of $50K but for this we need huge negative news which is not coming easily while things are having huge developments after one and half decade and stabilization is happening.

Most of the peoples are understood this and if anything like this happens surely big players are going to take good advantage of this because now all understand about long run future of this bitcoin, and they also understand no one can stop this from having stable and bright future. Few big things are happening if these are implemented then most chances this could be quickly touched new highs which are $150K to $200K so most chances now positive sentiments are growing rapidly and chances are reducing for going back at price like this.