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Author Topic: betting on the underdogs, is it profitable?  (Read 1169 times)
jossiel
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February 12, 2025, 11:04:16 PM
 #101

It's not profitable.

You will not have an idea when the underogs will win and that's why you need to still look on the teams involve even if you'd be laser focused into betting only with the underdogs.

Because it's like betting mostly on just one bet no matter what you'd see. That's why it's still best to check the value before doing it.
Correct, in the long run, it's not profitable because sometimes you need to consider every odds and even if you have higher odds to win betting on the fact that it has got low chance of winning will still matter. And there's a reason for every match that why the odds are like that, sometimes even undergo got low odds because of some team issues or upcoming match has some problem within the team.
That is the consequence for having high odds and being the underdog, the chance of winning is very low.

And with this, the bookies are aware of it and they know that it's not worth it at all for them to give that a low odd because they just know it.

They have basis for giving that and that's why it's always in favor of them and not with us but sometimes, we can hit those high odds.

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February 12, 2025, 11:49:28 PM
 #102

Betting only on the underdog will never be so profitable. Not in a case because we often see that they will lose. I place my bet depending on the track record of the team, not an individual performance. Of course, I bet sometimes on the underdog but can't recall how many times I win; most of the time I lose. Maybe I was more unlucky than other gamblers, but I can't force myself to believe that underdogs dominate favorite teams.

Well, as far as we know, luck only determines whether we win or not. That is why we can never find any assurance even betting on the favorite teams because sometimes they will lose as well to the underdogs.

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February 13, 2025, 01:04:03 AM
 #103

In sports betting, looking at different markets makes things more complicated since you need to study them all. So I’m thinking, why not simplify it? Since some of you know I’m into NBA sports betting, I figured a way to make it easier, just focusing on betting on the underdog.

So I’d like to ask, is anyone here strictly betting on underdogs, moneyline? If you’re doing the same, or even if you’re not but have some thoughts on it, feel free to share your opinion.

Let’s be profitable in sports betting!

Yes, this can be very profitable because the odds offered for underdogs are usually higher, meaning that a small investment can result in a significant profit. However, the risk is also immensely higher because underdogs are considered underdogs for a good reason... their chances of winning are much lower.

Not only in the NBA, but in any category or sport, it is crucial that you carefully analyze the odds and statistics before betting on underdogs to identify the best opportunities. For example, a team that is fighting relegation... certainly has a higher chance of winning because it has an extra motivation that sometimes surprises the favorites and their own fans.

I suggest that you explore advanced strategies such as handicap betting or goal totals that can offer more favorable odds for underdogs, predicting a margin of victory or defeat that can be more predictable than a straight win.

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February 13, 2025, 02:57:36 AM
 #104

That is the consequence for having high odds and being the underdog, the chance of winning is very low.

Not very low, it still depends on the matchups since we have both heavy underdogs and slight underdogs, but of course, those odds indicate the chances of both teams winning. However, if you're not just gambling based on luck, you'll make sure to analyze the game and understand that the odds reflected by the bookies are not necessarily the actual chances, as bookies sometimes make mistakes by setting a line that overvalues the favorites, which gives the underdogs good value.

jossiel
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February 13, 2025, 11:38:15 PM
 #105

That is the consequence for having high odds and being the underdog, the chance of winning is very low.
Not very low, it still depends on the matchups since we have both heavy underdogs and slight underdogs, but of course, those odds indicate the chances of both teams winning. However, if you're not just gambling based on luck, you'll make sure to analyze the game and understand that the odds reflected by the bookies are not necessarily the actual chances, as bookies sometimes make mistakes by setting a line that overvalues the favorites, which gives the underdogs good value.
I agree.

Most of us don't bet based on our luck but we have basis and analysis for each of them. But that's the reality with higher odds and the bookies give us that much choice whether to keep with it or just simply ignore it.

There is still no guarantee that huge odds won't win though and we all know about that. I do like betting sometimes with huge odds but I just don't randomly do that.

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February 13, 2025, 11:47:15 PM
 #106

If you've decided to go with the underdog, you should place the bet when the odds are high. This is my personal experience, and I used to do this. If lucky, the return used to be good; else, the bet gets lost. Another thing is placing bets on similarly strong teams. In such a situation, I prefer to go with the underdog predicted by the betting platform, and based on the match movement, the odds vary, so even if things don't go in favor of my choice, I find a way to minimize the loss by placing a bet amount on the opponent.

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February 17, 2025, 11:14:10 AM
 #107

If you've decided to go with the underdog, you should place the bet when the odds are high. This is my personal experience, and I used to do this. If lucky, the return used to be good; else, the bet gets lost.
Betting on underdog is very risky and not profitable. I have tried it before some years ago but I noticed my losses became more. I had to stop it and continue the way I am betting. I prefer to bet on the team I think would win or what the outcome of the match could be.

Another thing is placing bets on similarly strong teams. In such a situation, I prefer to go with the underdog predicted by the betting platform, and based on the match movement, the odds vary, so even if things don't go in favor of my choice, I find a way to minimize the loss by placing a bet amount on the opponent.
The odds are still in a way that will not favour the gambler is what that I know. If the underdog club lost, the bettor will still lose. What if the match result in draw? The bettor will lose more.

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February 17, 2025, 11:17:02 AM
 #108

I tried to do it in Esports betting and it's actually profitable, if you get used to players you know their skills and capacity so you'll know if those underdogs were good as them or can beat some known team. I tried to focus on an underdog team which have good players and actually it profits me to bet on them but of course, not all the time but if you are going to compare my total winnings to them it's I'm actually on a profit.

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February 17, 2025, 11:28:25 AM
 #109

I tried to do it in Esports betting and it's actually profitable, if you get used to players you know their skills and capacity so you'll know if those underdogs were good as them or can beat some known team. I tried to focus on an underdog team which have good players and actually it profits me to bet on them but of course, not all the time but if you are going to compare my total winnings to them it's I'm actually on a profit.
It seems to me that eSports is a rather niche sport that is not so easy to understand, you need to be passionate about it and follow the teams, so I do not rule out that in this sport everything is possible exactly like this.

I think that the OP meant popular championships that a clear mass of players pay attention to, and it seems to me that in this case everything is more difficult with underdogs, although they also achieve victories, but they do it much less often.

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February 17, 2025, 11:32:23 AM
 #110

Yes, it is a fact that in the long run the success rate is very small, none other than because in this situation we bet by relying on low odds such as choosing a team that is not too favored which is rationally clear that it is a team that has a very small chance of winning, maybe it can be said that success by betting on low odds will only happen occasionally or very rarely.

Besides, I think why do we bet on low odds if for example there is a team that is much more favored to win because after all getting a win is much more fun than going home empty-handed or with a defeat, but that doesn't mean we gamble to earn money.

Provided gaming has no static strategy players must be dynamic with decisions. Just as faulty as it is to rely only on less favored teams, it's tiring to play a specific pattern. When the chances are less for the underdog, of what use would it be to side them? Gamblers are known for their calculated moves or choices there are times when the small teams show remarkable progress, such moments is right to wager on the less favored team.


You are absolutely right, sticking to a particular gaming or gambling pattern sometimes is not good because you won't know where your luck lies so it is good to change no matter how risky it looks or appear, some stick to a particular gaming type or pattern and they have been incurring loss back to back and when a gambler experience this kind of loss it is either they hold on for sometime or  they change their pattern and try other game and see if they will make a change. I have done this before and it favors me and my loss rate has reduced because I do make more gain than loss.











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February 17, 2025, 11:34:46 AM
 #111

That would give a 50:50 chance, gambling in a format as if we will get profit and loss based on luck even when you are able to calculate it, but luck can side with the weak even though the team that is not favored or favored by many people, this would be the craziest gamble but has a big possibility and crazy people will do it to get big odds on this kind of bet.
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February 17, 2025, 11:45:37 AM
 #112

I tried to do it in Esports betting and it's actually profitable, if you get used to players you know their skills and capacity so you'll know if those underdogs were good as them or can beat some known team. I tried to focus on an underdog team which have good players and actually it profits me to bet on them but of course, not all the time but if you are going to compare my total winnings to them it's I'm actually on a profit.
It's very possible to be in profit simply betting for the underdogs, most especially because they are the ones most bettors simply don't believe will win a match, and doe this reason, they always come with some really nice multipliers, so if one is lucky enough to bet on the underdogs in a match where the underdogs eventually won, the profit is always very nice though it still will depend on how much one staked on the game.

But then, the only downside, which is something very general in gambling, is that the risk of lossing bets on underdogs is always higher, and this is the reason why the multipliers are always higher too, since casinos make gambling and sports betting work on the module which is the higher the risk of losing, the higher the potential winning amount, and the lower the risk of losing, the loser the potential winning amount, this is how it's possible for someone to bet with $3 on a game with odd of 100.00, and make more profit than the person who bets $100 on a game with 1.5 odds.
The simple math here is that, the guy who betted with $3 stood more chances of losing that bet, so the multiplier is high as a reward for their risk, this i believe is the very same that happens with betting on underdogs in sports, but the trick that increases one's chances of being profitable here is to find underdogs with really good players and have a chance of winning regardless of how small.
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February 17, 2025, 12:49:57 PM
 #113

That is the consequence for having high odds and being the underdog, the chance of winning is very low.
Not very low, it still depends on the matchups since we have both heavy underdogs and slight underdogs, but of course, those odds indicate the chances of both teams winning. However, if you're not just gambling based on luck, you'll make sure to analyze the game and understand that the odds reflected by the bookies are not necessarily the actual chances, as bookies sometimes make mistakes by setting a line that overvalues the favorites, which gives the underdogs good value.
I agree.

Most of us don't bet based on our luck but we have basis and analysis for each of them. But that's the reality with higher odds and the bookies give us that much choice whether to keep with it or just simply ignore it.

There is still no guarantee that huge odds won't win though and we all know about that. I do like betting sometimes with huge odds but I just don't randomly do that.
Whenever you do have those moments that you are trying out to make up some bets on underdogs, then it will really be that just basing up whether you are that on your intuition or inner voices or will really be that basing up into some analysis on which you do make up some considerations on betting up on underdog on which this could really that happen. There are indeed instances that upsets that could happen on any bet and thats why there are those times or moments that we will be having such consideration when taking up such decision. When you are on such condition where talking about being profitable then it will be that up to you if you do take up such bets.

Whenever you do make out some considerations on taking up some underdog bets then it will be that depending on you. There are those times or moments that you will be having those kind of hesitance because favorites are really that likely to win but as we do all know that there's really no assurance with this. On the time that we do make out some underdog betting then it cant be stopped that you will be still hesitating whether you do made out such choice whether it will be that winning or losing. So this will be that on case to case basis.

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February 17, 2025, 12:58:58 PM
 #114

That would give a 50:50 chance, gambling in a format as if we will get profit and loss based on luck even when you are able to calculate it, but luck can side with the weak even though the team that is not favored or favored by many people, this would be the craziest gamble but has a big possibility and crazy people will do it to get big odds on this kind of bet.
Odds bigger than +100 are already considered underdogs, so there's no 50-50 chance with that setup since an underdog is always assumed to have less than a 50% chance of winning. I think OP is talking about moneyline underdogs, but to be profitable you need to make sure you're not just betting blindly. Look for value, that's the key to making this betting method effective.

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February 17, 2025, 01:37:42 PM
 #115

Betting on the underdog is indeed very profitable. Why is it said to be very profitable? Because the potential for higher payments is the most attractive attraction here. Sportsbooks usually offer higher odds for underdogs so that financially it will definitely be very attractive and very emotional to bet. Betting on the underdog is perfect for gamblers who want to win big.

But you need to know that betting on the underdog has a very high risk of losing, so be more careful and don't let it destroy you. Understanding the risks will help gamblers make better decisions and protect your bets from unnecessary losses.

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February 17, 2025, 02:19:45 PM
 #116

Betting on the underdog is indeed very profitable. Why is it said to be very profitable? Because the potential for higher payments is the most attractive attraction here.
If you only base it on potential returns, then it might seem truly profitable, but that is not the reality in the actual game because most of the time, the underdog loses the game, and the handicap is also different when we are talking about an underdog that wins the game outright, and while it may be easy to say, if we were to run an experiment, I doubt we could prove that it is really profitable.
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February 17, 2025, 02:30:48 PM
 #117

As MMA or UFC fan, I can tell that it surprisingly often happens that underdogs either show a very close fight or wins. This is a sport where less than a second pause can cause victory, title, jaw Cheesy There are moments, when champion faces undefeated opponent or champ from other promotion, and of course there are time when people look on contender from above. Such guys have real chances to create an upset. But as usually, you have to be very careful at making bets and be familiar with the sport, because someone with 10-0 record can easily lose in a fight against guy who has more losses than wins.

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February 17, 2025, 02:43:45 PM
 #118

You are absolutely right, sticking to a particular gaming or gambling pattern sometimes is not good because you won't know where your luck lies so it is good to change no matter how risky it looks or appear, some stick to a particular gaming type or pattern and they have been incurring loss back to back and when a gambler experience this kind of loss it is either they hold on for sometime or  they change their pattern and try other game and see if they will make a change. I have done this before and it favors me and my loss rate has reduced because I do make more gain than loss.
You at the same time cannot be too sure your luck lays in the other games you have not been playing either,  the uncertainty in gambling is much that you cannot ascertain exactly when and how to be lucky so I think it's just best to stick to that which you already know as it will give you an advantage over all of the others where you will Ave to go and depend on luck.
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February 17, 2025, 03:10:16 PM
 #119

Yes, but like always in the life is not that easy, you have to know where and when youa re putting your money.

In fact i always think the only way to be profitable in the long run is with high odds, and most of the times the high odds are in the underdogs, but well like i said before is not that easy to know when the underdog has a chances or the odds are worth to take the risk.
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February 17, 2025, 03:10:26 PM
 #120

Well, as far as we know, luck only determines whether we win or not. That is why we can never find any assurance even betting on the favorite teams because sometimes they will lose as well to the underdogs.

You summarized it all, gambling is dynamic, you can not only rely on one market option believing that it can guarantee you a heavy pocket all the time. Most of the time, while analyzing the table to come up with your prediction, there're some match you will see that underdog might not work, it better to choose another option, unless you feel so confident by your choice.

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