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Author Topic: betting on the underdogs, is it profitable?  (Read 1169 times)
Strongkored
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February 09, 2025, 12:18:12 PM
 #61

In sports betting, looking at different markets makes things more complicated since you need to study them all. So I’m thinking, why not simplify it? Since some of you know I’m into NBA sports betting, I figured a way to make it easier, just focusing on betting on the underdog.

So I’d like to ask, is anyone here strictly betting on underdogs, moneyline? If you’re doing the same, or even if you’re not but have some thoughts on it, feel free to share your opinion.

Let’s be profitable in sports betting!

I would like to know from your experience first.
How good is this strategy when you apply it?
I only bet on the NBA occasionally and moneyline is not an option because I prefer over/under or player statistics, the results just normal although betting on the NBA if done more often seems to provide better profits because it will be more routine to follow its developments.
Betting on underdogs has not been tried, maybe one day it can be used as an experiment so I know how good this strategy is, but gambling strategies are almost impossible to provide consistent profits.

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Beparanf
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February 09, 2025, 12:46:42 PM
 #62

..


I would like to know from your experience first.
How good is this strategy when you apply it?
I only bet on the NBA occasionally and moneyline is not an option because I prefer over/under or player statistics, the results just normal although betting on the NBA if done more often seems to provide better profits because it will be more routine to follow its developments.
Betting on underdogs has not been tried, maybe one day it can be used as an experiment so I know how good this strategy is, but gambling strategies are almost impossible to provide consistent profits.

I think doing this method will give you more losses than win since you are relying that underdog will outperform high skilled team on that particular match which is very rare to happened.

Profitability wise, this is a nice strategy since you can secure good profit  if you manage to win frequently with good odds compared when you keep betting on low odds favorite since your 3 win straight can be erased with just 1 lose.

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February 09, 2025, 12:53:39 PM
 #63

betting on the underdogs, is it profitable?
Which team/club do you mean, whether you say European League, Champions League, La Liga, EPL etc. or national league or basketball, tennis and others, I think if we want to bet on unpopular sports teams depending on the team or liga.

If the bet is made for the team/club that I mentioned above, of course I will place a bet on those who are popular and featured, automatically the team/club will bring top and great players, except: For the national team I will place a random bet, no need for a team of excellence, but random ways can sometimes bring good luck to me by winning the game and gambling betting.

So, the point is: betting on the team is not superior depending on, not all of us must see what sport is national or international or the ecendic team.

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February 09, 2025, 01:13:50 PM
 #64

This strategy could be expensive. There's a chance you might keep on losing every match but there will be good profits if you find a way to pinpoint what underdog teams do have a chance to win in their games.
I do like the idea though because the profits could be huge. The risk is high, there's no question about that, but it could become a successful strategy in the long run. As I said, this is going to be an expensive one and you will need a deep pocket to make it happen. Also, analysis must be at a very high level to at least lower the chance of losing. Betting for the underdogs without the spreads can be scary.
That is right, mate. We never have the guarantee of winning here in gambling, and even if we choose the underdog or not, that won't. I gamble and place my bet on the team where I feel they could win. I believe a random bet makes us more likely to win than if we just focus on the odds.
Of course, I won't say it will be profitable, but I believe it is easier for us to decide. We can never find a strategy that guarantees a sure win. We have some assumptions as it worked in the past and hope it happens again.
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February 09, 2025, 01:38:07 PM
 #65

This strategy could be expensive. There's a chance you might keep on losing every match but there will be good profits if you find a way to pinpoint what underdog teams do have a chance to win in their games.
I do like the idea though because the profits could be huge. The risk is high, there's no question about that, but it could become a successful strategy in the long run. As I said, this is going to be an expensive one and you will need a deep pocket to make it happen. Also, analysis must be at a very high level to at least lower the chance of losing. Betting for the underdogs without the spreads can be scary.
That is right, mate. We never have the guarantee of winning here in gambling, and even if we choose the underdog or not, that won't. I gamble and place my bet on the team where I feel they could win. I believe a random bet makes us more likely to win than if we just focus on the odds.
Of course, I won't say it will be profitable, but I believe it is easier for us to decide. We can never find a strategy that guarantees a sure win. We have some assumptions as it worked in the past and hope it happens again.
There is never a guarantee of winning, you bet on a team, that team and its opponent team, both teams will be well researched and bet on, but even then you will not get any guarantee of winning, there will always be a possibility of losing, but if you bet with good research, that is, if you bet on a strong team with good research on the possible aspects of possible winning, the chances of winning will be much higher.
However, uncertainty will always be there, anything can happen in sports betting, So every gambler should not only focus on winning, You will lose, Gambling should be done with this attitude.

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eisen33
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February 09, 2025, 01:55:20 PM
 #66


I would like to know from your experience first.
How good is this strategy when you apply it?
I only bet on the NBA occasionally and moneyline is not an option because I prefer over/under or player statistics, the results just normal although betting on the NBA if done more often seems to provide better profits because it will be more routine to follow its developments.
Betting on underdogs has not been tried, maybe one day it can be used as an experiment so I know how good this strategy is, but gambling strategies are almost impossible to provide consistent profits.
I'm not ready to try such a strategy, in fact, favorites do not lose that often, and this will mean that wins will be rare, or another reason is that you will not be able to bet on all underdogs in each tournament, and this also means that you still need to guess which underdog will win. I would not try such a strategy, although I myself once thought about it, I had thoughts that it could be tested, but I never decided to do it.

R


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February 09, 2025, 02:03:45 PM
 #67


I would like to know from your experience first.
How good is this strategy when you apply it?
I only bet on the NBA occasionally and moneyline is not an option because I prefer over/under or player statistics, the results just normal although betting on the NBA if done more often seems to provide better profits because it will be more routine to follow its developments.
Betting on underdogs has not been tried, maybe one day it can be used as an experiment so I know how good this strategy is, but gambling strategies are almost impossible to provide consistent profits.
I'm not ready to try such a strategy, in fact, favorites do not lose that often, and this will mean that wins will be rare, or another reason is that you will not be able to bet on all underdogs in each tournament, and this also means that you still need to guess which underdog will win. I would not try such a strategy, although I myself once thought about it, I had thoughts that it could be tested, but I never decided to do it.

It depends on favorite team involved because there’s favorite team losing in daily basis on NBA when I’m checking the result of the daily matches. You should just carefully pick what type of favorite team you will bet in able to increase your winning chance rate with this kind of strategy.

There’s a lot of favorite team that keeps losing on the road or home so make sure to find their weakness pattern and bet base on that info.

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February 09, 2025, 02:21:27 PM
 #68

I think it's two blades, only the knife that fails to fail is the sharpest because the team that is not seeded means having a history and performance that is not good in making matches that cause people to be insecure about the results that will be obtained by the team , then betting here the risk is greater than the team that is featured, but it is not impossible that there is a great opportunity to win a big multiplier, because usually the team that is not on the ugness is a team that has bigger odds.
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February 09, 2025, 06:11:51 PM
Merited by Charles-Tim (1)
 #69

In sports betting, looking at different markets makes things more complicated since you need to study them all. So I’m thinking, why not simplify it? Since some of you know I’m into NBA sports betting, I figured a way to make it easier, just focusing on betting on the underdog.
So I’d like to ask, is anyone here strictly betting on underdogs, moneyline? If you’re doing the same, or even if you’re not but have some thoughts on it, feel free to share your opinion.
You forgot to add your experience in underdog betting, is it positive or negative? Let us learn from you too.

As for me, I will not dare bet carelessly on the underdogs, fine, I like them but the preservation of my money comes first and I must be reasonable with my betting. My experience and that of those we've shared view show that the gathered information and analysis always favour the better side, not the underdog. So why would I see the road and walk straight into the bush? Sure, underdogs can win but the chances are always low, except such was just labelled an underdog but has all it takes to win.

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February 09, 2025, 06:33:40 PM
 #70

Indeed i have seen the underdog team can beat strong team sometimes but this thing happened rarely and for football matches betting on underdog team is very risky this because betting on that option has low chances to won the bets and i know usually underdog has high odds but those odds could be useless if eventually people lost their money so betting on underdog is poor strategy if want to earn money from sport betting and i wouldn't recommend that
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February 09, 2025, 06:49:05 PM
 #71

In general, betting on underdogs can be profitable if done thoughtfully and with good analysis. The study should include many factors such as previous statistics history, performance analysis, injuries and suspensions... And the most important point to pay attention to is the motivation. Often, the less fortunate teams have additional motivations, such as the desire to prove themselves or escape the relegation zone in the league.

However, studying all these factors does not guarantee a profit because betting on underdogs remains carriying higher risks compared to betting on the more fortunate teams.

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February 09, 2025, 07:49:33 PM
Last edit: February 10, 2025, 06:27:13 PM by AmoreJaz
 #72

Not every underdog you see on the board is worth betting on, you have to be selective with your picks. In the NBA, a lot of underdogs have been winning lately. In fact, that seems to be the trend in the past few days. Just now, it looks like the Lakers are going to win as they’re leading by 10 points, despite being a +4.5 underdog.

I’d say they were a good pick, especially since this team has been winning recently after trading Davis, even though Luka was still not playing.

So I guess this method can work as long as you choose the right bets. In the long run, you only need to win less than 50% to be profitable, or even just hit 50%, and that’s already a sure profit since underdog odds are always +100 or higher.

I won't say right bets as you will only know it is right once the game is over. So maybe more on money lines that have better chance of winning. Because as you are very familiar with the sports, you will have the instincts of which betting lines are somewhat have good chances of winning.
Betting underdogs is good if you also know your chances. Because if not, follow your instincts. They are placed as underdogs for reasons. Just think of the fact that bookies won't put themselves in the losing position, right?
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February 09, 2025, 08:12:29 PM
 #73

In my opinion, when bookmakers place the odds, they have analyzed all the details of the game, so it is very difficult for the bookmaker to make a mistake. If you take $10 and place $1 on each underdog that has odds of @7.00, you will see that in the 10 games you will only get 1 right. Then, if you repeat the same process, you may not get the 10 games right. In the long run, you will only have losses.

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February 09, 2025, 08:26:19 PM
 #74

I'm taking the underdog tonight in the Superbowl. I think when a game is this close as far as the match up goes, it's worth it to take the underdog for the better payout.

Sports can be so unpredictable so underdogs is a good bet depending on the situation.

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February 09, 2025, 08:41:17 PM
 #75

In my experience, I have made some money betting on underdogs, but it requires careful research, patience, and a good tolerance for risk. Remember that underdogs are less likely to win, but in sports competitions, anything can happen. Therefore, it is crucial to manage your bankroll and only bet what you are willing to lose.

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February 09, 2025, 09:13:38 PM
 #76

In my experience, I have made some money betting on underdogs, but it requires careful research, patience, and a good tolerance for risk. Remember that underdogs are less likely to win, but in sports competitions, anything can happen. Therefore, it is crucial to manage your bankroll and only bet what you are willing to lose.

I think making money by betting on the underdog team happens by accident or by chance because basically every gambler will definitely bet on a team that is much more favored or a team that has a greater chance of winning, and also I don't think you need to do careful research to make a win by betting on the underdog team because surely the results of your research will direct you to choose a team that is more likely to win, so I just believe that winning by choosing an underdog team will only happen by chance on the basis of accident or ignorance or mistake when choosing a team when you are going to execute a bet, but on the other hand I agree with your last idea that we should always bet with an amount that is ready to be lost.
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February 09, 2025, 09:18:15 PM
 #77

In sports betting, looking at different markets makes things more complicated since you need to study them all. So I’m thinking, why not simplify it? Since some of you know I’m into NBA sports betting, I figured a way to make it easier, just focusing on betting on the underdog.

So I’d like to ask, is anyone here strictly betting on underdogs, moneyline? If you’re doing the same, or even if you’re not but have some thoughts on it, feel free to share your opinion.

Let’s be profitable in sports betting!

Bookmakers knows this things more than you do, there is no any manipulation of bets you will do now that is new to bookies, if you're betting underdog, you will get the smallest odd you will never expected and if you are betting on money line, you will equally get the same odd. What are you going to possibly do with 1.12 odd? The reward to risk ratio is extremely high that with a small mistake, everything might turn around and you will lose your wager or stake.

There is no betting that is risk free and there is no outcome that can't be change, if it can change then expect the winning to be small that it wouldn't 0.2x of your wager. It will cost you more than you ae making and just like I said, there is no bet that is not risky, they are just level to which one you afr betting on. Pick a 2:1 success and risk rate and let the team you are betting on do the rest. If they failed, don't use them again, try another bet.

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February 09, 2025, 09:26:39 PM
 #78

In sports betting, looking at different markets makes things more complicated since you need to study them all. So I’m thinking, why not simplify it? Since some of you know I’m into NBA sports betting, I figured a way to make it easier, just focusing on betting on the underdog.

So I’d like to ask, is anyone here strictly betting on underdogs, moneyline? If you’re doing the same, or even if you’re not but have some thoughts on it, feel free to share your opinion.

Let’s be profitable in sports betting!

Hey there isn't anything wrong betting for the underdog! You have a real chance still and the payout is always going to be much higher than what the predicted winning pick will pay out anyways. Be bold, I love it!

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February 09, 2025, 09:33:43 PM
 #79

Betting on anything and trying to go after profit implies you have some sort of ability to make better predictions than the rest. Well, first of all if anyone is leaking sensitive information from competition specifically for gambling advantage they could be banned. But aside of that, it's obvious people don't look into the odds offered.

Even if you are really good at looking into a certain team and making predictions, you are not alone. The odds are set in a way that when it's easy to predict something you won't make much. Betting on the underdog rarely pays enough to be worth a bet on. But for the times that it's worth it, the edge exists to give the booked an advantage too. So don't get too excited with such assumptions.


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February 09, 2025, 09:47:07 PM
 #80

In sports betting, looking at different markets makes things more complicated since you need to study them all. So I’m thinking, why not simplify it? Since some of you know I’m into NBA sports betting, I figured a way to make it easier, just focusing on betting on the underdog.

So I’d like to ask, is anyone here strictly betting on underdogs, moneyline? If you’re doing the same, or even if you’re not but have some thoughts on it, feel free to share your opinion.

Let’s be profitable in sports betting!
Strictly? No. In sports betting, I stick to what I know, Betting on underdogs is an additional risks for me. Underdog wins do not happen very often. Although such wins usually is fun and takes everyone by surprise,  anyone who is going to bet on underdogs should also be prepared to face the outcome of the bet. No betting strategy guarantees consistent profitability, so whether we only bet on underdogs consistently or not, we will not be lucky in all the bets. So it's best we analyse our matches very and take the best decision that will enhance our win and bring us luck.


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