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Author Topic: The deception in small odds.  (Read 866 times)
rachael9385
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March 27, 2025, 06:34:13 AM
 #21

Just like the title, small odds can really be deceptive such that you would think it's an assurance of certainty only to see that your bet ends in a loss, I'm speaking from experience,  here's my story.

Few weeks ago I taught of employing a new strategy in a bid to be very smart and probably edge over the casino,  little did I know it was a deception as there was never any certainty with what I was upto, I decided to drop my greed and accumulate small odds using the bet accumulator, I decided to stop at a maximum of 3 odds after all my picks, so I had a total of 7 events that accumulated up to 3 odds, the crazy part is one of my picks had the home team at 1.09 odds to win a visiting team that was given 12.03 odds so I had almost no doubt that the home team was definitely going to win but to my amazement it ended  0-1 and I lost sadly so I learnt my lessons from this event.

Some small odds are just as a result of statistics which the casino did gathered about a team and they have almost no control of what the result would be for any game, their odds are just a figment of their taughts and expectations of the possible outcome of such games so it's not absolute,  they can be wrong so always have a decision on games before making a pick and not just following the odds alone so you don't suffer what I suffered.

In sports betting the odds isn't really a factor, they are arranged by the bookmakers in their favour, this is why sometimes you notice that the underdogs ends up winning big teams. These are trap odds that they know that gamblers would definitely fall for. If you are into sports betting there are some things you should know and one of them is, don't be in a hurry to just select the small odds you see, most times historical data would even shows that the underdog team has been a challenge to the big team, learn to take note of those details.
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March 27, 2025, 07:17:37 AM
 #22

In sports betting the odds isn't really a factor, they are arranged by the bookmakers in their favour, this is why sometimes you notice that the underdogs ends up winning big teams. These are trap odds that they know that gamblers would definitely fall for. If you are into sports betting there are some things you should know and one of them is, don't be in a hurry to just select the small odds you see, most times historical data would even shows that the underdog team has been a challenge to the big team, learn to take note of those details.
If the big team loses is only what can make someone lose the bet, it would have been better. People will choose the big team to win the underdog and it would be of a very low odd. Which means the underdog will need to lose for the person to win the bet. But even if the underdog do not lose but draw the match, it still means that the person will lose the bet. Betting is a profitable business for the bookies as long as they are setting the odds.
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March 27, 2025, 07:21:57 AM
 #23

Small odds are deceiving they can take you off track but that's the plan of the bookies...This is why sometimes I stake on big odds with a dollar or two, in a week I do this at least five times, it doesn't play out most times but sometimes they come through when you don't expect it..These are amounts I can lose comfortably so it doesn't bother me, it's better than staking high on small odds and they eventually disappoint you, it comes with emotional damage when it happens...I stopped playing small odds for a very long time because I consider them to be a trap.

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mak013
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March 27, 2025, 07:50:23 AM
 #24

Just like the title, small odds can really be deceptive such that you would think it's an assurance of certainty only to see that your bet ends in a loss, I'm speaking from experience,  here's my story.

Few weeks ago I taught of employing a new strategy in a bid to be very smart and probably edge over the casino,  little did I know it was a deception as there was never any certainty with what I was upto, I decided to drop my greed and accumulate small odds using the bet accumulator, I decided to stop at a maximum of 3 odds after all my picks, so I had a total of 7 events that accumulated up to 3 odds, the crazy part is one of my picks had the home team at 1.09 odds to win a visiting team that was given 12.03 odds so I had almost no doubt that the home team was definitely going to win but to my amazement it ended  0-1 and I lost sadly so I learnt my lessons from this event.

Some small odds are just as a result of statistics which the casino did gathered about a team and they have almost no control of what the result would be for any game, their odds are just a figment of their taughts and expectations of the possible outcome of such games so it's not absolute,  they can be wrong so always have a decision on games before making a pick and not just following the odds alone so you don't suffer what I suffered.
It is well known situation. I tried such strategy - to bet all odds less than 1.1. It took me 2 or 3 weeks to lose all my deposit. Also it was a thread here how someone lost more than 1mlnw ith odd less 1.01.
The best way is to analyze events yourself. And(it is just my opinion) don`t bet when odds less 1.6 - you get risks to high for possiblle profit.
Derekfunds
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March 27, 2025, 08:05:21 AM
 #25

Small odds are deceiving they can take you off track but that's the plan of the bookies...This is why sometimes I stake on big odds with a dollar or two, in a week I do this at least five times, it doesn't play out most times but sometimes they come through when you don't expect it..These are amounts I can lose comfortably so it doesn't bother me, it's better than staking high on small odds and they eventually disappoint you, it comes with emotional damage when it happens...I stopped playing small odds for a very long time because I consider them to be a trap.

I have had an experience of small odd cutting or making me lose my ticket several times, you can imagine how painful it is for someone to make a good selection of both big and small odds and just for you to see that the odd that made you lose your ticket is a small odd, you will be so angry so after this experience I stopped picking small odd whenever I am betting, you know I kinda feel happy when big odd cut my ticket than when small odd cut my ticket. Yes the most important thing is gambling with what you can afford to lose not something one will start panicking after loss.

 
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Oshosondy
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March 27, 2025, 08:06:24 AM
 #26

Small odds are deceiving they can take you off track but that's the plan of the bookies...This is why sometimes I stake on big odds with a dollar or two, in a week I do this at least five times, it doesn't play out most times but sometimes they come through when you don't expect it..These are amounts I can lose comfortably so it doesn't bother me, it's better than staking high on small odds and they eventually disappoint you, it comes with emotional damage when it happens...I stopped playing small odds for a very long time because I consider them to be a trap.
It should also depend on what you consider as small odds. As for me any odd that is more than 1.2 is not a small odd for me. I have used such odds to win 1.5 to 2 odds with just three matches. The matches can be consecutive instead of parley. It worked better for me than those big odds.

I also make sure that I do not use more than the amount of money that I can afford to lose. Money and risk management is the most important thing someone should know before starting to gamble.
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March 27, 2025, 08:09:56 AM
 #27

I have been taught of this numerous times. I’ve learned my lesson not to bet considerably large amounts on very low odds to try to make up for the low profit. Sometimes, it makes you too confident that it’s a sure win that you risk big bets. In the end, it isn’t a sure win. The game is yet to be played.

Oftentimes, if moneyline odds are not worth betting, I would group them together into a multi-bet. This is to raise the odds. In the end, you’d be disappointed because your parlay crumbled down because of a 1.01-odd bet.

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March 27, 2025, 08:17:55 AM
 #28

They don't know what is really going to happen with every game in professional sports, so they only rely on statistics, history, and records. With that, they will believe that a strong team should be the favorite and have higher odds to win, while the very weak team will be a super underdog, which every gambler will probably avoid. There's actually no trickery in it. It's an analysis of one or more sports enthusiasts, and they believe the result will go their way. But, this is where some gamblers make their money too by betting on underdogs who are wise enough to believe that they will win rather than the favorites. I have been lucky many times betting for underdogs and it was satisfying after a win.

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March 27, 2025, 08:18:55 AM
 #29

i don't think it makes sense to play at lower odds than necessary. i think the potential earnings on x amount of money should be at least around 1.5x.

otherwise i would never want to risk my principal for 0.05x gains. it may seem like a sure thing, but it never is.

when you put a lot of low odds bets together and create a coupon, it is possible to get good odds. but that doesn't mean it will definitely work. in most cases, one of those seemingly “sure” odds will prove you wrong. that's why i see it as a weak tactic.

 
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EarnOnVictor
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March 27, 2025, 08:33:55 AM
 #30

Just like the title, small odds can really be deceptive such that you would think it's an assurance of certainty only to see that your bet ends in a loss, I'm speaking from experience,  here's my story.
I don't act based on the offer of the bookies but based on my analysis and what my instincts tell me to do. Bookies can do anything to cause confusion, after all, they want to win and want you to lose. For the fact that the sports option is a 50/50 for you and the bookie, it's a good one for those who prioritise expertise over odds.

Again, no matter how sure the outcome could be, if the odds are very low, it's unreasonable to go for it because we've seen the surest possibility that never happened. That's a painful loss.

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March 27, 2025, 08:51:40 AM
 #31

The worse is if you are going with such small odds
You would want to bet more than you are willing to loss
To cover up for the low returns
Or you would accumulate alot of low bets which would end up been cut by one.
Sometimes I play with skill and analysis
While others I go with the bigger odds
I don't do small odds anymore
They Are more dangerous Grin.

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March 27, 2025, 09:04:02 AM
 #32

Of course there are going to be upsets like this in sports. The opposite side of the bet gets fed from tickets like yours that had the most likely scenario in.

Multi bet tickets give the player a sense of wining while in reality the more matches you accumulate the less likely it becomes to win anything.

Consider this. On a ticket with 3 football matches your odds to win are 0.33 (1 of 3 options is possible in each match, win/tie/loss) compounded by each match so 0.33*0.33*0.33. That's a win chance of around 3.59%. Is your multiplier anywhere near 27x that it should be with odds that low? Well of course not because you can get this multiplier only in dice for these odds.

The edge in sport gambling is much higher and calculated in a different way (by RTP other than chance). But the comparison still stands. The purely mathematically likely outcomes say a lot about how hard it is to hit these multi tickets. The multiplier should have been a lot higher but it's not for a reason. And the more matches you add the harder it becomes to hit a win. Above 5 matches it starts reaching lottery levels of impossibility. And the progression to impossibility is geometric.


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March 27, 2025, 09:04:58 AM
 #33

Just like the title, small odds can really be deceptive such that you would think it's an assurance of certainty only to see that your bet ends in a loss, I'm speaking from experience,  here's my story.

Few weeks ago I taught of employing a new strategy in a bid to be very smart and probably edge over the casino,  little did I know it was a deception as there was never any certainty with what I was upto, I decided to drop my greed and accumulate small odds using the bet accumulator, I decided to stop at a maximum of 3 odds after all my picks, so I had a total of 7 events that accumulated up to 3 odds, the crazy part is one of my picks had the home team at 1.09 odds to win a visiting team that was given 12.03 odds so I had almost no doubt that the home team was definitely going to win but to my amazement it ended  0-1 and I lost sadly so I learnt my lessons from this event.

Some small odds are just as a result of statistics which the casino did gathered about a team and they have almost no control of what the result would be for any game, their odds are just a figment of their taughts and expectations of the possible outcome of such games so it's not absolute,  they can be wrong so always have a decision on games before making a pick and not just following the odds alone so you don't suffer what I suffered.

This happens much more often than you think, and it seems to me that the main mistake in making such a parlay was a large number of events, seven is too many and even more so it is inappropriate for a coefficient of 3. If you want to play a parlay with a large number of events, then think about the fact that the coefficient is also large enough so that you can get a good win. And if you bet on many events with very small coefficients, then you will almost always get some unexpected result, which happens too often.

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March 27, 2025, 09:33:01 AM
 #34

That's why I avoid to bet in small odds.

I think the lowest I can take is @1.40, lower than that is no longer profitable with the risk I have to accept. Rather than trying to win small reward with some risk, better to bet on moderate reward with moderate risk.

You're more likely not regret if the team/fighter you bet goes wrong because if lose, then it's normal unlike a huge favorite team/fighter lose.
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March 27, 2025, 09:44:58 AM
 #35

Just like the title, small odds can really be deceptive such that you would think it's an assurance of certainty only to see that your bet ends in a loss, I'm speaking from experience,  
I have equally experience that in the past, because I wasn't a regular gambler, so I went into a betting shop in my locality with the intention of just trying my luck, it was a football game, so I took the team with the biggest point believing that they were the stronger side, after playing the game, other gamblers was like, you just wasted this money that would have been used to stake a more better game, but to our surprise, the game played, the stronger side with 0.07 lost 1-0 to the smaller side with 16.30 odd, so sometimes odds can be very deceptive honestly.

Quote
Some small odds are just as a result of statistics which the casino did gathered about a team and they have almost no control of what the result would be for any game, their odds are just a figment of their taughts and expectations of the possible outcome of such games so it's not absolute,  they can be wrong so always have a decision on games before making a pick and not just following the odds alone so you don't suffer what I suffered.
Truly adds can be deceptive, but following odd sometimes is quite good because those bookmakers that issues out the odd knows that the possibilities of the team with smaller odds winning is very high, and most times when smaller teams with big odds wins, sometimes it might be a surprise results or if you check their head to head record the team with the smaller odds always win the team with bigger odds, but nothing is guaranteed in gambling, that's what am certain off.

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March 27, 2025, 11:36:20 AM
 #36

I don't feel comfortable playing small odds these days because their could really be deceptive. Few weeks ago have proven that small odds is not really a guarantee that the team will win. The match between AC Milan vs Feyenoord, St Pauli vs Bayern Munic, Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg are just few of the matches where the underdogs won with very big odds. This should give anyone banking on small odds some form of change of mind because it does not really matter especially now that most of these leagues are nearing completion. It is good to bet responsibly and never assume that anything is sure.
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March 27, 2025, 11:46:08 AM
 #37

The edge in sport gambling is much higher and calculated in a different way (by RTP other than chance).
Is this true? I noticed that I am losing more in casinos than in bookies. Although, I mostly play roulettes in casinos while bet on football in bookies. The odds for roulettes is very high but if I did not win at first and second, it is possible that the loss will be more. But in sport betting, I still win more than lose.

I am not gambling and betting frequently but casinos are still a loss for me when I visit although it is fun than sport betting. I think if you use a good approach in sport betting, the chances to win is higher but sport betting is not fun. What is fun in sport is not the bet but the matches we are watching.

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March 27, 2025, 11:53:52 AM
 #38

Just like the title, small odds can really be deceptive such that you would think it's an assurance of certainty only to see that your bet ends in a loss, I'm speaking from experience,  here's my story.

Few weeks ago I taught of employing a new strategy in a bid to be very smart and probably edge over the casino,  little did I know it was a deception as there was never any certainty with what I was upto, I decided to drop my greed and accumulate small odds using the bet accumulator, I decided to stop at a maximum of 3 odds after all my picks, so I had a total of 7 events that accumulated up to 3 odds, the crazy part is one of my picks had the home team at 1.09 odds to win a visiting team that was given 12.03 odds so I had almost no doubt that the home team was definitely going to win but to my amazement it ended  0-1 and I lost sadly so I learnt my lessons from this event.

Some small odds are just as a result of statistics which the casino did gathered about a team and they have almost no control of what the result would be for any game, their odds are just a figment of their taughts and expectations of the possible outcome of such games so it's not absolute,  they can be wrong so always have a decision on games before making a pick and not just following the odds alone so you don't suffer what I suffered.

Bookmakers provide odds according to probabilities, but this does not mean that everything should happen exactly this way, sometimes even 1.01 can lose, so there is no point in betting on such a low odds just because it seems to you that this team cannot lose. I once (before I started betting), saw a forecast of one bettor who made a bet of 1.5k on odds of about 1.15 and gave reasons why this is a guaranteed reliable bet, but in the end his team played a draw and he lost, I already understood then that you can not draw conclusions only by odds.

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March 27, 2025, 11:57:42 AM
 #39

That’s why I don’t bet on these low odd games. It is not worth it. If I put my money on a savings account, I get 3-4% annually but I won’t lose my initial investment under any circumstances unless the bank goes bankrupt (The gov will probably bail the bank). If I make a bet and lose, not only I will be losing my potential profits, I will also lose my initial wager. Then why would I risk my capital on a low odd bet? It makes zero sense.

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March 27, 2025, 12:08:42 PM
 #40


I think the lowest I can take is @1.40, lower than that is no longer profitable with the risk I have to accept. Rather than trying to win small reward with some risk, better to bet on moderate reward with moderate risk.

Yeap Fully agree with you. It is better not to bet than to make a profit from betting less than $1. You cannot make much profit by betting such a small amount. To make a minimum profit, you must bet about $1+. Although $1 is very low, I think a minimum of one dollar is acceptable. It is best to avoid minimal bets because they will not do you any good. Suppose you win by betting a small amount; then you will notice no joy. Then you will feel it would have been better if you had not won.

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