Is it possible to be a long-term profitable sports bettor without being able to

[bitzizzix]

I have always believed that a quality forecast in sports betting is extremely important. More precisely, all elements of the gaming system are important in their own way: risk management, discipline with emotion control and strategy. But if you cannot generate a quality forecast with a high percentage of success, then it is unlikely that emotion control and discipline will help you. Risk management and money management are also unlikely to help you win. All this will only allow you to lose your money a little slower, but will not help you win. The key factor in winning is a quality forecast. However, creating a quality forecast is always a problem of additional information and better processing of this information. Write what you think about a quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

All I know is that gambling is a place to throw money away most of the time, it's not a place for us to have money all the time, but when luck strikes you,
you can suddenly have a lot of money, but not all the chances are yours or ours to always win.

Because most of the time when a gambler experiences this, they think that it's a job because they can generate profit through luck in their gambling at any casino.
This is just my observation.

We can partly agree with this. Making money in sports betting is extremely difficult. In my opinion, the percentage of successful people in the long term is extremely small, much less than in trading. I will say more - making money in gambling in the long term is somewhat similar to aerobatics. It requires great erudition, experience, knowledge, the presence of unique advantages over other participants. Making money in trading is easier. Few people manage to make money in the long term in sports betting. But still, if you do, then this is evidence of a fairly high intellect.

The percentage of people who are successful in sports betting in the long run is very small because luck is always involved in winning, only those who are successful are able to place big and small bets at the same time pick the right team and win. And while some people can make long term profits through sports betting, it is more likely that they combine skill, growing knowledge, discipline and sometimes a little luck and besides that the smart thing is to bet the right amount on the right team. So even though the winning percentage is smaller in the long run and even more losses than wins but when it does win, it can result in big wins.

[AmoreJaz]

Write what you think about a quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

It doesn't matter what you think, it's what you do when you read a quality prediction that you agree with... I usually follow it and place a bet.

I don't know what you mean by "construction"... any prediction is ultimately just a prediction. It may come true or it may not. Who knows? That's why we gamble & place bets. It's not like you can "construct" some special system/strategy with some laws & logic that will bring profit in the long run. Or maybe you can? We are all trying different things, but it's not an exact science, the luck factor is always present.

On my end, a quality forecast is a prediction based on some strong foundations - history, knowledge about the athletes, coach, their strategies, other variables such as weather conditions, injuries of athletes that may have an effect in their performance. So if you are a long-time sportsbettor, I believe, you have a lot of knowledge about the sports you are betting in. That when you predict, you are somehow having a quality prediction based on the years of your experience and knowledge that you have for the sports.

[Su-asa]

I have always believed that a quality forecast in sports betting is extremely important. More precisely, all elements of the gaming system are important in their own way: risk management, discipline with emotion control and strategy. But if you cannot generate a quality forecast with a high percentage of success, then it is unlikely that emotion control and discipline will help you. Risk management and money management are also unlikely to help you win. All this will only allow you to lose your money a little slower, but will not help you win. The key factor in winning is a quality forecast. However, creating a quality forecast is always a problem of additional information and better processing of this information. Write what you think about a quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

When it comes to betting it's way different from casino gambling because of the systems involved in selecting the games you bet on. Bettors don't just pick randomly, they select their games calculatively by taking notes of important informations needed to predict the game. A quality forecast cannot always put you in Profit but it Will definitely increase your chances of winning and reduce your losses

[Bitcoin Smith]

You mean the prediction right? That's what the odds tell us isn't?

No, it's not possible to predict the outcome of anygame with 100% success rate especially in the long run unless we only pick the games that we are sure that a team can win but do we have a sport like that is a big question.

I follow the cricket more than any sports so I can say I am sure that I have deep understanding and knowledge about the each players involved and their strength and weakness but I can predict which one is going to win, all I can is chose and expect them to win.

[Orpichukwu]

When it comes to betting it's way different from casino gambling because of the systems involved in selecting the games you bet on. Bettors don't just pick randomly, they select their games calculatively by taking notes of important informations needed to predict the game. A quality forecast cannot always put you in Profit but it Will definitely increase your chances of winning and reduce your losses

That's just one thing about casino games and betting: casino games are all about the player depending on luck for them to have any winning. No matter the type of strategy they use, they can only try to manage their bankroll, but they can't predict what their winning will look like. But for betting, you can put your skill to work and see you could be able to secure some winning from what you are doing.

[Hispo]

You mean the prediction right? That's what the odds tell us isn't?

No, it's not possible to predict the outcome of anygame with 100% success rate especially in the long run unless we only pick the games that we are sure that a team can win but do we have a sport like that is a big question.

I follow the cricket more than any sports so I can say I am sure that I have deep understanding and knowledge about the each players involved and their strength and weakness but I can predict which one is going to win, all I can is chose and expect them to win.

I believe what you do is one of the best things one could do as gamblers, in my humble opinion, to specialize in a sport to the point of getting very good at predicting matches and then stick to that sport in the long term, hoping to for profits to be consistent enough to reach the status of "smart" bettor.
On the topic of being able to have 100% of accuracy on match predictions, it is obviously impossible as it would be against the whole idea of what betting is and it would easily break the betting markets is some people started to get that level of accuracy in certain sports.

Anyways, in the end what matters in the eyes of the casino is keeping the volume high and their markets attractive enough to keep the attention of gamblers in the long term, encouraging them to bet as often as possible.

[STT]

Some people dont predict anything, they watch the game and live bet.  If you make a live bet just before the game turns around then it can be the best bet of all, sometimes the odds before the game were really not worth the bother as they had poor value a live bet can be ideal at times.
   You dont always need to predict, it can just be a positive well timed fortuitous reaction though knowing the background is arguable most helpful to aiding correct direction.

[mirakal]

However, creating a quality forecast is always a problem of additional information and better processing of this information. Write what you think about a quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

So a user should make a quality one. Aside from winnings from forecasting if a user got a mouth too, he can also uses the forecast to open up channel or vlog that can be seen by users and follow his same betting choices. He got wins from gambling he might also win from marketing or views as a professional influencer ont that field. Id saw some who are doing these and some of them are probably earning besides gambling too.

That's what actually happening in most social media influencers these days. They do have the freedom to share everything about their gambling games and the fact that they're winning, at least they could also share their kind of strategies that will make people interested and apply on their own gambling experience. That way, he will get paid with his millions of views if he has massive followers, and also got to share some help to those frustrated gamblers.

[bubilas]

I have always believed that a quality forecast in sports betting is extremely important. More precisely, all elements of the gaming system are important in their own way: risk management, discipline with emotion control and strategy. But if you cannot generate a quality forecast with a high percentage of success, then it is unlikely that emotion control and discipline will help you. Risk management and money management are also unlikely to help you win. All this will only allow you to lose your money a little slower, but will not help you win. The key factor in winning is a quality forecast. However, creating a quality forecast is always a problem of additional information and better processing of this information. Write what you think about a quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

That is why I believe that only talented guys who are excellent and attentive to this hobby, and also are very passionate about the sport they bet on, can make a big profit from betting.
It turns out that in order to be in the plus from sports betting, many factors need to coincide, such as strong passion, knowledge of teams and interest in their internal relations, knowledge of statistics, etc. And that is why so few people profit from betting.

[KiaKia]

Quality forecast doesn't guarantee wins either, are you people on drugs or something? Isn't forecast based on prediction too? So if prediction is a quality type it will likely go your way? You people must be out of your minds.

There is nothing quality about prediction, you "don't know" is why it's called prediction and you want to rely heavily on prediction? Prediction isn't related to you having luck, if you are out if luck you are out of luck, premium or quality won't bring you luck in any way.

Gamblers comes up with words that fits in with their present gambling experience especially when they are winning, the next thing is to feel like they've got it right, they know perfectly well how to handle gambling until it doesn't look this way later on.

[ultrloa]

I have always believed that a quality forecast in sports betting is extremely important. More precisely, all elements of the gaming system are important in their own way: risk management, discipline with emotion control and strategy. But if you cannot generate a quality forecast with a high percentage of success, then it is unlikely that emotion control and discipline will help you. Risk management and money management are also unlikely to help you win. All this will only allow you to lose your money a little slower, but will not help you win. The key factor in winning is a quality forecast. However, creating a quality forecast is always a problem of additional information and better processing of this information. Write what you think about a quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

That is why I believe that only talented guys who are excellent and attentive to this hobby, and also are very passionate about the sport they bet on, can make a big profit from betting.
It turns out that in order to be in the plus from sports betting, many factors need to coincide, such as strong passion, knowledge of teams and interest in their internal relations, knowledge of statistics, etc. And that is why so few people profit from betting.

But even if you are in that level still we cannot guarantee to win. Also base on this site the percentage of winning sports bettor is less and they only believe that there's 3%-5% are profitable read this somehow they write some interesting information's here https://www.boydsbets.com/percentage-profitable-sports-bettors/

Although even if the stats say sports bettor is less profitable in long run I will still agree with you that strong passion and knowledge somehow give you good chance to win. But its just our expectation will not always gonna happen especially that there's lots of factors on why the game result came differently and we could lose on unexpected situations.

[sompitonov]

I have always believed that a quality forecast in sports betting is extremely important. More precisely, all elements of the gaming system are important in their own way: risk management, discipline with emotion control and strategy. But if you cannot generate a quality forecast with a high percentage of success, then it is unlikely that emotion control and discipline will help you. Risk management and money management are also unlikely to help you win. All this will only allow you to lose your money a little slower, but will not help you win. The key factor in winning is a quality forecast. However, creating a quality forecast is always a problem of additional information and better processing of this information. Write what you think about a quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

That is why I believe that only talented guys who are excellent and attentive to this hobby, and also are very passionate about the sport they bet on, can make a big profit from betting.
It turns out that in order to be in the plus from sports betting, many factors need to coincide, such as strong passion, knowledge of teams and interest in their internal relations, knowledge of statistics, etc. And that is why so few people profit from betting.

However, professionals can also have long losing streaks, it even depends on the fact that random dispersion affects them as in poker. I want to say that if a professional makes quality forecasts and even has a positive expected profit, he can face the fact that he simply will not be lucky and this can knock him out of it due to lack of bankroll. And if the professional can still get out of this, then the ordinary player who was just lucky up to this point will be crushed by this. For a long-term positive game, you need to take into account all the factors and cling to every straw to win in order to make a profit in the long run, this can still be an extremely small number of players, but they exist.

[bitbollo]

...quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

In my opinion you don't need to forecast an outcome. You need to find an event that you can guess and allow to have a profit.
I would not care about forecasting and being able to guess some high odds. I prefer to win even small odds, even silly results is fine to me.
Its a suble and important difference because one thing is to guess who is the winner of the match, another thing is to guess a specific number of goals during a part of the match.

[Taskford]

...quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

In my opinion you don't need to forecast an outcome. You need to find an event that you can guess and allow to have a profit.
I would not care about forecasting and being able to guess some high odds. I prefer to win even small odds, even silly results is fine to me.
Its a suble and important difference because one thing is to guess who is the winner of the match, another thing is to guess a specific number of goals during a part of the match.

Absolutely and agree with this since somehow if you chase those things you will just get frustrated on any possible result since its like you are desperate for seeking a sure win with those things.

That's why sometime I bet on the team I think that has huge chance to win and don't care about the forecast made by they called expert or anything since they are also not sure about what they are saying.

Maybe more better to enjoy and bet on familiar teams since somehow you will be confident on your decisions made especially for betting on those things you think have high chance to win even if you can get less profit from them.

[YOSHIE]

Write what you think about a quality forecast, its role in a gaming system and the methods of its construction.

For me there is no prediction in sports gambling, sports gambling is not a lottery where you can predict the number of demons that will possibly come out when the lottery is announced.

Sports betting is more prioritized about accurate information to be able to achieve a display term, it is very important to consider clubs, coaches, players, referees, Field conditions and matters relating to sports matches, you cannot just rely on predictions in sports betting.

[l3pox]

it would be interesting to talk to someone who's been doing it in a profitable way for more than 10 years
I think it's more common to find successful sports bettors in the short term like 6 months to 2 years that will end up leaving after making some money

but I don't know, everything is possible
sometimes we hear such stories on internet

[aoluain]

Quality forecast doesn't guarantee wins either, are you people on drugs or something? Isn't forecast based on prediction too? So if prediction is a quality type it will likely go your way? You people must be out of your minds.

There is nothing quality about prediction, you "don't know" is why it's called prediction and you want to rely heavily on prediction? Prediction isn't related to you having luck, if you are out if luck you are out of luck, premium or quality won't bring you luck in any way.

Gamblers comes up with words that fits in with their present gambling experience especially when they are winning, the next thing is to feel like they've got it right, they know perfectly well how to handle gambling until it doesn't look this way later on.

You are right, quality forecast wont quarantee a win, there is no such think as a "dead cert"
[dead certainty] but as per the OP without a quality forecast there is a massive risk of a loss.

In sports there are many factors witch are random and may or may not happen in that match,
there are too many factors which play a role in a match outcome, the biggest being the referee.
Others include, mental attitude and discipline of players on the day and injuries, there is no
forward accounting for these.

So even if you are an expert in the game and follow your team vigorously those factors are
still out of your control

So "Likely" is not going to guarantee a win.

[alastantiger]

Quality forecast doesn't guarantee wins either, are you people on drugs or something? Isn't forecast based on prediction too? So if prediction is a quality type it will likely go your way? You people must be out of your minds.

My thoughts too, I was surprised to see people saying that the outcome of their bets is dependant on quality forecast. Aren't forecast the opinion of others or isn't forecast all about what the presenters think will happen in the game. They can be wrong or right but we won't know until we're done with the bets. Forecast shouldn't be what we have to depend on for we to gamble, we can make our own predictions and despite how the outcome of the bet goes, we're still going to benefits from the analysis that we did ourselves because we're going to gain some experience or knowledge from the bets when we don't win. Being a long term sport better involves understanding the game that we're betting and also being lucky with our predictions since it's gambling we're doing.

[mindrust]

There are 2 well known ways and both are banned by the casinos.

1- arbitrage betting
2- ev betting

If you follow either of those strategies, you’ll be making money in the long run. The problem is, casinos will notice it and they’ll probably lock your casino account since these strategies are usually against their ToS.

It is probably a better idea to find a better paying job. Gambling won’t work that way.

[hedgeh0g]

Quality forecast doesn't guarantee wins either, are you people on drugs or something? Isn't forecast based on prediction too? So if prediction is a quality type it will likely go your way? You people must be out of your minds.

My thoughts too, I was surprised to see people saying that the outcome of their bets is dependant on quality forecast. Aren't forecast the opinion of others or isn't forecast all about what the presenters think will happen in the game. They can be wrong or right but we won't know until we're done with the bets. Forecast shouldn't be what we have to depend on for we to gamble, we can make our own predictions and despite how the outcome of the bet goes, we're still going to benefits from the analysis that we did ourselves because we're going to gain some experience or knowledge from the bets when we don't win. Being a long term sport better involves understanding the game that we're betting and also being lucky with our predictions since it's gambling we're doing.

I always liked to see things for myself without outside help and opinion, especially in analyzing my bets. I am not a winning player, but the analysis allowed me to understand some things, such as what exactly not to do in order not to lose too quickly. Besides that, I want to get some excitement and a little fun from the game, so I never make big bets and know when I need to stop. Even with this experience I feel pretty good, however, I would like to learn more about doing expert analysis, which I lack, but I will learn it only on my own, who knows, maybe over time I will be able to win a little more and lose even less.