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Author Topic: Will you still bet on the next Pope next time?  (Read 740 times)
Oshosondy (OP)
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May 10, 2025, 07:45:46 AM
 #1

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

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May 10, 2025, 07:52:13 AM
 #2

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

Basically it is the same as what happened in the time when Pope Francis was elected while he was not that popular or he was not on the top candidates. So if we want to bet on similar event, I think it will be better to risk our money on those candidates who are not among the top candidates. However, this even is never be something predictable, unlike Presidential election or something similar.

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May 10, 2025, 07:57:06 AM
 #3

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.
I didn't bet for it and I have no plans of betting on any of it in the future. Well, the casinos now have an idea on how much money they can potentially make here, the ones that have listed the papal conclave. I think that it's too early to think of this when the new pope has just been elected.

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May 10, 2025, 08:00:52 AM
Last edit: May 10, 2025, 10:52:51 AM by DanWalker
 #4

There will be wins and losses in gambling. We can never predict the future with certainty. So the chances of winning and losing in gambling are equal. So it is important for us to be aware before placing bets. Cardinal Pietro Parolin had a high chance of becoming the pope. Many people thought that Cardinal Pietro Parolin was going to become the pope. So they bet a large amount of money. But in the end, Robert Francis Prevost was elected the new Pope. Many gamblers lost their money and gambling sites benefited.

If you tell me whether I am interested in betting on the next pope election, I will say yes. I am interested in betting on the next papal election. Maybe I will lose the bet. Even then I am interested in it. The presidential election in the USA is very competitive. I bet on Trump's victory. I won it. It is not that I will win every bet. But I want to take risks.

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May 10, 2025, 08:03:18 AM
 #5

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

Well, why not? That’s gambling in the end.  Robert had 1% chance, that didn’t mean his victory was impossible. It meant he had 1% chance to win and the miracle happened, he won.

Somebody somewhere must have made a bet on Robert’s victory and he won too.

If Pietro’s victory was a sure thing, his chance of winning would be 100%, not 28%.

If you are mad just because you lost, you should study math more.

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May 10, 2025, 08:23:14 AM
 #6

Maybe, OP, you should have asked a simple question about whether you would bet on something very loud, seeing as the whole world is going crazy with predictions. As far as I know, the Pope's seat is only elected in the event of the death of the previous person who occupied that seat. There was only one case where the seat was refused. So, OP, are you suggesting that such seats will change regularly, namely that people will die more often? I think this question is very wrong from a moral point of view. Not everything in life should be valued in monetary terms, OP.

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May 10, 2025, 08:38:41 AM
 #7

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

I think the learning lesson here is that: favourites from the running candidates are NOT always guaranteed to win.

Take for example the last candidacy for pope, no one even knew who Jorge Mario Bergoglio was. Despite that, he won the candidacy for Pope and chose the name "Pope Francis" in representation of the poor. So in the 2025 Papal Candidacy, even if there may be favorites to win the spot, that is not a guaranteed way of winning. I mean, this is the nature of betting- you play the game of odds and unknown territory.

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

Well, why not? That’s gambling in the end.  Robert had 1% chance, that didn’t mean his victory was impossible. It meant he had 1% chance to win and the miracle happened, he won.

Somebody somewhere must have made a bet on Robert’s victory and he won too.

If Pietro’s victory was a sure thing, his chance of winning would be 100%, not 28%.

If you are mad just because you lost, you should study math more.

You are definitely right! Even if the odds are statistically low, if there is a chance of a person to win/lose, then that possibility remains to be true if the odds are on his favor! At the end of the day, this is one of the true example of betting- staking on the favorite just to lose on the lowest possible winning percentage.

 
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May 10, 2025, 08:46:25 AM
 #8

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.
Of all the event and activities to bet on, I don't think religious event is one that's worth the risk basically because it's not something we can easily predict the outcome because the decision is not just based on popular opinion but rather through a spiritual process that's actually very deficult to be analyzed. The decision to gamble with what you can afford to lose is not just when it deals with a religious bet, it's supposed to be a constant that regardless of the thing you're gambling for, you should have that at athe back of your mind that anything can eventually go wrong. Regardless of the certainty of your bet, you should be wise enough to gamble responsibly.

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May 10, 2025, 08:51:53 AM
 #9

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

It seems though that the hype was on the Filipino Cardinal Tagle, as if I'm not mistaken, he was one of the favorites to win in this race for the Papacy. Unfortunately, we don't know what happen close door as the voting is very secretively. I'm talking about Tagle has the back up of the whole Philippines and maybe some around the world as we all know that the country of Philippines is the biggest Catholic.

But since he lost, I'm not sure what will be the hype on Papacy next time. Maybe Tagle will still be in the short listed as he is still very young if we talk about the age of Pope. He is just at a ripe 67 years old so maybe he will have his next chance.

However, as I have said before, I'm not going to bet on this kind of voting for the Pope.

 
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May 10, 2025, 08:55:18 AM
 #10

So, OP, are you suggesting that such seats will change regularly, namely that people will die more often?
Although old people are elected but I am not saying that. People were saying there would be politics there while some said the person that would be elected will be from Italy and so on but now they were all disappointed. Also election time like the United States presidential election was more predictable than this. This is more spiritual and most people lost in a way they should be discouraged next time.

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May 10, 2025, 09:03:20 AM
 #11

This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.
Didn't I often mention in some topics of gambling discussion, don't gamble or bet on a game that you don't know, that's how the gambling is at risk of losing all the money that is at the bet, if we don't know about the game.

Of course I do not want to say this election there is a negative element, for me there is no harm in those gamblers, in general if seen Robert Francis Prevos & Pietro Parolin, I can say Pietro is more experienced in the field International compared to Robert, but that is a leader if it has been installed for gambling betting, I think it is no longer professional in the election.

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May 10, 2025, 10:55:09 AM
 #12

So, OP, are you suggesting that such seats will change regularly, namely that people will die more often?
Although old people are elected but I am not saying that. People were saying there would be politics there while some said the person that would be elected will be from Italy and so on but now they were all disappointed. Also election time like the United States presidential election was more predictable than this. This is more spiritual and most people lost in a way they should be discouraged next time.
It is normal if some people were saying there would be politics behind on that because that is happen in almost position. The candidates may be related to the politics interest especially if that position is very legit or close to many policies.

Those people want to make money from betting that event but they are not make a right prediction so they lose. But they will not stop betting on similar event or other politics.

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May 10, 2025, 10:58:44 AM
 #13

I wouldn't bet on that. One thing is for people to bet on who will be the next president of the United States, because there are companies that do research and publish it on news channels and that way people have an idea of ​​who may have the best chance of winning. Even looking at the comments of political analysts on TV and newspapers, people can see which of the candidates has the best chances. But that doesn't happen when it comes to the Pope, because there are many candidates about whom people don't have much information, so people won't be right if they bet.

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May 10, 2025, 11:06:19 AM
 #14

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.
Was bet on Pope offered by sportsbooks? If not and that was only on Prediction Market, then the outcome doesn't matter for the company because it's not a company you bet against, it's people against each other.

Well, why not? That’s gambling in the end.  Robert had 1% chance, that didn’t mean his victory was impossible. It meant he had 1% chance to win and the miracle happened, he won.

Somebody somewhere must have made a bet on Robert’s victory and he won too.

If Pietro’s victory was a sure thing, his chance of winning would be 100%, not 28%.
That's a very good explanation. 1% doesn't mean there is not a chance, it means that the chance is here but it's very low and unlikely to happen but still, it can happen. That's why I only bet on UFC and not on other events, other events are not my thing. A year ago, FC Girona had one of the lowest chance to win La Liga and they almost win, they were number one in the table for a long time, it played better than FC Barcelona and Real Madrid, it was almost an unheard team in La Liga.

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May 10, 2025, 11:12:17 AM
 #15

I said it on the two comments I made in that thread concerning betting on the next pope, I said that it's just a business strategy for polymarket and other bookmakers that added the event, those nominated candidates that was given more chance to be elected was never going to be picked because they had those stated characteristics, i said so. That's exactly what happened. As a bettor, I would never bet on such kind of event not because it's bad for me to bet but because the process of selection of the new pope is so unpredictable that no body can be accurate about the next pope except it's just a coincidence.  Do a search about how new pope are elected and you will know what am talking about. Most people wasted their money to bet on that event.

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May 10, 2025, 11:27:38 AM
 #16

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.

It is very difficult to win on this, tehre are more than 100 that can be Pope and there are big chance that the next Pope is not in the list of Papabeto.
You should skip on this betting, the banker is always the winner.

I will go for a sports which you need to choose on 2 teams.

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May 10, 2025, 11:29:32 AM
 #17

Will you still bet on the next Pope next time?
This question is indeed very funny. I didn't bet on the next Pope to win because the chances of winning is very low. It would have been better to bet on next Pope if they where 2 or 3 competitors, but they where many up to 6 or 7 thereabout and that will be very difficult to predict the winner. Even though the odd where convincing enough to predict correctly. But now the winners is very far from what people though. If this prediction was like normal sportbet where 2 clubs can be predicted, it would have been better, than to predic match that the contestine than above 5.

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May 10, 2025, 11:42:17 AM
 #18

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.
Just like what I said few day's agobinnone of those threads that we were discussing this pop election and their odds on poly markets, what make for the final results in pop selection is highly political just like in the normal election e.g US elections, so while gamblers follow the widely known means of predicting and speculating the next pope, the Rim system will only pick the one that best fit into their political settlements and sentiments, the bookies really win this time because the result went against most bettors.

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May 10, 2025, 11:56:45 AM
 #19

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.
Last time I checked, the percentage chances of winning are not a guarantee that you will win your bet. There must be losses in gambling, and there must be wins in gambling. Whichever is the outcome, it shouldn't stop you from gambling next time unless you decide to quit. One loss isn't enough reason for you to quit gambling IMO.

I did not bet on the next Pope this time, and I won't bet on it another time. Due to religious reasons.

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May 10, 2025, 11:58:15 AM
 #20

You can see how huge amount of money was wiped out after people thought Cardinal Pietro Parolin will be the winner but the winner Robert Francis Prevos which has 1% chance to 28% of Cardinal Pietro Parolin became the next Pope. People lost greatly and betting sites are so happy about it. This is one of the reasons we should not bet with the amount of money that we can not afford to lose because we can lose the money.
This was actually a shocking result because little or no one thought of Robert Francis Prevos becoming the next pope, you know, people thought it was that of the Donald Trump, Joe Biden and that of Kama Harris case of election betting, where the most popular candidate or the candidate has been seen promised a lot of things he will do when he becomes the president, but this is a religious matter and the religion election has proven different, so few people actually understands how the criteria they use in selecting their pope works, and which we have seen properly played out in this election.

 
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LLBIT▀█ 
  TH#1 SOLANA CASINO  
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........5,000+........
GAMES
 
......INSTANT......
WITHDRAWALS
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REWARDS
 
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